Newsletters

[BuzzKill]

I want to apologize for my smart aleck response earlier. It's just gets frustrating. If we have it, it'll get posted. I don't know of anyone in this community that would sit on a newsletter. Maybe I'm wrong, but I don't think so.

No problems microphone, thanks for posting! Much appreciated.

 

[BeatDown]

its cool

 

[ziggylasvegas]

Buzz lost your email again. I have Playbook

 

[Hotpizza]

Knowing Marc Lawrence his top picks in the newsletter will be Green Bay and Oklahoma. That's if he sticks to what he told me.

 

[rockland]

Knowing Marc Lawrence his top picks in the newsletter will be Green Bay and Oklahoma. That's if he sticks to what he told me.

would guess Texans Rams Dolphins

 

[BuzzKill]

Playbook - /drive.google.com/file/d/1ldADns9RbL3e-xvuJJ5POGFPh_EwQrTL/view

Podcast Marc Lawrence's September 22 Podcast with Victor King - /soundcloud.com/marclawrencepodcast/2021-09-22-marc-lawrence-podcast

 

[BuzzKill]

Newsletters
Gold Sheet College Football - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Bz3_K4WmBShqgw2SaGKq_bkGNnvyEBWn/view
Gold Sheet NFL - /drive.google.com/file/d/1dnVM-Ozzmet9HQYyQk3-UToSvgzvHRV2/view
Gold Sheet Angles - /drive.google.com/file/d/13awufiISUTeQ7v1BKV-Yi_PyNs-cF0Lz/edit
Marc Lawrence's Playbook -/drive.google.com/file/d/1ldADns9RbL3e-xvuJJ5POGFPh_EwQrTL/view
Pointwise - /drive.google.com/file/d/1yKZzMHPvPHxCKceT_tj8N96AUKTB0X0n/edit
Power Plays -/drive.google.com/file/d/1jFgl9XUphUOC5L-n9kLZB2jANqtmFazK/edit
Power Sweep - /drive.google.com/file/d/1JhNz1iyuR82nuQGzXk4rQyE1gJkGHp9y/edit
Powers' Picks - /drive.google.com/file/d/1xhifJg4qEcw2frsrYKpD5fSkcl4RpMqe/view?usp=sharing
Red Sheet - /drive.google.com/file/d/13HK8nNuzKtPh_XfsFoBxZ5Olo80j0xhR/edit
Sports Reporter - /drive.google.com/file/d/1X1eFlR2ZsHpYQDQ0Bsme2uqZ8hRohOfO/view
Victor King's NFL Totals Tipsheet - /drive.google.com/file/d/1JwYbrAKSDoDZc9fdeY0cl3fpGYUci5Lj/edit
VSiN Point Spread Weekly - /drive.google.com/file/d/1UvwYkdMpSgJtNnJBmW0YL4Or0CkDKPB9/view
Winning Points - /drive.google.com/file/d/14HZqIwj34Y4FhRiXKAFntIuu_bAwWZ0y/edit

Podcast
Marc Lawrence's September 22 Podcast with Victor King - /soundcloud.com/marclawrencepodcast/2021-09-22-marc-lawrence-podcast

Tracking
This Season's Record Through September 19 - /www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=347&p=13592215&viewfull=1#post13592215

 

[Malooka]

American Turf Club 1374

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1htiC0MrJJbXYUCizxrOmSdms5swTrAn0/view?usp=sharing

 

[Giant419]

[h=1]Stanford Steve and The Bear: Week 4 college football picks, bets, nuggets[/h]"Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica cover the college football season as only they can, offering their top picks, betting nuggets and totals worth wagering on.
Records:
The Bear (Last Week: 3-4, Season: 6-8)
Stanford Steve (Last Week: 3-2, Season: 9-6)
Note: All lines are from Caesars Sportsbook.

---

[h=2]The Plays[/h]

[h=3]Nebraska Cornhuskers at No. 20 Michigan State Spartans (-5, 52)[/h]The Bear: I have to write this up as +5, although I would wait and see if this goes to +6 (I expect it may). There hasn't been a game I've been asked about more all week than this one -- "Why is MSU only a 4.5-point favorite? They should kill Nebraska." Well, oddsmakers don't care about AP poll ranks, know Northwestern might just stink and know that Miami turned the ball over twice inside its own 30 last week in the fourth quarter to turn what was a 17-14 game into a larger margin than it should have been. This isn't an attempt to diminish what the Spartans have done. Last year they were not winning these games and I had them last week against my alma mater. Nebraska played well last week in Norman (outside of its place-kicking unit) and seems to have gotten things straightened out since the debacle of a loss in Champaign.
Pick: Nebraska +5
Stanford Steve: Sparty comes in undefeated and ranked and they are only giving five points to a two-loss Cornhuskers squad, with one loss coming to a bad Illinois team in the season opener. Something smells fishy here. Huskers QB Adrian Martinez has only one turnover since that season opener, and that was an INT last week on one on the best defensive plays of the year by Oklahoma's D.J. Graham. I feel like the Huskers have the goods to keep it close. I'll take the points.
Pick: Nebraska +5 (Michigan State 26, Nebraska 24)

