NBA 2024

[truthstorm]

Regular season record: 27-22
Postseason record: 2-2
Recap: 1-1

Hit with the Clips, missed with the Un.

Two games qualify today.
LAL WF #1, record of 11-15 reg season, 3-2 post season.
LAL/Den Ov, record of 14-30 reg season, 2-4 post season.

Plays:

Den (wait to buy this one, Den -7 right now, but Laker Love has the opening number of -8 dropping, no harm waiting to see if we can get 6' later in the day.)

LAL/Den Un 216' (buy this now as the number is dropping; there are a few 217 left out there but 216' is the common number so that's what I'll use here. If you post a pick recommendation for people you should use a line they can actually get. Using BS fake lines, or "Xeno'ing" as it is commonly known, is a dick move.)

 

[truthstorm]

Regular season record: 27-22
Postseason record: 3-3
Recap: 1-1

Got another split last night as Denver won but couldn't cover and the Under squeaked by with just 2' pts to spare.
Tied at 106-106 with just 26 seconds left the Un looked dicey. Denver was holding for the last shot. Hit it and the game ends, and the Un wins.
Miss it and the games goes to OT which means the Un is dead. And laying -6' in the short 5 minute extended period of play is not a position I want to be in. But Murray banks a shot at the 4 second mark and saves my ass.

One play qualifies today: Ind/Mil Un.
This spot was 9-12 reg season; 3-1 post season.
At 57% for the reg season Fade, and 25% post season, it looks like a good day to lay off using the Over for a Fade play.
But two of the three post season wins involved Minn, the #1 team in PPG on defense; the other was LAL/NO.
The lone loss for the play? Ind/MIL on 4/28

My play:
Ind/Mil Ov 215'

 

[truthstorm]

Regular season record: 27-22
Postseason record: 3-4
Recap: 0-1

Missed the Over in my last play as Indy scored 30 pts < their season avg.

Not getting a lot of qualifying spots that I like enough to post these days as the # of games played per day dwindles, but have two tonight.
Play #1 has Indy as a Wrong Fav (11-15 reg season Rd record but 7-2 post season.)
Ind/NY Un (9-12 reg season but 4-1 post season.)

And how about some fun (?) with props tonight, too.

Plays:

Indy (wait to buy it; +4' now but better chance it rises rather than falls, might get +5 or 5' later)

Indy/NY Un 218'

Haliburton Ov 25' pts and assists
McBride Ov 5' pts

Good luck with your play today.

 

[truthstorm]

Regular season record: 27-22
Postseason record: 3-6 sides and totals, 1-1 props
Recap: 1-3

Indy didn't score enough to cover the spread and the Under was dead after Q1.
Haliburton was a good call on the prop bet.
McBride had 4 pts at the half, and with Brunson supposedly out I was going to get plenty enough minutes in the second half to score one more bucket for the W, but . . .

Using Indy and the Un tonight.
Lost with both last time in, and by a whopping 32 pts on the total, so I'm feeling a bit like a moth to a flame, but my #'s say those are the plays, so . . .

Indy -7
NY/Ind Un 222'
Turner Ov 17' pts -114
Turner Ov 7' reb -120

 

[truthstorm]

Regular season record: 27-22
Postseason record: 7-8; 4-7 sides and totals, 3-1 props
Recap: 3-1

Closed the deficit gap last time in, hitting both prop and the Un; lost the side by a basket.

WF #1 are a healthy 8-3 and I haven't been using them, which means I'd probably get bit on the ass for jumping on it tonight with Indy or Min, both qualify. Liked the Ind spot but missed the best # so I'll lay off and go prop bets instead.

Plays:
Achiuwa Ov 6' pts -130
Achiuwa Ov 6' reb +100

 

[truthstorm]

Regular season record: 27-22
Postseason record: 7-10; 4-7 sides and totals, 3-3 props
Recap: 0-2

Yesterday's prop bet (Achiuwa Ov 6' pts, Achiuwa Ov 6' reb) was dead before tip off.
Aichua was scheduled to start for the injured Anunoby.
Game time announcement - Aichua was replaced by McBride.
You do NOT want to bet on a bench player for Thibodeau, who plays his starters more minutes than most if not all HC's.
McBride got 40 minutes, Aichua got 23.
And I was F'd from the git-go.

Tonight:
Struss Ov 12' pts

 

[truthstorm]

Regular season record: 27-22
Postseason record: 7-11; 4-7 sides and totals, 3-4 props
Recap: 0-1

Last pick I had Struss Ov 12'.
Lands on 12.

Today, one play.

Nesmith Ov 9 pts -130

 

[indiana]

T. storm....BOL tonight buddy....indy

 

[truthstorm]

Regular season record: 27-22
Postseason record: 8-11; 4-7 sides and totals, 4-4 props
Recap: 1-0

Review: Nesmith scores 14, easily covers the 9'.

Today, it doesn't fit any of the stuff I track and play but give me a team that I think has a really good shot at winning SU and getting 4'?
I'm on it.
Dallas - ready, rested, and tested.

Dal +4'