NBA 2008-09, Week 7 thread...

[brewers7]

================================================== =====================
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== =====================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
================================================== =====================
Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7
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Bets record:
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Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0
Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530
Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 29-26, +$417
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Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link
==============================
Sides: 170-174-6
#1 picks: 24-24

Totals: 177-165-8
#1 picks: 22-25-1
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Day 49:

I like several tonight...So tonight may be a gauge to see if I am still seeing it ok as I went 3-1 last night in both sides and totals and won both 31 plays...I have a lot of opinions, too, but time is short, so i really cannot share much...

Heat 0-4 ATS in back-enders and SAC has a new coach and that spot is 4-1 ATS this season...Utah has been slowing the pace down a lot lately and i epect the same tonight for an Under there...CHAR and the under look tempting, too...ORL line finally moving upwards which makes this a no-play for me but I would never bet ORL in this spot as it may win tonight, but this spot loses more than it wins over the long-haul...

Thinking of betting a few, but I may pass and then regret it later..

Sides:

#1 Sac -4
#2 Milw +3.5
#3 Char +8.5
#4 Den +1.5
#5 Utah +9.5
#6 GS +3.5
#7 NY +8.5
#8 Tor -4.5
#9 Ind +1

Totals:

#1 Utah un 191
#2 GS ov 221
#3 NY ov 225
#4 Char un 185
#5 Den un 209.5
#6 Tor ov 203
#7 Milw un 197
#8 Sac ov 200
#9 Ind ov 212

BETS posted...

GL... <!-- / message -->

================================================== =====================
Please note: [COLOR=#ff000]Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...[/COLOR]
================================================== =====================
Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample
================================================== =====================
Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...
Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...
Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...
Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble…
Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional…
================================================== =====================

 

[GetThatPaper]

What a pathetic quarter by the Knicks. Every other fucking possession was an offensive foul. Deadball turnovers, nothing worse for an over. Suprised we even got as close as we did.

:smoking:

 

[vinnyvegas]

Brew, head up!!

Your sides & O/Us did damn good tonight...

 

[brewers7]

NBA 2008-09, Week 8 thread...

================================================== =====================
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== =====================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
================================================== =====================
Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7
================================================== =====================
Bets record:
================================================== =====================
Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0
Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530
Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 29-28, -$133
================================================== =====================
Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link
==============================
Sides: 177-176-6
#1 picks: 25-24

Totals: 182-168-9
#1 picks: 22-25-2
=====================================

Day 50:

As the busy season is upon me at my place of business, my time will be limited...Almost considered not posting any more this year after a frustrating week and bad day yesterday as my bets went 0-2 despite going 7-2 with my Sides and 5-3-1 with totals...I liked the card a lot yesterday, but decided to stay away from game bets one more day and paid for it...I was really psyched and looking forward to this NBA season after not posting last year and having a solid year with minimal effort...If things don't change in the next few weeks, then I may have to accept the fact that this may be my first losing season ever in the NBA and I have been capping it since 1982-83...Only 2 units down, but it feels like I am 200 units down, quite frankly...Never had a start quite like this one...

I may be forced to cut back some write-ups due to time constraints, but we'll see...

I just checked my database and am a bit surprised that there has never been a C6 vs. a NC6 since the 1991-92 season...Knicks/Lakers match-up tonight has that...Here are examples similar:

NC vs. C8 happened twice and the NC6 covered both times as DOGs that lost by small margins...

C6 vs. NC7 happened twice and the NC7 covered both times, once as a FAV of 6.5 winning by 15 and the other as a small DOG that lost but covered...

C6 vs. NC8, same thing, NC8 a small DOG that lost but covered...

C6 vs. NC9, NC9 covered, a 7.5 DOG that won outright...

6-0 ATS for the team that was on the NC streak...

Fairly rare to have a Cover team vs. a Not Cover team with decent streaks be such a huge DOG...Biggest DOG I could find was a C6 vs. a NC5 and the C6 covered as 10.5 DOGs...

Using NC6 vs. C5 and C6 vs. NC5 was about a coin-flip with about a 16-game sample...

I like the Lakers here, at first blush, but giving that many points, man, I dunno, we'll see...Be back with picks in a bit...

No BETS yet...

GL... <!-- / message -->

================================================== =====================
Please note: [COLOR=#ff000]Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...[/COLOR]
================================================== =====================
Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample
================================================== =====================
Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...
Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...
Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...
Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble…
Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional…
================================================== =====================

 

[Miz]

good luck brew!

 

[Magica]

Get em today Mang!

Hey, Check TD before the Knicks game can ya, i gots an inquiry from someone over there for you bout it

Tks my brother! Ciao!

 

[newmeat]

Only 2 units down, but it feels like I am 200 units down, quite frankly...Never had a start quite like this one...

Call me crazy but I think this is a good sign. Bad start and only down a couple of units. Keep plugging.