***NFL Computer Picks***

[TheSaint]

agree with you ai, if you pay for winners, why not? of course, its not a good idea to pay for BLang and other scamdicappers, but why not to throw a little penny to the guys that consistently give out winners, proven and honest? imo.

 

[crazy]

WTF is the problem!!

each one of us does what they want with their money! If I wake up a decide to piss mine down the toilet so be it I"M KING of MY COIN.

you want to donate b/c you feel compelled go for it after all its going to one hard working mate, if you don't want to so be it....just don't cry about how others should spend their MONEY

sorry mate just had to vent

 

[G$$]

if someone has a great track record and wants to do all the research, spend their time to analyze the numbers, trends, etc and charge you a few bucks for it, pay it. if not do the research yourself and spend your hours, or just bet from your gut or from what you see with your own eyes on tv. if your betting under $50 a play then dont bother paying for picks your playing for fun. if your droppin a few hundred on the games a few bucks for advise and info is well worth it. so the real question is what are you playing for and how much is your time worth?

 

[aderol]

i follow nfl and mlb. you've made me money. i'm happy to donate. it's a bonus to get the pick 5.

 

[romecloneout]

so my question is since you ask for money for 2 extra picks does that make you a tout?...because usually when i make a "donation" to the salvation army i usually get to pick what i give and never get anything in return...so can we choose how much we would like to "donate" to you for your pick 5 or do we have to "donate" 25 for the picks...thanks

 

[bigugly]

so my question is since you ask for money for 2 extra picks does that make you a tout?...because usually when i make a "donation" to the salvation army i usually get to pick what i give and never get anything in return...so can we choose how much we would like to "donate" to you for your pick 5 or do we have to "donate" 25 for the picks...thanks

You can always donate more!

Here's a good question: MJ, are you betting the same amount on the extra PICK 5 picks as you are with the PICK 3?

I am glad you decided to use this donation method. I think many of us have wanted to donate for awhile, and needed a kick in the butt to do so. I haven't always followed, but I love seeing what you have. Seems like you many good systems, though some systems seem to disappear and never get a chance after being just a couple units down. Anyway, looking forward to next week's picks.

 

[CLefty]

Every wager is for the same amount according to Mr. MJ..I believe.

 

[Mistermj]

You can always donate more!

Here's a good question: MJ, are you betting the same amount on the extra PICK 5 picks as you are with the PICK 3?

I am glad you decided to use this donation method. I think many of us have wanted to donate for awhile, and needed a kick in the butt to do so. I haven't always followed, but I love seeing what you have. Seems like you many good systems, though some systems seem to disappear and never get a chance after being just a couple units down. Anyway, looking forward to next week's picks.

See post #93 ...

 

[Mistermj]

I'm introducing some new picks this year...this is a "subset" of the computer picks emotional factors that I have been using for years.

I've noticed that the emotional factors have done so well that they "could" possibly become picks on their own. Lets see how they do this year.

I will break them down into 2 sets...one is all the emotion factor picks together. Lets call them EMO Factors. They could be played as volume picks flat betting all of them. (or just watch, this is experimental)

The other set will be more like a POD (Play of the Day) and will be only the picks with the most "emotion" factors. Usually only 1 pick per week...the best of the EMO picks. Lets call them the EMO POD's.

This will not effect the Pick 3 or Pick 5 in any way...everything stays the same. I'm just introducing something else to track. d1g1t

Again...these are experimental. I will only post them here, this year. This is where I experiment. I don't like to put experimental stuff on the blog.

Use them at your own risk.

EMO Factor Picks
Sunday, September 20

<table class="thepicks"> <tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Carolina </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Carolina +6.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Atlanta </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> New Orleans </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>New Orleans +1</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Philadelphia </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Cincinnati </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Cincinnati +9.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Green Bay </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Pittsburgh </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:15 PM ET</td> <td>Chicago +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Chicago </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Monday, September 21

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Indianapolis </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:30 PM ET</td> <td>Miami +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Miami </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>============================================
EMO POD's

Miami and Carolina are in a tie for emotional factors this week. They will both be EMO POD's. They both have their backs against the wall, nearly everyone doubts them this week. They are like caged animals, coiled springs that get tighter and tighter, the emo factors have built up to the point of explosion.

Miami is particularly interesting being on Monday night, in this case we like playing at home on Monday night with a chip on our shoulder and an EMO home dog.



EMO POD's

Sunday, September 20

<table class="thepicks"> <tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Carolina </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Carolina +6.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Atlanta </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Monday, September 21

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Indianapolis </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:30 PM ET</td> <td>Miami +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Miami </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
I will post the Pick 3's and Pick 5's tomorrow (Friday)...same as I always do. Nothing has changed. This is just something new.

If you have questions...please read the explanations above a few times before asking questions.

I don't mind answering questions, but make them good ones please...not something I already explained.

 

[skinsfan21]

ur the man....BOL this year

 

[smallunits]

GL MJ!! Cant wait for the nba system to come back around!!

