Newsletters

Search

Member
Joined
Oct 17, 2011
Messages
996
Tokens
I don't think Sports Reporter BB's were updated. I have them at 3-1 Oct 23-Oct 26 for a 21-11 record.
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
24,849
Tokens
I don't think Sports Reporter BB's were updated. I have them at 3-1 Oct 23-Oct 26 for a 21-11 record.

Thanks for discovering that.

Corrected Sports Reporter record:

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-1)
NCAA Best Bets (21-11) (Went 3-1 last week)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0)
NFL Best Bets (11-6) (Went 1-1 last week)
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
24,849
Tokens
Corrected for Sports Reporter

Year to Date Newsletter Tracking Through October 28, 2019

Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.

Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.

Confidential Kick-Off
11* (4-4)
10* (18-19)
o/u (6-9)

Gridiron Gold Sheet
NCAA Best Bets (26-19-2)
NFL Best Bets (13-11-0) (partial record)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (3-5-1)
4* (3-6)
3* (6-3)
Upset pick (5-4)
Betcha Didn't Know (5-8)
Awesome Angle (4-4-1)
Incredible Stat (4-4)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (4-3-1)
4* (2-6)
3* (3-5)

Pointwise NCAA (2-6 overall this week)
1* (6-11)
2* (3-6)
3* (2-7)
4* (9-9)
5* (13-5)

Pointwise NFL
3* (5-3)
4* (11-5)
5* (7-8-1)

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (5-3)
3* (8-10)
2* (10-8)
Underdog Play of the Week (4-5)
Tech Play of the Week (3-5)
Revenge Play of the Week (3-6)
Situational Play of the Week (3-2)
Series Play of the Week (4-1)

Power Sweep NFL (0-6 overall this week)
4* (4-4)
3* (5-3)
2* (5-3)
NFL System play (6-3)
4* Pro Angle (5-3)
3* o/u play (5-3)

Powers' Picks NCAA
3* (6-6-1)
2* (15-14-1)
1* (0-0)

Powers' Picks NFL (0-3 overall this week)
4* (0-0)
3* (3-5)
2* (11-5)
1* (0-0)

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-1)
NCAA Best Bets (21-11) (Went 3-1 last week)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0)
NFL Best Bets (11-6) (Went 1-1 last week)

Red Sheet
90* (1-0)
89* (5-12)
88* (20-15-1)

Winning Points (0-4 overall this week)
NCAA 4* (2-7)
NCAA 3* (6-3)
NFL 4* (3-5)
NFL 3* (4-4)

Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (2-1)
MTI 4.5* (4-1)
MTI 4* (4-4)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (0-3-1)
SBB 4* (6-6)
Cajun NCAA (7-3)
Pick 60 Play of the Week (4-4)

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet (4-0 overall this week)
3* (5-5)
2* (10-5)
Team Total of the Week (6-2)

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (7-7)
NCAA 4* (14-17-1)
NFL 4* (6-2)

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (16-18-2)
NFL Key Releases (14-10)
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
24,849
Tokens
Thanks!

The current leader in the Playbook Wise Guys Contest is the SDQL Kid:

jhzIIa6.png
 

New member
Joined
Oct 1, 2018
Messages
189
Tokens
[h=1]Stanford Steve and The Bear: Week 10 college football picks, bets, nuggets[/h]What's in store for this week in college football?
"Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica break down Week 10 of the season as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets, games to stay away from and a special money-line underdog parlay to jump on.
With the season in full swing, the guys are ready to continue their prognostications. Here we go with Week 10 picks.

[h=2]The plays[/h][h=3]Stanford Steve (4-3 last week, 24-20-2 overall)[/h][h=3]The Bear (3-1 last week, 21-17-1 overall)[/h]
AQUDQx8xVVfBUdWeeYtXxW0NYL3Za0lkTozMD0SPSmWBvv1KYZ_GHu5nQ4PZaAB5of2rb0-wdNx5SFq-4wDlHyn4MF14QLNfKZHFxY8gVeYtYXjVh4Ah6dLZEx5AGf8DM890ID28
tazovfg1k9rK_0XGhMVAghQ4aogfphCJO-twXn-vB0x8sDWoDvGTppGSB19aZJyh73EYbITlZ4fO8frSMI6Aj02qNjrHwic5xB5gS7pJBJshDbavssboeHhQJ7uzwXG00hgnS_2b

Colorado Buffaloes at UCLA Bruins (-6.5, 64)
The Bear: The Buffaloes finally have a healthy group of wide receivers. And they nearly pulled the upset of Southern California last Friday in Boulder -- and just might have if coach Mel Tucker didn't get super conservative and punt from well within plus territory. The Colorado defense is clearly lagging behind the offense, but while UCLA running back Joshua Kelley appears fully healthy, quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson can turn it over. Meanwhile, the Bruins' defense hasn't exactly proved to be a force, and it will have to deal with the best unit on the field -- the Colorado offense. It's good to see the Bruins rip off a couple of wins after it looked like their season was heading downhill, but despite those wins, I'll be taking the points here, as UCLA already has lost as a home favorite versus San Diego State and Oregon State.
Pick: Colorado +6.5
KWpcj0p9T_ReJOoq2aku6j3GXbGL8lEv4TaErS1gyqjiJCgy8nKSygjBihKJgfJwqt9rsN86TrlKp3COViY0gVQRLfyiwfXJ7usaFjRa23bgQLuSiuxl_OdLUxJvdm1FVdpIYPx3
OVrc6bobmBIoDP5Grjf0RKaFpAzHkZ6pIldx01T_x63mSmQHz7CrszplSvHwpvdz9dfi2Cavyw5ZdUeWx2Y6R8rcB4y1ICC3hEhJDGC8E8S6Z3V00v7QuuB_OVQ8xJ3cwt06n2nL

TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3, 59.5)
The Bear: The Cowboys usually are a terrible proposition as a Big 12 favorite or off an upset win (see the Bear Bytes below for further detail). Well, they fill both roles here and face a TCU team that played its best game of the year last week against Texas and an offense that is getting better as quarterback Max Duggan continues to grow. Yes, Oklahoma State has the super offensive trio, but it turns the ball over far too much for my liking, and the Horned Frogs' defense was able to get four picks from Sam Ehlinger last week. And defensively, you never know what you're going to get. Yes, TCU has Baylor next week, but I don't see this shaping up as a flat spot for them. Now maybe the offense will go on the road and sputter like it did in Manhattan and Ames, but I'm on TCU here.
Pick: TCU +3
lptv1UdM_mtmgtEd3DpETvneEcST02q20g0Eh4L24uREku4pJ3gDTTj81m5yAHB3XWns22taKA0N4RXoCS-d8JIMFBsq7JOs4AbFouyO4U0xMYCWpvscbLpYnmX6oLegX4ht05YE
7RmxTcJAlVcpr6oCTR3ZTvwz9Rbn17aFIcYFEgar0vjSgqGID6bYyS_bqIyWFqaBVouQUI2KUciH1jZ8Ql932BDhjtEqTSKnqKDsqW1iq622mwP1EZBnExiOF1VoMu8_xK0vLQgM

Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles (-3.5, 46.5)
Stanford Steve: This game just isn't what it used to be, but these teams still do not like each other. My partner on the Stanford Steve & The Bear podcast, Chris Fallica, points out that the favorite in this series is 3-11 against the spread (ATS) in the past 14 games. The Canes are an underdog for the second straight week, as they pulled off the upset last week versus Pitt. I think the Miami D travels well to Tallahassee. I'll take the points.
Pick: Miami +3.5. Miami 23, Florida State 21.
6oJwFkxYgaA0zCdWv1AJ_P3ln6fXzh5fdj2rj1BGCjF8ZbxFsdDwKie9FUC8UC_swL7QVR03BoAP9m9mDygCA8Iz1oceaGYMrktKY0-pBWg7akIpFU_-W7rmvysDG00cr0B95-7O
2NEqi90a_yLMvuDBRPqBQiOOhfwyn_1pRDcZHNYkaD0Bfb1HMWHRuTucLlCFSQlmQXlb74Ly-QRZ2IJbJutc99jBeXdD12mX-Bpp294Yk6UD6N-0KykqN1UJwJHWknwZ8oFAQPVp

West Virginia Mountaineers at Baylor Bears (-17.5, 56)
Stanford Steve: I really like the situation for Baylor here. The Bears have had plenty of time to prepare for this game, and Matt Rhule has been able to keep his team grounded thus far, knowing it has games coming up against Oklahoma and Texas in back-to-back weeks. The Bears also were completely embarrassed last year when they went to Morgantown on a Thursday night. It was Bears quarterback Charlie Brewer's worst performance of his career, as he was benched in the second quarter after throwing three interceptions in a 58-14 loss. This Mountaineers team is not nearly as good as it was last year, and it is walking into a tough spot. I'll lay the points.
Pick: Baylor -17.5. Baylor 41, West Virginia 17.
oqOzraBZlHVJgGkZsulRzHDmoP09dVai5GN70Mn1p4MV0uAl_LRe7JAN5BRimuq4xBAF6VI0sipbjCofXiJwByQcehdbwvVxCS9qwO6J7QR2KmREp1Dyz3xgWooZ_6Ve0pe9UGSJ
Y6GBGHZ14IDgyBlg-RT2vSH6Ga_7si5ORQatOBv_MoYACCkTWhHfdNEQJAQB-5ICzGOPRGPolIosbLmckdDsAIxe-dDi5-4I2aKr-Tspz1zaXFTPqh-YgGA4VHGDFM7JV5WOGF87

Navy Midshipmen (-27, 54) at UConn Huskies
Stanford Steve: Because you have to take the home team at "The Rent" on Friday night.
Pick: UConn +27. Navy 38, UConn 17.

