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Dunkel

Monday, March 11


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MONDAY, MARCH 11

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TOWS at COFC06:00 PMTOWS +6.0
U 139.5
+500 +500
UNO at LAM06:00 PMLAM -9.5
U 154.5
+500 +500
ETSU at SAM07:00 PMETSU +10.0
O 149.0
+500 +500
CLEVST at OAK07:00 PMOAK -5.5+500
ARST at JMU07:00 PMJMU -5.5
U 152.5
+500 +500
STT at SDST07:00 PMSDST -2.0
O 140.0
+500 +500
MTST at WEB07:30 PMWEB -7.5
U 140.5
+500 +500
STON at HOF08:30 PMSTON +7.0
O 140.5
+500 +500
TAMCOM at NICH08:30 PMTAMCOM +4.5
O 137.5
+500 +500
SCU at SMC09:00 PMSMC -10.5
U 135.5
+500 +500
MILW at NKU09:30 PMNKU -1.0+500
DEN at NEOM09:30 PMNEOM -1.5
U 154.5
+500 +500
PRST at MONT10:00 PMMONT -7.0
O 145.5
+500 +500
SF at GONZ11:30 PMGONZ -8.0
O 149.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
— Pistons 114, Hornets 97- Detroit shot 70.5% inside the arc.
— Suns 117, Cavaliers 111- Cleveland scored 70 in first half, 41 in second.
— Mavericks 127, Bulls 92- Doncic had yet another triple-double.
— Warriors 112, Spurs 102- Warriors outscored Spurs 32-18 in 3rd quarter.
— Nuggets 125, Raptors 119- Toronto led by 17 points at halftime.
— Celtics 121, Portland 99- Boston scored 121 points, had only 3 turnovers.

Quote of the Day
“I’m not going to sit here and tell you to never throw a sweeper or never throw a hard changeup. But at some point, you have to say, ‘OK, when we see a pitcher throwing that pitch more than 15% of the time, the likelihood of him having an injury to his shoulder or elbow goes (up), whatever, tenfold.’”
Dr. Keith Meister, who works for the Texas Rangers, talking about injuries to pitchers

Tuesday’s quiz
Which NFL team drafted Kirk Cousins?

Monday’s quiz
2010/2011 was last time the same team won the ACC Tournament two years in a row; Duke won both of those tournaments.

Sunday’s quiz
Dodgers (2017-18) are the last team to lose the World Series in consecutive years.

**********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……


— It is March 12 and the NFL is in the headlines, with free agency starting. NFL is genius at promoting their sport, unlike baseball, which does a terrible job giving their sport exposure.
Friday afternoon, Bronx-Toronto game is on MLB Network, but the game is blacked out on DirecTV, at the bar where I’m having lunch. Game must be on the YES Network, right?
Ummm…..no. Game couldn’t be found anywhere. Why?!?!?
1) baseball needs exposure, so people can see what a great game it is.
2) baseball needs to promote its stars (Judge, Guerrero, Soto, Bichette in this game)
3) There was nothing else good on TV Friday afternoon; you had a captive audience!!!
4) Stop with the blackouts; your sport needs exposure!!!
Oy.
An explanation I read Monday: the salary cap creates a buzz for signing earlier in the free agent process. Baseball has no salary cap, thus less urgency to get deals done early in the off-season.
Lot of stuff actually happened Monday; here are some highlights:

— Atlanta Falcons gave Kirk Cousins a 4-year, $180M contract; Cousins tore his achilles last year; he is 77-70 record as an NFL starter, 1-3 in playoff games.
Baltimore Ravens re-signed DL Justin Madubuike for four years, $98M.
Carolina Panthers traded DE Brian Burns to the Giants for 2nd/5th round picks; Giants then paid Burns $150M for five years.
New Jersey Jets gave K Greg Zuerlein a 2-year, $8.4M contract.
Philadelphia Eagles gave RB Saquon Barkley a 3-year, $37.75M contract.
Las Vegas Raiders gave DL Christian Wilkins $110M for four years.
Raiders also gave QB Gardner Minshew a 2-year, $25M contract.
Washington Commanders gave RB Austin Ekeler a 2-year, $11.4M deal.
Commanders also gave C Tyler Biadasz a 3-year, $30M contract.
Commanders gave K Brandon McManus a one-year, $3.6M deal.
Washington was $91.5M under the salary cap, so they’re going to be aggressive.
Green Bay Packers gave RB Josh Jacobs a 4-year, $48M deal.
Good day for offensive linemen:
LA Rams gave G Jonah Jackson a 3-year, $51M contract.
Carolina Panthers gave G Robert Hunt a 5-year, $100M deal.

Famous birthdays for March 12:
Jake Kupp, 83 (played OL for Saints; Cooper Kupp’s grandfather)
Liza Minelli, 78
James Taylor, 76
Mark Moseley, 76
Dale Murphy, 68
Darryl Strawberry, 62
Aaron Eckhart, 56

— Cy Young champ Gerrit Cole will have an MRI on his pitching elbow; he threw 39 pitches in a game March 1st, hasn’t appeared in game since.
Good news for fans of Blake Snell, Jordan Montgomery, two free agent pitchers who still don’t have a home for the coming season, which starts next week.
JD Martinez, Adam Duvall, Michael Lorenzen, Tommy Pham are also still available.

