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[Giant419]

[h=1]'Stanford Steve' and 'The Bear': Week 8 college football picks, bets, nuggets[/h]Talk about a hot streak. Chris "The Bear" Fallica is on quite a roll over the past three weeks, going a perfect 12-0 on his picks. So what's in store for this week?
[h=1]The Bear is on fire![/h]

The Bear is 12-0 over the last three weeks and looks to keep handing out winners. The guys are big on some weekday games and have plenty to discuss on the podcast. Listen!
In this article, "Stanford Steve" Coughlin and "The Bear" break down Week 8 of the college football season as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets, games to stay away from and a special money-line underdog parlay to jump on.
With the season in full swing, the guys are ready to continue their prognostications. Here we go with Week 8 picks.

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[h=2]The plays[/h][h=3]Stanford Steve (0-3 last week, 17-14-2 overall)[/h][h=3]The Bear (3-0 last week, 17-11-1 overall)[/h]

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Boise State Broncos (-6.5, 47) at BYU Cougars
The Bear: Both teams have injuries to address at quarterback, with Hank Bachmeier nursing a hip injury for the Broncos and BYU's Jaren Hall working his way back from concussion symptoms. Boise has found a way to cover all but one of its games this season, and BYU has had a couple of tough-luck road losses the past two weeks. I get the sense that a return to Provo and the need for a win here to provide an easier path to bowl eligibility will result in a good effort from the Cougars.
Pick: BYU +6.5

Tulane Green Wave at Memphis Tigers (-4.5, 59.5)
The Bear: I like this Tulane team and expect the Green Wave offense to give Memphis fits. What we thought was an improved Tigers defense has been a bit of a mirage, as it allowed 575 and 456 yards the past two weeks. There's a bit of urgency for the Tigers as they return home after a controversial loss at Temple, but I expect Tulane to give Memphis its best shot.
Pick: Tulane +4.5

LSU Tigers (-18.5, 61.5) at Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Bear: Yes, I admit it's a little risky getting in front of the LSU cover machine, but it's all about the spot. LSU comes off an intense home win over Florida and has Auburn on deck next week, then a potential top-3 matchup with Alabama after that. The Bulldogs suffered an embarrassing loss at Tennessee last week, were blown out by Auburn before that and lost to Kansas State at home earlier this year. MSU cant stop turning the ball over. There's nothing on paper that makes you believe the Bulldogs should hang around this one, but at some point even the best teams have that flat spot, and this just might be it for LSU.
Pick: Mississippi State +18.5

Texas A&M Aggies (-6.5, 54.5) at Ole Miss Rebels
The Bear: The Aggies haven't swept the Mississippi schools since Johnny Manziel left College Station. Now A&M is laying around a TD in Oxford and will be favored against Mississippi State next week. Ole Miss was a debatable call away from being up 14-3 last week at Missouri before losing by 11. It's clear John Rhys Plumlee is a difference-maker at quarterback for the Rebels, and he should help keep them in this one against an A&M team that can't run the football and nearly lost to Arkansas in its previous road game.
Pick: Ole Miss +6.5

Charlotte 49ers at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (-9, 48.5)
The Bear: Western Kentucky hasn't scored more than 21 points against an FBS opponent this season. Charlotte hasn't scored fewer than 23 against teams not named Clemson. Sure, the 49ers' defense has been gutted in recent weeks, but it is not facing a prolific offense here and should get some players back from injury on defense this week. If Charlotte can score 23, shouldn't that be good enough for the cover?
Pick: Charlotte +9

Baylor Bears at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5, 68)
The Bear: Baylor is unbeaten, but a key injury at linebacker probably will hurt the defense here against Chuba Hubbard, Tylan Wallace & Co. The Cowboys have been off since a humbling loss at Texas Tech, and one would think Mike Gundy's team is in a pretty good spot here to hang the first loss of the season on the Bears. See my "Bear Bytes" below for a few interesting trends on this matchup, whether you like the Bears or Cowboys.
Pick: Oklahoma State -3.5

Clemson Tigers (-24.5, 60.5) at Louisville Cardinals
Stanford Steve: Last year when these teams played in South Carolina, the Tigers won 77-16. This year is a different story; Louisville has already gone over its projected win total and new head coach Scott Satterfield has things going in the right direction. The Cardinals average 37 points but are still giving up 31. The Clemson offense looked to have gotten back on track last week, beating Florida State 45-14. It looks as is Micale Cunningham will be back at QB for Louisville, even though backup Evan Conley led the Cardinals to victory last week in an upset 62-59 win over ranked Wake Forest. You know the Tigers will score and I think the Cardinals will score enough for the number to go over the total. Take the over.
Pick: Over 60.5 points. Clemson 48, Louisville 21.

