NFL Championship Game lines/discussion

[skoda]

1st thought.. Detroit and KC
2nd thought Detroit and KC
Final Detroit Defense shuts down Niners and Offense wins shootout with KC.. National Anthem over and other props later...

Final decision Detroit and Baltimore UNDER Going to agree with Other posters, the bookmakers put a lot of emphasis on Mahomes. Feel Baltimore will shut him down and if so where does offense go? As far as winner gotta go with Home team, Vegas says….

Detroit needs to step up, destiny is theirs!

Good luck interesting 2nd game is prime time… Hint-Hint?

2023 NFL Defense Rankings: Team Pass and Rush Stats | FOX Sports

Find out where every NFL team ranks on defense following the 2023 regular season.

www.foxsports.com

 

[Loves2kickass]

Don't over think these 2 games. The 2 home fav's will be in the bowl.

 

[Avocado33]

Don't over think these 2 games. The 2 home fav's will be in the bowl.

Nah gimme some Chiefs baby

 

[SheriffJoe]

The only reason to bet the Chiefs is if you believe "Playoff Lamar" will reemerge and somehow choke it. Otherwise, the Ravens are superior to the Chiefs in every category. Rookie sensation CJ Stroud was definitely exposed by that ferocious defense.

It wasn't too long ago when everyone here was mocking Chiefs receivers for their brutal dropped passes. What changed?

Miami's D was soft (and cold) and Buffalo's almost nonexistent with a cluster of injuries - very little duress on Mahomes and the offense thus far in the playoffs.

Ravens boast the best record in the NFL going 13-4. Two of those losses were against the Steelers by the same score: 17-10. Go figure.

 

[Avocado33]

It wasn't too long ago when everyone here was mocking Chiefs receivers for their brutal dropped passes. What changed?

LOL you made it seem like in the other thread that Mahomes was throwing to Jerry Rice and Randy Moss lol

 

[Avocado33]

Chiefs have been underrated for quite a bit now

Ravens vulnerable enough I think. It should be a great game, but think Chiefs will find a way

Defense will have to step it up a little bit though. Ravens a bigger challenge than the fraud Bills

 

[Ricboff]

I like Baltimore A LOT.

I just think Chiefs aren't very good this year and baltimore is best team in football.

i agree . Offense hasnt been the same all year, they just magically changed or was moreso of that Buff mash unit on dee? i think the latter .

My concern is that- if Balt is in the same boat Buff was and needs to score a TD late to end it. Can Lamar manage the heat on home soil as the fav and get it done ? dunno, i was confident Josh could but aint confident with Lamar, haha! needless to say i was wrong on the former

ya got to win in this spot Lamar

 

[phdinsports]

Kansas City had the advantage at QB, on defense and with coaching versus Buffalo so it was very comfortable taking the points.
Versus Baltimore, the Ravens have a better defense, coaching is a push so it comes down to a close game and who will play better in the second half...Mahomes or Lamar. If KC keeps it close in the first half and then their defense kicks in (last seven weeks in the 2h, KC has given up (points) 6-7-3-0-6-0-7), I would rather count on Mahomes to do what he has done over and over in these types of games.
I'll take the +500 for KC to beat San Francisco in the SB as the 49'ers will get there due to CMC not Purdy.

You forgot the huge advantage the Golden boy has, and that's the refs! Close game he always gets the calls!

 

[phdinsports]

i agree . Offense hasnt been the same all year, they just magically changed or was moreso of that Buff mash unit on dee? i think the latter .

My concern is that- if Balt is in the same boat Buff was and needs to score a TD late to end it. Can Lamar manage the heat on home soil as the fav and get it done ? dunno, i was confident Josh could but aint confident with Lamar, haha! needless to say i was wrong on the former

ya got to win in this spot Lamar

Hey Ric, what do you think of the federal court ruling that Castro's bastard child violated our charter rights? That fucking piece of shit called us Nazi's when we were protesting my wife's right to follow her oncologist advice, yet the man-child brings an actual Nazi to parliament giving Kiriyenko a wet dream in their war to "denazify" Ukraine!!!!! Can you imagine the outcry if Harper, better yet Trump, was in office!?!?!?

 

[Ricboff]

Hey Ric, what do you think of the federal court ruling that Castro's bastard child violated our charter rights? That fucking piece of shit called us Nazi's when we were protesting my wife's right to follow her oncologist advice, yet the man-child brings an actual Nazi to parliament giving Kiriyenko a wet dream in their war to "denazify" Ukraine!!!!! Can you imagine the outcry if Harper, better yet Trump, was in office!?!?!?

replied via PM

 

[Bozzie]

DEEBO


if you take Deebo Samuel out of the lineup, opposing defenses have a much greater chance, as the numbers below show for regular-season games this season in which Samuel was unable to either play or finish a game due to injury.

W/L Pts./G Yds./G Yds./Play
49ers with Deebo Samuel 12-2 31.4 436.4 7.0
49ers without Deebo Samuel 0-3 17.0 285.3 5.5

The San Francisco 49ers, who are 8-9 all-time with Deebo Samuel sidelined, statistically don’t have an offense that is much better than the New York Jets. The points and yards numbers would rank the 49ers 28th in the NFL, while the numbers with Deebo make the 49ers an offensive juggernaut.