[h=3]No. 21 North Carolina Tar Heels (-12, 63) at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets[/h]The Bear: Gotta feel for Georgia Tech, which lost on its home field to Northern Illinois and last week nearly pushed Clemson to OT in Death Valley. This seems like a terrible spot for the Jackets, who will be facing a UNC team that is getting better on offense and will be out to put together a better defensive effort after having Brennan Armstrong rip through it. I just can't see Jordan Yates being able to match what Sam Howell and the Heels will produce. Remember, too, this game isn't at Bobby Dodd, so there's a chance there could be as many UNC fans in Atlanta. I'm also long on the Heels as yes, they will need help to reach the ACC title game, but should the Heels reach Charlotte, they will be very live.
Pick: North Carolina -12

[h=3]No. 24 UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal (+4.5, 58.5)[/h]Stanford Steve: It's gonna be tough to get up off the deck for the Bruins after losing one of the best September nonconference games I've watched in the last 10 years, last week's loss to Fresno State. But with the improvements they have shown and the bad taste they have to have from last week's loss, combined with the brutal double-OT loss to this Stanford team last season in which they led by 14 with under five minutes to play, I expect them to rebound. Factor in the Cardinal being without three significant offensive skill players, I think Dorian Thompson-Robinson and that Bruins offense score enough to win and cover.
Pick: UCLA -4.5 (UCLA 34, Stanford 20)

[h=3]LSU Tigers (-2.5, 56) at Mississippi State Bulldogs[/h]The Bear: This was the first game that jumped off the page for me. Immediate reaction by most will be, "LSU is gonna get revenge after being embarrassed last year," but is it? The Tigers allowed almost eight yards per play vs. UCLA, and I really don't care what the results against McNeese State and Central Michigan were. That doesn't do anything to change my opinion of LSU right now. Since winning the title in 2019, LSU is 3-3 as a favorite vs. Power 5 teams. Will Rogers is figuring it all out at QB and I have to think after getting hosed by the officials in Memphis last week, Mississippi State has a perfect opponent and perfect opportunity to take out some frustration here in a nice early kick.
Pick: Mississippi State +2.5

[h=3]Kent State Golden Flashes at Maryland Terrapins (-14.5 69.5)[/h]Stanford Steve: This is all about the situation. Plenty of people in the DMV are getting set for top-5 Iowa to come to town next ,and I believe they are overlooking this game versus the Golden Flashes. I am here to tell those "Dirty Terp" fans ... be careful. Kent State has opened the season with road games in way tougher environments and played close first halves, ultimately losing in College Station to Texas A&M and Iowa City to Iowa, which I will add were both ranked in the top 10 in the country at the time. The feeling is the Flashes pester the Terps all night and make things difficult in a classic "look-ahead spot." I'll take the points.
Pick: Kent State +14.5 (Maryland 34, Kent State 33)

[h=3]Liberty Flames (-6.5, 52.5) at Syracuse Orange[/h]The Bear: I bet very few people realize Syracuse is 24th in the FBS in defensive EPA. The offensive line has also taken a good chunk off its sack rate. So the Orange might not be the pushover many thought they would be. Again, there's a chance these numbers are a tad fraudulent, being we're talking about Rutgers, Ohio and Albany as opponents. Liberty was in a game in its only road game at Troy. Now it faces a better defense, and I'm not sure Malik Willis' one-man show will result in a TD win.
Pick: Syracuse +6.5
Stanford Steve: Syracuse has been a lot better this year, starting out 2-1 mainly due to being a lot better at running the football and playing much improved defense. Syracuse RB Sean Tucker has rushed for 367 yards and six TDs so far this year and the defense is only allowing 16.7 points per game and a little over 224 yards of offense per game. Now, I know the Flames have a high-powered offense led by Willis at QB, but the combination of that Orange defense and run game I think gives Liberty fits all night long. I'll take the points with the home underdog.
Pick: Syracuse +6.5 (Liberty 27, Syracuse 24)

