My daily picks

[AlexGolz]

81) W 77-83
82) W 75-82
83) L 70-83

Starting bank(20/07) 100%
Average profit +13,6%
Bets +51=5-27

So, we have bet the whole bank
I'm more than satisfied with the results, ROI makes +13,6% This is indeed notable. Provided that we keep cool and continue selecting picks thouroughly I believe this results can be improved.

It may seem a pity that I haven't chosen a more aggressive strategy (say 5% of bank) - in this case the starting bank would have increased several times more. But there is a positive side in such strategy (betting 1-2% of a bank) - you don't get nervous because of each and every bet. One, two even three losses in a row don't change the situation globally... and that's great! ... I like investing, not gambling

I'll take a break for a couple of days, then I'll resume posting my picks here.

 

[FairlySquarely]

alex, let me be the first to congratulate you so far. you've been solid with your picks and have made a lot of people some good money. enjoy your well deserved break and we hope to see your picks again soon. cheers.

 

[Player]

nice picks again Alex, thank you

no soccer plays this weekend?

anyways, enjoy your break, see you when you return

 

[jwblue]

Thanks Alex.

IS

 

[AlexGolz]

84) Srichaphan - Wawrinka [1] @2,38/BetFair/22 Aug 06 17:20 CET/1%/Tennis, New Haven
85) Pashanski - Massu [2] @1,3/BetFair/22 Aug 06 20:10 ÑÅÒ/1%/Tennis, New Haven
86) Stosur - Sun [1] @1,72/BetFair/22 Aug 06 19:15 ÑÅÒ/1%/Tennis, New Haven
87) Srebotnik - Davenport [2] @1,44/BetFair/22 Aug 06 19:45 ÑÅÒ/1%/Tennis, New Haven

 

[AlexGolz]

84) W 2-1
85) W 0-2
86) W 2-1
87) W 2-0

Starting bank(20/07) 113,6%
Average profit(%) 20,5
Bets +55=5-27

88) Ferrer - Calleri [1] @1,6/BetFair/23 Aug 06 18:20 CET/1%/Tennis, New Haven

 

[AlexGolz]

Thank you all, mates!
Together we will earn some extra cash

 

[AlexGolz]

88) L 0-2

Starting bank(20/08) 113,6%
Average profit(%) +14,7
Bets +55=5-28

89) Cargill - Voracova [1] @1,6/Gamebookers/24 Aug 06 18:15 CET/1%/Tennis, US Open

 

[AlexGolz]

89) W 2-1

Starting bank(20/08) 113,6%
Average profit(%) +15,2
Bets +56=5-28

90) Bayer Leverkusen - VfL Wolfsburg [1] @1,55/BetFair/26 Aug 06 15:30 CET/1%/Soccer, Germany

 

[AlexGolz]

90) L 1-1

Starting bank(20/08) 113,6%
Average profit(%) +14,1
Bets +56=5-29

91) Fish - Greul [1] @1,353/Pinnacle/28 Aug 06 16:05 CET/1%/Tennis, Us Open
92) Lee - Ramirez- Hidalgo [1] @1,49/BetFair/28 Aug 06 16:05 CET/1%/Tennis, US Open
93) Sprem - Mirza [2] @1,641/Pinnacle/28 Aug 06 16:05 CET/1%/Tennis, US Open
94) Connecticut - Detroit [+4,5] @1,935/Pinnacle/28 Aug 06 2:00 CET/1%/Basketball, WNBA
95) Connecticut - Detroit [<139] @1,926/Pinnacle/28 Aug 06 2:00 CET/1%/Basketball, WNBA
96) Greece - France [<140] @1,952/Pinnacle/30 Aug 06 9:30/1%/Basketball, WCh Japan
97) Argentina - Turkey [<155,5] @1,952/Pinnacle/29 Aug06 9:30 CET/1%/Basketball, WCh Japan

 

[Betting4Fun]

Hi Alex

Following your posts i did go to have a look.
My question to you.

M.fish played Gruel earlier this year and lost by 2 sets on round 1.
Does it worth the risk betting on same match again for 1.35?Perhaps
the dog with a win the in past worth better shot?

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg0 align=left><TD class=bg0 colSpan=4>2006 Results</TD></TR><TR class=bg1 align=left><TD class=bg1 colSpan=4>Delray Beach International Tennis Championships</TD></TR><TR class=bg4 align=middle><TD>Rd</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>W/L</TD><TD>Score</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>1</TD><TD align=left>Simon Greul</TD><TD align=middle>L</TD><TD align=left>3-6,3-6</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Good luck and thanks for sharing.

 

[AlexGolz]

98) Ferrer - Almagro [1] @1,42/BetFair/28 Aug 06 21:30 CET/1%/Tennis, US Open

 

[AlexGolz]

Hi Alex
Following your posts i did go to have a look.
My question to you.

M.fish played Gruel earlier this year and lost by 2 sets on round 1.
Does it worth the risk betting on same match again for 1.35?Perhaps
the dog with a win the in past worth better shot?

Good luck and thanks for sharing.

I can agree with you, but every bet has it "for" and "against" aspects. I've been analyzing tennis for a long time and can say to you that I regard this factor(H2H) as the low-important one.

This factor is useful for me, when f.e. we have 5-10 matches between tennis player. Also the court coverage should be the same.

 

[rolltide]

thanks for Fish, Lee, and Ferrer ... go Mirza for the 1st day US Open SWEEP!!! ...then on to the Fiba plays

 

[Player]

I can agree with you, but every bet has it "for" and "against" aspects. I've been analyzing tennis for a long time and can say to you that I regard this factor(H2H) as the low-important one.

This factor is useful for me, when f.e. we have 5-10 matches between tennis player. Also the court coverage should be the same.

what are the factors you use when handicapping tennis?

 

[AlexGolz]

91) W 3-1
92) W 3-0
93) W 0-2
94) W 55-79
95) W 55-79
98) W 3-0

Starting bank(20/08) 113,6%
Average profit(%) +18,0
Bets +62=5-29

99) Kerem Gonlum (Turkey) [>5,5] @1,72/Expekt/29 Aug 06 12:30 CET/1%/Basketball, WCh Japan

 

[AlexGolz]

what are the factors you use when handicapping tennis?

The main factor is to recognize the rythm of the player. Important is everything. Whom he was playing, how easy he was winning/loosing etc.
I am passing his results over the year and understand his form.

If the player is old enough, so the last year performance at this period can help.

I can give a link to the best tennis software I am using if admin is not against. It really helps me.

Also news are important enough.

 

[Betting4Fun]

Hi Alex

Could you post the link or email it to me?
I would like to see it,is it free or cost anything?
If posting here is not an option,you can send it
to trafficbiz at gmail dot com

Thanks in advance.

 

[Player]

nice picks the last couple days alex, you are $$

can you please post your tennis link

thanks in advance

 

[AlexGolz]

97) W 83-58
99) L 3

Starting bank(20/08) 113,6%
Average profit(%) +17,0
Bets +62=5-30

100) Starace - Okun [2] @1,41/BetFair/30 Aug 06 16:00 CET/1%/Tennis, US Open
101) Fotsis (Greece) [<10,5] @1,85/Expekt/30 Aug 06 9:30 CET/2%/Basketball, WCh Japan