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-1, 57)
Stanford Steve: The Rivalry in Dixie! The Eagles are fresh off a rout of North Texas and now are averaging 444 yards of offense and 31 points under quarterback Jack Abraham, who is fourth in FBS with 1,936 yards through the air. The Techsters are fresh off a drubbing of lowly UMass where they had 42 points in the first 19 minutes of the game. They now are averaging 34 PPG and 467 yards per game. Both offenses are better than the defenses they'll face. The number just doesn't make sense to me. Take the over.
Pick: Over 57 points. Southern Miss 41, Louisiana Tech 38

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[h=2]Stanford Steve's Thursday night pick[/h]

UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal (-7, 52.5)
Stanford will be starting its third-string quarterback. I think that's enough for the Bruins to keep it close.
Pick: UCLA +7. Stanford 23, UCLA 20.

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[h=2]Stanford Steve's Saturday prime-time pick[/h]

Michigan Wolverines at Penn State Nittany Lions (-9, 45.5)
Not sure what people are more tired of: Tom Herman's record as an underdog ATS or Jim Harbaugh as an underdog vs. ranked teams. Regardless, I think Penn State has a serious advantage with its defensive line against the Wolverines' offensive line. Plus, no one punches additional scores in late in games better than James Franklin. I'll lay the points.
Pick: Penn State +9. Penn State 31, Michigan 18.

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[h=2]Stay-away games[/h][h=3]The Bear[/h]

UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal (-7, 52.5)
It's anyone's guess as to what the Stanford offense will look like with its third-string quarterback in the game.

Florida State Seminoles at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-2.5, 68.5)
How will FSU respond after another blowout loss at Clemson? And how will the Deacs respond to their first loss of the year, especially if quarterback Jamie Newman can't go?

Florida Gators (-5, 48.5) at South Carolina Gamecocks
I wanted to like the Gamecocks here, but the number has come down enough where it's not enough points for me. I was impressed with Florida in defeat last week at LSU, and a win by a TD wouldn't surprise me -- nor would an outright loss.

Toledo Rockets (-1.5, 58.5) at Ball State Cardinals
The Rockets have injury concerns at quarterback and are coming off an embarrassing loss to Bowling Green. This line has flipped from Toledo to Ball State as the favorite in a few spots, so be careful.
[h=3]Stanford Steve[/h]

Florida Gators (-5, 48.5) at South Carolina Gamecocks
No clue how teams will react to their outcomes last week and what toll it took on them physically.

Temple Owls at SMU Mustangs (-7.5, 59)
No idea what to expect from the ranked Mustangs off a bye week or how Owls will travel after knocking off Memphis.

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[h=2]The Bear's money-line parlay of the week[/h]Ten-team favorite ML parlay. Based on current Caesars odds, $100 gets you $25. Beats working for a living, no?
Ohio State -6000
Houston -2000
UCF -10000
Texas -2000
Georgia -3500
Wisconsin -12000
Alabama -15000
Oklahoma -10000
Minnesota -7000
FIU -3000

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[h=2]The Bear's underdogs to play in parlays, round robins and/or on ML[/h]Ole Miss +200
Tulane +165
BYU +210
Boston College +150
Oregon State +335
Eastern Michigan +260
Duke +140

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[h=2]Stanford Steve's favorite double-digit home favorite[/h]South Florida Bulls at Navy Midshipmen (-14, 53)
I don't think the Bulls want anything to do with the Middies' rushing attack after a win last week against BYU.
Pick: Navy -14. Navy 35, USF 17.

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[h=2]Stanford Steve's short favorite worth taking on the money-line[/h]Rice Owls at UTSA Roadrunners
The Owls are starving for a win.
Pick: Rice ML (-180). Rice 24, UTSA 20