[h=3]Stanford Steve's picks to go over the total[/h]
yg8PR1PRt5ZqTXrRszMCVvvqzOUF0Y4uXUl-zk-mo0H2LTON9PZYJPVd4d89fGpFM6pgEUILFHcMd-Y-NfiVbdcPnaYayr4xRLTFL4IrvIBmmJPNKzTT8nIUamwIiZe9CXqhKdlA
SFoTlSMihWcOsTdWeJd0xhfXLqyuJl6-47YXfqyyjNx7V_8sLXpau0TAT3Jq1gICdloGeF4A0iUIFI62t3jRfxEYmy2rbn7YLwKEq11AaBL9rGHFWpNb9rorbLXomQVbD7-8SfzK

Nebraska Cornhuskers (-3, 56.5) at Purdue Boilermakers
This one will be based on whether both teams have their best offensive players (Nebraska QB Adrian Martinez and Purdue WR Rondale Moore) healthy for this one, but I still respect both coaching staffs and expect the teams to score enough points even though they both have been decimated by injuries.
Pick: Over 56.5. Nebraska 31, Purdue 30.
G0gnB3Ga2O8YTH6oaExgT86rzGlSBtuid-VzKmmGlGmPEky5kuYEIYK8gu0ersBqnMyp-XjkY4Xa4-LRYyVj2WErHRzdK4-MtROXQdgSwR_zF04-ZeeiynnOZf4pKxAneXBr23Z_
XmZF1T1nYIlL5UTrMtYGo27KAuFOCJMNcKuVCQsLnW8v76hAoK95X8QG_T5S_To1ZbX8ev3h0-ReTBblVS2-1bvJCrdbRWlb5RalXLwJq8SUmlMmZ5ZljICjH5OO3Kt_i2kMHwyI

Liberty Flames (-23, 69.5) at UMass Minutemen
Just because.
Pick: Over 69.5. Liberty 48, UMass 24.

[h=2]Stay-away games[/h][h=3]The Bear[/h]
01iNpD7ishsyQNem1y-FeoHIAFeDWjMPjwfdce6LegSj-cdOc1dsWnFjnFFGC3f2MQHWR0Ov-OTd_N3gBB6uWCwsma2IHbGaFMyfXt7GPmZol0Ft6fws-_vge8R5X8Bcgahwddk2
yndlO_lpmzZOqQq-VsC_-W4119h-fwyc5CsnXuYnC9cZ9Vv1IxwOXMI5nRSWy2bsnDwDeIHF2nbjBFqtREctXEcsJVWjBrqbOItStnRftHlGEPNuOz7iUkds7Zid66isP5eyaVZ0

Michigan Wolverines (-21, 55.5) at Maryland Terrapins
I want to take the Terps here, I really do. But they are riddled with injuries and will go with either a third-string QB or a confidence-shaken Josh Jackson. And you know Mike Locksley would love to beat Josh Gattis. The Wolverines are coming off a stretch when they nearly completed a great comeback at Penn State and posted a dominant win over Notre Dame, and they have Michigan State next on the slate. This screams flat spot. But I just can't get there.
8m1dShIQiM7mcP0tSaVoWZ5h6rarvK_r-TeD2drRk0W9A71OgWdg9m_u7jPvFYExdRMyB8m2ck0nlNY4GUfgp7DDi8DJPogoXpVsGDuVR0vuBqAcQFfSBPjpQb5Uuy9q7flwaAlw
kUGo9ZatSOtaOU6ikBFpd7PMZVwUc_7_mmsgV8mtuzkG8rZpESUPXNDWo3dm9jlZCBkD0-uRKfWFYZKn3i1AQvT2cRxG9YHMJo0vC_r6DyoXTPlGe4uUAYvNEZV5uDG7EqHO7LF7

Boston College Eagles at Syracuse Orange (-3, 59.5)
There are plenty of other games to bet on. I would skip right past this one.
EDO19mmHxEgQk15x8RHbmkIGUtDGOfUOZ5pQuWhuipq9EjKygmD25J47gYaQqmd09_3YCBnRxFhmvyzwxI1u9QTlOxNtrwOUW5FeeT8NpIwkcqyoAtBtiyguZoDLlYIO3iW5Da90
HSPKyHOgLRfkogMNFxdDGvGfqcXS5HKaTJ7qymFBKT8PWXsFIT9hzgVtYj-rby-jRMFIlohNpa0AvIUf-cEDwPCe8OpqUla--HgpkZycsPbh5LfaUnPjFUEvBYsWPPgxqHZy_CgJ

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-7.5, 59) at Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas just got beaten to the tune of 99-17 over the past two weeks against Alabama and Auburn. The Bulldogs have lost four straight, all by double digits. If you can guess who will show up here, congratulations.
[h=3]Stanford Steve[/h]
EkuaFGkwHC6V4ddn491eAZ3gd141WHEBbplgMGT_B-PnrqA7mLMx-JUC6sVgLIvshHN4LvIJZboGpGNDG1IBH-jIc_hchxomE675Y8TF14y09nJxqDmSbiK2-abRg0vA3usQXayV
xfppC-qB1M_w3gsgoDIjYrhGVvEHb99OKA7o1Uzr-NkLk3TICiXWPeL5nWnBoBe5lmW-GClcagKPjjxENfkUARI-q9pjgAjWz2BlxQLVyh6lF73R3DUc8VehkC0A94BtoYRaclcb

Boston College Eagles at Syracuse Orange (-3, 59.5)
I liked it better when these two teams played hoops and Bill Curley was eating up J.B. Reafsnyder.

