adding Austin Peay ML this team is 3-1, they have won on the road already at Butler, they beat Chattanooga who beat Morehead st by 17, they have lost 4 in a row to Morehead state, they shoot much better than Morehead st, Morehead st is avg 54 pts a game giving up 84 AP is avg 68 giving up 76 its a short write up but there was more on the road a PK lost last 4 maybe they want to beat these guys
Austin Peay pk 1 unit
Austin Peay pk 1 unit
Maine came through ......kennesaw covered, and they even covered the closing line of 5.5,.......write up on Jacksonville was dead on as they won ....Nicholls st down 3 under a min left... barely covered the live bet on IPFW. they were ahead most the game too. Lost by 13.....fucked myself adding austin peay.....
Jacksonville +15 1 unit W
kennesaw st -1 W
N.Colorado +6.5
Maine +8.5 W
Over 144 Siena/Xavier L
Nicholls st +3.5 L very close
IPFW+14.5 live play half unit W
Austin Peay pk L 56-56 with 1:50 left in game had a very good shot at winning only scored 2 more pts 2 turn overs and a missed layups mean while Morehead st made a jumper all the rest of their pts were ft's
3 team 5 pt teaser +150
alabama-3/UNLV-9.5/S.Dakota+3.5 gl everyone 151
damnit UNLV up 46-17 1st half got them in the teaser
Nicholls st was down 63-62 with 1:51 left 2 points last 2 minutes Missed layup, and missed a ft got the rebound fouled and missed the ft again with :38 left so 2 games not bad picks there is a diff when talking about handicapping, in the last minute if you have a chance to cover, or the last 10 seconds games can be capped correctly and the team just does not do what they were suppose to both teams shot poorly from the line , and Nicholls made 1 more basket, but Towson made 6 more 3's
did that write up on S Dakota and did not play it and they covered in a close one, cover by 2.5 pts my own fault but I will bet that some people read that and played s.dakota
need UNLV for the teaser now with alab-3 and S Dakota +3.5....
s.dakota.....alabama 1st half
3-2 with N.Colorado +6.5 left open .UNC up 11 1 min before half 38-27
kennesaw st -1 W
N.Colorado +6.5
Maine +8.5 W
Over 144 Siena/Xavier L
Nicholls st +3.5 L very close
IPFW+14.5 live play half unit W
Austin Peay pk L 56-56 with 1:50 left in game had a very good shot at winning only scored 2 more pts 2 turn overs and a missed layups mean while Morehead st made a jumper all the rest of their pts were ft's
3 team 5 pt teaser +150
alabama-3/UNLV-9.5/S.Dakota+3.5 gl everyone 151
damnit UNLV up 46-17 1st half got them in the teaser
Nicholls st was down 63-62 with 1:51 left 2 points last 2 minutes Missed layup, and missed a ft got the rebound fouled and missed the ft again with :38 left so 2 games not bad picks there is a diff when talking about handicapping, in the last minute if you have a chance to cover, or the last 10 seconds games can be capped correctly and the team just does not do what they were suppose to both teams shot poorly from the line , and Nicholls made 1 more basket, but Towson made 6 more 3's
did that write up on S Dakota and did not play it and they covered in a close one, cover by 2.5 pts my own fault but I will bet that some people read that and played s.dakota
need UNLV for the teaser now with alab-3 and S Dakota +3.5....