[h=3]Bowling Green Falcons at Minnesota Golden Gophers (-30.5, 51)[/h]Stanford Steve: I was not a math major, but seeing what happened last week when Minnesota went to Boulder and won 30-0 was pretty eye-opening. This week, the Gophers are favored by 30.5 over a (to be nice) not very good Bowling Green team. I think the home team wins by more than 30.5 points.
Pick: Minnesota -30.5 (Minnesota 45, Bowling Green 8)

[h=3]UTSA Roadrunners at Memphis Tigers (-3, 67.5)[/h]The Bear: The Roadrunners are live 'dogs here. They have already led start to finish at Illinois in a game they had 500 yards, and don't let last week's score deceive you. Memphis scored two non-offensive TDs, had 12 first downs, 246 yards and was outgained by 222 in the controversial win over Mississippi State. Seems kind of unsustainable against what is likely C-USA's best team.
Pick: UTSA +3
Stanford Steve: One of the best stories of this young season has been the Roadrunners from UT-San Antonio, and I can see it continuing this week. I know the Tigers have won 17 straight at the Liberty Bowl, but the Roadrunners come in with a very strong offense led by QB Frank Harris. Memphis did beat Mississippi State from the SEC last week, but they only threw for 159 yards and only ran for 87 yards on 25 attempts. I see the Roadrunners coming with that "road underdog" mindset and pull off the upset, so we'll take the points with coach Jeff Traylor's squad.
Pick: UTSA +3 (UTSA 31, Memphis 30)

[h=3]Florida Atlantic Owls at Air Force Falcons (-4.5, 54.5)[/h]Stanford Steve: The idea of a team from Florida going out to Colorado to face an Air Force team with a rush attack that averages 347 rush yards per game and 34 points per game in a night game is something I do not want to get behind. I'll lay the points with the Falcons at home.
Pick: Air Force -4.5 (Air Force 34, FAU 17)

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[h=3]The Bear's money-line parlay[/h]Last Week: -100
Season: -300
*Two weeks in a row the final game of the night blows the parlay up!
$100 returns $91
Maryland Terrapins -650 (vs. Kent State)
Duke Blue Devils -700 (vs. Kansas)
Iowa Hawkeyes -2400 (vs. Colorado State)
Utah Utes -700 (vs. Washington State)
BYU Cougars -2000 (vs. South Florida)
Florida Gators -1300 (vs. Tennessee)
Michigan Wolverines -1300 (vs. Rutgers)

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[h=3]The Bear's underdogs to play on the money line[/h]Last Week: 4-2, +6.05 units
Season: 9-7, +12.9 units
Nebraska Cornhuskers +175 (at Michigan State)
Mississippi State Bulldogs +120 (vs. LSU)
Syracuse Orange +205 (vs. Liberty)
Arkansas State Red Wolves +450 (at Tulsa)
UTSA Roadrunners +145 (at Memphis)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +200 (vs. Wisconsin in Chicago)

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[h=3]Bear Bytes[/h]West Virginia Mountaineers at No. 4 Oklahoma Sooners
In the last 10 years, Oklahoma is 57-8 when favored by more than 15 points (they are favored by 17 on Saturday). The Sooners' .877 win pct when favored by more than 15 points is the worst among any team that has been this big of a favorite at least 35 times, and the eight losses are the most by any FBS team. No other team which has been this big of a favorite at least 35 times has lost more than four times in this spot.
Most times favored by more than 15 points in the last 10 years:
Alabama, 86 times, 85-1 record, .988 win pct.
Ohio State, 75, 73-2, .973
Clemson, 71, 69-2, .972
Oklahoma, 65, 57-8, .877
No. 12 Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. No. 18 Wisconsin Badgers (in Chicago)
The Irish have been an underdog away from home five times since 2018. Notre Dame is 0-5 in those games and lost four by at least 17 points. Going back to a win at Arizona State in 2013, Notre Dame has lost 11 straight pre-bowl games away from home as an underdog. Six of those were decided by seven points or fewer.
Akron Zips at No. 10 Ohio State Buckeyes
Dating back to 1996, there have been 13 favorites of at least 49 points in games between two FBS teams. The 13 favorites went 1-12 ATS. And going back to 1993, they are just 2-16 ATS. The last such team to be this big of a favorite vs. an FBS team was Ohio State in 2019 when the Buckeyes did not cover as a 52-point favorite against Rutgers. Ohio State is favored by 49.5 on Saturday.
Nebraska Cornhuskers at No. 20 Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State is 1-12 ATS with four outright losses in its last 13 games as a home favorite.
Kansas Jayhawks at Duke Blue Devils
This is the 13th straight game Kansas has been at least a 14-point underdog against a Power 5 team. The Jayhawks have covered just twice in that span. It's also the 29th straight time and 107th tine in the last 108 games against Power 5 opponents that KU is an underdog. Duke is favored by 16.
LSU Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Since winning the national championship in 2019, LSU is 3-3 as a favorite against Power 5 competition. That includes an 11-point loss at UCLA this season.
No. 9 Clemson Tigers at NC State Wolfpack
Under Dave Doeren, NC State is 0-10 vs. top-10 opponents, losing by an average of 22.9 PPG. Two were decided by fewer than 12 points (5-5 ATS).
No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies vs. No. 16 Arkansas Razorbacks (in Arlington, Texas)
Arkansas is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games as an underdog. The Razorbacks have won four games outright as a 'dog under Sam Pittman. A&M is favored by 5.5 at AT&T Stadium.
No. 24 UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal
Stanford has covered 10 of the last 13 meetings. The underdog has won outright each of the last two years. UCLA is favored by 4.5 in this one.
California Golden Bears at Washington Huskies
The Bears have beaten the Huskies outright as a double-digit underdog in each of the last two meetings. Those two games saw 39 and 22 combined points scored. Washington is a 7.5-point favorite with the game's over/under at 46.