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[h=2]Bear Bytes[/h]Plenty of angles on Baylor-Oklahoma State
Since 2013, there have been four instances where a team 6-0 or better was an underdog against an unranked team. The last three have lost by 21, 7 and 18 points, respectively. The only one to win? Temple in 2015, as a 3-point 'dog at East Carolina. Matt Rhule's Owls won 24-14. Rhule, now the head coach at Baylor, again finds himself in that spot this week, at 6-0 and as a 3.5-point underdog at unranked Oklahoma State.
Teams 6-0 or better as an underdog vs. unranked teams (since 2013):
2018: USF vs. Houston, lost by 21
2018: Cincinnati vs. Temple, lost by 7
2015: Utah vs. USC, lost by 18
2013: Temple vs. ECU, won by 10
In 15 games as an underdog of less than seven points, Rhule is 12-3 straight up (4-0 at Baylor). That includes a 23-21 win over Iowa State this season as a 2.5-point 'dog. In the past 10 years, an unranked Oklahoma State team has been favored at home over a ranked opponent three times. The Cowboys are 3-0 straight up and ATS in this spot.
Unranked OSU as home favorites vs. ranked teams (past 10 years):
2019: OSU vs. No. 24 Kansas State (-4), won by 13
2016: OSU vs. No. 22 Texas (-2), won by 18
2012: OSU vs. No. 23 Texas Tech (-10), won by 38
What does South Carolina have for an encore?
Since 2000, there have been 14 teams that won as a 20-point underdog and were an underdog in their next regular-season game. Those 14 went 11-3 ATS and only one pulled the double upset: 2016 Syracuse, which won as 21-point 'dog vs. Virginia Tech and a 4-point 'dog vs. Boston College.
Double-digit favorite to play against?
Miami is 2-8 ATS with two outright losses in its past 10 games as a double-digit favorite vs. FBS opponents. Included in that is a loss to Virginia Tech two weeks ago and a five-point win over Central Michigan as a 30.5-point favorite earlier this year.
Land of disenchantment
New Mexico has failed to cover each of its past eight games (0-7-1) and is 4-17-1 ATS in its past 22 games.
No Conn do
This is the 10th straight and 16th time in 17 games that Connecticut is a double-digit underdog against an FBS opponent.
Herm plays to win the game
Arizona State is 8-3 ATS with six outright wins as an underdog under Herm Edwards. ASU has been a 'dog three times this year and won all three games outright (Michigan State, Cal, Washington State).
Noles make history
This is the first time Wake Forest (-2.5) has been favored over Florida State. In fact, only twice have the Deacs been an underdog of less than a touchdown (2007 and 2008), and Wake won both of those games outright.
Harbaugh seeks elusive win at Michigan
Michigan has failed to win a game under Harbaugh in which the Wolverines entered as an underdog. Michigan is 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS as a 'dog under Harbaugh. Five of the seven losses have been by at least 11 points. Only two full-time Power 5 head coaches have been an underdog at least six times since 2015 (Harbaugh's first year at Michigan) and failed to win a game: Harbaugh (0-7) and Indiana's Tom Allen (0-15). The Wolverines are 4-11 SU and 5-10 ATS against top-15 teams under Harbaugh.
Temple a 'dog again
Since 2015, Temple is 18-5 ATS with 12 outright wins as an underdog. Included in that is a 20-17 win over Maryland earlier this year as a 5.5-point underdog and an upset win at home over Memphis last week.
Washington a rare home underdog
This is the first time since Sept. 26, 2015 that Washington is a home underdog. The Huskies were a 2-point underdog to Cal in Chris Petersen's second year at UW and lost 30-24 that day. That was 29 home games ago. Oregon has been favored four times at Husky Stadium and won and covered all four (2007, 2009, 2011, 2013). However, the Ducks have lost seven of the past 12 games in which they have been favored away from home (5-7 ATS).
A cut above
Duke is currently a 3-point underdog at Virginia. As a 'dog of three points or less, David Cutcliffe has won 10 of 12 games outright as Blue Devils head coach. And in its past 10 games as an underdog, Duke is 8-2 straight up (9-1 ATS). The only two games Duke lost in that stretch were to the teams that have combined to win the past four national championships -- Alabama and Clemson.

 

[Giant419]

Lol @ Phil Steele

[h=1]Best bets for Week 8 college football games[/h]Every Thursday during the season, Bill Connelly, Doug Kezirian, Preston Johnson and Phil Steele will provide their top plays across the college football landscape.
Here are their best bets for the eighth full week of the college football season:
Season ATS records:
Connelly: 13-8-1 (1-2 last week)
Kezirian: 26-17-1 (4-0-1 last week)
Johnson: 21-16-1 (5-2 last week)
Steele: 13-24 (0-5 last week)
Note: Picks from Caesars Sportsbook lines as of Wednesday night
[h=2]Friday's games[/h]

