NBA Systems 2014/15

[rolltide]

bet on great team 2H season fav coming off terrible loss. 87-35-4 ATS, 0-0 (Golden State)


OPPOSE home teams trying to avenge same-season blowout away loss. 63-30-3 ATS, 1-2 (on Hornets)


OPPOSE eastern dogs, high total, vs west. 66-34-4 ATS, 10-9-1 (on Dallas)
OPPOSE eastern home dogs, high total, vs west. 46-17-1 ATS, 7-2 (on Dallas)
OPPOSE magic on b2b nights. 9-17 ATS (on Dallas)


UNDER home team exactly 1 game rest after road trip vs team with 1 game rest. 23-57 o/u, 0-6 o/u L6 (WAS/TOR under)


UNDER game 11+ very tired team in 6-in-8 spot, neither team avg 108+. 28-70-1 o/u (LAC/SA under, TOR/WAS under)


PLAY ON home dog off a blowout fav defeat facing a team they last played away. 41-11-1, 11-0 L11 (on Detroit)


PLAY ON away fav time zone situation. 133-59-3, 19-9 (on Cleveland)


OPPOSE favs off a blowout win avg team vs avg team, opponent not off a blowout win. 95-41-3, 7-7 (on Sacramento)


OVER well rested team off a horrible 3-point % shooting night with 20+ attempts. 67-26-1, 24-9 (OKC.MEM over)

 

[rolltide]

SAT:
MIL/POR under 197
76ers/Hawks under 192.5
DET/HOU over 203
OKC/MEM over 196
Sacramento +5.5
Cleveland -10.5
LAC/SA under 2014
TOR/WAS under 204
Dallas -7
Charlotte +5
Golden St -10.5

 

[rolltide]

Current Record: 197-161 (55.0%)
Sides: 116-93 (55.5%)
Totals: 81-68 (54.3%)

 

[rolltide]

new ones...

UNDER dog off way loss scoring far fewer points in Q4 vs Q1. 64-116-2 o/u, 2-6 o/u L8 (PHX/MEM under 204)


PLAY ON away fav in time zone system. 134-59-3 and 4-2 L6 (on Memphis -2.5)
PLAY ON winning home dogs off away loss. 73-30-1 and 8-4 L12 (on Memphis -2.5)


UNDER team off a win with very few fast break points, long game, where they didn't attempt a lot of 3's. 34-77-5 o/u, 0-6-1 o/u L7 (TOR/MIL under 203.5)

 

[tripleh]

playing away to a team you beat last by 30+ at home - PLAY AWAY (34-19, 7-4) Play on LAC -9
PLAY ON 1H season undervalued DD dog off non-cover vs big fav off cover (81-27, 8-9) Play on Minn +12

Team specific:
Nets vs Pacific, play on (31-14, 3-2) Play on Nets +9

 

[Biz]

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home off cover - Atlanta -3.5
ATS: 143-81-4 (63.8%)
Non-Conf: 51-23-2 (68.9%)

 

[gold64]

In Post #584, please verify how the 2nd calculation leads to Mem -2'

 

[Jupiter333]

Hitting 55% on over 300 plays is very, very good.

Keep up the good work.

 

[rolltide]

thx guys, GL

MON:
Atlanta -3.5
Memphis -2.5
LA Clippers -9
Minnesota +12
TOR/MIL under 203.5
PHX/MEM under 204

 

[rolltide]

In Post #584, please verify how the 2nd calculation leads to Mem -2'

verified and accurate

 

[LeftyRosenthal]

Maybe he meant the 3rd one: PLAY ON winning home dogs off away loss. 73-30-1 and 8-4 L12 (on Memphis -2.5)

Memphis is a road favorite. Did you mean play against winning home dogs off away loss?

 

[rolltide]

Maybe he meant the 3rd one: PLAY ON winning home dogs off away loss. 73-30-1 and 8-4 L12 (on Memphis -2.5)

Memphis is a road favorite. Did you mean play against winning home dogs off away loss?

oh gotcha

should have started with "OPPOSE" not "PLAY ON"

guys, i type this shit by hand new every single day. Yes, I will make absolutely mistakes here and there and have no issue answering questions but please be more specific on your question

 

[DT32]

Tuesday

Team lost a double digit lead last game, now playing non-conference OVER (112-56) - Nuggets over 192
Team off a double digit loss as a favorite, now playing non-conference OVER (68-32) - Nuggets over 192

 

[rolltide]

Current Record: 200-164 (54.9%)
Sides: 117-96 (54.9%)
Totals: 83-68 (54.9%)

 

[rolltide]

OVER well rested team off a horrible 3-point % shooting night with 20+ attempts. 67-27-1 o/u, 5-3 2015 (76ers/Nuggets over 192)

 

[Biz]

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home off cover - Denver -8
ATS: 143-83-4 (63.3%)
Non-Conf: 51-24-2 (68%)
Off Blowout: 40-14-1 (74.1%)

 

[tripleh]

Nothing from my section

 

[rolltide]

TUE:
Nuggets -8
DEN/PHI over 192

 

[DT32]

Wednesday

Unrested team off back to back big spread wins UNDER (30-71) - Jazz under 189 (9 unders in a row)
Unrested team off back to back big spread wins UNDER (30-71) - Pistons under 192
Team off a blowout loss as a fav, now non-conference OVER (69-32) - Spurs over 203.5

 

[Biz]

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home off cover - Memphis -6.5
ATS: 143-83-4 (63.3%)

27: PLAY ON great team off fav same-season loss to terrible team - Memphis -6.5
ATS: 30-11 (73.2%)

38: PLAY ON mediocre team away on a winning streak Conference game - Detroit +3.5
ATS: 100-53-1 (65.4%)