[h=2]The Bear's money-line parlay of the week[/h]Six-team favorite ML parlay. Based on current Caesars odds, $100 wins $75.19.
Appalachian State -850
Baylor -1000
UCF -1800
Tennessee -500
Auburn -1400
Louisiana -2000

[h=2]The Bear's underdogs to play in parlays, round robins and/or on ML[/h]Miami +140
TCU +130
Colorado +220
UNLV +280
Kansas +190
Virginia +110
Purdue +130

[h=2]Bear Bytes[/h]Take the week off
This is the first time since Week 4 of the 1996 season that none of the top three teams in the AP poll are in action.
Which big favorite will lose this week?
Over each of the past three Saturdays, at least one team favored by more than 18 points or more lost outright.
Oct. 26: No. 5 Oklahoma (-23.5) at Kansas State, L
Oct. 19: No. 22 Missouri (-21) at Vanderbilt, L
Oct. 19: Miami (-18.5) vs. Georgia Tech, L
Oct. 19: No. 6 Wisconsin (-30.5) at Illinois, L
Oct. 12: No. 3 Georgia (-20.5) vs. South Carolina, L
Oct. 12: Toledo (-27) at Bowling Green, L
A case for SMU
Since 2010, there have been five teams that entered a regular-season game 8-0 or better and were an underdog against a squad with at least one loss. Four of the five covered, and three of the five won outright.
2017: Miami vs. Notre Dame (-3.5), won by 33
2015: Oklahoma State vs. Baylor (-2.5), lost by 10
2014: Mississippi State at Alabama (-9.5), lost by 5
2012: Ohio State at Wisconsin (-2), won by 7
2010: Auburn at Alabama (-4), won by 1
SMU is a 6-point underdog at Memphis.
Feeling ILL?
Illinois currently is a 20.5-point favorite over Rutgers. The last time the Illini were this big of a favorite in a Big Ten game was in 2010, when the they lost outright as a 21-point favorite at home to 1-9 Minnesota.
Blaze a trail
Since 2017, UAB has been an underdog 12 times, covering eight of the games and winning seven outright. However, the two times UAB was a 'dog versus an SEC team, the Blazers failed to cover: +17.5 at Texas A&M last year and +11 in 2017 at Florida.
Good week to fade Oklahoma State?
Since 2012, Oklahoma State has been favored six times the week following an outright upset. Mike Gundy's team typically has struggled the following week, losing three of the games outright and going just 1-5 ATS.
2018: OSU (-6.5) at TCU, lost by 7
2018: OSU (-5.5) at Baylor, lost by 4
2016: OSU (-12) vs. Texas Tech, won by 1
2015: OSU (-13) at Iowa State, won by 4
2015: OSU (-33.5) vs. Kansas , won by 48
2013: OSU (-10) vs. Oklahoma, lost by 9
Oklahoma State is 2-11 ATS with nine outright losses in its past 13 Big 12 games as a favorite (4-15 ATS in past 19).
Gators a live 'dog under Dan Mullen?
Florida has been an underdog six times under Mullen. The Gators won four of the games outright. One of the two they did not? Last year as a 7-point underdog in a 19-point loss to Georgia.
Tough spot for Utah?
Since October 2016, there have been eight top-10 teams that were less than a 5-point favorite on the road against an unranked team. Those eight teams went 1-7 straight up. One of those loses came last month, when No. 10 Utah fell 30-23 at unranked Southern California as a 3.5-point favorite. Four of the seven losers lost by at least 14 points. Utah travels to Washington and is a 3-point underdog.
Sooner or later
Oklahoma's loss last week at Kansas State was the Sooners' fifth defeat as a 20-point favorite over the past 10 years. No other team has lost more than three times as a 20-point favorite in that span. OU is 46-5 (.902) as a 20-point favorite. For comparison, Alabama is 70-0 as a 20-point favorite, Ohio State 55-1, Oregon 49-3 and Clemson 43-2 during that span. Only Virginia Tech (.880) has a worse win percentage over that span among teams that have been a 20-point favorite 20 times.
Worst win percentage as 20-point favorite since 2009 (minimum of 20 games):
Virginia Tech 22-3 (.880)
Oklahoma 46-5 (.902)
Arkansas 21-2 (.913)
Texas 25-2 (.926)
Wisconsin 41-3 (.932)
Give 'em Hel!
Entering the 2019 campaign, Southern California was 1-12 outright and 2-11 ATS as an underdog under Clay Helton. But in three games as an underdog this season, USC has covered two and won outright as a small home 'dog versus Utah.


4294666a-4183-46e4-8e44-b04e4b380508
5911c1f1-7623-4a49-a353-b0dc4035afeb
a6d04529-3999-46a5-80ea-28b23c408c4c
ee3e99cf-5dc5-4ae3-8624-a0abf8162a38
71556a76-0dd4-48aa-860a-9a068de27f99
2f1ee562-02b8-45f3-8787-02a5a4d378a4
9440c22e-7263-4a4b-9e6e-aff28c5e2d4c
13ab3292-f7f1-4c23-9656-6f5ab9921266
78ec3b9f-e723-4b5c-96ae-2832ce1b5d3a
bf9b1a0a-43c7-4468-89ba-085327afb1be
915a38e8-e61a-4f30-88c5-41bf8688b8c7
b06ac09f-8fb3-4152-a5ed-d4ffb3f2df15
4b27da16-a2ed-459e-aea3-53127d4cfe0b
37dce140-c0ac-4adc-81fe-0e4f337d1e43
3a0eeefa-4c2a-4222-b574-21c3e0e478da
75486198-fa03-4d2f-8375-4ad1aff89bf3
c29e389f-6abe-4649-b2a5-37f11e62bb1d
aa3be384-e517-4366-ba8d-baa75a331e00
75889c94-a679-44de-9457-6f6b60b10ee4
b42f72ba-ba93-40fd-9bc9-ad046114faac
90516dad-24c4-4f65-9c7d-938e33df27f1
73a969f7-917e-41af-9c93-3aaa6271d0e2
 

