NBA Playoff Trends / Betting Info ...

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Warriors are now +130 to wrap up the Finals in five games ... William Hill ...



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Kevin Love, Concussion - is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday (6/8) vs. Golden State
 

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Heading home for Game 3, the Cavs were an early favorite, but it didn’t last long.

“The early money was on Golden State,” Bogdanovich said of action at William Hill’s shops in Las Vegas. “The bettors might have washed their hands of Cleveland until the Cavs prove they can play with this team.”


At MGM books, the line also moved from Cavs -1 to Warriors -1, then shifted Monday evening to a pick ‘em. But the much more significant move – and rightfully so – came with the series price.

“The price to win the series right now is basically what we call an out price,” Rood said Monday from The Mirage sportsbook. “If you’re wanting Golden State, you’re gonna have to put up quite a bit of money to win a little bit of change.”

Rood said Golden State is now -1000 to win the series


BetNow opened the Cavs as 2-point chalk in Game 3 before adjusting to a pick ‘em.

“We got some big action for the Warriors as soon as the lines opened up,” BetNow’s oddsmaker said. “If the trend continues, we think the Warriors might be 3-point favorites, anywhere from here until game time.”

And with Games 1 and 2 both falling far short of the total, William Hill books and BetNow were both seeing noticeable play on the under, with the total at 206.5.
 

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The Warriors have lost their last 4 Game 3s on the road dating back to last season's Finals against the Cavs
 

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Exact Outcome Odds (BetOnline)

GS in 4 +225
GS in 5 +165
GS in 6 +450
GS in 7 +600
CLE in 6 +1800
CLE in 7 +1200
 

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NBA playoff unders since 2005


Game 1: 87-87
Game 2: 84-93
Game 3: 99-77
Game 4: 92-85
Game 5: 73-75
Game 6: 61-42
Game 7: 22-15
 

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Cavs have lost 7 straight games to Warriors dating back to last year's Finals.

They led for a total of 14 seconds in 4th qtr in those games.
 

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LeBron James' 11 turnovers are most by any player through 2 games of NBA Finals since James had 12 in 2007



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Pinnacle shows how the odds have changed since news of Kevin Love's absence.



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Sports Insights ...

Cavs receiving 41% of spread bets tonight.

They haven't had less public support since Game 3 of the 2015
 

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Sports Insights ...


Warriors (+1) receiving 59% of spread bets. Since '05, public road dogs have gone just 184-208 ATS in Playoffs
 

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Playoff teams coming off a 25+ point loss have gone 36-36 straight up since '05, but they would have earned +27.8 units on the moneyline
 

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The Cavs (+1) are home underdogs for the first time since January 30th against the Spurs.

CLE closed +1.5 in that game and won 117-103.
 

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Tonight's refs for Game 3


Monty McCutchen (36 OVER/41 UNDER)
Derrick Stafford (30-39 O/U)
Zach Zarba (44-32 O/U)
 

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