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Stanford Steve and The Bear: Week 13 college football picks, bets, nuggets (continued)

Bear bytes​

No. 16 Iowa Hawkeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Nebraska (3-8) is currently a one-point favorite over Iowa (9-2). It is the first time since at least 1978 -- and I'm fairly confident to say ever -- that a team 3-8 or worse is favored over a team 9-2 or better. In fact, in the other 82 instances since 1978 which saw teams with these types of records square off, every 3-8 or worse team was at least a 7.5-point underdog.

Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Longhorns

Texas has lost and failed to cover six straight. However, five of the six games in the span were all one-score games.

North Carolina Tar Heels at No. 20 NC State Wolfpack

The Tar Heels have covered four straight in the series.

No. 14 Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

The Gophers have won five of their last eight games outright as an underdog. Two of the three losses were by five and three points, respectively.

Tulsa at SMU Mustangs

Dating back to 2018, Tulsa is 13-3 ATS with four outright wins as an underdog. That includes a pair of one-possession losses this season to top-7 teams Cincinnati and Oklahoma State.

Washington State Cougars at Washington Huskies

Wazzu has lost seven straight and 10 of 11 vs Washington. All seven losses have been by double-digits. This is the first time since 2005 the Cougars are favored in Seattle. That year they won 26-22.

No. 6 Notre Dame at Stanford Cardinal

Notre Dame has won each of its last 39 games as a favorite. Its last outright loss as a favorite game in 2017 vs. Stanford. The Irish have also won 35 straight games as a double-digit favorite dating back to a 2016 loss to Duke.

No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners at No. 7 Oklahoma State Cowboys

The Cowboys have covered nine straight games since a five-point win over Tulsa. Oklahoma State has not allowed more than 24 points this year and has allowed 23 points in the last four games combined. ... Oklahoma has won six straight and 16 of 18 in the series, covering five of six and 12 of 16. ... This is the first time since the 2017 Bedlam Game that Oklahoma is an underdog in a Big 12 game, snapping a streak of 41 straight games. It's also just the second time in the last 59 Big 12 games that OU is a 'dog.

No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes at No. 5 Michigan Wolverines

The Buckeyes have won all three meetings in Ann Arbor with Jim Harbaugh as head coach by double-digits (29, 11, 29), averaging 43 PPG in those three games. ... At Michigan, Jim Harbaugh is 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS vs. top 10 opponents.

No. 23 Clemson Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks

This is the first time since 2014 the Tigers aren't a favorite of at least 13.5 points vs. South Carolina.

Stanford Steve and the Bear Podcast - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/stanford-steve-the-bear/id1435385649
 
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Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,074
Tokens

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,074
Tokens
Newsletter Tracking (through 11/28/2021) from Mendoza Line

Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.

Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.

CKO (we've gotten this one only twice this season)
11* (0-3-0)
10* (4-6-0)
o/u (1-1-0)

Gridiron Gold Sheet (only the 2nd time we've gotten this one this season)
NCAA Best Bets (3-9-0)
NFL Best Bets (2-3-1)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NCAA
5* (6-5-2)
4* (8-5-0)
3* (10-3-0)
Upset pick (7-6-0)
Betcha Didn't Know (9-5-0)
Awesome Angle (6-7-1)
Incredible Stat (4-8-0)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NFL (0-3 this week)
5* (5-7-0)
4* (9-3-0)
3* (7-5-0)

Pointwise NCAA
1* (13-12-1)
2* (5-8-0)
3* (7-6-0)
4* (13-12-1)
5* (13-13-0)

Pointwise NFL
3* (7-5-0)
4* (13-11-0)
5* (15-8-1)

Power Sweep NCAA (rated plays were 5-0 this week)
4* (6-7-0)
3* (15-11-0)
2* (18-7-1)
Underdog Play of the Week (6-7-0)
Tech Play of the Week (3-5-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (5-4-1)
Situational Play of the Week (6-4-0)
Series Play of the Week (8-3-0)

Power Sweep NFL (rated plays were 0-3 this week)
4* (5-7-0)
3* (5-7-0)
2* (6-6-0)
4* Pro Angle (3-4-0)
3* o/u play (4-8-0)

Powers' Picks NCAA
3* (17-6-1)
2* (13-27-1)
1* (0-0-0)

Powers' Picks NFL
4* (0-0-0)
3* (8-4-1)
2* (14-17-0)
1* (0-0-0)

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (24-27-1)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NFL Best Bets (15-9-0) (Washington -1 pending for Monday night)

Red Sheet
90* (0-0-0)
89* (18-8-0)
88* (27-23-2)

Winning Points
NCAA 4* (6-6-0)
NCAA 3* (4-8-0)
NFL 4* (5-7-0)
NFL 3* (7-4-1)

Killer Sports, not including teasers (not publishing this season)
SBB 4.5* (0-0-0)
SBB 4* (0-0-0)
Cajun NCAA (0-0-0)
Pick 60 Play of the Week (0-0-0)

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
5* (0-1-0)
3* (5-14-0)
2* (11-6-0)
Team Total of the Week (5-7-0)

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (25-10-0)
NCAA 4* (30-32-1)
NFL 4* (5-7-0)

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (27-42-1)
NFL Key Releases (21-15-0)

ITPB (I didn't see this one this week)
NCAA (26-30-0)
NFL (7-7-0)

Kenny White (Is it just me? I couldn't find the plays in the newsletter.)
NCAA (29-21-0)
NFL (8-10-0)
 

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