— San Francisco Giants signed 3B Matt Chapman last week, then they waived 3B JD Davis, after he beat the Giants last month in salary arbitration. Davis will get just over $1.1M in termination pay rather than a $6.9M salary. Whoops.

— 1B Joey Votto signed on with Toronto, after playing 17 years for the Reds. Votto was born and raised in Toronto.

— Red Sox gave P Brayan Bello a 6-year deal worth $55M.

Word of the Day: Shenanigans- secret, dishonest activity; mischief, trickery.

— Something to think about this week: over the last 12 NCAA Tournaments, the 48 teams who made the Final Four went 44-4 in their first conference tournament game, 33-11 in their second conference tournament game.
Overall, 22 of the last 48 Final Four teams won their conference tournament.

— Kansas Jayhawks’ two best players are banged up, won’t play in the Big X tournament this weekend in Kansas City.
Hunter Dickinson dislocated his shoulder over the weekend.
Kevin McCullar has a nagging bone bruise that has bothered him for weeks.

Sun Belt
James Madison 91, Arkansas State 71
Dukes have won 13 in a row; they get to the NCAAs for first time since 2013.
Playing for third night in a row, Dukes made 11-19 on the arc.

SoCon
Samford 76, East Tennessee State 69
Samford gets to the NCAA’s for first time since 2000.
Bulldogs are 29-5, playing tempo #14; they’re shooting 39.3% on arc (#7)

CAA
Charleston 61, Towson 56
Charleston had a 13-1 run over final 3:13 of the game.
Cougars won their last 11 games.
Stony Brook 63, Hofstra 59
#7-seed Seawolves were an 8.5-point underdog.
Their three games with local rival Hofstra (1-2) were decided by 6-1-4 points.

Horizon
Oakland 74, Cleveland State 71
Jack Gohlke was 7-14 on arc, scored 21 points off bench.
For season, Gohlke is 116-315 on 3-point shots, 4-8 on 2-point shots.
Milwaukee 82, Northern Kentucky 75
Northern Kentucky led by 15 points in first half.
Milwaukee out-rebounded the Norse, 50-28.
Panthers won their last six games.

Summit
South Dakota State 59, St Thomas 49
Only 59 possessions in this game; very slow pace.
Jackrabbits have won seven games in a row.
St Thomas finishes 20-13, in their 3rd season as a Division I team.
Denver 66, Omaha 63
Omaha led by 4 with 6:50 left in the game.
Pioneers survived going 8-17 on foul line.

Big Sky
Montana State 91, Weber State 82
MSU outscored Weber State 66-48 in second half.
Bobcats made 13-27 shots on the arc.
Bobcats were an 8.5-point underdog.
Montana 87, Portland State 81
Teams were tied with 14:33 left in the game.
Montana starts five seniors; they’ve got #34 eFG% in country.
Final Four of the Big Sky had the #’s 3-5-8-10 seeds.

WCC
Saint Mary’s 79, Santa Clara 65
Gaels shot 65.6% inside the arc.
Alex Ducas shot 7-11 on the arc for Saint Mary’s.
Gonzaga 89, San Francisco 77
Zags have won nine in a row, 14 of last 15 games.
Zags’ last seven wins were all by 12+ points.
For 12th time in last 16 years, WCC tournament final is Saint Mary’s-Gonzaga.
— Underdogs were 8-6 ATS in Monday’s tournament games; they have a 61-56 lead ATS in conference tournaments this month.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 12

Tuesday’s 5 interesting games
Big X tournament
(@ Kansas City)
Oklahoma State vs Central Florida
Oklahoma State (12-19, 4-14)
KenPom rating: 107
Tempo: 206
Experience: 180
Continuity: 277
OSU lost last five games, giving up 80.4 ppg
Cowboys are turning ball over 18.8% of time (#295)
OSU has #237 eFG% defense in country.
Cowboys are 5-4 in their last four Big X tournaments.
OSU is 3-16 vs top 100 teams.


Central Florida (30-3, 17-3)
KenPom rating: 61
Tempo: 124
Experience: 116
Continuity: 334
UCF split its last six games SU.
Knights have #31 eFG% defense in country.
Knights are forcing turnovers 20.6% of time (#29)
UCF went WL in five of its last six conference tourneys,
This is their first year in the Big X tournament.
Knights are 11-2 vs teams outside the top 100.


UCF (+3) won 77-71 at Oklahoma State 10 days ago.
That was teams’ first meeting as Big X rivals.


CAA tournament (@ Washington DC)
Stony Brook
vs Charleston (-4.5)
Stony Brook (20-14, 13-8)
KenPom rating: 173
Tempo: 163
Experience: 35
Continuity: 211
Stony Brook won four in row, six of last seven games.
Seawolves are playing 4th night in row.
Stony Brook’s PG played 39-45-40 minutes last three nights.
Seawolves are shooting 48.8% inside arc (#248)
Seawolves are 4-1 in first two CAA tournaments.
Last time Stony Brook was in NCAA’s: 2016.
Seawolves are 3-9 vs teams ranked in top 125.


