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RAVENS2014 · Sep 29, 2017

Phil Steele Inside the Pressbox - NFL (all games) http://plus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/NFL/Week_04/ITPB_NFL_WK_4.pdf

d3nv3r · Sep 29, 2017

Zcode Baseball predictions Sept 29 – Oct 1

[FONT=&quot]Arizona Diamondbacksversus Kansas City Royals[/FONT]<o

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Taking a look at the teams in this inter league match up, playoff boundArizona Diamondbacks take on the Kansas City Royals, looking to finish at .500.According to the Power Ranking Indicator, the Diamondbacks hold a +22 to +15advantage. They also hold a +6.62 to -4.31 advantage in the MLB Team StrengthOscillator. Neither teams ranks in the top 10 in Team Volatility, therefore thefavorite and underdog status will play a deciding factor in my predictions thisweek.<o

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Pitching match ups:<o

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Friday, September 29: Taijuan Walker versus Ian Kennedy<o

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Walker comes in at 9-9 with a 3.54 ERA and is 0-2 over his last twodecisions. Generally an excellent bet, Walker comes in high on the PitcherProfit Oscillator at +1611. Kennedy has been moving quickly in the opposite direction,at 4-13 with a 5.50 ERA and 0-7 over the last ten starts. He’s been a terriblebet, at -1098 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. The Diamondbacks should easilytake the first game.<o

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Saturday, September 30: Patrick Corbin versus Jake Junis<o

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Corbin has mediocre overall numbers at 14-13 with a 4.09 ERA and is 1-2 overthe last four starts. He’s been up and down in terms of profit, currently at+554. Junis is also 1-2 over the last four and is 8-3 with a 4.39 ERA for theseason. A decent bet overall, Junis is at +236 on the Pitcher ProfitOscillator. The Diamondbacks have the overall edge in team strength and on themound in this one. Give game two to the Diamondbacks to go up 2-0 in theseries.<o

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Sunday, October 1: Zack Godley versus Jason Vargas<o

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Godley is 8-9 with a 3.40 ERA for the season and has allowed only 124 hitsin 153 1/3 innings. A good overall bet, Godley is +893 in terms of profit.Vargas is the Royals best overall starter, coming in at 18-10 with a 3.94 ERA.He’s been excellent lately, winning his last four decisions. He’s at +1816 onthe Pitcher Profit Oscillator, up nearly 900 since the start of the season. Isee the Royals winning the final game to avoid a sweep.

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[FONT=&quot]Houston Astros versusBoston Red Sox[/FONT]<o

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In what could be a playoff preview, the Astros and Red Sox come inrelatively evenly matched. The Red Sox hold a +29 to +24 edge in the PowerRanking Indicator. The Astros hold a +5.43 to -0.4 advantage in the MLB TeamStrength Oscillator. In what could be a deciding factor in picking these games,the Astros are third in Team Volatility. This means they generally win as thefavorite and lose as the underdog.<o

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Friday, September 29: Charlie Morton versus Doug Fister<o

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Morton comes in at 13-7 with a 3.63 ERA and is 3-1 in the last four games.He’s struck out 159 and allowed only 121 hits in 141 1/3 innings. Despite thegood overall numbers, Morton has been a relatively poor bet, at -115 on thePitcher Profit Oscillator. Fister enters the game at 5-8 with a 4.87 ERA. Upand down in terms of profit, Fister is a poor bet at -260. The edge goes to theAstros and is my pick for the series opener.<o

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Saturday, September 30: Lance McCullers Jr versus Drew Pomeranz<o

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McCullers Jr has missed significant time due to injury as has allowed fiveearned runs in 8 2/3 innings since coming off the disabled list. Overall, he’s7-3 with a 4.01 ERA and is at -230 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Pomeranzhas better overall numbers with a record of 16-6 with a 3.38 ERA. However, interms of a bet, he’s been terrible, at -1085 in terms of profit. The Astrosdon’t have the edge on paper in this one, but the wide difference in profitleans me towards Houston in game two.<o