[h=3]No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes (-28.5) at Northwestern Wildcats[/h]Kezirian: As I have mentioned before, this is not a typical Northwestern team. The Wildcats are extremely inept on offense and lack speed on defense, which is why they are winless against Power 5 opponents. They haven't scored a first-half touchdown in those four losses, while mustering only three field goals. Ohio State presents a giant mismatch but some worry about a flat spot, given that it hosts undefeated Wisconsin on Oct. 26; I do not.
A road game on a Friday night should have a "big-game feel," and I also think the Buckeyes will respond after being leapfrogged by LSU in the polls. To avoid the backdoor cover, I'll side with a strong start from Ohio State. The Buckeyes should roll, unless the rumors about the Ryan Field grass prove legitimate.
Pick: Ohio State -17 1H (FanDuel)

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[h=2]Saturday's games[/h]

[h=3]New Mexico Lobos at Wyoming Cowboys (-20)[/h]Connelly: SP+ has had a pretty good read on these two teams this season, going a combined 8-2-1 against the midweek spread in New Mexico and Wyoming games, with an absolute error (the average distance between projection and reality) of about 9.5 points. So I'm deferring to the numbers here, and SP+ says Wyoming by 16.1.
The pick makes sense in a lot of ways. New Mexico obviously isn't very good but doesn't get blown out by teams not named Notre Dame -- its past three losses have come by an average of 10.7 points, and to teams only a little bit worse, on average, than Wyoming. Meanwhile, five of six Wyoming games have been decided by single digits. Even if the Cowboys control the game, a victory of something like 14-17 points seems realistic.
ATS pick: New Mexico +20

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[h=3]Arizona State Sun Devils at No. 13 Utah Utes (-14)[/h]Connelly: Here are some words I didn't really think I'd ever find myself typing in a college football piece: I'm putting faith in Herm Edwards' team.
SP+ projects Utah as a 10.6-point favorite here, and Edwards' Sun Devils have shown diverse defensive prowess in recent weeks -- dominating Cal (3.9 yards per play), then going full-on bend-don't-break against Washington State -- to make me think they can at least keep things close in Salt Lake City.
Mind you, Utah's defense should be too much for a limited Arizona State offense. The Utes' stop unit has given up a combined 20 points in two games since the frustrating loss to USC, and while ASU freshman QB Jayden Daniels has had some exciting moments, he still plays like a freshman sometimes. Running back Eno Benjamin might have finally gotten his season on track against Washington State, so we'll say the Sun Devils do just enough to keep this one within the number.
ATS pick: Arizona State +14

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[h=3]Toledo Rockets (-1.5) at Ball State Cardinals[/h]Connelly: This one concerns me a bit, simply because Toledo has the talent and athleticism to put together a major bounce-back after last weekend's strangely feckless loss at Bowling Green. But once again, I'm leaning on the numbers -- SP+ has been dialed into Ball State all season (average absolute error: just 6.5 points per game), and it says Cardinals by 2.0.
It says this even though it doesn't take quarterback injuries into account. Toledo's Mitchell Guadagni left the Bowling Green game with injury and is listed as questionable for Saturday. Giving up 20 points to BGSU is pretty damning, but the offense was the main reason the Rockets lost -- it scored only seven points with Guadagni, then went punt-punt-turnover on downs-interception without him. Ball State has the second-best defense in the MAC and could limit this attack if Guadagni is anything less than 100 percent.
Pick: Ball State +1.5

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[h=3]Iowa State Cyclones (-7) at Texas Tech Red Raiders[/h]Steele: Texas Tech is 7-2 its past nine home games versus Iowa State. In Tech's previous home game, quarterback Jett Duffey threw for 424 yards, and the Red Raiders dominated ranked Oklahoma State in a 45-35 upset victory.
Texas Tech is plus-257 yards per game at home and minus-206 yards per game on the road. The Red Raiders nearly upset ranked Baylor on the road last weekend before falling in double overtime. While Texas Tech is allowing 433 yards per game on defense, it is actually holding foes to 41 yards per game below their average. I will call for the Red Raiders to cover their third consecutive Big 12 game.
ATS pick: Texas Tech +7
Score: Texas Tech 28, Iowa State 27

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[h=3]Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Miami Hurricanes (-18)[/h]Steele: It was obvious coming into the season that the Georgia Tech offense would struggle, with head coach Geoff Collins inheriting option personnel and trying to shift to the spread. Georgia Tech is averaging just 15 points per game against FBS foes.
While Miami is just 3-3, the Hurricanes are outgaining foes by 130 yards per game and are still alive in the ACC Coastal thanks to a win over Virginia last week. Georgia Tech will struggle to score against a Miami defense that is allowing just 289 yards per game. The Hurricanes' offense needs to heat up with some big games on the horizon, and has plenty of weapons to get that done. Georgia Tech has lost nine games in a row ATS.
ATS pick: Miami -18
Score: Miami 34, Georgia Tech 6