s.dakota.....alabama 1st half
3-2 with N.Colorado +6.5 left open .UNC up 11 1 min before half 38-27
Got a bunch of neutral court games tomorrow night ,
Nevada plays in S Carolina taking on Vanderbilt, both teams come in 4-0 this year, Both teams have been scoring a lot of points too, and both are shooting well, Nevada has a big edge on 3 points shooting
VANDY is avg 91 pts a game and giving up 72, and Nevada comes in avg 82 pts a game, But are only giving up 61 pts a game..... that is pretty good and they have played the better teams also I think, both teams are shooting about 68% from the ft line, Nevad is shooting 51.7% #19 in the nation, and they have an effective shooting % of 60% #14 in the nation, and Vandy comes in shooting 48.3% and their effective % is 54.3%... and Vandy is shooting the 3 at 27.9% and Nevada is defending the 3 at 26.2% which is #35 in the nation , Nevada is shooting the 3 at 48.6% which is #2 in the nation and Vandy is defending the 3 at 39.8%.....good shooting and good defense will win this game, its a long travel, but what do they say DEFENSE travels with both teams scoring like they do this total is 147 I would not be surprised to see an UNDER is this game, also Nevada's opponents have been averaging 24 fouls a game, I do not think Vandy gets to 70, I think Nevada wins this game by 7-9 pts I'll lay the 3 here
Nevada-3 1.5 units going to bet a little more on this one...also Nevada is 4-0 ats so far
gl 151
Nevada plays in S Carolina taking on Vanderbilt, both teams come in 4-0 this year, Both teams have been scoring a lot of points too, and both are shooting well, Nevada has a big edge on 3 points shooting
VANDY is avg 91 pts a game and giving up 72, and Nevada comes in avg 82 pts a game, But are only giving up 61 pts a game..... that is pretty good and they have played the better teams also I think, both teams are shooting about 68% from the ft line, Nevad is shooting 51.7% #19 in the nation, and they have an effective shooting % of 60% #14 in the nation, and Vandy comes in shooting 48.3% and their effective % is 54.3%... and Vandy is shooting the 3 at 27.9% and Nevada is defending the 3 at 26.2% which is #35 in the nation , Nevada is shooting the 3 at 48.6% which is #2 in the nation and Vandy is defending the 3 at 39.8%.....good shooting and good defense will win this game, its a long travel, but what do they say DEFENSE travels with both teams scoring like they do this total is 147 I would not be surprised to see an UNDER is this game, also Nevada's opponents have been averaging 24 fouls a game, I do not think Vandy gets to 70, I think Nevada wins this game by 7-9 pts I'll lay the 3 here
Nevada-3 1.5 units going to bet a little more on this one...also Nevada is 4-0 ats so far
gl 151
and we have early games tomorrow too starting at 11am in Daytona Beach, and I was just going through this game and then seen it started at 11....lol James Madison vs Ill Chicago , tuff game. James Madison is -3 145.5 looking at this game both teams do not defend well , and both shoot ok, but Ill Chicago is the better shooting team here....
JM is avg 73 pts a game and giving up 76, while UIC is avg 82.5 pts a game and giving up 80 pts.... both teams avg 38 rebounds a game and both about 9-10 offensive boards a game but JM is #3 in the nation allowing just 3 offensive boards a game right now, JM is avg 13 assist a game and UIC is avg 17 a game, I like teams with a lot of assist, JM is shooting 43.5% and 35.6% from 3...UIC is shooting 46% and from 3 40% #31 in the nation, on defense JM defends at 50.9% #339 in the nation NOT GOOD, and they defend the 3 at 42.6% #353....UIC is defending at 47.3 #267 and they defend the 3 worse than JM does at 46.2% #360 NOT GOOD ....just looking at the defense with this total being 145 you would think the OVER is a good possibility, ...JM is making 25.5 shots a game and taking 59 a game, UIC is making 28 a game and taking 61 a game, and out of those both teams are avg 11 made 3's a game, JM takes about 30 a game and UIC takes about 27 a game, both are avg 14 to's a game.....Both teams have 4 guys averaging over 10 pts a game... both away games for JM this year they have not scored over 70 pts and lost both, UIC had one away game at Northwestern and lost 83-74, in the loss at NW UIC shot the 3 well 10/23, and they shot well for the game too 25/54 46.3% and NW shot 27/54 50% and 7/15 from 3 but NW took 11 more ft's in the game and made 8 more and won by 9 pts crazy huh??? lol both teams last played on the 16th I am going to take UIC here +3 in Daytona, should be a decent game, I am really thinking this game goes over, they both are making 3's UIC is making more shots and shooting better I am thinking this total might go up the spread I do not think it will, but a lot of times people might just bet JM because of the name, but I am on UIC here +3 lean to the OVER 145
