eh, I don't understand your post...I am NOT "insisting" on "this clippers team" or any team...I play situational spots and this is a situational spot...This is the NBA...The team names and their record do not matter if you have a team with a motivational edge and that team is getting 10, well, now 9 points...Clearly, I beat the line-move again AND I have the team with the motivational edge, so I'll take that bet every time as it will win 60-to-70% of the time...Tonight may be a night that falls into the 30-to-40% and be a loss, but I cannot help that...I play the situational/motivational spots and they win in the long run...
Was wondering if you were ever able to get the results of ssi's ml dog system? Thanks!================================================== =====================
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== =====================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
================================================== =====================
Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7
================================================== =====================
Bets record:
================================================== =====================
Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0
Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530
Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 14-13, -$217.50
================================================== =====================
Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link
==============================
Sides: 81-86-3
#1 picks: 13-11
Totals: 94-75-1
#1 picks: 9-15
=====================================
Day 25:
Got a voicemail last night after midnight from a player on my baseball team who razzed the sh*t out of me for my picks "sucking" this year, and well, he is right...I have been terrible to this point, passing on some easy winners and betting some stone losers like last night...A 14-14 start (down 3 units) is atrocious for me (based on my last 4 NBA seasons, although based on my previous 10 before that, it actually is normal)...But it is what it is and it may not turn around for another 3 to 4 weeks...
Got busy and this day got away from me...I do not want to bet when feeling rushed...if I had to do it ll over again, I would have lowered my bet on the Clips and sprinkled a moneyline bet on them, that way if they don't cover, I would lose a lot less...At the +400 to +500 range, I'd only need to sprinkle about a $30 bet on the Clips moneyline, which would lower my regular bet to about $150 to $175, instead of laying the $275...I think the Clips can win this outright...Now with that said, I am sure they'll lose by 20 now...May have a 2H bet if I like something...
Sides:
#1 LAC +10
#2 NJ +8.5
#3 Char +8
#4 Min +6
#5 Den +8.5
#6 Chi +3.5
#7 Sac +4.5
#8 Memp +9
#9 Was +6.5
#10 OKC +10
#11 Milw -4.5
#12 SA -4.5
#13 Ind +2
Totals:
#1 OKC ov 191
#2 Was un 182.5
#3 LAC ov 189
#4 SA un 174
#5 Min un 183.5
#6 Den un 205
#7 Chi ov 213
#8 Ind ov 204
#9 Char un 189
#10 NJ ov 196
#11 Sac un 198
#12 Milw ov 206
#13 Memp un 195
Bet already posted...
GL...
================================================== =====================
Please note: [COLOR=#ff000]Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...[/COLOR]
================================================== =====================
Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample
================================================== =====================
Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...
Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...
Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...
Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble…
Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional…
================================================== =====================
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== =====================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
================================================== =====================
Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7
================================================== =====================
Bets record:
================================================== =====================
Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0
Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530
Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 14-13, -$217.50
================================================== =====================
Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link
==============================
Sides: 81-86-3
#1 picks: 13-11
Totals: 94-75-1
#1 picks: 9-15
=====================================
Day 25:
Got a voicemail last night after midnight from a player on my baseball team who razzed the sh*t out of me for my picks "sucking" this year, and well, he is right...I have been terrible to this point, passing on some easy winners and betting some stone losers like last night...A 14-14 start (down 3 units) is atrocious for me (based on my last 4 NBA seasons, although based on my previous 10 before that, it actually is normal)...But it is what it is and it may not turn around for another 3 to 4 weeks...
Got busy and this day got away from me...I do not want to bet when feeling rushed...if I had to do it ll over again, I would have lowered my bet on the Clips and sprinkled a moneyline bet on them, that way if they don't cover, I would lose a lot less...At the +400 to +500 range, I'd only need to sprinkle about a $30 bet on the Clips moneyline, which would lower my regular bet to about $150 to $175, instead of laying the $275...I think the Clips can win this outright...Now with that said, I am sure they'll lose by 20 now...May have a 2H bet if I like something...