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[h=3]Northern Illinois Huskies (-2) at Miami RedHawks[/h]Steele: Northern Illinois has been to seven MAC title games the past nine seasons, but most of those squads had a potent rush offense and top-notch rush defense. In the previous two seasons, the defense accounted for 93 sacks; this season, the Huskies (2-4) average just 3.5 yards per carry on offense, and have only seven sacks in six games.
Last weekend, they trailed Ohio 21-10 at the half and rallied for the victory, but now must travel again. Miami was much better than the final score last week, as the RedHawks outgained Western Michigan 365-310 but gave up a 74-yard interception return touchdown and three late scores, losing on the road 38-16.
Miami head coach Chuck Martin is now 3-22 SU and 1-11 ATS in nonconference play the past three seasons, and the RedHawks are 0-4 ATS this season in those spots. Miami turns the switch on in MAC play, at 17-7 SU the past 24 MAC games (8-2 ATS past 10).
ATS pick: Miami +2
Score: Miami 24, Northern Illinois 20

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[h=3]Florida State Seminoles at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-2.5)[/h]Steele: Florida State has won the past seven meetings in this series by 28 points per game, but Wake Forest is favored for the first time in this matchup since 2009, when it was a 5-point home favorite and lost 41-28. Florida State ran into the wrong team at the wrong time last week, facing a Clemson squad that had fallen from its No. 1 spot in the AP poll and was coming off a bye (Clemson rolled 45-14).
Last week, Wake trailed Louisville 52-31 in the fourth quarter at home and got a lot of late scoring only to lose 62-59. Florida State beat that same Louisville squad 35-24 with a solid 522-410 edge in yardage. The Seminoles have faced my No. 14 toughest schedule, while the Demon Deacons have taken on only my No.-78 rated slate. Florida State is 3-3 and in a must-win situation.
ATS pick: Florida State +2.5
Score: Florida State 34, Wake Forest 31

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[h=3]No. 9 Florida Gators (-5) at South Carolina Gamecocks[/h]Steele: Florida has been impressive the past two weeks, but I wonder how much it has left in the tank. Two weeks ago, the Gators gave a great effort in the Swamp and upset Auburn, and last week left it all on the field in a draining 14-point loss at LSU. The Gators must take to the road again, this time as a favorite.
South Carolina figures to be at the opposite end of the spectrum. Three weeks ago, the Gamecocks were a desperate team needing to beat Kentucky to avoid falling to 1-4. After knocking off No. 3 Georgia 20-17 on the road, they are now 3-3 and a contender in the SEC East. Coach Will Muschamp is 12-4 ATS as a 'dog the past three seasons, with nine outright upsets, and the home crowd will be a factor here.
ATS pick: South Carolina +5
Score: South Carolina 21, Florida 20

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[h=3]Colorado Buffaloes at Washington State Cougars (-12.5)[/h]Steele: In the Cougars' previous home game, they were 3-0, led UCLA 49-17 late in the third quarter and were likely to move up from their No. 19 ranking with a victory. After somehow blowing that 32-point lead and losing that game, Washington State took to the road against two of the top teams in the Pac-12 and now stands at 3-3. This is the Cougars' only home game in seven weeks, and coach Mike Leach has been calling out his team for lack of effort.
Colorado opened the season 3-1 but was getting outgained by 33 yards per game. Last week, the Buffaloes were finally exposed, losing at Oregon 45-3. Colorado was down big to Nebraska and Air Force but came back to make those games close (and win one of them). Washington State is the stronger -- and more desperate -- team off three losses.
ATS pick: Washington St -12.5
Score: Washington State 49, Colorado 30