Charleston (26-7, 17-3)
KenPom rating: 99
Tempo: 56
Experience: 219
Continuity: 251
Charleston won its last 11 games (5-1 ATS last six).
Cougars are playing for third night in a row.
Charleston played only one guy more than 27:00 Monday.
Charleston has #90 eFG% in the country.
Cougars are 12-7 vs teams ranked in the top 200.
Charleston is 10-4 in last 6+ CAA tourneys (won it in ’18, ‘23)
Five of Cougars’ last six wins were by 11+ points.


Charleston is 3-0 vs Stony Brook in CAA games, by 6-20-22 points.
Cougars (-6.5) won 93-87 at Stony Brook January 6.
Stony Brook led that game by 15 in the first half.


Horizon tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Milwaukee
vs Oakland
Milwaukee (20-14, 15-8)
KenPom rating: 223
Tempo: 54
Experience: 325
Continuity: 123
Milwaukee won its last six games, scoring 86.8 ppg.
Milwaukee was down 15 in first half Monday, won 82-75.
Panthers played four guys 31:00+ Monday.
Panthers are #321 team on defensive boards.
Panthers are #17 team on offensive boards.
Last time Milwaukee won this tournament: 2014.
Panthers are 9-10 vs teams ranked in top 200.


Oakland (22-11, 17-5)
KenPom rating: 138
Tempo: 232
Experience: 108
Continuity: 111
Oakland won 16 of its last 19 games.
Grizzlies played five guys 34:00+ Monday.
Oakland is 9-3 in games decided by 6 or less points.
Last time Oakland was in NCAAs was 2011; they won Summit League.
Grizzlies are 12-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
Oakland has a kid who is 116-315 shooting 3’s, 4-8 shooting 2’s.


Oakland beat Milwaukee twice this year, by 5-4 points.
Oakland won six of last nine series games.


Summit tournament (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
Denver vs South Dakota State
Denver (17-16, 8-10)
KenPom rating: 266
Tempo: 47
Experience: 162
Continuity: 192
Denver won its last two games, after a 2-8 skid.
Denver’s two wins in this tournament were by 1-3 points.
Pioneers played four guys 30:00+ Monday.
Pioneers have #331 eFG% defense in country.
Opponents are shooting 54.5% inside arc (#339)
Denver’s last four losses were all by 14+ points.
Pioneers are 2-6 vs teams ranked in top 200.


South Dakota State (21-12, 14-4)
KenPom rating: 137
Tempo: 146
Experience: 120
Continuity: 75
South Dakota State won its last seven games, last four by 10+ points.
Jackrabbits played all five starters 31:00+ Monday.
Jackrabbits are shooting 56.1% inside arc (#17)
South Dakota State is #52 team on defensive boards.
South Dakota State has #22 eFG% in the country.
South Dakota State is 13-5 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
Jackrabbits won this tournament four of last seven years.


Home team won both meetings this season.
South Dakota State won 18 of last 19 series games.


WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
Gonzaga
vs Saint Mary’s
Gonzaga (25-6, 15-2)
KenPom rating: 15
Tempo: 81
Experience: 132
Continuity: 218
Gonzaga won nine in row, 14 of last 15 games.
Zags are shooting 62.5% inside arc in WCC games.
Gonzaga has #8 eFG% in the country.
Gonzaga has #27 eFG% defense in the country.
Zags are 8-5 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
Gonzaga is 42-4 in its last 46 WCC tourney games.
Zags aren’t deep; they played four guys 36:00+ Monday.


Saint Mary’s (25-7, 16-1)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 358
Experience: 176
Continuity: 33
Saint Mary’s won 17 of its last 18 games (7-2 ATS last nine)
Opponents are shooting 43.3% inside arc (#3)
Saint Mary’s is #3 team in country on offensive boards.
Saint Mary’s is #2 team in country on defensive boards.
Gaels are 10-5 vs teams ranked in the top 125.
Saint Mary’s is 3-9 in last 12 WCC tourney games vs Gonzaga
Gaels played four starters 32:00+ last night.


Road team won both series games this season.
Gonzaga is 4-3 in last seven meetings, after a 14-2 run.
 

