Nebraska @ Colorado

[HamGlaze]

Nebraska +3 is the sharp play here.

Have to wonder with all the latest attention on the money on this game if maybe for once the public actually does take down Vegas for one game. It does seem odd the attention the money on this game is getting. Is this a set up short term loss for long term gain? If there ever was a time to do something like this it’s now.

How likely is this scenario? Colorado should be favored by 7+ based on money. Make it make sense.

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Nebraska +3 is the sharp play here.

Have to wonder with all the latest attention on the money on this game if maybe for once the public actually does take down Vegas for one game. It does seem odd the attention the money on this game is getting. Is this a set up short term loss for long term gain? If there ever was a time to do something like this it’s now.

How likely is this scenario? Colorado should be favored by 7+ based on money. Make it make sense.

I figure you are being swayed by the phrases "Public money" and "public %" thrown around on Twitter. Those are meaningless as they don't compare to what the pro side lays down.

Two things cannot both be true
1) the majority of large bets are on one side
2) the line moves against that side for RLM

There's a reason why no sports book would hang the hook on 3 more than one time this week. Learned their lesson on anyone who did it once.

 

[HamGlaze]

I figure you are being swayed by the phrases "Public money" and "public %" thrown around on Twitter. Those are meaningless as they don't compare to what the pro side lays down.

Two things cannot both be true
1) the majority of large bets are on one side
2) the line moves against that side for RLM

There's a reason why no sports book would hang the hook on 3 more than one time this week. Learned their lesson on anyone who did

Colorado's game vs. Nebraska is getting more bets than any remaining NFL Week 1 game

Most of the money bet on the game is on Colorado to cover as 3-point favorites.

sports.yahoo.com

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Colorado's game vs. Nebraska is getting more bets than any remaining NFL Week 1 game

Most of the money bet on the game is on Colorado to cover as 3-point favorites.

sports.yahoo.com

I understand. I'm also skeptical of any article claiming the %s from one sports book. You are taking them at their word and it's never updated after the kickoff anyway.

Find me the % of what is being bet at kickoff at the offshore books around the world and that'll tell you the truth.

 

[Malooka]

You know Neon Freon be havin' a letdown.

 

[MagiCap]

This is a very good game to include in a teaser today.

 

[locker8]

I tease pro all the time but never college but I wish you all the luck my friend

 

[whitetrash]

Nebraska +3 is the sharp play here.

Have to wonder with all the latest attention on the money on this game if maybe for once the public actually does take down Vegas for one game. It does seem odd the attention the money on this game is getting. Is this a set up short term loss for long term gain? If there ever was a time to do something like this it’s now.

How likely is this scenario? Colorado should be favored by 7+ based on money. Make it make sense.

I definitely think many have the knee jerk reaction over the Buffs win. I'm just not certain Nebraska is the team to take them down. I'll pass on this one. Hopefully they win big so I can pound one of their better opponents down the line.

 

[Serbone]

Colorado -2.5, BIG

• TRAP? Nope.
• Ther is NO chance of a letdown, first home game with 86 new players who will be pumped up after their big win, they have a new culture NFL superstar coach, crowd will be jacked up
• The Buffs Beat TCU on the road in >98 degree sun, TCU bodies were of course adjusted to this heat (electrolyte balanced) when visiting more northern teams this time of the year wilt and cramp up, but not these kids, this makes their win even more impressive
• Explosive offense, elite skill player speed, with superior QB Sanders, threw for 510 yards vs today a plodding Husker offense that only put up 10 vs mediocre Minny, Husker's run first one dimensional QB Sims, not much of a threat in the air at all, Sanders flood the running zones and will make him pass... no way Nebraska can keep up
• Altitiude favors Colorado significantly, this is real, a few days there for Nebraska is not adequate for the players to adjust
• TRAP? Based on higher % of bets on Colorado? You assume none of it is sharp money---how do you know? These percentages are not alway solid information and change closer to game time. I think Vegas errored with this line, just like when they made TCU a 21 point favorite, they are adjusting to this unprecedented 100% new roster (in one year) and probably wish they had Colorado at -6. Beware of using old traditional thinking that a team will let down in this spot, or that the line was made to trap bettors when this game is unkown territory, a whole new team + a charismatic knowledgeable NFL star coach. These kids came to play for Prime Time, not to play for Colorado.
• Rhule will turn the Huskers around, but not this game

Colorado -2.5, BIG

GL!

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Serbone, if the books wanted -6 CU, they had plenty of chances to move it there, or let alone keep it there when it opened in Vegas -5 and was quickly (within minutes) moved down to 3.5, 3.