 

[Giant419]

[h=1]Week 4 college football best bets: Notre Dame, Wisconsin slug it out[/h]Early season handicapping typically forces bettors to challenge themselves with separating true indicators from misleading occurrences. Both Wisconsin (-6.5) and Notre Dame might be prime examples of this, ahead of their much-anticipated ranked showdown at Soldier Field on Saturday afternoon.
The Badgers opened the season with a home loss to Penn State, despite outgaining the Nittany Lions and dominating time of possession by 24 minutes. However, four turnovers and three empty trips inside Penn State's 10-yard line doomed them.
Meanwhile, the undefeated Irish are one late touchdown against Purdue last weekend from being 0-3 ATS, and they also could very well be 1-2 overall. Notre Dame was nearly upset by Toledo as 16.5-point home favorites but rallied for a game-winning touchdown with just over one minute remaining.
"Wiscy is off a bye against a Notre Dame team that hasn't looked great so far but tends to be more suited to cover games in the underdog role," Circa Sports sportsbook director Matt Metcalf told ESPN, sharing that this game has drawn a solid amount of sharp wagers on both sides. "We will most likely need the Badgers to win by seven or more, once it's all said and done."

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Every Wednesday during the season, betting analysts Doug Kezirian (7-9 overall, 3-0 last week), Bill Connelly (9-6, 3-2), Tyler Fulghum (3-2, 1-1), Joe Fortenbaugh (6-7, 1-3) and David M. Hale (2-5, 0-0) will provide their top plays across the college football landscape.
Here are their best bets for Week 4 of the college football season.
Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook as of Wednesday (unless otherwise indicated).

[h=2]Saturday's best bets[/h]

[h=3]No. 12 Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. No. 18 Wisconsin Badgers (-6.5, 46.5), Noon ET[/h](at Soldier Field, Chicago)
Fortenbaugh: This game has "grind" written all over it. For starters, Wisconsin's glacial-like offense has had two weeks to prepare for a Notre Dame outfit that narrowly escaped showdowns with Florida State and Toledo before defeating Purdue...despite the fact that the Irish were outgained in the game by five total yards. Additionally, the under has cashed in each of Notre Dame's last five games played on a neutral site, and given that this game will be played in front of a packed house at Soldier Field in Chicago, I'm betting both teams ease into the water and feel each other out before trying anything too risky.
Pick: First half under 23 points
Kezirian: This just feels like way too many points, given the Irish are avoiding Camp Randall. I understand the reluctance with Notre Dame, given the close calls in all three wins. However, while Wisconsin probably should have beaten Penn State, the Badgers still look a notch below their usual selves. With a low total of 46.5, I will gladly take nearly a touchdown with a live underdog on a neutral site.
Pick: Notre Dame +6.5