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Tuesday, March 12


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TUESDAY, MARCH 12

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
DAV at FOR11:30 AMFOR +3.5
U 134.0
+500 +500
OKST at UCF12:30 PMUCF -4.0
U 136.5
+500 +500
GW at LAS02:00 PMLAS -2.0
U 147.5
+500 +500
GT at ND02:00 PMGT +1.5
O 130.5
+500 +500
WVU at CIN03:00 PMWVU +11.0
O 144.0
+500 +500
SLU at URI04:30 PMSLU -2.5
O 155.5
+500 +500
LOU at NCST04:30 PMNCST -9.5
U 148.5
+500 +500
UNH at UVM05:00 PMUNH +14.5
U 137.0
+500 +500
CAN at MSM05:15 PMCAN +3.5
O 137.0
+500 +500
BRY at UMASS06:00 PMUMASS -6.5
O 159.5
+500 +500
LAM at MCNS06:30 PMLAM +14.0
O 141.0
+500 +500
WAG at MW07:00 PMMW -7.5
U 118.5
+500 +500
MILW at OAK07:00 PMMILW +4.5
U 152.0
+500 +500
MIA at BC07:00 PMBC +2.0
U 147.0
+500 +500
STON at COFC07:00 PMSTON +10.0
U 150.0
+500 +500
MAN at IONA07:30 PMIONA -8.0
O 137.0
+500 +500
CSUS at MTST08:30 PMMTST -5.5
U 134.5
+500 +500
GONZ at SMC09:00 PMSMC +3.5
O 138.5
+500 +500
FIU at JVST09:00 PMJVST -4.0+500
NICH at AMCC09:00 PMAMCC -4.0
U 137.5
+500 +500
DEN at SDST09:30 PMSDST -9.5
O 156.0
+500 +500
SIE at NIAG09:45 PMSIE +10.0
O 130.0
+500 +500
IDST at MONT11:00 PMMONT -6.5
U 139.5
+500 +500
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Six of the best prospects for the Seattle Mariners
— Cole Young, SS
— Harry Ford, C
— Colt Emerson, SS
— Lazaro Montes, OF
— Gabriel Gonzalez, OF
— Tyler Locklear, 1B

Quote of the Day
“If we had some sort of revenue sharing proposition that did not make student-athletes employees … I think that may be the long-term solution.”
Nick Saban, talking about competitive balance issues in college sports

Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, who has scored the most runs?

Tuesday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins in the 4th round of the 2012 draft, the same year they drafted Robert Griffin III in the first round.

Monday’s quiz
2010/2011 was last time the same team won the ACC Tournament two years in a row; Duke won both of those tournaments.

****************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

WCC
Saint Mary’s 69, Gonzaga 60

Gaels win WCC tournament for first time since 2019.
How did Saint Mary’s do in NCAA’s, after winning WCC title?
2010- #10-seed, made Sweet 16, lost 72-49 to Baylor in Sweet 16.
2012- #7-seed, lost 72-69 (-2) to Purdue in first round.
2019- #11-seed, lost 61-57 (+4) in first round, to Villanova

Horizon
Oakland 83, Milwaukee 76

Grizzlies win Horizon title for first time.
Last time Oakland made NCAA’s was 2011; they were in Summit League then.

Oakland is 17-3 in its last 20 games, after a 6-8 start.
Summit
South Dakota State 76, Denver 68

Jackrabbits are in NCAA’s for 7th time in last 13 years.
South Dakota State has won eight games in a row.
Opponents get 40.8% of their points on 3’s, the most against anyone in country.

CAA
Charleston 82, Stony Brook 79 OT

Charleston has won 12 games in a row, 2 CAA titles in a row.
Cougars won, after blowing a 10-point second half lead.
Good shooting: Charleston was 13-30 on arc, Stony Brook 15-35.

NEC
Wagner 54, Merrimack 47

Seahawks win NEC title, after losing 4 of last 5 regular season games.
Wagner is in the NCAA’s for first time since 2003, when Dereck Whittenberg was coach.

Atlantic 15
Saint Louis 74, Rhode Island 71

URI led 64-59 with 5:47 left in the game.
Billikens advance to play Duquesne tomorrow.

Big X
Cincinnati 90, West Virginia 85

Bearcats trailed 64-48 with 11:45 left in game.
Cincinnati advances to play banged-up Kansas tomorrow.

Famous birthdays for March 13:
William H Macy, 74
Dana Delany, 68
Will Clark, 60
Johan Santana, 45
Trent Dilfer, 52
Caron Butler, 44
Coco Gauff, 20

— College basketball coaching carousel:
Coastal Carolina hired Western Carolina coach Justin Gray.
Hampton fired Edward Joyner; they went 17-48/8-28 in two years in the CAA
Louisville is going to fire Kenny Payne, after going 12-52 the last two years.
Missouri State fired Dana Ford; Bears were over .500 the last four years.

— One of Colgate’s subs is the son of former NBA coach PJ Carlesimo.

— Stetson coach Donnie Jones is in the NCAA’s for first time in his 14 years as a head coach, but Jones was an assistant at Florida when they won back-to-back national titles in 2006/2007.

Word of the Day: Enthusiasm- a feeling of excitement, passion for something.

NFL knowledge…….
— New England signed QB Jacoby Brissett to a 1-year deal, with base salary of $8M. This suggests that the Patriots will draft a QB, and Brissett will start the rookie is ready to roll.

— Minnesota signed QB Sam Darnold to a one-year deal; he’s already played for three teams in his first six NFL seasons. Vikings will be his 4th team. Darnold is 21-35 as an NFL starter.

Vikings also signed RB Aaron Jones for one year, $7M.