Sides:
#1 LAC +10
#2 NJ +8.5
#3 Char +8
#4 Min +6
#5 Den +8.5
#6 Chi +3.5
#7 Sac +4.5
#8 Memp +9
#9 Was +6.5
#10 OKC +10
#11 Milw -4.5
#12 SA -4.5
#13 Ind +2
Totals:
#1 OKC ov 191
#2 Was un 182.5
#3 LAC ov 189
#4 SA un 174
#5 Min un 183.5
#6 Den un 205
#7 Chi ov 213
#8 Ind ov 204
#9 Char un 189
#10 NJ ov 196
#11 Sac un 198
#12 Milw ov 206
#13 Memp un 195
Bet already posted...
GL...
================================================== =====================
Please note: [COLOR=#ff000]Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...[/COLOR]
================================================== =====================
Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample
================================================== =====================
Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...
Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...
Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...
Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble…
Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional…
================================================== =====================
hno:Thanx guys...
================================================== =====================
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== =====================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
================================================== =====================
Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7
================================================== =====================
Bets record:
================================================== =====================
Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0
Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530
Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 15-13, +$32.50
================================================== =====================
Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link
==============================
Sides: 87-92-4
#1 picks: 14-11
Totals: 100-82-1
#1 picks: 9-16
=====================================
Day 26:
Maybe I was inspired by that late-night voicemail ripping my picks 2 nights ago, as I got an easy winner last night...Clips almost did win that game straight up, but I am glad they didn't because I would have really regretted not putting a moneyline bet down had they won...
4 games in 5 days trend in play today with 4 games...ATL and WAS the only 2 I would consider...ATL plays CLE tough and have done so at CLE recently, but I wonder if CLE coming off a loss can blow them out?...Especially after ATL coming off a game last night where they won at Home and now had to travel to CLE...ATL hasn't covered 5 straight after starting the season 6-0-1 ATS...Washington is 1-9 and if there is ever a spot for them to win a game, it is tonight, even after their late-game meltdown last night vs. Houston...Knicks are depleted and with head-case Marbury undoubtedly not playing, NY will only have 7 players to play tonight, even if 8 dress (if Marbury dresses)...Rockets are 3-0 SU and ATS in the abck-end of bk-2-bks this season...Only the second time ORL has been in this spot...
I generally like playing a team with a new coach their first game, but OKC is so bad that I cannot put money on them tonight...
Sides:
#1 Hou +2.5
#2 Was +2.5
#3 Atl +12
#4 LAC +3.5
#5 OKC +15
#6 Memp -3
#7 Mia -5.5
#8 Char -2.5
#9 Port =5.5
Totals:
#1 Was ov 204
#2 Atl un 197
#3 Hou un 185
#4 OKC ov 190.5
#5 Memp ov 188
#6 LAC un 190.5
#7 Mia ov 197
#8 Char un 179.5
#9 Port ov 198
BET:
Level 1 -- Washington/New York over 204, laying $250 to win $257.50 -- Got this at MatchBook at +103 as the juice is moving around a lot right now...I know the Knicks are missing a lot of guys and are short-handed, but this will not change their style...They still had a super-quick pace at MILW last night, they just didn't hit any shots, shooting 34.4% from the floor...There were 185 shots and 45 FTs though...WAS can easily get sucked into NY's pace and I expect both teams to shoot better tonight...The last 4 games between these 2 all went Over, including a 222 at WAS on 11/7/08, 15 days ago...I like the Wiz here to win this game and may have a bet on them, we'll see...
Again, at Level 1, I am betting to win 2.5% of that starting bankroll...If the bankroll changes a bit as the season progresses, then the betting amount will change...
GL...
================================================== =====================
Please note: [COLOR=#ff000]Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...[/COLOR]
================================================== =====================
Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample
================================================== =====================
Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...
Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...
Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...
Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble…
Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional…
================================================== =====================
================================================== =====================
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== =====================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
================================================== =====================
Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7
================================================== =====================
Bets record:
================================================== =====================
Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0
Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530
Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 15-13, +$32.50
================================================== =====================
Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link
==============================
Sides: 87-92-4
#1 picks: 14-11
Totals: 100-82-1
#1 picks: 9-16
=====================================
Day 26:
Maybe I was inspired by that late-night voicemail ripping my picks 2 nights ago, as I got an easy winner last night...Clips almost did win that game straight up, but I am glad they didn't because I would have really regretted not putting a moneyline bet down had they won...
4 games in 5 days trend in play today with 4 games...ATL and WAS the only 2 I would consider...ATL plays CLE tough and have done so at CLE recently, but I wonder if CLE coming off a loss can blow them out?...Especially after ATL coming off a game last night where they won at Home and now had to travel to CLE...ATL hasn't covered 5 straight after starting the season 6-0-1 ATS...Washington is 1-9 and if there is ever a spot for them to win a game, it is tonight, even after their late-game meltdown last night vs. Houston...Knicks are depleted and with head-case Marbury undoubtedly not playing, NY will only have 7 players to play tonight, even if 8 dress (if Marbury dresses)...Rockets are 3-0 SU and ATS in the abck-end of bk-2-bks this season...Only the second time ORL has been in this spot...
I generally like playing a team with a new coach their first game, but OKC is so bad that I cannot put money on them tonight...
Sides:
#1 Hou +2.5
#2 Was +2.5
#3 Atl +12
#4 LAC +3.5
#5 OKC +15
#6 Memp -3
#7 Mia -5.5
#8 Char -2.5
#9 Port =5.5
Totals:
#1 Was ov 204
#2 Atl un 197
#3 Hou un 185
#4 OKC ov 190.5
#5 Memp ov 188
#6 LAC un 190.5
#7 Mia ov 197
#8 Char un 179.5
#9 Port ov 198
BET:
Level 1 -- Washington/New York over 204, laying $250 to win $257.50 -- Got this at MatchBook at +103 as the juice is moving around a lot right now...I know the Knicks are missing a lot of guys and are short-handed, but this will not change their style...They still had a super-quick pace at MILW last night, they just didn't hit any shots, shooting 34.4% from the floor...There were 185 shots and 45 FTs though...WAS can easily get sucked into NY's pace and I expect both teams to shoot better tonight...The last 4 games between these 2 all went Over, including a 222 at WAS on 11/7/08, 15 days ago...I like the Wiz here to win this game and may have a bet on them, we'll see...
Again, at Level 1, I am betting to win 2.5% of that starting bankroll...If the bankroll changes a bit as the season progresses, then the betting amount will change...
GL...
================================================== =====================
Please note: [COLOR=#ff000]Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...[/COLOR]
================================================== =====================
Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample
================================================== =====================
Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...
Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...
Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...
Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble…
Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional…
================================================== =====================
ADDED BET:
Level 1 -- Washington Wizards Pick (+124), laying $200 to win $248 -- Got this at MatchBook, too, as I could not resist...If there is ever a spot for the 1-9 Wiz to get a win, tonight would be the spot, against the depleted Knicks...It is a 4-of-5 spot and the Wiz did play Atlanta very tough 3 nights ago on a back-ender after losing to Miami the night before...NY had to travel further last night, but regardless, I think WAS has a very good shot to get their 2nd win of the season tonight...
Again, at Level 1, I am betting to win 2.5% of that starting bankroll...If the bankroll changes a bit as the season progresses, then the betting amount will change...
GL...
Level 1 -- Washington Wizards Pick (+124), laying $200 to win $248 -- Got this at MatchBook, too, as I could not resist...If there is ever a spot for the 1-9 Wiz to get a win, tonight would be the spot, against the depleted Knicks...It is a 4-of-5 spot and the Wiz did play Atlanta very tough 3 nights ago on a back-ender after losing to Miami the night before...NY had to travel further last night, but regardless, I think WAS has a very good shot to get their 2nd win of the season tonight...
Again, at Level 1, I am betting to win 2.5% of that starting bankroll...If the bankroll changes a bit as the season progresses, then the betting amount will change...
GL...