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[h=3]Boise State Broncos (-9, 70) at Utah State Aggies, Noon ET[/h]Connelly: The Body Clocks Game of the Week. BSU and USU are kicking off at 10 a.m. local time, which is silly in a bunch of different ways. I don't know what effects that might have on either team, but I do know this: Utah State has been incredibly lucky so far this season.
My postgame win expectancy number takes all the key, predictive stats from a given game (the things that end up going into the SP+ machine), tosses them into the air and says, "With these stats, you could have expected to win this game X% of the time." Utah State is 3-0, but the Aggies' postgame win expectancy was 27% in the narrow win over Washington State and 29% against Air Force. SP+ sees a team that was more likely to go 1-2 with these stats than 3-0, and now the Aggies face a Boise State team that (a) was fortunate to stay as close as it did against UCF and Oklahoma State but (b) is still six points from being undefeated itself against a harder schedule. SP+ projects the Broncos' advantage at 14.4 points, which offers one of the bigger line-vs.-projection cushions of the week.
Pick: Boise State -9

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[h=3]Miami (Ohio) Redhawks at Army Black Knights (-8, 50), Noon ET[/h]Fortenbaugh: This game should be won in the trenches where Army's third-ranked rushing attack (331 yards per game) holds a sizeable edge over a Redhawks defense that is surrendering an average of 5.5 yards per carry to the opposition (109th in NCAA). Take note that the Army offense boasts an average time of possession of 40:47 per game this season, something that helps keep its own defense fresh while decimating opponents who have watched the Black Knights hang an average of 44.3 points per game this year.
Pick: Army -8

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[h=3]Toledo Rockets (-4.5, 56.5) at Ball State Cardinals, 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+[/h]Connelly: Toledo has left what we'll call an eclectic set of impressions thus far, pummeling Norfolk State as it should, nearly beating Notre Dame, then losing by 16 to a Colorado State team that had looked mostly hopeless in its first two games. It's hard to trust the Rockets too much, and they've fallen from 53rd in SP+ after one week to 78th after three. Not great, but better than a Ball State team that fell to 110th after getting pummeled by 33 points at Wyoming. The Cardinal defense can't knock anyone off-schedule to save its life, and their quick passing game on offense hasn't gotten untracked yet. If Toledo has offered conflicting impressions, Ball State most certainly hasn't. That's not a good thing.
Pick: Toledo -4.5

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[h=3]Washington State Cougars at Utah Utes (-14, 54.5), 2:30 p.m. ET[/h]Kezirian: I tweeted over the weekend that I need to stop betting Utah games. Well, no one said I am the poster child for discipline and judgment. However, I think I have a legitimate case -- at least that's what I'm telling myself. The Utes switched quarterbacks mid-game, and that sparked a second-half comeback that fell just short in triple-overtime. Baylor transfer Charlie Brewer got benched and has since left the program. I think the Utes respond in a very positive way behind Cam Rising, who threw three touchdown passes in that comeback attempt. Let's just say there are reports that Brewer's departure will be addition by subtraction for the locker room.
Meanwhile, Washington State just got outscored 38-0 at home in the second half by USC, which had just fired its coach. Wazzu also lost to Utah State at home, so I do not exactly have high hopes for the Cougars traveling to a Utah team off consecutive losses. The Utes are much more physical and should dominate the trenches and play with some life, thanks to this QB change. If they don't cover, then I will really swear off Utah...maybe.
Pick: Utah -14

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[h=3]Rutgers Scarlet Knights at No. 19 Michigan Wolverines (-19, 52), 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC[/h]Hale: Rutgers is 3-0. That's not a sentence we'll get to write often, so let's take a moment to appreciate its unique elegance.
OK, that's the last positive we'll be saying about Rutgers. The record looks nice, but the wins are against Temple, Syracuse and Delaware -- hardly a murderer's row. Now let's look at some key underlying metrics: Rutgers' net yards per rush is -1.54, fourth-worst among Power 5 teams, despite that weak schedule. Meanwhile, Michigan's ground game is destroying people. Then there's the woeful state of the Scarlet Knights' offense. Rutgers' explosive play rate is just 6%. Only UConn and Louisiana-Monroe are worse. Are we sold on Michigan as a real contender? Not yet. But we're pretty certain Rutgers' hot start is a mirage, and the real Scarlet Knights will be revealed this week.
Pick: Michigan -19

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[h=3]Louisville Cardinals (-2.5, 63) at Florida State Seminoles, 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2[/h]Hale: Louisville has rebounded nicely since the Week 1 stomping at the hands of Ole Miss -- a game that looks ever more understandable in retrospect -- with wins over Eastern Kentucky and UCF. Malik Cunningham has found his footing and is playing with confidence, and the play calling is rounding into shape with a new set of skill-position talent. But this bet is all about Florida State. What's the motivation for the Seminoles at this point? This team looks broken, and it's easy to envision a scenario where the slightest setbacks will cause the team to fold completely. The home-field advantage may not be much, as the crowd in Tallahassee may have more animosity for their own team than the visitors. Add in the terrible matchup between FSU's woeful passing game and a very good Louisville secondary, and this should be a Cards win by at least a touchdown.
Pick: Louisville -2.5