 

[Selectrick]

No way I would touch a Colorado game right now. Does anyone really know this teams identity?

A wager on/against this team is a coin flip.

Deion Sanders isn't your typical coach! He connects with those kids at a different level than every other coach they have ever had.

I am not sure you can "handicap" that emotion week to week.

Until they have a few weeks under their belt and establish an identity, they will continue to be a pass for me.

This........seems the most reasonable comment I've seen. I have to agree wholeheartedly!

 

[LSUpete]

Colorado -2.5, BIG

• TRAP? Nope.
• Ther is NO chance of a letdown, first home game with 86 new players who will be pumped up after their big win, they have a new culture NFL superstar coach, crowd will be jacked up
• The Buffs Beat TCU on the road in >98 degree sun, TCU bodies were of course adjusted to this heat (electrolyte balanced) when visiting more northern teams this time of the year wilt and cramp up, but not these kids, this makes their win even more impressive
• Explosive offense, elite skill player speed, with superior QB Sanders, threw for 510 yards vs today a plodding Husker offense that only put up 10 vs mediocre Minny, Husker's run first one dimensional QB Sims, not much of a threat in the air at all, Sanders flood the running zones and will make him pass... no way Nebraska can keep up
• Altitiude favors Colorado significantly, this is real, a few days there for Nebraska is not adequate for the players to adjust
• TRAP? Based on higher % of bets on Colorado? You assume none of it is sharp money---how do you know? These percentages are not alway solid information and change closer to game time. I think Vegas errored with this line, just like when they made TCU a 21 point favorite, they are adjusting to this unprecedented 100% new roster (in one year) and probably wish they had Colorado at -6. Beware of using old traditional thinking that a team will let down in this spot, or that the line was made to trap bettors when this game is unkown territory, a whole new team + a charismatic knowledgeable NFL star coach. These kids came to play for Prime Time, not to play for Colorado.
• Rhule will turn the Huskers around, but not this game

Colorado -2.5, BIG

GL!

Exactly correct.

 

[vinnyvegas]

Colorado -2.5, BIG

• TRAP? Nope.
• Ther is NO chance of a letdown, first home game with 86 new players who will be pumped up after their big win, they have a new culture NFL superstar coach, crowd will be jacked up
• The Buffs Beat TCU on the road in >98 degree sun, TCU bodies were of course adjusted to this heat (electrolyte balanced) when visiting more northern teams this time of the year wilt and cramp up, but not these kids, this makes their win even more impressive
• Explosive offense, elite skill player speed, with superior QB Sanders, threw for 510 yards vs today a plodding Husker offense that only put up 10 vs mediocre Minny, Husker's run first one dimensional QB Sims, not much of a threat in the air at all, Sanders flood the running zones and will make him pass... no way Nebraska can keep up
• Altitiude favors Colorado significantly, this is real, a few days there for Nebraska is not adequate for the players to adjust
• TRAP? Based on higher % of bets on Colorado? You assume none of it is sharp money---how do you know? These percentages are not alway solid information and change closer to game time. I think Vegas errored with this line, just like when they made TCU a 21 point favorite, they are adjusting to this unprecedented 100% new roster (in one year) and probably wish they had Colorado at -6. Beware of using old traditional thinking that a team will let down in this spot, or that the line was made to trap bettors when this game is unkown territory, a whole new team + a charismatic knowledgeable NFL star coach. These kids came to play for Prime Time, not to play for Colorado.
• Rhule will turn the Huskers around, but not this game

Colorado -2.5, BIG

GL!

Very solid sane comments.
I question only why Buffs not 7 or more FAV. If the jersey said BAMA, Georgia, OhioSt, Michigan with those type stats and players being hyped. Heisman guys both sides of ball So they claim

Line virtually frozen all week and plenty of verification overwhelming bets money on Buffs and it drops

I don’t buy it. I’ll lose before taking that bait.

I got +3

good luck.

 

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Not betting this game but I feel like Nebraska is going to be better in the trenches and will be able to run the ball.

 

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Mark ingram has to be one of the worst pre game/post game hosts ever. I've seen enough of him and his dumb takes after 2 weeks already.

 

[Creeg]

5 outta 5 analysts on CBS picked Colorado by double digits. Need I say more?

 

[Serbone]

5 outta 5 analysts on CBS picked Colorado by double digits. Need I say more?

Guys drying my car at the car wash listened to the narratives, say it is a trap, they took Nebraska

 

[Creeg]

Good point. The tv analysts are prolly just scared of Deion calling them racists after the game they know it’s a trap.

 

[rwjr]

Nebraska not only covers .... they WIN this game ?

 

[Greenbacks]

Huskers driving