NBA Systems 2014/15

Biz · Jan 28, 2015

37: OPPOSE big streaking favorite - Brooklyn +13.5
ATS: 17-40-1 (29.8%)
Favs have won last 5, Dubs and Hawks.

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home off cover - Oklahoma City -9
ATS: 143-79-4 (64.4%)
Non-Conf: 51-22-2 (69.9%)

36: OPPOSE single digit dog vs opponent off div home loss - Detroit -7, Phoenix -6.5
ATS: 23-53 (30.3%)

Biz · Jan 28, 2015

just gonna start calling this the "oppose home time zone with away fav" play ... OPPOSE home time zone with away fav. 133-56-3, 19-6 (on Okla City -8.5, on LA Clippers -7)

Tide,
What are the filters behind this one, trying to understand what it means. Thx..

rolltide · Jan 28, 2015

been posting it for a while, biz....basic info is in #543. it's about dog away team coming back home in diff time zone than just played

looks like 6 sides tonight, no totals

GL

rolltide · Jan 28, 2015

this doesn't hold up historically but interesting trend right now where teams with a revenge home game on tap are playing under at a heavy clip this month

tnP:margin < 0 and tnP:season == n:season and tnP:date != date and n:site = home and 20150129 > date > 20150118

SU:	15-18 (-0.39, 45.5%)
ATS:	17-15-1 (0.05, 53.1%)	avg line: 0.4
O/U:	5-28-0 (-7.80, 15.2%)	avg total: 199.4

	FG	Pct	FT	Pct	3s	Pct	BLKS	O-RBND	RBND	Fouls	AST	TOvers	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.45	43.1	16.18	73.8	6.52	32.7	5.33	12.03	45.33	19.85	20.76	13.06	22.9	24.3	25.0	23.4	95.6
Opp	35.42	43.2	17.55	74.2	7.61	34.3	6.21	10.88	43.39	19.09	21.09	13.15	22.3	24.8	24.9	24.0	96.0

Date	Link	Day	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Rest	Line	Total
Jan 28, 2015	recap	Wed	2014	Cavaliers	Trailblazers	home	0&3	-6.0	208.5
Jan 28, 2015	recap	Wed	2014	Nets	Hawks	away	3&2	13.5	192.0
Jan 28, 2015	recap	Wed	2014	Jazz	Clippers	home	1&1	7.0	200.0
Jan 28, 2015	recap	Wed	2014	Pelicans	Nuggets	home	1&1	-6.0	199.5
Jan 28, 2015	recap	Wed	2014	Wizards	Suns	away	0&2	6.5	211.5
Jan 28, 2015	recap	Wed	2014	Celtics	Timberwolves	away	1&1	-4.5	199.0

rolltide · Jan 28, 2015

one total to add...

OVER well rested team off a horrible 3-point % shooting night with 20+ attempts. 66-25-1 o/u (SA/CHA over 187)

rolltide · Jan 29, 2015

Current Record: 186-152 (55.0%)
Sides: 111-89 (55.5%)
Totals: 74-64 (53.6%)

rolltide · Jan 29, 2015

just one from the new stuff...

UNDER dog off way loss scoring far fewer points in Q4 vs Q1. 63-116-2 o/u (ORL/MIL under 204.5)

tripleh · Jan 29, 2015

Nothing from my group

Biz · Jan 29, 2015

29: OPPOSE and OVER home team after losing big HT lead: Chicago -9, OVER 195
ATS: 47-72-4 (39.5%)
O/U: 79-42-2 (65.3%)

Daheavy1 · Jan 29, 2015

Sorry to bother you RT...Lakers seem good against the East this year. Anyway to run the ATS first half and game vs. the East just for this year?

rolltide · Jan 29, 2015

so 3 tonight....

THU:
ORL/MIL under 204.5
CHI/LAL over 195
Chicago -9

rolltide · Jan 29, 2015

Daheavy1 said:
Sorry to bother you RT...Lakers seem good against the East this year. Anyway to run the ATS first half and game vs. the East just for this year?

sorry, no "half" lines in Dbase but you can look at the per-quarter scoring to gauge the difference for LAL vs the east this year...DPS tell you how far above or below their expected points for that game the Lakers actually scored. Recently quite poor....early season was very strong

team = Lakers and season = 2014 and not C

SU:	6-7 (-2.54, 46.2%)
ATS:	7-6-0 (2.15, 53.8%)	avg line: 4.7
O/U:	4-9-0 (-4.19, 30.8%)	avg total: 205.0

	FG	Pct	FT	Pct	3s	Pct	BLKS	O-RBND	RBND	Fouls	AST	TOvers	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.85	42.8	18.15	76.1	7.31	35.4	4.31	10.77	42.85	21.00	19.69	10.85	23.4	25.4	23.8	25.1	99.2
Opp	38.31	44.8	18.38	73.8	6.69	31.0	4.08	12.23	48.08	18.62	22.15	12.92	25.4	25.5	24.4	25.4	101.7