New member
Joined
Oct 1, 2018
Messages
189
Tokens
[h=1]Best bets for Week 10 college football games[/h]Every Thursday during the season, Bill Connelly, Doug Kezirian, Preston Johnson and Phil Steele will provide their top plays across the college football landscape.
Here are their best bets for the ninth full week of the college football season:
Season ATS records:
Johnson record: 28-20-1 (6-3 last week)
Connelly record: 16-11-1 (1-2 last week)
Steele record: 18-30 (2-3 last week)
Kezirian record: 32-25-1 (2-2 last week)
Note: Picks from Caesars Sportsbook lines as of Wednesday night.
AbiyfeOatjT6xBsxJXmeUL-zNExgZelw8ChLBn5xy8QG7oJti4RPjbWuiQHN2CNRw0WbjX3Z99-lr13GJE61PfSHKvA-w5XzBh-XYx5g1NyD5nXkBomPkiNyzguf3VFy-7bpcwe6

[h=2]Saturday's games[/h]
5G2FRPz9XfMbBvEm_C5D2Y0N66piklg6cfe4c-K8x5OvFdwmVTtRFwDZeDGcngQ0hytZmfqB2hdGU-L-mN1wiY8MiDA1YUOttoQxwusBtyZjsE0s9U5EWVg5v7vqdcL_TaZtl--n
w8j197AISpgeAohCUSJbTaXAz-TSm-PRawaKtaXcUrmtAVgruax806su1EvHIz38lDIxtRNeg_qetChMksuypR-j_z0f_EeEOec53L7itAx3R6ueRkBnjToPnh78vY9CnS_OKmX4

[h=3]Liberty Flames (-23.5) at UMass Minutemen[/h]Kezirian: This is way too many points. UMass is awful, especially on defense, but Liberty shouldn't be laying this kind of lumber on the road. UMass is 1-7 ATS this season, but its lone cover came when it won outright as a home underdog to lowly Akron. This seems like a similar situation. The Flames lost outright last week as 7.5-point favorites at Rutgers. The Minutemen's defense ranks among the worst in FBS in several categories, including dead last in yards allowed per play. They figure to give up a lot of points on Saturday, but I like coach Walt Bell and believe he can keep this within three scores. I do not recommend watching this game.
Pick: UMass +23.5
z0lFycGloxq48vOBt2Qc4odOUH7KVZkkGDiQcSQfieEeZLUF6Fy-tsUpRew4t8W2mxe251XXVawy0rch7zLG9Yuz1m4oh4buYgEpP0UtfH-GxbQEuV8iFcK_AIsFrxQzQnchkuuo
AuVyzyEdJvoEtw6_j-1rUA5OnW2xmcejik3xJy3558aOepspARRa-qaPYXisDdiasl3Q1w1yi6Wi5dcObWmKCr6pW7c31tGvp7MiE825Sct10kHuRv8PQYoJ0h8YXaLVuQiH1y12

[h=3]Akron Zips at Bowling Green Falcons (-6, 49.5)[/h]Johnson: Akron QB Kato Nelson served a suspension the previous two games and is set to return Saturday against Bowling Green. The Zips are still one of the worst teams in the country, but Nelson's return is vital to their offense -- and they are going up against a Bowling Green defense that allows 7.1 YPP (129th out of 130 teams). The Falcons' offense has been riding QB Grant Loy since he took over when we backed them against Toledo, and they won outright as 27.5-point underdogs. The weather is clear, and my projection jumps from 48.6 to 53.2 with Nelson returning for Akron. I don't think the market has reacted correctly yet, or at least not enough, so I grabbed the over 49.5.
Pick: Over 49.5
7GOa0m7yY-RstZk2soZZmCTjyA6XN4-NBfyR3mfrpEBIFEGB3Q4I8tR1axCX70cSt0YlylMdRAru0Wztx19A6iAKCkMzGeVi5zlurVbc1mW8-0V_TbJphmQlFnAAcb3YwtmkmwU7
7S_rbn07oas-dxCymM-vcTtl-inRadMnEWQFMwT5onkhS6WydzSLlmLEn0pCTc6huNmrRCYAWssyhp9cod6t6pSJCRae2ukRDlFjP-JIiJf6M3P-ASkgB015mVHWDIPrpnnoXVab