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[h=3]No. 18 Baylor Bears at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5)[/h]Johnson: My projection is Cowboys -6.7 here, and I ultimately think the discrepancy is due to Baylor's 6-0 record and coming off of a victory against a Texas Tech team that beat Oklahoma State two weeks ago.
Some context is appropriate, though, as the Bears needed a late field goal to tie the game in regulation before winning in double overtime. The Cowboys, on the other hand, turned it over five times against the Red Raiders and still had a shot in the fourth quarter to win. They have another loss on their résumé, in Austin against the Longhorns, but that was a back-and-forth battle in a 36-30 defeat. The Cowboys still project to be the better team, and Baylor's strength of schedule ranks outside the top 100 in the country.
Oklahoma State is at home coming off its bye week and that Texas Tech loss. Quarterback Spencer Sanders will be better, and the injury to linebacker Clay Johnston is a massive loss for Baylor (his 58 tackles are 28 more than any other player on the team). Trying to defend the read-option and a dual threat like Sanders without Johnston is too tough a demand, and I have this game lined closer to -7 anyway. I'll lay the -3.5.
ATS pick: Oklahoma State -3.5
Kezirian: I'm extremely impressed with what Matt Rhule has done to turn around this program, given the scandal surrounding former coach Art Briles. The Bears are now a healthy program with a good team. However, this is a perfect spot for the Pokes coming off a bye, while Baylor is off an emotional double-overtime win. Plus, Baylor's undefeated mark has stemmed from a fortunate schedule.
The Bears' two toughest opponents were at home, and their most impressive road win came against a mediocre Kansas State team. Okie State hung with Texas in Austin, and the offense has looked fairly explosive aside from a couple dry stretches. I like the Cowboys to win this by more than one score.
ATS pick: Oklahoma State -3.5

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[h=3]Arizona Wildcats at USC Trojans (-10)[/h]Kezirian: Arizona completely unraveled last weekend in the second half against Washington (outscored 38-10), and it sure looks like the Wildcats are headed for another blowout loss here. As talented as Khalil Tate is, he is also susceptible to inexplicable turnovers and erratic play. Coach Kevin Sumlin even hinted that his star quarterback was not fully healthy, but then backtracked on those comments. All this comes at the worst time, facing a USC team that is ready to pound an opponent.
The Trojans are coming off back-to-back road losses against quality opponents in Washington and Notre Dame. I fully expect USC to get right and keep its bowl hopes alive. The Trojans should scorch a horrendous Arizona defense and pull away.
ATS pick: USC -9.5

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[h=3]No. 12 Oregon Ducks (-3) at No. 25 Washington Huskies[/h]Kezirian: We have been trained to associate high scoring with Oregon games, but it's a new era in Eugene. Mario Cristobal has restructured this defense, which ranks third in the country this season, allowing 3.8 yards per play. Oregon has gone under the total in five of its six games. My biggest takeaway from watching the Ducks is that they are perfectly comfortable in games that prioritize field position rather than tempo, which fits well with Washington, particularly with Jacob Eason's struggles (his Total QBR is 48 in conference play, last among Pac-12 quarterbacks with multiple starts). This should be an exciting game that comes down to the wire, and my gut tells me both coaches will approach this pretty conservatively. I'll opt for the first-half total in case one team trails by double digits in the second half and must force throws, leading to more points.
Pick: Under 24 (first half) (BetMGM)

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[h=3]No. 3 Clemson Tigers (-24) at Louisville Cardinals[/h]Kezirian: The bye week arrived at the perfect time for Clemson. The Tigers nearly lost to North Carolina, then came off the bye to flex their muscles with an emphatic win over Florida State. I expect them to stay on that track with an aerial attack against a Louisville team that statistically owns one of the worst pass defenses in the nation. Clemson players (like Ohio State's) have to be annoyed the Tigers were passed by LSU in the rankings. I am playing both the side and total, with more confidence on hitting both than losing both with a little protection. The Tigers have an outstanding defense but garbage time has translated to only one opponent being held to single digits.
Pick: Clemson -24 and over 60.5

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[h=3]No. 2 LSU Tigers (-18.5) at Mississippi State Bulldogs[/h]Kezirian: This is a potential flat spot for LSU, given the big win over Florida, but this Tigers team is far superior to the Bulldogs. Mississippi State is 1-3 against Power 5 teams and has been outscored by 50 points in its three losses. Freshman QB Garrett Shrader gets the start, and that does suggest a better performance, as he has posted better numbers. However, I'll still lay the lumber. The Tigers have scored just 26 combined points the past two meetings, including a loss, so I'm expecting a determined team.
ATS pick: LSU (-18.5)

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[h=3]North Carolina Tar Heels (-3.5) at Virginia Tech Hokies[/h]Kezirian: Don't be fooled by Virginia Tech's 4-2 record: Only one of those victories came against a Power 5 school (Miami), and the others came at the expense of Old Dominion, Furman and Rhode Island. The Hokies also showed us their ineptitude by losing 45-10 at home to Duke. North Carolina is a solid football team, with freshman quarterback Sam Howell continuing to evolve. We've seen the ceiling with a near-upset of Clemson, and I like this spot coming off a bye. The Tar Heels should win by double digits.
ATS pick: North Carolina -3.5

