MEGALOCKS week #7, 1st pick released here each week. Record so far 3-1-2 (another tie last week).
[FONT="]UAB -16.5 Rice (52.5)…….MEGALOCKS line – UAB -19.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]Vegas Implied Score – UAB 34.5 Rice 18[/FONT]
[FONT="]Let’s start with this.[/FONT]
[FONT="]The bookmakers have taken us behind the WOODSHED in recent times when we have backed big favorites. You know what? Bravo. That is why this is a tough game and sometimes you just SUCK. Want proof?[/FONT]
[FONT="]Last season:[/FONT]
[FONT="]Fresno St -21 vs UNLV. Rebels win OUTRIGHT 26-16.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Arkansas St -10.5 at South Alabama. Jags win OUTRIGHT 24-19.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Now to this game. UAB is CRUSHING on defense right now and are ranked #11 in total defense, #16 in scoring defense and #2 (!!) in sacks per game (4). This is despite playing some decent FBS offenses (Coastal Carolina, Tulane, Charlotte, Louisiana Tech). Don’t laugh. Those offenses are light years ahead of Rice who is stuck between a rock and a hard place as we go to press. The QB play has been really sketchy and will probably go back to STANKavage this week. The defense does not have enough speed. The OL is nowhere near good enough (yet) to hold up to the carnage that should unfold on Saturday. It’s a bad situational spot for UAB (after LT, before North Texas) but the Blazers are playing elite football right now in terms of what Conference USA teams are capable of producing. If you are THIN SLICING GUY and want to analyze our picks by team, by day of the week, by conference, by correlation to when the moon is 23,090 miles closer to Earth that is fine. We analyze every game, every pick, every future, every team total the same way. Sometimes there is just going to be variance in the results. The point? This is just one game. Just like every other game. Do whatever you feel is necessary.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Official play: UAB -16.5 -108 (you can currently get -16 as we go to press)[/FONT]