— Baltimore Ravens signed RB Derrick Henry to a 2-year, $16M deal.

— Bengals traded RB Joe Mixon to Houston, saving $6.1M on the salary cap.

— Cleveland Browns signed QB James Winston.

— Washington Commanders signed QB Marcus Mariota.

— Underdogs were 11-6 ATS in Tuesday’s college basketball tournament games; they have a 72-62 lead ATS in conference tournaments this month.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 13

Wednesday’s 5 interesting games
Big X tournament
(@ Kansas City)
BYU (-5.5) vs Central Florida
BYU (22-9, 10-8)
KenPom rating: 16
Tempo: 88
Experience: 133
Continuity: 28
BYU won three of its last four games.
Cougars are 5-6 ATS as a Big X favorite this year.
BYU is shooting 58.3% inside arc (#7).
Since 2007, BYU is 14-3 in its first conference tournament game.
BYU is 10-8 vs top 100 teams.


Central Florida (17-14, 8-11)
KenPom rating: 57
Tempo: 122
Experience: 116
Continuity: 334
UCF is 4-3 in its last seven games SU.
UCF is 10-4 ATS as a Big X underdog.
Knights have #27 eFG% defense in country.
Knights are forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#31)
UCF went WL in five of its last six conference tourneys.
Knights played nine guys 11:00+ yesterday.
This is their first year in the Big X tournament.
Knights are 11-2 vs teams in the top 100.


Both teams are in their first season in the Big X.
BYU beat Central Florida twice TY, 63-58/90-88
In their last meeting, BYU was 40-46 on the foul line.


Oklahoma vs TCU (-2.5)
Oklahoma (20-11, 8-10)
KenPom rating: 40
Tempo: 217
Experience: 157
Continuity: 274
Oklahoma lost five of its last seven games.
Sooners are 4-6 ATS this year as a Big X underdog.
Oklahoma has #34 eFG% defense in the country.
Oklahoma is shooting 53.8% inside arc (#50)
Since 2009, Sooners are 4-14 in the Big X tournament.
Oklahoma is 8-11 vs teams in the top 50.


TCU (20-11, 9-9)
KenPom rating: 33
Tempo: 62
Experience: 3
Continuity: 140
TCU lost four of its last six games.
Horned Frogs are 7-4 ATS as a Big X favorite this year.
TCU is forcing turnovers 20.7% of time (#28)
Horned Frogs are shooting 36.4% on arc (#49)
TCU is #25 team on offensive boards.
Horned Frogs are 6-11 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
Since 2015, TCU is 6-3 in its first Big X tournament game of a year.


Oklahoma (+4) lost 80-71 at TCU January 10.
Horned Frogs won four of last five series games.

Kansas State
vs Texas (-4.5)
Kansas State (18-13, 8-10)
KenPom rating: 68
Tempo: 194
Experience: 145
Continuity: 303
K-State split its last six games SU.
Wildcats are 7-3 ATS as a Big X underdog.
K-State lost its last eight games away from home (4-4 ATS)
Wildcats are turning ball over 21.2% of time (#349).
K-State is #272 team on offensive boards.
Since 2014, K-State is 6-9 in Big X tournaments.
Wildcats are 5-10 vs teams ranked in top 50.


Texas (20-11, 9-9)
KenPom rating: 23
Tempo: 203
Experience: 4
Continuity: 154
Texas won three of its last four games.
Longhorns are 3-6 ATS as a Big X favorite.
Texas has #47 eFG% in country.
Opponents are shooting 47.3% inside arc (#53)
Longhorns are 8-10 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Texas won Big X tourney LY (from 2012-22, they were 8-9)


Texas (-9.5) beat K-State 62-56 at home February 19.
Texas won seven of last nine series games.


Big Sky tournament (@ Boise)
Montana vs Montana State
Montana (23-10, 14-6)
KenPom rating: 145
Tempo: 259
Experience: 30 (start 5 seniors)
Continuity: 37
Montana won seven of its last eight games.
Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a favorite.
Montana is shooting 55.2% inside the arc (#25)
Last six games, Grizzlies scored 79.8 ppg.
Montana is playing for third night in a row.
Last night, Montana played all 5 starters 32:00+.
Grizzlies are 17-26 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
Since 2018, Montana is 11-3 in Big Sky tourneys (last title, 2019)


Montana State (16-17, 11-9)
KenPom rating: 230
Tempo: 98
Experience: 208
Continuity: 257
Montana State won 5 of last 7 games, after an 11-15 start.
Bobcats are 8-1 ATS last nine games as an underdog.
Opponents are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#333).
Bobcats are shooting 36.8% on the arc (#35)
Montana State is 5-9 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
MSU won this event last two years; have different coach now.


Montana won both meetings this year, 87-77/88-69
Grizzlies won nine of last 12 series games.