UIC+3
JM is avg 73 pts a game and giving up 76, while UIC is avg 82.5 pts a game and giving up 80 pts.... both teams avg 38 rebounds a game and both about 9-10 offensive boards a game but JM is #3 in the nation allowing just 3 offensive boards a game right now, JM is avg 13 assist a game and UIC is avg 17 a game, I like teams with a lot of assist, JM is shooting 43.5% and 35.6% from 3...UIC is shooting 46% and from 3 40% #31 in the nation, on defense JM defends at 50.9% #339 in the nation NOT GOOD, and they defend the 3 at 42.6% #353....UIC is defending at 47.3 #267 and they defend the 3 worse than JM does at 46.2% #360 NOT GOOD ....just looking at the defense with this total being 145 you would think the OVER is a good possibility, ...JM is making 25.5 shots a game and taking 59 a game, UIC is making 28 a game and taking 61 a game, and out of those both teams are avg 11 made 3's a game, JM takes about 30 a game and UIC takes about 27 a game, both are avg 14 to's a game.....Both teams have 4 guys averaging over 10 pts a game... both away games for JM this year they have not scored over 70 pts and lost both, UIC had one away game at Northwestern and lost 83-74, in the loss at NW UIC shot the 3 well 10/23, and they shot well for the game too 25/54 46.3% and NW shot 27/54 50% and 7/15 from 3 but NW took 11 more ft's in the game and made 8 more and won by 9 pts crazy huh??? lol both teams last played on the 16th I am going to take UIC here +3 in Daytona, should be a decent game, I am really thinking this game goes over, they both are making 3's UIC is making more shots and shooting better I am thinking this total might go up the spread I do not think it will, but a lot of times people might just bet JM because of the name, but I am on UIC here +3 lean to the OVER 145
UIC+3
1st 4 write ups for WED all covered N COL, Kennesaw st, Maine, S Dakota so won N.Colorado and hit the 3 team teaser for +150
5-2 on spread plays and 0-1 on totals for a 5-3 day and a teaser both losses were very close too was covering in last minute hopefully moving in right direction big day tomorrow hopefully 2 write ups already in above
YTD 37-42-3
totals 3-14 lay off totals 1 a day
ats sides 34-28
ONE MISTAKE UIC is +4 -120 bought up a half pt
5-2 on spread plays and 0-1 on totals for a 5-3 day and a teaser both losses were very close too was covering in last minute hopefully moving in right direction big day tomorrow hopefully 2 write ups already in above
YTD 37-42-3
totals 3-14 lay off totals 1 a day
ats sides 34-28
ONE MISTAKE UIC is +4 -120 bought up a half pt
oklahoma state vs FAU in S Carolina another neutral court game, with 2 teams that can score, line right now Is Okla st-1 161 Okla st is 3-0 FAU 3-2 but so close to being 5-0, as they lost a double OT game to COC and lost at UCF 100-94 , FAU one of the better shooting teams in the country, as they are avg 96 pts a game and giving up 89, they are shooting 51.9% #18 in the nation, and they are shooting the 3 at 45.8% #5, they defend at 45.5% and defend the 3 at 39.6% and their effective shooting % is 61.1 #8 in the nation ....Okla st is avg 84.7 pts a game and giving up 75 pts a game, they shoot at 44.8% and shoot the 3 at 37.5%, and they defend at 46.6% and defend the 3 at 42.1% #352 NOT GOOD...should be an up and down game with a lot of shots, as OKla st is making about 29 shots a game and taking 65 a game, FAU is making almost 34 shots a game #8 in the nation, and they are taking 65 a game, so they are making 5 more shots a game than OKla st , same amount of attempts....OKla st is making 8 of 21 3's a game and FAU is making 12 of 27 a game ...Okla st is avg 11 steals a game #7 and FAU is avg 9, but Okla st only gives up about 5 steals a game and FAU 9 so little edge there, very tough game here, no wonder the line is 1 1.5 not sure how you do not like the OVER 161 here, can Okla st keep FAU under 90 pts??? same for FAU will there be defense???