[h=3]SMU Mustangs at Memphis Tigers (-6)[/h]Connelly: I guess I should put my money where my mouth is, huh? On Tuesday, I wrote that SMU is extremely lucky to be unbeaten and that my SP+ ratings suggest a nearly two-touchdown win for Memphis on Saturday. Let's go ahead and make it one of my best bets!
Memphis has had a strange few weeks from a betting perspective. Per SP+, the Tigers' underlying statistics suggested about an eight-point win at Temple, a 15-point win over Tulane and a 14-point win at Tulsa. But turnover luck -- the difference between your turnover margin and expected turnover margin (more on that here) -- turned the Tulane game into a 30-point blowout, the Temple game into a loss and nearly turned the Tulsa game into the same.
SMU is probably going to need a few bounces to remain unbeaten, as their two worst performances (Tulsa, at Houston) have come in their past three games. SP+ suggests a 36-24 Tigers win, and though the Mustangs could turn it into more of a track meet, Memphis has plenty of track meet experience. A 46-34 score would be a cover all the same.
Pick: Memphis -6
L-SqqxocdjOfWgbLgydv8SgY2EQ1mBxjxZzRXPoR-SZZvssAqPxD9XH0k0JerUc2QLuO2mcscvrS50ANTyERNxs3ZnlfgV57paLZOu-1NG0pghgYXTmUj80upQBubSqSBEB9eQ25
Ea-2gRLWvuL_r91YTrm769i_3CHsKojyPruXF9Dy8SDo7In9wLJ1WipfddvwRnLXTl5w8XhHhVZlqVkJIu6zv9rOu_zN34a9JSZO9CLaAmzx_W0y25BilF1lO0qs3IsnlAER0NLL

[h=3]Arkansas State Red Wolves (-1.5) at ULM Warhawks[/h]Connelly: The ULM defense has been fascinating this season. The Warhawks have allowed 55 points per game in four losses and 13 PPG in three wins. Either everything or nothing works, with no in-between.
When playing teams within its own weight class, however, the Arkansas State offense tends to work. In five games against teams outside of the SP+ top 50, the Red Wolves are averaging 42 PPG. Returns have diminished for freshman ASU quarterback Layne Hatcher in recent weeks (he took over for the injured Logan Bonner a month ago), but running back Marcel Murray has looked good carrying a heavier load, and ULM's run defense is ... lacking. The Warhawks can hold their own in a track meet, but I am more confident about ASU's defense making stops at some point than I am about ULM's -- a lot more confident.
Pick: Arizona State -1.5
x7Lkl7is5U2fkMmSclE02VFYh809G2eGJx1wT0VyfmIu0SnUAQ1VBdS4Yc5LC8p-gvaJufmhiNimsXa63dK8skGmT292zM2itFgMgWCQ1dyqLac4rQ9fO59LhT3WECCAY7xjt7XK
zGTy57oQNRvUzeOXaqeNKi-PQ8KHiOA3YAyqoXR6zLFFuiYAs3RPWJO1SZufHNzGyGjZsXh6MunCRn--DMacvBW69n2GPaDxtCMtZ8xKs3gpgxULvXAM30D7XMVKlZ_uTqzP-DMk

[h=3]Fresno State Bulldogs at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-2)[/h]Connelly: Hawaii is a hard team to get a grasp on. The Warriors have generally adhered to SP+ projections but drastically overachieved in a 54-3 win over Nevada and significantly underachieved in a 56-26 loss to Air Force.
Hawaii has the potential to make any pick look stupid, but this pick is more about Fresno State. The Bulldogs have been inching closer and closer to total liftoff offensively, and the dreadful Hawaii defense (120th in defensive SP+) could be the thing that helps them reach their full potential. Expect a big day from Fresno running back Ronnie Rivers, who had a combined 18 rushes and receptions for 190 yards last week, both on the ground and through the air.
Pick: Fresno State +2
c5PAM01OIgFmhvRZR4eF22RQEsC7oEmxY8J390K1-nBfq8A0x1HabrBM_3L9knq7lKyJc8bKOvzNSSzz2xO40zXh-b93soagd281nV3sHbLz1JJwmwuIILmS2D62nWcyGnK4qwFF
Mw6sVrCK47-4fHUb2f_XmKuTRUA6GG0wMWjZBujofDWicUkcTkuyQYCK7Yr9Ivvyn3uKyITNBO9LPPZZeqENY3HZa4bBODHmE-JJFeQ7L6TweIhugLDoZJV_Imof8Gyotm4wAFKe

[h=3]Boston College Eagles at Syracuse Orange (-3)[/h]Steele: Boston College is tough on the road, going 12-3-1 ATS the past six seasons as an away underdog. Syracuse came into the season with big expectations off a 10-win season but is now 0-4 in ACC play and is getting outgained by 160 yards per game in those four conference losses.
The Eagles have the game's best offensive player in running back AJ Dillon, but the most significant edge for Boston College is on the offensive line. The Eagles rush for 5.1 yards per rush and have allowed four sacks, and Syracuse's offensive line has opened holes for only 3.0 yards per rush while allowing 42 sacks. Steve Addazio is 12-1-1 ATS the past 14 games in the underdog role.
ATS pick: Boston College +3
MlgQz2m9Ruvi9UYz0ztRK4U5jg6s_Aex-Z6IIJI-JuOvmb9tn-gyNnoYIlJmDD9OBS91U_-8JW29iOd8Sb7fGYisf8Gs_nkaghV9V5IvwrvmaKKD_YZrBT219srUFSYhjSrd7nLk
g1-EEFMFKB7nU8QIPtci1N70qscmhKH_RfXUgN6rGj3vQrBqUpY2QlMC-N7TuEf86CEBpLFeBbX6-3i_uUa7sGNa1mFa0mMsqIPSokA_hx2h0r1zokPW4KETPAqB6Fre7xGvCJ7N