Big West tournament (@ Henderson, NV)
Cal-Northridge
vs Cal-Santa Barbara
Cal-Northridge (18-14, 9-11)
KenPom rating: 235
Tempo: 9
Experience: 220
Continuity: 236
CSUN lost five of its last six games.
Matadors are 7-6 ATS as a Big West underdog.
CSUN is turning ball over 19.3% of time (#314)
CSUN has #257 eFG% in the country.
CSUN has #64 eFG% defense in the country.
Since 2015, Matadors are 0-6 in Big West tourney.
CSUN is 13-4 vs teams ranked outside the top 200.


Cal-Santa Barbara (16-14, 9-11)
KenPom rating: 201
Tempo: 186
Experience: 241
Continuity: 157
UCSB lost six of its last nine games.
Gauchos are 4-10 ATS as a Big West favorite.
UCSB is #315 at turning ball over, #328 at forcing turnovers.
Gauchos have #52 eFG%.
UCSB won Big West tourney two of last three years.
UCSB is 9-6 vs teams ranked outside top 200.


Road team won both series games this season.
Teams split their last 12 meetings.
 

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Wednesday, March 13


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Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 13

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
STJOE at GMU11:30 AMSTJOE +1.0
U 135.5
+500 +500
FSU at VT12:00 PMVT -4.0
U 153.0
+500 +500
UCF at BYU12:30 PMUCF +6.0
O 146.0
+500 +500
RICE at WICH01:00 PMRICE +3.0
U 140.0
+500 +500
FOR at VCU02:00 PMVCU -8.5
U 133.5
+500 +500
FRES at WYO02:00 PMWYO -6.0
U 138.5
+500 +500
ND at WAKE02:30 PMND +9.5
O 136.0
+500 +500
OKLA at TCU03:00 PMTCU -3.5
U 143.0
+500 +500
UTSA at TEM03:00 PMUTSA -1.5
U 149.5
+500 +500
AAMU at ALCN03:00 PMAAMU +4.0
O 139.0
+500 +500
USC at WASH03:00 PMUSC -3.5
O 154.0
+500 +500
XAV at BUT04:00 PMXAV -1.0
U 150.5
+500 +500
SJSU at CSU04:30 PMCSU -14.5
U 138.0
+500 +500
NICH at MCNS05:00 PMNICH +17.5
U 137.0
+500 +500
ORST at UCLA05:30 PMUCLA -6.5
U 126.5
+500 +500
COPP at NORF06:00 PMCOPP +13.0
O 129.5
+500 +500
CAN at QUIN06:30 PMCAN +6.5
O 144.5
+500 +500
FIU at SHSU06:30 PMSHSU -7.0+500
RUTG at MD06:30 PMRUTG +3.5
U 125.5
+500 +500
GTWN at PROV06:30 PMGTWN +10.0
U 143.0
+500 +500
KSU at TEX07:00 PMTEX -4.5
U 141.5
+500 +500
LEH at COLG07:00 PMCOLG -8.5
U 134.5
+500 +500
NCST at SYR07:00 PMSYR -2.0
U 152.0
+500 +500
AFA at UNM07:00 PMAFA +15.0
O 145.0
+500 +500
VAN at ARK07:00 PMVAN +6.5
U 149.0
+500 +500
SLU at DUQ07:30 PMSLU +8.0
O 147.0
+500 +500
UMES at NCCU08:00 PMNCCU -10.0
U 134.0
+500 +500
IONA at FAIR09:00 PMFAIR -5.0
O 145.5
+500 +500
DEP at VILL09:00 PMDEP +22.5
O 136.5
+500 +500
CSB at UCRV09:00 PMUCRV -2.0
U 131.5
+500 +500
MTU at LT09:00 PMMTU +9.0
O 132.5
+500 +500
MICH at PSU09:00 PMPSU -6.5
U 149.0
+500 +500
STAN at CAL09:00 PMCAL +2.0
O 150.0
+500 +500
CALBA at UVU09:00 PMUVU -4.5
O 128.0
+500 +500
CIN at KU09:30 PMCIN -2.5
U 136.5
+500 +500
MIZZ at UGA09:30 PMUGA -2.5
U 147.0
+500 +500
ALST at GRAM09:30 PMGRAM -2.0
U 128.5
+500 +500
BC at CLEM09:30 PMCLEM -7.0
O 145.5
+500 +500
CSN at UCSB11:30 PMCSN +3.5
U 150.0
+500 +500
ASU at UTAH11:30 PMASU +6.0
O 144.5
+500 +500
MTST at MONT11:30 PMMTST +6.0
U 145.5
+500 +500
ACU at SFA11:30 PMSFA -3.0
U 139.5
+500 +500
 

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Joined
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Messages
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Thursday’s 6-pack:
— Pistons 113, Raptors 104- Jalen Duren had 24 points, 23 rebounds.
— Bulls 132, Pacers 129, OT- Bulls’ starters were +69; their subs, minus-54.
— Nuggets 100, Heat 88- Denver outscored Miami 28-17 in 4th quarter.
— Magic 114, Nets 106- Orlando made 14 of 32 shots on the arc.
— Hornets 110, Grizzlies 98- Charlotte played only 3 subs; they were +31.
— Cavaliers 116, Pelicans 95- Darius Garland had 27 points, 11 assists.