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Sunday, October 1: Collin McHugh versus Chris Sale<o

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In the series and season finale, McHugh comes in at 4-2 with a 3.45 ERA.He’s won his last four decisions and has been profitable at +516 on the PitcherProfit Oscillator. Sale has been excellent this season, with a 17-8 record, 308strikeouts and a 2.90 ERA. To my surprise, he’s been a very marginallyprofitable bet, at +8 on the profit oscillator. It’s hard to bet against Sale,so I take the Red Sox in the finale.<o

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BuzzKill · Sep 29, 2017

Update - Thanks guys!

Newsletter Recap:
Gaming Today September 26 - October 2
Winning Points
Sports Reporter
Gold Sheet
Pointwise
Power Sweep
Power Plays
Nelly's Green Sheet
Victor King's Totals Tipsheet
Marc Lawrence's Playbook
Powers' Picks
Killer Sports
Confidential Kick-Off
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - College
Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - NFL
This Year's Newsletter Records So Far
Last Year's Newsletter Records

Football Podcasts:
Marc Lawrence's September 27 Podcast with Victor King - Against the Spread
Phil Steele's September 27 Podcast with Michael Reghi - Strong as Steele

chevycola · Sep 29, 2017

THE TGS EXTRA
SEPTEMBER 28-OCTOBER 2, 2017 NO. 5

TECHNICAL PLAYS OF THE WEEK

COLLEGE TECH PLAYS

EASTERN MICHIGAN

While Kentucky has been focusing on climbing the SEC East ladder in recent years, it has left itself vulnerable in non-conference opposition. The Wildcats haven’t learned how to take care of business in those sorts of games, dropping their last seven vs. the line in intersectional play, and face another of those tricky assignments on Saturday in Lexington vs. undervalued Eastern Michigan. The Eagles have offered pretty good spread value lately, especially away from Ypsilanti, where they’ve covered 8 of their last 9. Note that UK is also a subpar 1-6 its last 7 as double-digit chalk.

NAVY

There’s a reason why Navy often frequents the Tech Plays box, as it does again this Saturday for its trip to Tulsa. Simply, the Mids have been offering good spread value for years, especially on the road, where they stand a solid 21-11 vs. the line their last 32. They’ve also won and covered the last two years vs. the Golden Hurricane, and are always a featured recommendation in the Coach and Pointspread system with HC Ken Niumatalolo. Note that Tulsa continues to provide better value on the road than at home, where it is 9-17 vs. the line since the 2013 campaign.

NEW MEXICO STATE

We hope we aren’t too late to catch up with this emerging go-with trend of New Mexico State, which takes its act to Fayetteville for a battle vs. misfiring Arkansas on Saturday. Simply, the Aggies have been one of the nation’s best pointspread bargains this season, covering their first four against the number, success that carries back to last season, with NMSU now 11-4 vs. the points its last 15 on the board. Meanwhile, the Razorbacks have been nothing special for a while as chalk, covering just 5 of their last 13 in that role, and have dropped their last four vs. the number against non-SEC foes.

FRESNO STATE

Several teams have emerged as pointspread forces to watch in September. One of those is Fresno State, which is a spotless 3-0 vs. the line (including covers at two of last year’s Final Four participants, Alabama and Washington), and looks to add another W on Saturday at Bulldog Stadium vs. struggling Nevada. The bulldogs’ recent spread prowess stretches to last season as they’ve now covered five straight and eight of ten, and they’re 5-2 vs. the line the last seven vs. the Wolf Pack. Note Nevada has dropped its last three spread decisions, with a woeful -23.25 “AFS” (Away from Spread) mark its last two games.