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[h=3]Wyoming Cowboys (-29.5, 55) at UConn Huskies, 3:30 p.m. ET[/h]Connelly: This game only stays within 30 points if Wyoming wants it to. The Cowboys stuttered out of the gates, struggling on offense in a 19-16 win over Montana State and watching their defense collapse in a 50-43 win over NIU (it was 42-16 late in the third quarter). But their upside was clear, and they put forth a sustained effort in blowing out Ball State.
Meanwhile, UConn has underachieved by 10 points per game against the spread so far -- impressive considering how many points the books have given them -- and only covered against Army because the Black Knights felt mercy after going up 42-0 at halftime. The Huskies also managed to lose to Holy Cross, a team that turned around and lost by two touchdowns to Merrimack College. Freshman quarterback Tyler Phommachanh looked decent in the second half against Army and earned the start, but Wyoming should still destroy this team.
Pick: Wyoming -29.5

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[h=3]Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (-13.5, 54.5) at Georgia Southern Eagles, 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+[/h]Connelly: Georgia Southern has been outscored by two FBS opponents by a combined 83-16 and barely beat Gardner-Webb. The Eagles are underachieving by nearly 20 points per game against the spread. Aside from a big run play or two, they have shown little life on either side of the ball. Louisiana's 20-point loss to Texas in Week 1 may have suggested a lower ceiling than we initially thought, but the Cajuns did just wallop an Ohio team that is, at worst, very close to Georgia Southern's caliber. How this isn't a three-touchdown spread, I have no idea.
Pick: Louisiana -13.5

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[h=3]Tennessee Volunteers at No. 11 Florida Gators (-19.5, 63), 7 p.m. ET on ESPN[/h]Fortenbaugh: After pushing Alabama to the brink last Saturday in their biggest contest of the season, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to watch Florida come out flat against a Volunteers squad that has been looking forward to this game for two weeks despite waxing Tennessee Tech in the intermediary last weekend. I'm not willing to bet on the Volunteers holding it together for a full four quarters against a Gators team that made some excellent halftime adjustments last weekend, but I do think this is a terrific price given the likelihood that Florida experiences a hangover from the Crimson Tide matchup.
Pick: Tennessee first half +10.5

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[h=3]Nebraska Cornhuskers at No. 20 Michigan State Spartans (-5, 52), 7 p.m. ET[/h]Hale: A quick look into my process on this one...
Angel on my shoulder: Don't bet on Nebraska. It's Nebraska! Why would you do this to yourself? Stay away. Enjoy your Saturday.
Devil on my shoulder: Did you know Adrian Martinez is averaging nearly 10 yards per pass?
Angel: Have you not watched the last three seasons of Huskers football?
Devil: That Illinois game was just a blip. This team has made real strides.
Angel: Michigan State is much better than Illinois.
Devil: The Spartans are going to be high on their own headlines after a 3-0 start. They're due for a disaster.
Angel: That's it, I'm leaving.
Devil: *giggles maniacally*
Pick: Nebraska +5

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[h=3]No. 25 Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-6, 46), 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+[/h]Connelly: Oklahoma State beat Missouri State by seven and Tulsa by five. I'm not going to try to convince anyone that Kansas State is genuinely one of the 25 best teams in the country right now, but the Wildcats are better than Missouri State and Tulsa.
This game features two strong defenses, neither of which give you many big plays or commit huge mistakes. It also features two offenses that can't do jack when they fall off-schedule -- KSU is a dreadful 119th in passing downs success rate, and OSU is an elite-by-comparison 83rd. But the Wildcats actually sometimes stay on schedule. Deuce Vaughn and Joe Ervin are averaging 5.8 yards per carry and are good both between and outside the tackles. KSU tends to move the chains a couple of times before punting, and the field position should tilt in the Wildcats' favor. OSU is clearly comfortable in close games and may survive, but not by much.
Pick: Kansas State +6