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[h=3]Tennessee Volunteers at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-34.5)[/h]Kezirian: Alabama is an offensive juggernaut and continues to post ridiculous numbers, scoring at least 47 points in five consecutive games. But Bama has defensive weaknesses, particularly with its linebacker injuries. The Crimson Tide have allowed 27.3 PPG to their three SEC opponents so far. Tennessee is certainly a notch below those opponents (South Carolina, Ole Miss and Texas A&M), but Volunteers coach Jeremy Pruitt's comments suggest we should see more scoring. Pruitt joked that he should avoid punting, given Alabama's explosive offense, but he did give the vibe that the Vols might take more chances with trick plays and going for it on fourth down. That certainly lends itself to an over.
Freshman QB Brian Maurer has been effective, but he might miss this game with after suffering a concussion last weekend. Either way, this has points written all over it.
Pick: Over 62 and Alabama team total over 48 (FanDuel)

 

[BuzzKill]

Killer Sports? Thank you.

Killer Sportshttps://drive.google.com/file/d/15c938DA1VMRkYsXelpm01jYTK-Kz3X2z/view

 

[SportsBookData]

Killer Sports

Thank you my friend! Your work is appreciated.

 

[Gamblerguy]

Pointwise is not opening... any chance you can fix that file... much appreciated...

 

[Giant419]

Confidential Kick-Off
11* (4-2) Temple
10* (14-15) Army, LSU, WKU, Baltimore (NFL)
o/u (4-7) LAR/ATL o54, NE/NYJ u42.5

Gridiron Gold Sheet
NCAA Best Bets (20-15-2) TCU ML, TCU/KSU UNDER, UAB, Tennessee, USC
NFL Best Bets (13-11-0)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (1-5-1) Baylor
4* (2-5) Tulane
3* (5-2) Utah
Upset pick (4-3) Michigan
Betcha Didn't Know (5-6) Denver (NFL)
Awesome Angle (2-4-1) Baylor
Incredible Stat (4-2) Baylor

Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (3-2-1) Baltimore
4* (1-5) LAC
3* (3-3) Atlanta

Pointwise NCAA
1* (4-9) Ohio St, Wazzu
2* (3-4) Penn St
3* (2-5) UNC
4* (6-8) Iowa St, Navy
5* (11-3) Houston, Buffalo

Pointwise NFL
3* (4-2) SF
4* (9-3) NO, Houston
5* (6-5-1) Philly, NE

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (3-3) UAB
3* (6-8) Tulsa, EMU
2* (8-6) So. Miss, FSU
Underdog Play of the Week (2-5) Baylor
Tech Play of the Week (2-4)
Revenge Play of the Week (3-4) Duke
Situational Play of the Week (3-2) Baylor
Series Play of the Week (2-1) Oregon

Power Sweep NFL
4* (4-2) SF
3* (4-2) Minn
2* (4-2) NO
NFL System play (5-2) Minn
4* Pro Angle (5-1) Buffalo
3* o/u play (5-1) Miami/Buffalo UNDER

Powers' Picks NCAA
3* (5-3-1) OK St, Stanford
2* (12-11-1) Florida, La Tech, Penn St

Powers' Picks NFL
3* (3-3) NYG
2* (9-3) Indy, Green Bay

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-1)
NCAA Best Bets (15-9) Miami-FL, Florida St, USC, MTSU
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0)
NFL Best Bets (8-5) Arizona, NO

Red Sheet
90* (1-0)
89* (5-8) Missouri, Duke
88* (15-12-1) Ohio St, Cincy (NCAA), Boise St, Baltimore (NFL)

Winning Points
NCAA 4* (2-5) Cincy
NCAA 3* (6-1) Arizona St
NFL 4* (2-4) Washington
NFL 3* (4-2) LAC

Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (2-1)
MTI 4.5* (2-1) NO +3.5
MTI 4* (3-3) Houston/Indy u48
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (0-2-1)
SBB 4* (4-5) NYG, LAR/Atl UNDER
Pick 60 Play of the Week (4-3)
Cajun NCAA (5-3) Kentucky

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (4-4) Ravens/Seahawks OVER
2* (6-5) Raiders/Packers OVER
Team Total of the Week (4-2) KC o26.5

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (7-3) FAU, UNC
NCAA 4* (9-14-1) Georgia St, Cal, Missouri, SDSU
NFL 4* (4-2) Minnesota

