NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, January 13
Saturday’s 5 interesting games
St John’s @ Creighton (-7.5)
St John’s (12-4, 4-1)
KenPom rating: 35
Tempo: 74
Experience: 5
Continuity: 329
St John’s won its last four games, scoring 81.5 ppg.
Red Storm is grabbing 41.2% of its missed shots (#3)
St John’s is 4-2 vs top 50 teams.
St John’s losses this year are by 16-7-6-4 points.
Creighton (12-4, 3-2)
KenPom rating: 13
Tempo: 258
Experience: 12
Continuity: 35
Creighton won its last three games, giving up 60-60-58 points.
Bluejays are shooting 62.2% inside arc (#3)
Bluejays are 12-0 if they score 69+ points, 0-4 if they do not.
Creighton is 4-3 vs top 50 teams.
Creighton won last six series games.
St John’s lost last four visits to Omaha, by 12-18-23-28 points.
Big East home favorites of 6+ points are 3-9 ATS.
Houston (-3.5) @ TCU
Houston (14-1, 1-1)
KenPom rating: 1
Tempo: 337
Experience: 105
Continuity: 123
Houston lost its last game, 57-53 at Iowa State.
Cougars are forcing turnovers 27.2% of time (#1)
Houston also has #1 eFG% defense in country.
Houston is 4-1 against top 100 teams.
TCU (12-3, 1-1)
KenPom rating: 28
Tempo: 29
Experience: 3
Continuity: 134
TCU is 1-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 8-13-2 points.
Frogs are forcing turnovers 22.8% of time (#12)
TCU is #31 team in country on offensive boards.
TCU is 3-3 if it allows 74+ points, 9-0 if they allow less than 74.
These teams haven’t met since 2012.
Big X home underdogs are 3-1 ATS.
Alabama @ Mississippi State (-2.5)
Alabama (10-5, 2-0)
KenPom rating: 8
Tempo: 40
Experience: 69
Continuity: 276
Alabama won its last four games, three of them by 27+ points.
Alabama split two road tilts (L82-85 Creighton/W78-75 Vandy)
Alabama has #4 eFG% in country.
Crimson Tide is 4-5 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Mississippi State (12-3, 1-1)
KenPom rating: 25
Tempo: 169
Experience: 60
Continuity: 54
Miss State won six of its last seven games.
Bulldogs are 5-1 against teams in top 100.
Miss State has #10 eFG% defense in country.
Miss State is turning ball over 19% of time (#255)
Alabama won seven of last eight series games.
Crimson Tide beat MSU 72-49 in SEC tourney LY.
Alabama lost four of last six visits to Starkville.
SEC single digit favorites are 3-6 ATS this season.
San Diego State @ New Mexico (-3.5)
San Diego State (14-2, 3-0)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 217
Experience: 52
Continuity: 126
San Diego State won its last six D-I games.
Aztecs are 3-0 in MW, winning by 27-11-3 points.
San Diego State is 6-2 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Aztecs are 5-1 in games decided by 6 or less points, or in OT.
New Mexico (13-3, 1-2)
KenPom rating: 43
Tempo: 17
Experience: 71
Continuity: 262
New Mexico lost two of last three games, after a 12-1 start.
Lobos are 1-3 vs teams ranked in top 100.
New Mexico is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#19)
Lobos are shooting 68.5% on foul line (#275)
San Diego State won six of last eight series games.
Aztecs lost three of last five visits to Albuquerque.
Mountain West home favorites are 5-3 ATS.
Saint Mary’s (-5.5) @ Santa Clara
Saint Mary’s (12-6, 3-0)
KenPom rating: 46
Tempo: 351
Experience: 184
Continuity: 38
Saint Mary’s won four in row, nine of last ten games.
Gaels have #26 eFG% defense.
Gaels are 3-4 vs top 125 teams.
Saint Mary’s is #6 team in country on offensive boards.
Santa Clara (12-6, 3-0)
KenPom rating: 109
Tempo: 77
Experience: 170
Continuity: 322
Santa Clara is coming off of its upset of Gonzaga.
Broncos are 4-3 vs teams ranked in top 100
Santa Clara is 11-1 when it allows less than 80 points.
First three WCC opponents have shot 19.7% on arc vs Broncos.
Saint Mary’s is 5-3 in last eight series games.
Gaels won six of last seven visits to Santa Clara.
WCC home underdogs are 4-2 ATS