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[h=3]Southern Miss Golden Eagles at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-45, 58), 7:30 p.m. ET, SECN[/h]Kezirian: You think Nick Saban is riding his team after blowing a double-digit lead -- and nearly the game -- to Florida? Remember, the Tide have Ole Miss on deck and the Rebels will be coming off a bye. Keep in mind Lane Kiffin's squad nearly upset Bama last year by hanging 48 points. I think the Tide will be ready to rock from the start and call off the dogs in the fourth quarter.
Additionally, I genuinely doubt Southern Miss will score, and first downs will be few and far between. QB Trey Lowe will miss this game due to a foot injury. His replacement, freshman Ty Keyes, last week threw for 157 yards and two interceptions without a touchdown against Troy. The Golden Eagles have been outscored 52-16 by their two FBS opponents, and let's just say Troy and South Alabama aren't exactly powerhouses. What do you think Bama can do under the lights at Bryant-Denny Stadium? I am riding this game from the start with a market that sure feels way off on the first quarter lines.
Pick: Alabama first half -28, Alabama first quarter -10.5 (DraftKings), first half over 34, first quarter over 13.5 (DraftKings)

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[h=3]No. 21 North Carolina Tar Heels (-12.5, 63) at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 7:30 p.m. ET[/h]Kezirian: Hats off to Georgia Tech for nearly upsetting Clemson, but this is still a pedestrian team. The Tar Heels stumbled in the opener at a raucous Lane Stadium but flexed some muscles last week with a 20-point over Virginia. QB Sam Howell seems to have rediscovered his mojo, thanks to five touchdowns and 307 yards passing against the Cavs. I think we see a bit of a hangover with Tech, and it feels like two teams headed in opposite directions -- at least for this weekend. UNC should blow the Jackets out at home.
Pick: North Carolina -12.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Thanks!

Kenny White Sports Insider - /drive.google.com/file/d/1nJA_uLNlcWjAhBmW0QjRRWa6w8iUTJxt/view

 

[microphone]

Playbook Midweek Alert

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1iJipLDfjmPJbyBA6unMiqbt3lGFtq8Fl

 

[dog@home]

Thanks Malooka

 

[BuzzKill]

Sports Reporter Midweek Update - /drive.google.com/file/d/1WDWJTFPCo5CU7tGZqVBAlaVXi2vWshdQ/view

 

[RAVENS2014]

Inside the Pressbox NFL http://philsteele.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/IPB-Pro-Wk-3-all-games.pdf

Inside the Pressbox College http://philsteele.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/21-ITPB-Week-4_All-Games.pdf

 

[drsplash31]

Ravens, thanks for always coming through with Phil Steele, I appreciate it. I just wanted to say thanks to you and all the guys on here that post all these, you are awesome. And of course Buzz, you are the best man....truly appreciate all you do to keep this thing going year after year!!! Best of luck this year!

 

[BuzzKill]

Ravens, thanks for always coming through with Phil Steele, I appreciate it. I just wanted to say thanks to you and all the guys on here that post all these, you are awesome. And of course Buzz, you are the best man....truly appreciate all you do to keep this thing going year after year!!! Best of luck this year!

Thanks for the kind words and congratulations on your first post at the Rx. You broke your posting cherry drsplash31!

 

[BuzzKill]

Newsletters
American Turf Club - /drive.google.com/file/d/1htiC0MrJJbXYUCizxrOmSdms5swTrAn0/view
Gold Sheet College Football - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Bz3_K4WmBShqgw2SaGKq_bkGNnvyEBWn/view
Gold Sheet NFL - /drive.google.com/file/d/1dnVM-Ozzmet9HQYyQk3-UToSvgzvHRV2/view
Gold Sheet Angles - /drive.google.com/file/d/13awufiISUTeQ7v1BKV-Yi_PyNs-cF0Lz/edit
Kenny White Sports Insider - /drive.google.com/file/d/1nJA_uLNlcWjAhBmW0QjRRWa6w8iUTJxt/view
Marc Lawrence's Playbook - /drive.google.com/file/d/1ldADns9RbL3e-xvuJJ5POGFPh_EwQrTL/view
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Midweek Alert - /drive.google.com/file/d/1iJipLDfjmPJbyBA6unMiqbt3lGFtq8Fl/edit
Phil Steele Inside the Pressbox - College - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Gg648fpBOyL-G5t8_9IXwAD-ro-Cu3dV/view'
Phil Steele Inside the Pressbox - NFL - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Hfp6F3PMGMKE7oYBwILKtCOAUyu5esRi/view
Pointwise - /drive.google.com/file/d/1yKZzMHPvPHxCKceT_tj8N96AUKTB0X0n/edit
Power Plays - /drive.google.com/file/d/1jFgl9XUphUOC5L-n9kLZB2jANqtmFazK/edit
Power Sweep - /drive.google.com/file/d/1JhNz1iyuR82nuQGzXk4rQyE1gJkGHp9y/edit
Powers' Picks - /drive.google.com/file/d/1xhifJg4qEcw2frsrYKpD5fSkcl4RpMqe/view?usp=sharing
Red Sheet - /drive.google.com/file/d/13HK8nNuzKtPh_XfsFoBxZ5Olo80j0xhR/edit
Sports Reporter - /drive.google.com/file/d/1X1eFlR2ZsHpYQDQ0Bsme2uqZ8hRohOfO/view
Sports Reporter Midweek Update - /drive.google.com/file/d/1WDWJTFPCo5CU7tGZqVBAlaVXi2vWshdQ/view
Victor King's NFL Totals Tipsheet - /drive.google.com/file/d/1JwYbrAKSDoDZc9fdeY0cl3fpGYUci5Lj/edit
VSiN Point Spread Weekly - /drive.google.com/file/d/1UvwYkdMpSgJtNnJBmW0YL4Or0CkDKPB9/view
Winning Points - /drive.google.com/file/d/14HZqIwj34Y4FhRiXKAFntIuu_bAwWZ0y/edit