I broke it down I am leaning to FAU here and the points, and the OVER Hell with it
FAU+2 -120
gl 151
I broke it down I am leaning to FAU here and the points, and the OVER Hell with it
FAU+2 -120
gl 151
Ohio vs MTSU Ohio-1.5 149 maybe found the worth defenders of the 3 points shooting in this game, Ohio is averaging 76 pts a game and giving up 86 pts, MTSU is avg 75pts and giving up 69 pts a game, Ohio is shooting at 44.7% and they shoot the 3 at 37.8%, and MTSU shoots at 46.7% but only shoot the 3 at 21.6% #359 in the nation, But Ohio defends the 3 at 53.7% yes 53.7% #364 in nation NOT GOOD, and Ohio defends shooting at 53.1% #360 Ohio is maybe the worst defense against shooting, ...Ohio is making 26 of 58 shots a game and making 9 of 25 3's a game...MTSU is making 28 of 60 shots and only 4 of 18 3's a game near the bottom for fewest 3's a game made ...both are avg 12 turnovers a game
Ohio is 0-4 ats this year and 0-3 away....MTSU is 2-1 ats this year....Ohio is 3-0-1 OVER this year and MTSU is 1-2 under Ohio has 6 playuers avg 9pts or more this year per game, and MTSU has 5 players avg 11 + pts a game this year , both if these teams played last year on a neutral court where Ohio won as a 4 pt favorite 80-68 total was 133
Ohio is 0-4 ats this year and 0-3 away....MTSU is 2-1 ats this year....Ohio is 3-0-1 OVER this year and MTSU is 1-2 under Ohio has 6 playuers avg 9pts or more this year per game, and MTSU has 5 players avg 11 + pts a game this year , both if these teams played last year on a neutral court where Ohio won as a 4 pt favorite 80-68 total was 133
C Conn @ Sacred heart these 2 play at Sacred heart but its only 44 miles for C.Conn to travel so maybe they will have some fans there, SH is giving up 81 pts a game and only scoring 71 a game, C Conn is avg 63 pts and giving up 68 C Conn is shooting at 43% and 35% from 3 and they only avg 4 3's a game, SH is shooting 42% and 38% from 3 and they are making 9 3's a game, ...C Conn making 23 of 55 shots and SH is making 25.7 of 60 shots ....one big thing is that SH is committing 20 fouls a game to just 12 for C Conn...SH defends the 3 at 40% not good, while C Conn defends it at 27,6%
line is C Conn-3 142 pass for now
line is C Conn-3 142 pass for now
Bradley vs Texas st Neutral court s.carolina 530pm
Bradley is avg 80 pts a game giving up 70, and they are shooting 52.1% #16 and they shoot the 3 very well also at 43.7% #12, Texas st averages 65 pts a game and give up 64, they shoot 41.5% and the 3 at 37%, ...Bradley is holding teams to 26% from 3 which I like, they are making 8 more shots a game then Texas st and 4.5 more 3's Bradley should also have an advantage on the boards and on the offensive boards also which is enough for me to give them a try here at -6 like that the line has dropped a little.......
Bradley-6
gl 151
Bradley is avg 80 pts a game giving up 70, and they are shooting 52.1% #16 and they shoot the 3 very well also at 43.7% #12, Texas st averages 65 pts a game and give up 64, they shoot 41.5% and the 3 at 37%, ...Bradley is holding teams to 26% from 3 which I like, they are making 8 more shots a game then Texas st and 4.5 more 3's Bradley should also have an advantage on the boards and on the offensive boards also which is enough for me to give them a try here at -6 like that the line has dropped a little.......
Bradley-6
gl 151
Baylor vs St Johns in the Bahamas 2 teams here who can shoot, both are making 30 shots a game, both are taking 62, both are taking 21-22 ft's a game making 16 , Baylor making 9.8 3's a game and St Johns is making 7.9 a game I am going to go a diff way on this game, I do like the OVER in this game at 152 but I am going to go a diff route here and go OVER 76.5 TT Baylor I think they get into the 80's for sure
OVER 76.5 TT Baylor 7pm
OVER 76.5 TT Baylor 7pm