[h=3]Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels (-2)[/h]Steele: The winner of this game takes sole possession of first place in the mosh pit they call the ACC Coastal Division. Virginia is allowing just 284 YPG on defense, and North Carolina is yielding 384, but the Tar Heels have faced a much tougher schedule. On offense, the Tar Heels average 89 YPG more than what their opponents typically allow, and Virginia is gaining 49 YPG fewer than what opponents typically allow. UNC QB Sam Howell has 22 TDs and just five interceptions, and Cavaliers QB Bryce Perkins has a 9-8 ratio despite facing a softer schedule.
My computer has North Carolina with a 386-283 yard edge, and the Heels are laying less than a field goal in a night game at home.
ATS pick: North Carolina -2
Yj0st983QLAcboHYVGvfs88NYMiziOypdPDNAvWHNoPOv1P_WoJbVnvAqzKoICtc46Sbns4PbOfMAXxYmKtxKaG3Ovt7wBH1wf2UiLUN79jq7AK7saz8YE_rp5YEwZQEwkQ2Qomo
n6zXuSiozxof02nW5KmomW9ZPZS-QGh-wp83tabCoA7WsW39E_5PVyvoYrpAD7a1FE4NDwNYVcFnuTsyCsIv_uwDoChiixoc-kvLCrQf0PjBTPi27V4ca6YSSndNTAyPWyxMiZ4S

[h=3]Pittsburgh Panthers (-7.5) at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets[/h]Steele: No one expected Pitt to win the Coastal division last season, but the Panthers did. Last week Pitt lost to Miami despite having a 322-208 yardage edge, but it still has a great shot at another Coastal crown with just two ACC losses. Pitt has one of the nation's most underrated defenses, allowing only 291 YPG and holding foes to 100 yards fewer than their season average. That is bad news for a Georgia Tech offense averaging just 315 yards per game.
Pitt is 11-2 ATS the past 13 regular-season games against FBS foes, and the Yellow Jackets are on a 1-9 ATS run their past 10 games.
ATS pick: Pittsburgh -7.5
bO-JaPasNC3T3cgVY-1FBtrmlI1_2O6N-pfohL2X2Hh0iTUGUEKhmB_EIoURo-4EG9wQ2uk2zm0G1W432djRPY1wtJ189rj8yFctRZcWQ3fyqbD3X5i2Im50LyMjiDrr5CkkfFIl
IdRiIIs0Tdln37Avq_6C9E_vfgkynaJuYPkTkod7DLr-Q5SV15tK6xlOnoy29s82xJ8e2rX9B4dq_XWrWLq3ffY8oxx-hbpEGiOAj3fcM4n4V7B6-pqt-mFL9Kr6VeVjHVaglDHn

[h=3]Northern Illinois Huskies (-1) at Central Michigan Chippewas[/h]Steele: Central Michigan has two MAC road losses despite a 48-46 first-down edge in those games (-6 in turnovers). The Chippewas are plus-138 YPG in MAC play and have covered the past five meetings overall, including three outright upsets. Central's running back duo of Jonathan Ward and Kobe Lewis is tough to stop, and NIU allows 4.5 yards per rush. This is not the same NIU team of the past few seasons. Central Michigan also has a significant edge in my special-teams rankings.
ATS pick: Central Michigan +1
_NCuqVyqpSLU3y7rFNyg83k3c1PXvH1Ya5uAxnN1lLpaUhyOjeQPxqRQyqYRR32wQHELfqQYEvDTXTDg2ohQXqeingGdjJs6WIflmY4QBhm7zqc8HfnDP1rjMnwOmhiBg_cJgBlO
dT0Qu86O3J3sJckYWdzLeMUnGvM3ZBY6EQQOhvmegEobYP_doKNKUTsquWJ90RbjZgNCpoKaJ-hwUkVCXit-fQ33g7HsWYGAKTyJsX3AECv-rRY50TCpLjL8gdWkHjjIb_4UkI1I

[h=3]No. 14 Michigan Wolverines (-21) at Maryland Terrapins[/h]Steele: The Wolverines' offense emerged in the second half against a tough Penn State defense on the road a couple weeks ago and should continue to roll the rest of the season. Last week, they dominated Notre Dame, leading 45-7 with a 409-105 yard edge until a late Notre Dame scoring drive. When Maryland has faced a strong rush defense recently, it has struggled. The past two seasons, Maryland is 0-8 ATS and loses by 28 PPG when rushing for fewer than 165 yards in a game. Michigan is allowing 53 YPG rushing the past four weeks, despite facing Iowa, Penn State and Notre Dame in that span.
After some early-season struggles, the Wolverines should keep their offense rolling, as they have put up 59 points the past six quarters versus a pair of top-10 defenses. Next they take on a Terrapins defense that is allowing 500 YPG in Big Ten play.
ATS pick: Michigan -21
Kezirian: The Terps are a hot mess right now, particularly at the quarterback position. They've played four guys, and none demonstrated any reason for optimism. Josh Jackson has posted the best numbers and is expected to start, but he was pulled last week after briefly returning from an ankle injury. What does this all mean? The Wolverines have a strong defense and will torment whomever is under center for Maryland.
I'm annoyed that this number has come up a few points, but I still expect a rout. Michigan can be frustrating to bet on, given Shea Patterson's inexplicable turnovers, but the Wolverines should be able to do what they want on both sides of the ball. Maryland blows out inferior teams but can never hang with quality ones. The Terps have lost to undefeateds Minnesota and Penn State by a combined score of 111-10. Michigan is on the same level, and there is no home-field advantage at the Snake Pit.
ATS pick: Michigan -21


