NBA Playoff Trends / Betting Info ...

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Favorites receiving at least 60% of spread bets have gone just 4-11 ATS during the NBA Finals.

Cavs (-2) currently receiving 63%.
 

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3 under refs in tonight's GS/CLE game ...

Dan Crawford 342-288
Jason Phillips 317-288
Mike Callahan 304-279
 

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Since 1990-91 NBA playoff teams coming off 30+ point losses are 37-21 ATS (64%).

Dubs (+2) in that spot for Game 4
 

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Refs for tonight's GS/CLE game have favored the home team in 2016

Dan Crawford 42-28 ATS
Mike Callahan 41-33 ATS
Jason Phillips 41-30 ATS
 

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Sports Insights ...

Underdogs receiving less than 50% of spread bets and more than 50% of moneyline bets have gone 61-76 SU (+39.8 units) in the Playoffs.


Warriors (+124) are receiving 41% of spread bets and 54% of moneyline bets.
 

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CknlHCeWUAAy-N-.jpg
 

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With Steph Curry on the floor in the NBA Finals, the Warriors have outscored the Cavaliers 186-185
 

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Jeff Stoneback ... Sportsbook manager at The Mirage ...


“We’ve got about four times as much money on the Cavaliers as we do on the Warriors,”

“And we have twice as many tickets on the Cavs. We went to -2 Thursday afternoon. It was just an accumulation of people betting on the Cavs.”

That said, Stoneback doesn’t foresee the move to 2.5 just yet, though some off-shores – including Pinnacle – have made that jump.

“We haven’t had any really large wagers on either side yet,” he said. “In my opinion, I think we’ll take some Warriors money closer to game time.”

The Mirage opened the total at 205.5 but by Thursday afternoon moved it to 206.5, which is where it opened and has stayed at Bookmaker.

“We’re getting equal action at 206.5,” Stoneback said. “It looks like that’s the number.”




John Lester ... senior lines manager for online site Bookmaker.eu ...


Bookmaker opened the Cavs a tick higher at -2, where the line has stayed.

“Thus far, Game 4 has produced the least amount of action of any game in the NBA Finals,” Lester said. “The sharps that showed up to back the Cavs in Game 3 haven't come out for this one yet, and they probably won't. Early action from the general public was on Golden State, but we've seen some money on Cleveland since.

“It's really been good two-way action, as we haven't moved off the opener of -2, and we have almost 60 percent of the tickets on the home team.”
 

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Stephen Curry FG pct in postseason

1st quarter 37.7%
2nd quarter 41.7%
3rd quarter 47.7%
4th quarter 54.5%
 

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LeBron James FG Pct in postseason

1st quarter 63.2%
2nd quarter 50.5%
3rd quarter 50.0%
4th quarter 48.3%
 

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Warriors lead 3-games-to-1 with their Game 4 win

No team has ever come back from a 3-1 deficit to win the NBA Finals (32 have failed)
 

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