NCAA HOOPS 151

[one51rum]

Montana state -3 at Denver.....

Montana state is picked to win their conf this year, 3 starters back, and 3 other rotation players back from their championship team last year and all conf Forward Goracke , they do have a solid team , and I like that Mont st has opened the season going to Wisconsin and Wichita st, losing by 12 at Wisconsin is not that bad, ...Denver giving up 84 pts a game and not playing the really good teams says a lot, Mont st is taking about 6 more shots a game but making only 2 more , but they are making a lot of 3's early on as they are averaging 12 a game , and Denver just 5 , and Denver is giving up almost 10 steals a game and 18 turnovers a game so far , and they have won both home games but against div 2 or 3 schools and this is not one of those I'll lay the -120 juice and lay 3 here, should get this by 7+

Mont st -3 -120

 

[one51rum]

also looking at Lipscomb at W Kentucky Lipscomb should be like +3.5 to 4 just like how they are playing, and Clemson has to take their unbeaten record and travel out to Boise st, that should be good, and the Liberty/COC game should be a good one I have to sleep hopefully still up days like this in FB will make ya not sleep I swear

lets go NFL

 

[one51rum]

Going to go and Take Lipscomb +5.5 -120 they are +5 -115 I liked them early in the morning when I mentioned them, line has went up a point, so its going against me here, lots of stats I like with Lipscomb here today, they are shooting better than WKY 46% to 42% shooting the 2 at 53% to 49%, and shooting the 3 at 36.7% to 30.4% and WKY is avg 22 fouls a game to 14 for Lipscomb, and turnovers WKY is commiting 15 a game to 12 for Lip so a few things there

Lipscomb +5.5

Mont st -3 bet at like 2 am or something

and also a late game tonight U Mass Lowell +10 at Washington long travel but this team in the past has done well , they just got killed by Gonzaga 113-54 that's bad so I expect a much more focused team , Washington just beat Seattle Pacific at home by like 13 U Mass Lowell much better team and have a bad taste in their mouth right now

U Mass Lowell+10

 

[one51rum]

OVER 160 Will Mary/Ga southern should be a higher scoring game, Lean to Ga southern also here, they have won

 

[one51rum]

OVER 160 Will Mary/Ga southern should be a higher scoring game, Lean to Ga southern also here, they have won

4 of 5 only loss was at UNC Wilmington by 6

 

[one51rum]

we got 93 pts at halftime needing 68 more

 

[one51rum]

Lipscomb +5.5
OVER 160 Will Mary/Ga southern
U Mass Lowell+10
Mont st -3

 

[one51rum]

late add stone hill -2

 

[one51rum]

late add stone hill -2

its in

 

[one51rum]

Holy Cross -4 bought down a half NK 0-4 ats as a dog also

 

[one51rum]

Lipscomb +5.5
OVER 160 Will Mary/Ga southern WIN
U Mass Lowell+10
Mont st -3
stone hill -2
Holy Cross -4 bought a half

 

[one51rum]

way too focused on FB today late last night I said with Clemson traveling all the way to Boise that Boise could be worth a look and I forget all about it and Boise is up 10 with 2 mins left Mudder fudder

 

[one51rum]

Cal Poly @ E Washington .....well Cal Poly has not won a road game yet, both teams beat Seattle at home, E Washington did play well at Missouri losing by 7 84-77, in a game where EWU only took 12 ft's making 10 compared to Missouri taking 31 making 22, that's huge...and in the game EWU was down 13 at half and then came all the way back and were down 72-70 with 5 mins left in the game, last 5 mins it stayed about a 7 pt game all the way, but they did outscore Missouri by 6 in 2nd half, and it does show some fight, to go to an SEC school and play well, and they did not get any calls , and they shot over 51% for the game, and they had more assist also, a team that has a lot of assist is a good thing, and they do avg 17 assist a game to 12 for Cal Poly, they are making about 28 shots a game to 25 for Cal Poly, and away Cal Poly is avg 18 turnovers a game, and EWU at home just 6, ..at home EWU is avg 23 assist a game, at home they are shooting 57%, CP away is shooting 39% ..EWU has a +7 score margin at home and away CP has a -13... good amount of stats here to go ahead and take EWU -4 buying the half pt , and this should be a higher scoring game, EWU at home can score and shoots well ..total is 158

EWU-4 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

got my 1st half pt winner in Hoops this year with Lipscomb and now Holy cross is up 2 28 sec's left, laying 4 and they just turned it over go figure

wondering if Cal can cover 8 at USC, I mean Idaho st played USC really well at USC losing by just 6 and that was only because Idaho st had 17 turnovers to just 8 for USC which lead to 12 extra shots for USC, , keep an eye on Idaho st, they also played well on the road at Arizona st losing by just 7, and tomorrow they play Fullerton st at Fullerton , Fullerton has not won yet but played 4 road games against better teams, but closest they have gotten to anyone is 10 pts at Grand Canyon, thinking Idaho st may be worth a look as a Pick'em , both teams picked near the bottom of their conf's but have to give credit to Idaho state being able to stay close on the road vs Better teams

friggin Holy Cross wins by 2 , they fell behind at half by 7 and then won 2nd half by 9 ,

 

[one51rum]

MONDAY.
IDAHO ST PK. 1 UNIT.