NFL TECH PLAYS

NEW ORLEANS

It looks like New Orleans is alive again after last week’s romp at Carolina, and the Saints look to continue their uptick on Sunday at Wembley Stadium in London vs. Miami. Traveling across the pond should be no bother to New Orleans, which seems to play better away from the Superdome anyway, covering 8 of its last 10 away from home. Note that the travel-weary Dolphins are playing their third straight on the road, where they’ve covered just 9 of their last 22.

BUF-ATL “OVER”

The premier “over” trend in the NFL belongs to Atlanta, which looks to improve upon that mark on Sunday at new Mercedes Benz Stadium against visiting Buffalo. The Falcs are now “over” 18-4 since last season, including 11 straight at home. Meanwhile, the Bills have been trending “over” lately as well (13-6 since last season).

Gamblerguy · Sep 29, 2017

Anyone happen to post Pointwise Red Sheet? Much appreciated...

Speed380 · Sep 29, 2017

bobbyjones2 said:
holler at brnbee0701@gmal if another partner needed for cfb advisor

if someone sends me the link I will buy it and post it.

dtmad · Sep 29, 2017

METFAN said:
GOOD FOR YOU

BOYCOTT the teams that sit or stay in the locker room. Don't go to the games and do not buy anything in the team stores..Maybe then the GREEDY BASTARDS or is it" BITCHES" will get the message.

But when you do that you screw the owners, not the players. Very difficult to punish the players.

Criz · Sep 29, 2017

[FONT=Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]email [/FONT][FONT=&quot]CFBadvisor@gmail.com[/FONT]

danstiller · Sep 30, 2017

This weeks Gridiron Gold Sheet click here > http://gridirongold.com/GRIDIRONGOLDSHEET9-28-6714.pdf

Speed380 · Sep 30, 2017

CFB Advisors week 5 https://goo.gl/C7GDfc

d3nv3r · Sep 30, 2017

Zcode NFL WEEK 4 fade-the-public picks and predictions

Sweep! 3-0 ATS in Week 3 which improves our YTD to 7-2. Let’s see if we cankeep it going with a few potential plays for Week 4. The main strategy I wantto implement is fading the public. Books are always looking to exploit publicperception so hopefully we can find a few winners by fading the public in a fewheavily public-bet games. Obviously, this is written on Tuesday (9/26) soalways keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.

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[FONT=&quot]JACKSONVILLE @ NEWYORK JETS[/FONT]<o

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While the Jets quietly beat a bad Dolphins team, the public took notice asJacksonville dominated Baltimore in London.<o

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It’s always tough to play the next week after being in London and the Jetswill be looking to carry the momentum from their first win of the season intothis week. Let’s take [FONT=&quot]NewYork +3.5[/FONT] (BetOnline)

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[FONT=&quot]CAROLINA @ NEWENGLAND[/FONT]<o

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The Panthers were awful last week against the Saints and the Patriots wereable to sneak away with a close win over Houston. As always, New England is ahuge public favorite:<o

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While Carolina has been struggling offensively all season, New England hashistorically had problems with mobile quarterbacks and this could be the gamethat Cam Newton breaks out. With such one-sided action we are able to get asolid underdog at a great number. Let’s take [FONT=&quot]Carolina +10[/FONT] (5Dimes)

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[FONT=&quot]TENNESSEE @ HOUSTON[/FONT]<o

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We’re going to take a little different strategy with this game. The Titansare coming off a huge win over Seattle while Houston hung tough but came upshort against New England. I think there will be some separation in the percentagesbut as of now the public is relatively split.<o

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I think Houston is the sharp side and catching this line early will allow usto get a few points. The Texans return home after a tough loss while the Titansare in a potential letdown spot. Let’s take [FONT=&quot]Houston +2[/FONT](Bookmaker)

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Like I mentioned, we have a few days until these games take place with lotsof wagering in between so keeping an eye on the lines and percentagesthroughout the week is important. Fading the public is very successful when thepublic side is 80%+ so keep that in mind as the week progresses and the bettingvolume grows.<o

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