Here is how Purdy has performed this season with and without Deebo Samuel.

QB Rating TD-INT Completion Rate YPA
Brock Purdy with Deebo Samuel 121.68 28-6 71.1% 9.9
Brock Purdy without Deebo Samuel 72.36 4-5 61.4% 6.0
The Deebo-less QB rating alone would put Purdy somewhere between Bryce Young of the Carolina Panthers and Mitchell Trubisky of the Pittsburgh Steelers. Not good.

How Deebo Samuel’s alarming absence might cripple San Francisco 49ers’ Super Bowl hopes - NewsBreak

Deebo Samuel is only one of many players on a star-studded San Francisco 49ers roster who’ve been selected to the

www.newsbreak.com

 

[azbob]

CMC = Christian McCaffrey

At some point, Lamar may turn the corner regarding his playoff performance, but I'm not going to count on him based on a good second half versus a ten-point dog. That game was tied at the half. I have to think about a game script that has it close in the 2H and having Mahomes plus the KC 2H defense history makes it an easy decision to have the Chiefs and take my chances.

 

[nevinbrett6]

It seems to me as I read all these threads and people talk about Baltimore
Everyone forgetting a very important game to compare with this matchup
The rams
They took Baltimore into OT at Baltimore
Baltimore won that game do to blown calls in punt return
Now if the rams can do that
Now what do you think KC can do

 

[Avocado33]

It seems to me as I read all these threads and people talk about Baltimore
Everyone forgetting a very important game to compare with this matchup
The rams
They took Baltimore into OT at Baltimore
Baltimore won that game do to blown calls in punt return
Now if the rams can do that
Now what do you think KC can do

KC 100% can get this done

I think they will

 

[Serbone]

It seems to me as I read all these threads and people talk about Baltimore
Everyone forgetting a very important game to compare with this matchup
The rams
They took Baltimore into OT at Baltimore
Baltimore won that game do to blown calls in punt return
Now if the rams can do that
Now what do you think KC can do

One game? Not significant they also then won 4 straight against good teams before playing back ups vs Pittsburg.

KC also lost some games look them up.

 

[Serbone]

You forgot the huge advantage the Golden boy has, and that's the refs! Close game he always gets the calls!

Also if KC wins the world gets to see Kelce’s hottie in the Super Bowl and all pre game crap beforehand ad nauseam

 

[SheriffJoe]

Also if KC wins the world gets to see Kelce’s hottie in the Super Bowl and all pre game crap beforehand ad nauseam

Yep, it's a huge concern the NFL wants this, so Ravens need to turn it on and blow them out, like they did Houston.

Mahomes said the D saved their season, so I'm not entirely convinced this offense is what it once was. KC struggled mightily against lesser teams down the stretch.

 

[Avocado33]

Never underestimate the heart of a champion

KC was playing better than people realized. Their offense has been generally productive, and their defense has been solid

Biggest concern is the middle of their D stopping the run IMO.

If Chiefs neutralize Baltimore running game at all, I actually think they could win this somewhat easily

 

[Michelangelo]

DEEBO


if you take Deebo Samuel out of the lineup, opposing defenses have a much greater chance, as the numbers below show for regular-season games this season in which Samuel was unable to either play or finish a game due to injury.

W/L Pts./G Yds./G Yds./Play
49ers with Deebo Samuel 12-2 31.4 436.4 7.0
49ers without Deebo Samuel 0-3 17.0 285.3 5.5

The San Francisco 49ers, who are 8-9 all-time with Deebo Samuel sidelined, statistically don’t have an offense that is much better than the New York Jets. The points and yards numbers would rank the 49ers 28th in the NFL, while the numbers with Deebo make the 49ers an offensive juggernaut.


Here is how Purdy has performed this season with and without Deebo Samuel.

QB Rating TD-INT Completion Rate YPA
Brock Purdy with Deebo Samuel 121.68 28-6 71.1% 9.9
Brock Purdy without Deebo Samuel 72.36 4-5 61.4% 6.0
The Deebo-less QB rating alone would put Purdy somewhere between Bryce Young of the Carolina Panthers and Mitchell Trubisky of the Pittsburgh Steelers. Not good.

How Deebo Samuel’s alarming absence might cripple San Francisco 49ers’ Super Bowl hopes - NewsBreak

Deebo Samuel is only one of many players on a star-studded San Francisco 49ers roster who’ve been selected to the

www.newsbreak.com

Great research!

 

[LuckysBoy]

By all metrics I personally really Loved the Ravens in this game, but very hard for me to get past the ref assignment and crew in this game.BEST Road ref in NFL by the stats on penalties and how Shawn Smith has done with Road teams ATS. PHD insports is spot on, this may be the worst ref assignment possible for Lamar and the Ravens. The NFL does this shit on purpose with there assignments, KC winning and monetizing the Swifties having interest and spending money on SB gear, its pretty obvious the NFL would rather see the Chiefs in the Bowl. Good read for everyone who thinks I am a conspiracy NUT. sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/chiefs-ravens-shawn-smith-referee-trends-impact/ Hard to overlook that info. I still think Ravens win, just to good, but I will not be playing it very large, becays we have a reffing crew making A LOT of subjective calls and his history shows those calls are not being OBJECTIVE. GL to ALL