Podcast
Marc Lawrence's September 22 Podcast with Victor King - /soundcloud.com/marclawrencepodcast/2021-09-22-marc-lawrence-podcast

Tracking
This Season's Record Through September 19 - /www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=347&p=13592215&viewfull=1#post13592215

 

[BuzzKill]

Thank you Mendoza Line!

Newsletter Tracking (through 9/26/2021) from Mendoza Line

Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.

Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.

CKO (we missed it this week)
11* (0-1-0)
10* (2-3-0)
o/u (0-0-0)

Gridiron Gold Sheet (not posted yet this season)
NCAA Best Bets (0-0-0)
NFL Best Bets (0-0-0)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NCAA
5* (1-2-1)
4* (3-1-0)
3* (4-0-0)
Upset pick (1-3-0)
Betcha Didn't Know (4-1-0)
Awesome Angle (2-1-1)
Incredible Stat (2-2-0)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NFL
5* (3-0-0)
4* (3-0-0)
3* (2-0-0) (Dallas -4 pending for Monday night)

Pointwise NCAA
1* (5-3-0)
2* (1-3-0)
3* (1-3-0)
4* (5-3-0)
5* (4-4-0)

Pointwise NFL
3* (1-2-0)
4* (4-2-0)
5* (3-2-1)

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (1-3-0)
3* (3-5-0)
2* (5-3-0)
Underdog Play of the Week (2-2-0)
Tech Play of the Week (1-2-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (2-1-1)
Situational Play of the Week (1-2-0)
Series Play of the Week (2-0-0)

Power Sweep NFL
4* (1-2-0)
3* (0-3-0)
2* (2-1-0)
4* Pro Angle (0-0-0)
3* o/u play (1-2-0)

Powers' Picks NCAA (0-4-1 overall this week)
3* (2-4-0)
2* (7-6-1)
1* (0-0-0)

Powers' Picks NFL (4-0 overall this week)
4* (0-0-0)
3* (3-0-1)
2* (4-3-0)
1* (0-0-0)

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (4-9-0)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NFL Best Bets (2-4-0)

Red Sheet
90* (0-0-0)
89* (5-3-0)
88* (8-7-1)

Winning Points
NCAA 4* (1-2-0)
NCAA 3* (1-2-0)
NFL 4* (1-2-0)
NFL 3* (2-1-0)

Killer Sports, not including teasers (not posted yet this season)
SBB 4.5* (0-0-0)
SBB 4* (0-0-0)
Cajun NCAA (0-0-0)
Pick 60 Play of the Week (0-0-0)

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (1-5-0)
2* (3-0-0)
Team Total of the Week (2-1-0)

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (7-3-0)
NCAA 4* (6-10-0)
NFL 4* (2-1-0)

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (7-11-0)
NFL Key Releases (7-3-0)

ITPB
NCAA (6-14-0)
NFL (1-1-0) (this is the only week we've gotten their NFL section so far)

Kenny White (this is just the 2nd time we've gotten this one this season)
NCAA (7-3-0)
NFL (0-4-0)

 

[BuzzKill]

DRF Sports College Football Tip Sheet - /drive.google.com/file/d/1ucpfYucAUtx-865oDlBuHKcZWok6y-Ag/view

DRF Sports NFL Tip Sheet - /drive.google.com/file/d/1DtSkCgAMlzNSAxDuvEGqkaAZTH1ltDk_/view