TEAM HAS PLAYED REALLY WELL ON ROAD THIS YEAR....AT USC, AT ARIZONA ST. NOW AT FULLERTON ST. THEY SHOULD WIN THIS GAME.

 

[one51rum]

Idaho st +4 this line opened last night at Idaho st pk, and it has moved 3.5 to 4 pts I will go against the money here, they have played well, on the road like I wrote it cost me 14 to cancel my wager but I am grabbing 4 more pts here , very nice to see that Cal won outright , and U Mass Lowell covered by 4 pts I think

Idaho st +4

 

[one51rum]

3-4 yesterday in hoops and typical hoops so many games that were really close, for one Mont st, how they got down by so much in the 1st half was crazy, because they then did what good teams do, they came back 2nd half outscoring Denver by 13, and so you just have to figure if they had just been close, maybe even down a few points they cover easily, Holy cross -4 win by 2, and another of my fav;'s to play Liberty wow tied at half and then they routed COC lot of people on COC yesterday, Lipscomb was a half pt winner, Stonehill -2 loses by 1 they should have had that game, they were winning by 13 in 2nd half but then hit a cold streak when they were up 55-44 they sat on 55 while Lindenwood caught up, SH shot 50% from 3 they shot 47% for the game while Lindenwood shot 41% but Lindenwood got like 10 more shots because of the offensive rebounding and Lindenwood made 8 more ft's while taking 7 more, looking back you can always see why teams lost or won, which is info to have when they play their next games.....a lot of games were within the 2 points even Samford who many liked -13 won by 15 , in hoops it is so close between wins and losses

3-4 26-28-3 ytd

 

[one51rum]

Looking at Howard @ FIU one thing that stands out is that FIU is averaging 29 fouls a game, and I had to look back at each box score and yes its true, when ya look at FIU's 2 road losses this year, they lost to Rice 77-70, and they lost at S.Utah 80-75 so ya have 2 close losses, but they did have 29 fouls at Rice and 27 at S Utah those games should not have been that close, each of those teams shot their ft's poorly, S.Utah 28/42 66%, and Rice was 23/38 60% if those teams shoot just 75% the losses get much bigger, this team has got to stop fouling teams, you cannot give up 35-40 ft's a game and expect to win, one good thing for FIU is Howard is shooting just 60% ft's but they do shoot better than FIU 44% to 38%, and Howard shoots the 3 at 43% to 27% for FIU, Howard is only averaging 14 ft's a game making just 8, I have a feeling they may get more attempts tonight...FIU is taking 23 a game making 17 , Howard is coming off a 88-84 win on a neutral court over ...considering Howard +4 for a play

also

N.Texas @ McNeese st
N.Texas is 3-0 and are coming off a road win at Minnesota 54-51, in a game where both teams shot poorly, NT shot just 20/53 or 37.7% and were just 9/16 at the ft line 56%...NT was up 23-14 at half so a very bad 1st half scoring just 14 pts.......MN was just 15/48 for the game or 31.3%, and they were just 15/22 at the ft line 68%, Minn did get it to 45-43 in 2nd, and were down 52-51 with under a min and did not score again and neither did NT really till a final dunk, so I am not going to give a lot of credit for that road win, lean to McNeese st -3 -125

McNeese st -3 -125

and am going to go ahead and add Howard +4.5 -120 get the extra half pt

also going to go with Colgate +13 like how they played at Syracuse only losing by 2 72-74, only thing I do not like is that this is their 3rd str road game, But NC st did only beat Presbyterian by 9, and Coastal Car by 8 I think Colgate will hang around withing 10

Colgate +13



McNeese st -3
Colgate +13
Howard +4
Idaho st +4

gl 151

 

[one51rum]

OVER 149 -120 NC ST/Colgate
Over 149 -115 Gonzaga

gl 151

 

[one51rum]

I see many on Bryant today at Delaware Delaware has been a tough team for me this year, when I am on them they lost, when I stayed away they covered my 1st gut was that I liked Delaware today as a home dog , Both teams are coming off road wins, I was liking the over also but at 160 I am not sure will sit this one out,

well Fullerton has dropped to -2.5 had a almost 5 point line movements overnight and now back 1 point ..... I liked them at a PK, so spent money cashing out my play to get 4 more pts, now it has settled back