Date	Link	Day	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Final	Rest	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Mar 27, 2015	recap	Fri	2014	Lakers	Raptors	away		1&1
Mar 22, 2015	recap	Sun	2014	Lakers	Seventysixers	home		2&1
Mar 15, 2015	recap	Sun	2014	Lakers	Hawks	home		2&1
Mar 12, 2015	recap	Thu	2014	Lakers	Knicks	home		1&1
Mar 10, 2015	recap	Tue	2014	Lakers	Pistons	home		1&1
Mar 04, 2015	recap	Wed	2014	Lakers	Heat	away		0&1
Mar 03, 2015	recap	Tue	2014	Lakers	Hornets	away		1&1
Feb 27, 2015	recap	Fri	2014	Lakers	Bucks	home		1&1
Feb 22, 2015	recap	Sun	2014	Lakers	Celtics	home		1&1
Feb 20, 2015	recap	Fri	2014	Lakers	Nets	home		8&9
Feb 08, 2015	recap	Sun	2014	Lakers	Cavaliers	away		1&1
Feb 06, 2015	recap	Fri	2014	Lakers	Magic	away		1&1
Feb 04, 2015	recap	Wed	2014	Lakers	Bucks	away		2&1
Feb 01, 2015	recap	Sun	2014	Lakers	Knicks	away		2&2
Jan 29, 2015	recap	Thu	2014	Lakers	Bulls	home		1&1	9.0	194.5
Jan 27, 2015	recap	Tue	2014	Lakers	Wizards	home	92-98	1&1	8.0	194.0	-6	2.0	-4.0	-1.0	-3.0	L	W	U	0
Jan 15, 2015	recap	Thu	2014	Lakers	Cavaliers	home	102-109	1&1	6.0	207.0	-7	-1.0	4.0	1.5	2.5	L	L	O	0
Jan 13, 2015	recap	Tue	2014	Lakers	Heat	home	75-78	1&1	1.5	197.0	-3	-1.5	-44.0	-22.8	-21.2	L	L	U	0
Jan 09, 2015	recap	Fri	2014	Lakers	Magic	home	101-84	1&1	-3.0	199.0	17	14.0	-14.0	0.0	-14.0	W	W	U	0
Jan 04, 2015	recap	Sun	2014	Lakers	Pacers	home	88-87	1&1	1.0	202.0	1	2.0	-27.0	-12.5	-14.5	W	W	U	0
Dec 25, 2014	recap	Thu	2014	Lakers	Bulls	away	93-113	1&1	11.0	208.5	-20	-9.0	-2.5	-5.8	3.2	L	L	U	0
Dec 15, 2014	recap	Mon	2014	Lakers	Pacers	away	91-110	0&1	5.5	199.5	-19	-13.5	1.5	-6.0	7.5	L	L	O	0
Dec 05, 2014	recap	Fri	2014	Lakers	Celtics	away	96-113	1&1	3.5	218.5	-17	-13.5	-9.5	-11.5	2.0	L	L	U	0
Dec 03, 2014	recap	Wed	2014	Lakers	Wizards	away	95-111	0&1	8.5	207.0	-16	-7.5	-1.0	-4.2	3.2	L	L	U	0
Dec 02, 2014	recap	Tue	2014	Lakers	Pistons	away	106-96	1&1	1.5	205.5	10	11.5	-3.5	4.0	-7.5	W	W	U	0
Nov 30, 2014	recap	Sun	2014	Lakers	Raptors	home	129-122	1&1	6.0	211.0	7	13.0	40.0	26.5	13.5	W	W	O	1
Nov 18, 2014	recap	Tue	2014	Lakers	Hawks	away	114-109	1&2	8.5	211.5	5	13.5	11.5	12.5	-1.0	W	W	O	0
Nov 09, 2014	recap	Sun	2014	Lakers	Hornets	home	107-92	4&1	3.0	205.0	15	18.0	-6.0	6.0	-12.0	W	W	U	0

Daheavy1 · Jan 29, 2015

Thanks RT!

DT32 · Jan 30, 2015

Friday

Team of a blowout loss as a fav, now playing non-conference OVER (67-31) - Celtics over 206

rolltide · Jan 30, 2015

Current Record: 187-154 (54.8%)
Sides: 111-90 (55.2%)
Totals: 75-65 (53.5%)

rolltide · Jan 30, 2015

new ones:

OVER well rested team off a horrible 3-point % shooting night with 20+ attempts. 66-26-1 o/u (GSW/UTA over 205.5)

UNDER lightly rested away team after home win or narrow loss scoring a lot of their points from FT line. 37-88-2 o/u (MIN/PHI under 192.5)

PLAY ON away fav time zone. 133-58-3 (on Golden St -9.5)

Biz · Jan 30, 2015

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home fav off cover: Golden St -9.5
ATS: 143-80-4 (64.1%)

tripleh · Jan 30, 2015

away fav before 4/5 vs rested opponent UNDERS (56-100, 5-8) Play on LAC Under 199
Play against home revenge after dog cover (32-52, 4-4) Play on Toronto -7
OPPOSE eastern dogs, high total, vs west (25-61, 6-8) Play on Phoenix -6
OPPOSE eastern home dogs, high total (23-50, 3-7) Play on Houston -6.5

rolltide · Jan 30, 2015

thx guys

FRI:
Toronto -7
Houston -6.5
Phoenix -6
Golden St -9.5
GSW/UTA over 205.5
LAC/NO under 199
MIN/PHI under 192.5

DT32 · Jan 31, 2015

Saturday

Oppose home dog off an away loss where they shot poorly (21-42) - Rockets -4.5
Good three point shooting team with rest UNDER (72-145) - Bucks under 197
Unrested team off back to back big spread wins UNDER (30-70) - Sixers under 192.5 (Last 8 went under)
Team off a blowout loss as a fav, now non-conference OVER (67-32) - Pistons over 203

NBA Systems 2014/15

Member

Member

I'm from the government and I'm here to help

I'm from the government and I'm here to help

I'm from the government and I'm here to help

I'm from the government and I'm here to help

I'm from the government and I'm here to help

New member

Member

Member

I'm from the government and I'm here to help

I'm from the government and I'm here to help

Member

Member

I'm from the government and I'm here to help

I'm from the government and I'm here to help

Member

New member

I'm from the government and I'm here to help

Member

Forum statistics

Share this page