57b2b50d-1944-4cf5-94a6-71cf4a4815d9
7973008c-4a65-4b63-b689-39743bdc0c99
d755b32b-9b0b-4078-a1fc-d811dc2c73dd
f7866996-3e21-4f6a-bce0-2109b8eed908
e8439469-e4c6-448b-9017-3637fc9eea67
51ccd18f-cfe9-44e2-94d2-6265fe2ab980
f3e408dc-a178-4433-a41c-78c287891505
2930a453-3930-44e5-9be7-2fb61f0e25e3
0b606f63-21b7-4475-ad5b-9a4d306b840f
5cf40c5a-def8-4a11-a5dd-b3c8670d768b
11e32d4a-2f81-41b7-8214-dec6c242b185
d7a264be-3241-48a2-8099-25130201a651
8294b451-d365-49ff-9724-78474208f309
74f85c22-7117-4948-aa7c-a9b337be1c10
88226447-c6be-4c6f-ba7f-a124c3166044
e6935a17-7d31-4518-8b0a-1c91b5afdb59
53fe2b04-774e-47b7-809a-f2e44907e88b
482d51ad-6507-46c0-be85-89f2975f1106
3901a0fb-5624-4782-a186-72b8bb290c38
e5024fe5-4945-4e27-a8e1-dbac6aaf9779
074340eb-00e3-41c7-aaf7-46b37c4e9042
 

New member
Joined
Oct 1, 2018
Messages
189
Tokens
CKO
11* (4-4)
10* (18-19)
o/u (6-9)

Gridiron Gold Sheet
NCAA Best Bets (26-19-2) App St, Baylor, Navy, Notre Dame, WKU
NFL Best Bets (13-11-0) (partial record)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (3-5-1) Utah
4* (3-6) SMU
3* (6-3) USC
Upset pick (5-4) BYU
Betcha Didn't Know (5-8) Tennessee (NFL)
Awesome Angle (4-4-1) Washington (NFL)
Incredible Stat (4-4) Green Bay

Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (4-3-1) Detroit
4* (2-6) Minnesota
3* (3-5) Tennessee

Pointwise NCAA
1* (6-11) Auburn, Michigan
2* (3-6) Kansas
3* (2-7) Oregon St
4* (9-9) BC, BGSU
5* (13-5) Utah, Baylor

Pointwise NFL
3* (5-3) NE
4* (11-5) Houston, Chicago
5* (7-8-1) Detroit, KC

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (5-3)
3* (8-10)
2* (10-8)
Underdog Play of the Week (4-5)
Tech Play of the Week (3-5)
Revenge Play of the Week (3-6)
Situational Play of the Week (3-2)
Series Play of the Week (4-1)

Power Sweep NFL
4* (4-4)
3* (5-3)
2* (5-3)
NFL System play (6-3)
4* Pro Angle (5-3)
3* o/u play (5-3)

Powers' Picks NCAA
3* (6-6-1) BYU, Washington
2* (15-14-1) Virginia Tech, WKU, Kansas

Powers' Picks NFL
3* (3-5) Tampa
2* (11-5) Jacksonville, Philly

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-1)
NCAA Best Bets (21-11) USC, CMU, Florida
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0)
NFL Best Bets (11-6) Jacksonville, Philly

Red Sheet
90* (1-0)
89* (5-12) Michigan, BC
88* (20-15-1) Florida, USC, Navy, Miami (NFL)

Winning Points
NCAA 4* (2-7) Georgia
NCAA 3* (6-3) Marshall
NFL 4* (3-5) Philly
NFL 3* (4-4) Tampa

Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (2-1)
MTI 4.5* (4-1)
MTI 4* (4-4)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (0-3-1)
SBB 4* (6-6)
Cajun NCAA (7-3)
Pick 60 Play of the Week (4-4)

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (5-5) Ravens/Pats OVER
2* (10-5) 49ers/Cards UNDER
Team Total of the Week (6-2) Bills OVER 23

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (7-7) South Carolina, Michigan
NCAA 4* (14-17-1) Louisiana, Rice
NFL 4* (6-2) Tampa

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (16-18-2) Troy, BC, USC, Florida
NFL Key Releases (14-10) Jax/Houston Under, Philly, NE
Tech Play (5-4) ULL
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
24,849
Tokens
Thanks Giants, adding Monkey's 2* pick:

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet

3* (5-5) Ravens/Pats OVER
2* (10-5) 49ers/Cards UNDER, Cowboys/Giants UNDER
Team Total of the Week (6-2) Bills OVER 23
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,116,669
Messages
13,535,783
Members
100,385
Latest member
swetatiwarib2b
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com