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (13-13-2) Maryland, Boise St, Navy, Air Force
NFL Key Releases (10-8) Houston, LAC, NO
Tech Play (4-3) Stanford

 

[BuzzKill]

Newsletters:
College Gridiron Gold Sheet
Killer Sports
Gaming Today
VSiN Point Spread Weekly
VSiN 2019-20 NBA Betting Guide
Gold Sheet
Gold Sheet Extra
Confidential Kick-Off
Powers' Picks
Marc Lawrence's Playbook
Playbook Midweek Alert
Victor King's NFL Totals Tipsheet
Playbook Wise Guys Contest
Winning Points
Sports Reporter
Pointwise
Red Sheet
Power Sweep
Power Plays

Records:
2019 Newsletter college records by week
2019 YTD Newsletter records
2018 Newsletter records
2017 Newsletter records
2016 Newsletter records
2018 Wise Guys Contest Final Results
2017 Wise Guys Contest Final Report

 

[BuzzKill]

Thanks!

Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - College
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - Thursday NFL

 

[Gamblerguy]

Any luck with reposting pointwise? Says it was removed by owner... thanks

 

[BuzzKill]

Any luck with reposting pointwise? Says it was removed by owner... thanks

The link to Pointwise is opening up fine for me. But I downloaded and reposted it onto google drive for you.

Pointwise

 

[Gamblerguy]

Your most recent post of pointwise now works. Thanks again!

 

[BuzzKill]

Newsletters:
College Gridiron Gold Sheet
Killer Sports
Gaming Today
VSiN Point Spread Weekly
VSiN 2019-20 NBA Betting Guide
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - College
Gold Sheet
Gold Sheet Extra
Confidential Kick-Off
Powers' Picks
Marc Lawrence's Playbook
Playbook Midweek Alert
Victor King's NFL Totals Tipsheet
Playbook Wise Guys Contest
Winning Points
Sports Reporter
Pointwise
Red Sheet
Power Sweep
Power Plays

Records:
2019 Newsletter college records by week
2019 YTD Newsletter records
2018 Newsletter records
2017 Newsletter records
2016 Newsletter records
2018 Wise Guys Contest Final Results
2017 Wise Guys Contest Final Report

Football Podcasts:
Marc Lawrence's October 16 Podcast with Victor King - Against the Spread
Stanford Steve & The Bear
VSiN
PigSkin Junkies

 

[slapshot]

Bump

 

[prettyraymond]

Thanks Giant 419 , I make a living on Bear/S S post

 

[BuzzKill]

Thanks!

Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - NFL

 

[Giant419]

Thanks Giant 419 , I make a living on Bear/S S post

Bears Gameday picks (11-3-1 last 5 weeks)

Miss St
Ok State
Charlotte

 

[BuzzKill]

 

[BuzzKill]

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest leader is Tuco. He is 27-3 against the spread. He went 4-1 last Sunday. His selections for this Sunday are:

Buffalo
Jacksonville
San Francisco
Chicago
New York Jets

 

[BuzzKill]

Here are the leaders in the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. You can get the complete list of what all the contestants have at this link.

 

[CFBall2014]

College Football wk by wk breakdown Newsletter Results thru Week 8

CFB Newsletters		Week 8	Units
Power Sweep	(4-1)	9
Sports Reporter	(4-2)	7
Pointwise	(5-3)	7
Mark Lawrence Playbook	(3-1)	5
Phill Steele-IPB	(5-3)	2
VSIN CFB[FONT=&quot] Consensus Picks[/FONT]	(5-5)	0
Gold Sheet	(2-2)	0
Brad Powers Picks	(2-3)	-4
Red Sheet	(1-4)	-8
Winning Points	(0-6)	-15

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CFB Newsletters	YTD	Units	$
Sports Reporter	(30-19)	28	$ 2,310.00
Brad Powers Picks	(20-17)	6	$ 360.00
VSIN CFB Consensus Picks	(37-32)	5	$ 130.00
Power Sweep	(21-19)	3	$ (140.00)
Phill Steele-[FONT=&quot]Inside the Press Box[/FONT]	(25-30)	-5	$ (800.00)
Red Sheet	(18-21)	-10	$ (830.00)
Gold Sheet	(11-17)	-18	$(2,370.00)
Pointwise	(32-32)	-25	$(3,440.00)
Winning Points	(18-23)	-28	$(3,580.00)
Mark Lawrence Playbook	(15-17)	-30	$(3,040.00)

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