Quote of the Day
“Every day of my life I think about that home run. Wouldn’t you?”
Bill Mazeroski, who hit a walk-off home run to end the 1960 World Series

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Kirk Cousins play his college football?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, Edgar Martinez has scored the most runs.

Tuesday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins in the 4th round of the 2012 draft, the same year they drafted Robert Griffin III in the first round.

****************************************

Thursday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Wednesday

Big X
Cincinnati 72, Kansas 52

Playing without its two best players, Kansas shot 3-20 on the arc.
Jayhawks lost four of their last five games.
Kansas State 78, Texas 74
K-State was only team Wednesday that was outside the Field of 68, and beat a team that is (right now) in the Field of 68.

ACC
Boston College 76, Clemson 55

BC won decisively the last two nights, by 16-21 points.
Wake Forest 72, Notre Dame 59
Wake Forest-Pitt Thursday seems like an elimination game.

SEC
Arkansas 90, Vanderbilt 85 OT

Vandy led by 15 with 16:55 left in game.
Arkansas’ Khalif Battle was 13-14 on foul line.
Vandy’s whole team was 13-21 on foul line.

Big East
Xavier 76, Butler 72

Bulldogs lost six of their last eight games.
Subs in this game scored a combined total of only 5 points.

Pac-12
USC 80, Washington 74

USC is 14-12 when Collier plays, 1-5 when he doesn’t.
Trojans shot 56% inside the arc.

Big Sky
Montana State 85, Montana 70

Montana State was +12 in turnovers (15-3)
Bobcats win Big Sky tournament for third year in a row.
Favored Montana led 38-32 at halftime.

Patriot
Colgate 74, Lehigh 55

Raiders shot 74.3% inside the arc.
Colgate has won this league five of last six years.

Southland
McNeese State 92, Nicholls State 76

Cowboys are in NCAAs for first time since 2002.
McNeese has won 25 of its last 26 games- they won at VCU, UAB.

Big West
Cal-Riverside 83, Cal-Bakersfield 78

Bakersfield led 40-21 late in first half.
Riverside was 24-34 on foul line, Roadrunners 9-11.

MAAC
Fairfield 68, Iona 63

Gaels had won six of previous eight MAAC tournaments.
Fairfield started season 1-6, is 20-5 since then.

— Only two teams have won 25+ games the last four years:
Houston and………..the Drake Bulldogs.

— Good news/bad news for Marquette basketball:
Marquette coach Shaka Smart is 22-9 SU in conference tournament games.
Marquette’s star G Tyler Kolek (oblique) isn’t playing this week, so they’re a long shot to win the Big East tournament this year.

Famous birthdays for March 14:
Michael Caine, 91
Billy Crystal, 76
Dave McKay, 74
Larry Johnson, 55
Corey Stoll, 48
Steph Curry, 36
Albert Einstein was born on this day, 145 years ago.

— Knicks are first NBA team since 2012 to hold three straight opponents under 80 points.

— A #5-seed has never won the NCAA Tournament:
#4’s- UConn 2023, Arizona 1997
#6’s- Kansas, 1988
#7’s- UConn 2014
#8’s- Villanova, 1985

— 14 conference tournaments are finished; here are the winners, by seeds:
#1-seeds- 7
#2’s- 3
#3’s- 1 (Morehead State, OVC)
#5’s- 2 (Longwood Big South, Montana State Big Sky)
#6’s- 1 (Wagner, NEC)

Word of the Day: Integrity- being honest and having strong moral principles.

Baseball stuff……
— White Sox traded P Dylan Cease to San Diego, for three prospects and another player.

— Bronx ace Gerrit Cole has an elbow issue, is out at least 1-2 months.

— With all the pitching injuries, I’m surprised an older pitcher or two hasn’t tried to become a knuckleball pitcher, to prolong his big league career.
Tim Wakefield, RA Dickey are the most recent pitchers who had success with the knuckler; Matt Waldron of the Padres dabbles with it these days.

NFL stuff…….
— backup QB happenings……..
Jets signed Tyrod Taylor
Colts signed Joe Flacco
Titans signed Mason Rudolph
Bears signed Brett Rypien

— Tennessee also signed WR Calvin Ridley, for four years, $92M.

— Chargers released WR Mike Williams, saving $20M on the salary cap. Williams was a Charger for seven years, catching 309 passes for 4,806 yards and 31 TD’s.

— Washington signed LB Bobby Wagner for one year, $8.5M ($6M guaranteed).

— Rams signed CB Darious Williams, who helped LA win a Super Bowl three years ago, before going off to Jacksonville.
 

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 14

Thursday’s 5 interesting games
Big X tournament
(@ Kansas City)
BYU (-1.5) vs Texas Tech
BYU (23-9, 11-8)
KenPom rating: 15
Tempo: 92
Experience: 131
Continuity: 28
BYU won four of its last five games.
BYU had fairly easy win yesterday, shooting 14-30 on arc.
Only one Cougar played more than 29:00.
Cougars are 6-6 ATS as a Big X favorite this year.
BYU is shooting 58.0% inside arc (#8).
Since 2014, BYU is 13-10 in conference tourney games, 4-8 after 1st round.
BYU is 11-8 vs top 100 teams.