 

[MidgetMacAttack]

GL MJ!! Cant wait for the nba system to come back around!!

lets hope theres an nba season. looking like a lockout this year, not good news

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[Mistermj]

NFL Pick 3 Week #2

Sunday, September 20

<table class="thepicks"> <tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Carolina </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Carolina +6.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Atlanta </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Pittsburgh </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:15 PM ET</td> <td>Chicago +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Chicago </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Monday, September 21

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Indianapolis </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:30 PM ET</td> <td>Miami +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Miami </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
Record
<table class="data" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="highlight"><td class="center">0-3-0</td> <td>0.00%</td> <td>-$1650</td> <td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Redagger029]

lets hope theres an nba season. looking like a lockout this year, not good news


hno:

 

[srymoniqueocupado]

NFL Pick 3 Week #2

Sunday, September 20

<table class="thepicks"> <tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Carolina </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Carolina +6.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Atlanta </td> <td> - </td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Pittsburgh </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:15 PM ET</td> <td>Chicago +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Chicago </td> <td> - </td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> Monday, September 21

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Indianapolis </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:30 PM ET</td> <td>Miami +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Miami </td> <td> - </td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>
Record
<table class="data" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="highlight"><td class="center">0-3-0</td> <td>0.00%</td> <td>-$1650</td> <td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

So are these 3 official computer plays or just EMO(experimental plays)?:think2:

Also, The Carolina line is at +6. Are u expecting that to go in our direction or would u recommend i grab that ASAP?

Thx MJ

 

[Mistermj]

So are these 3 official computer plays or just EMO(experimental plays)?:think2:

Also, The Carolina line is at +6. Are u expecting that to go in our direction or would u recommend i grab that ASAP?

Thx MJ

I thought I had made it very clear. These are something new I am tracking.

The Pick 3's are still the official computer picks...same as last year.

The Emo factors and the EMO POD's are experimental. Play at your own risk. Just watch or play at your own risk...whatever you want to do with them...I don't care.

I post my picks with the lines available at the time...that'ss all I can do. You are on your own after that. I never try to predict line movement or much care what some people think it means.

It's like a disease once you go down that road...as far as I'm concerned. I can't think of one thing that has ruined more cappers than all this ridiculous sharp and line movement crap. :lol:

I hope this helps. :toast:

 

[TheSaint]

I wish you good luck with these new picks, will look into your thread more often to check how these do. My question is, how can emotions or emotional factors be transferred into stats, that you base these plays on? Seems like emotion is something immaterial, more what you can feel based on your own perception of the (last) game(s). Good luck this weekend, hopefully we'll bounce back!

 

[Mistermj]

I wish you good luck with these new picks, will look into your thread more often to check how these do. My question is, how can emotions or emotional factors be transferred into stats, that you base these plays on? Seems like emotion is something immaterial, more what you can feel based on your own perception of the (last) game(s). Good luck this weekend, hopefully we'll bounce back!

Emotion can be transferred into stats or numbers because human beings tend to react to things and extreme situations in repeatable and predictable ways.

Some would call it human nature.

It's all my opinion and in "theory" of course...whether or not I can really do that.

I think I can do that...without question. I use it in nearly ALL of my picks in one way or another.

It is a basic cornerstone of what I do, and I don't expect human nature to change much in our lifetimes.

 

[roc18]

NFL Pick 3 Week #2

Sunday, September 20

<TABLE class=thepicks> <TBODY><TR class=datahead> <TD width="32%">Game</TD> <TD width="15%">Score</TD> <TD width="15%">Status</TD> <TD width="29%">Pick</TD> <TD width="9%">Amount</TD> </TR><TR class=firstline><TD>Carolina </TD><TD>- </TD><TD>1:00 PM ET</TD><TD>Carolina +6.5</TD><TD>500</TD></TR><TR><TD>Atlanta </TD><TD>- </TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=firstline><TD>Pittsburgh </TD><TD>- </TD><TD>4:15 PM ET</TD><TD>Chicago +3</TD><TD>500</TD></TR><TR><TD>Chicago </TD><TD>- </TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>Monday, September 21

<TABLE class=thepicks><TBODY><TR class=datahead> <TD width="32%">Game</TD> <TD width="15%">Score</TD> <TD width="15%">Status</TD> <TD width="29%">Pick</TD> <TD width="9%">Amount</TD> </TR><TR class=firstline><TD>Indianapolis </TD><TD>- </TD><TD>8:30 PM ET</TD><TD>Miami +3</TD><TD>500</TD></TR><TR><TD>Miami </TD><TD>- </TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Record
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR class=highlight><TD class=center>0-3-0</TD> <TD>0.00%</TD> <TD>-$1650</TD> <TD>

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Thanks and good luck with your EMO picks :lol:

 

[ds123]

Nobody is going to be able to get Chicago +3 at -110. Most books have had it all week at -120, some -125.


That being said Miami +3 is getting plus money, so I suppose it balances all out in the end...