June 2016
Sides 39-15 +24.87 units
Totals 17-19 +.15 units
Team Totals 0-1 -1.25 units
H+R+E 0-1 -.30 units
Live Plays 2-2 +.82 units
Overall June 58-38 +24.29 units
May 2016
Sides 29-30 -9.12 units
Totals 24-27 -6.65 units
Team Totals 0-1 -1.05 units
Overall May 53-58 -16.82 units
April 2016
Sides 16-19 -2.44 units
Totals 29-19 +5.22 units
Team Totals 1-2 -1.20 units
Overall April 46-39 +1.58 units
Sides 39-15 +24.87 units
Totals 17-19 +.15 units
Team Totals 0-1 -1.25 units
H+R+E 0-1 -.30 units
Live Plays 2-2 +.82 units
Overall June 58-38 +24.29 units
May 2016
Sides 29-30 -9.12 units
Totals 24-27 -6.65 units
Team Totals 0-1 -1.05 units
Overall May 53-58 -16.82 units
April 2016
Sides 16-19 -2.44 units
Totals 29-19 +5.22 units
Team Totals 1-2 -1.20 units
Overall April 46-39 +1.58 units
Padres -108
Starting pitchers-wise, it's a pretty even match in the era category. San Diego has owned the Marlins at home recently (6-1). Add to that, Padres are scoring 5.71 rpg vs lefties. Marlins 3.80 rpg vs righties. I'm restraining myself from taking the over in this game, but at -108, this looks like a no brainer to me.
DBacks -160
Greinke is on fire right now. 3-0 last 3 with a 1.64 era. 7 quality starts in his last 10. He should be fired up to go up against his former team. Bolsinger has 0 quality starts in his last 10, sporting a 5.75 era, pitching tonight in a hitters field. Love the Snakes tonight.
Reds -116
This game has over written all over it. Both of these pitchers can give up the runs. I'm going with the bigger bats here with my Reds.
Tigers -112
Shields will continue to try to adjust to the American league. He had a rough 1st outing. Boyd is a serviceable pitcher, and I don't see the Chisox giving run support tonight.
Indians -134
The Tribe is 8-2 past 10 vs KC. Carrasco going 2-0 during that time with a complete game shut out. KC lost both games Volquez starting in that same period. Indians offense will give more support than Royals.
Starting pitchers-wise, it's a pretty even match in the era category. San Diego has owned the Marlins at home recently (6-1). Add to that, Padres are scoring 5.71 rpg vs lefties. Marlins 3.80 rpg vs righties. I'm restraining myself from taking the over in this game, but at -108, this looks like a no brainer to me.
DBacks -160
Greinke is on fire right now. 3-0 last 3 with a 1.64 era. 7 quality starts in his last 10. He should be fired up to go up against his former team. Bolsinger has 0 quality starts in his last 10, sporting a 5.75 era, pitching tonight in a hitters field. Love the Snakes tonight.
Reds -116
This game has over written all over it. Both of these pitchers can give up the runs. I'm going with the bigger bats here with my Reds.
Tigers -112
Shields will continue to try to adjust to the American league. He had a rough 1st outing. Boyd is a serviceable pitcher, and I don't see the Chisox giving run support tonight.
Indians -134
The Tribe is 8-2 past 10 vs KC. Carrasco going 2-0 during that time with a complete game shut out. KC lost both games Volquez starting in that same period. Indians offense will give more support than Royals.
June 13th:
Angels over 8.5 -120 1.2/1
Padres -108 1.08/1
DBack -160 1.6/1
Reds -116 1.16/1
Tigers -112 1.12/1
Indians -134 1.34/1
Rangers +124 1/1.24
Going with the better overall team at plus money. Manaea is nothing special and the Rangers should be able to round the bases on him. Ramos is a relief pitcher filling in for Darvish. I think he can keep the A's scoring low enough.
Angels over 8.5 -120 1.2/1
Padres -108 1.08/1
DBack -160 1.6/1
Reds -116 1.16/1
Tigers -112 1.12/1
Indians -134 1.34/1
Rangers +124 1/1.24
Going with the better overall team at plus money. Manaea is nothing special and the Rangers should be able to round the bases on him. Ramos is a relief pitcher filling in for Darvish. I think he can keep the A's scoring low enough.
June 14th:
Cubs -110 1.1/1
Indians -123 1.23/1
Another bargain IMO. Tomlin is 3-0 vs KC recently. Young is 1-1 recently. Indians averaging almost a full rpg vs righties over KC vs righties. Young is a gas can with poor run support with 1 quality starts in the past 10. He is much better at home, which is the only thing I'm worried about in this game.
Cubs -110 1.1/1
Indians -123 1.23/1
Another bargain IMO. Tomlin is 3-0 vs KC recently. Young is 1-1 recently. Indians averaging almost a full rpg vs righties over KC vs righties. Young is a gas can with poor run support with 1 quality starts in the past 10. He is much better at home, which is the only thing I'm worried about in this game.
June 14th:
Cubs -110 1.1/1
Indians -123 1.23/1
Dodgers -131 1.31/1
Maeda is pitching great in his first year in the states. Every game is an away game at this point, and he's not shaken easily. 2.70 era on the year, and a 1.06 WHIP. Bradley is coming into this game with a 5.22 era, 4.85 at home. Looking at his last 10 starts, I'm surprised his era is that low. He must have had a good start to the season. 5.80 era last year gives us more ammo to fade him here.
Cubs -110 1.1/1
Indians -123 1.23/1
Dodgers -131 1.31/1
Maeda is pitching great in his first year in the states. Every game is an away game at this point, and he's not shaken easily. 2.70 era on the year, and a 1.06 WHIP. Bradley is coming into this game with a 5.22 era, 4.85 at home. Looking at his last 10 starts, I'm surprised his era is that low. He must have had a good start to the season. 5.80 era last year gives us more ammo to fade him here.
June 14th:
Cubs -110 1.1/1
Indians -123 1.23/1
Dodgers -131 1.31/1
Rangers -116 1.16/1
I don't buy into HFA obviously. Again, the Rangers are a better team than the A's. Perez is a much better pitcher than Surkamp. Rangers averaging a full run more vs righties than A's vs righties. Lots of stats to back up this play, but no need. Just play it.
Waiting on the -1.5 line on Giants. Should be it for tomorrow unless I get suckered into another totals play.
Cubs -110 1.1/1
Indians -123 1.23/1
Dodgers -131 1.31/1
Rangers -116 1.16/1
I don't buy into HFA obviously. Again, the Rangers are a better team than the A's. Perez is a much better pitcher than Surkamp. Rangers averaging a full run more vs righties than A's vs righties. Lots of stats to back up this play, but no need. Just play it.
Waiting on the -1.5 line on Giants. Should be it for tomorrow unless I get suckered into another totals play.
I usually don't have much time to watch games live, but it's interesting to watch the money line change throughout a game. It seems like many games can be hedged for either a push or a win, and negating any loss. For instance, in the Det/CHW game, I have the Tigers at -112 1.12 unit to win 1 unit. I could have just taken the White Sox at +279. Wager .6 units to win 1.67 units, it's a win either way. I guess the only way this wouldn't work is if the White Sox get out to the early lead, and never give it up.
Just wondering if anyone here incorporates this into their wagering and if it would prove to be profitable, or just to let your original wagers ride.
Just wondering if anyone here incorporates this into their wagering and if it would prove to be profitable, or just to let your original wagers ride.