Texas Tech (22-9, 11-7)
KenPom rating: 23
Tempo: 248
Experience: 85
Continuity: 289
Texas Tech won its last three games, scoring 78 ppg.
Red Raiders are shooting 36.3% on the arc (#49)
Tech is #255 team on the defensive boards.
Red Raiders are 6-7 vs teams in the top 50.
since 2014, Tech is 3-9 in Big X tourney games.


Texas Tech (-2.5) beat BYU 85-78 at home January 20.
BYU led that game 35-18 in first half.
That was their first and only meeting as Big X rivals.


Kansas State vs Iowa State
Kansas State (19-13, 9-10)
KenPom rating: 65
Tempo: 183
Experience: 145
Continuity: 303
K-State won four its last six games SU.
Wildcats are 8-3 ATS as a Big X underdog.
K-State outscored Texas 49-35 in second half yesterday.
Wildcats played three starters 34:00+.
Wildcats are turning ball over 21% of time (#346).
K-State is #250 team on defensive boards.
Since 2014, K-State is 7-9 in Big X tournaments.
Wildcats are 6-10 vs teams ranked in top 50.

Iowa State (24-7, 13-5)
KenPom rating: 11
Tempo: 174
Experience: 124
Continuity: 199
Iowa State won eight of its last ten games.
Cyclones are 6-4 ATS as Big X favorites.
Iowa State is forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#2)
Cyclones are 13-7 vs teams in top 100.
Last four years, Iowa State is 1-3 in Big X tournament.
From 2014-19, ISU won this tournament 4 times in 6 years.


Home team won both meetings this season.
Cyclones (-3.5) lost 65-58 at K-State five days ago.
Teams split the last six series games.


Big East tournament (@ Madison Square Garden)
Seton Hall
at St John’s (-4.5)
Seton Hall (20-11, 13-7)
KenPom rating: 56
Tempo: 266
Experience: 11
Continuity: 194
Seton Hall won five of its last seven games.
Pirates are 1-5 ATS last six games as an underdog.
Seton Hall is #17 team in country on offensive boards.
Pirates are turning ball over 18.7% of time (#292)
Since 2018, Seton Hall is 3-6 in the Big East tournament.
Seton Hall is 9-10 vs teams in the top 100.


St John’s (19-12, 11-9)
KenPom rating: 29
Tempo: 84
Experience: 9
Continuity: 333
St John’s won its last five games, scoring 88.4 ppg.
Red Storm are #6 team in country on offensive boards.
St John’s is 5-6 as Big East favorites.
Red Storm is 5-6 in games decided by 6 or less points.
St John’s is 9-11 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
St John’s went WL in five of last six Big East tournaments.


Seton Hall beat St John’s twice this year, 80-65/68-62
Pirates won nine of last 11 series games.

ACC tournament
Wake Forest
(-2.5) vs Pitt
Wake Forest (20-12, 12-9)
KenPom rating: 24
Tempo: 137
Experience: 149
Continuity: 172
Wake Forest lost three of its last five games SU.
Deacons are 9-5 ATS as an ACC favorite.
Wake Forest has #32 eFG% in the country.
Deacons are #61 team on defensive boards.
Last six years, Wake is 1-6 in ACC tournaments.
Deacons are 4-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.


Pitt (21-10, 12-8)
KenPom rating: 46
Tempo: 286
Experience: 133
Continuity: 213
Pitt won nine of its last 11 games.
Panthers are 4-5 ATS as ACC underdogs.
Pitt is #9 team in country on defensive boards.
Panthers are shooting 35.7% inside arc (#84)
Panthers are 2-6 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Pitt is 6-4 in its first game of an ACC tournament.


Home team won both meetings this season.
Wake (-6.5) won last meeting 91-58 February 20.
Deacons are 7-4 in last eleven series games.


Pac-12 tournament (@ Las Vegas, NV)
Utah
vs Colorado
Utah (19-13, 10-11)
KenPom rating: 51
Tempo: 67
Experience: 77
Continuity: 109
Utah split its last eight games.
Utes are 3-4 ATS as Pac-12 underdogs.
Utah has #49 eFG% in country.
Utes had easy win last nite; they led 47-22 at halftime.
Since 2017, Utah is 2-7 in Pac-12 tourney.
Utah is 9-9 vs teams ranked in the top 100.


Colorado (22-9, 13-7)
KenPom rating: 26
Tempo: 147
Experience: 181
Continuity: 58
Colorado won its last six games.
Buffs are 6-10-1 ATS as a Pac-12 favorite.
Colorado has #15 eFG% in the country.
Buffs are #11 team in country on defensive boards.
since 2011, Buffs are 12-1 in their first Pac-12 tourney game.
Colorado is 9-7 vs teams ranked in top 100.


Home team won both meetings this season.
Colorado won four of last six series games.
 

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