tmader, I haven't found anything either. I don't know how much of an impact those stats would have. I am not a big supporter of home field advantage in baseball. I think it has less of an impact than other sports. Not only that, baseball field dimensions vary widely from park to park. Football fields, basketball courts, and I think hockey rinks are all the same dimensions. So trying to get more into detail with home vs road, vs lefties and righties may just be information overload.
As an engineer, lol, I'm thinking in terms of at home, players know effects of wind and geometry of field, not thinking about fans in the stands as I agree, that shouldn't matter to a pro. When they're on the road, wind in all likelihood changes the playing field, literally, as does the geometry. While they are probably aware of the effect of those variables at each diamond, it still impacts their hitting ability. That was my thought process, ya know, such and such park is a hitter's park, etc.
~T~
~T~
Totally get it, and I probably sound hypocritical saying home field doesn't matter when the dimensions of the field vary so much. As a former college baseball player (division 3, no big deal), I think more in terms of, you still have to put the ball in play, get good at bats, not throw many mistake pitches, etc. Those variables don't change according to the ball park. Once the ball is actually in play, the dimensions come into play. But like you said, these guys are pros. Not many mistakes are made. In the long run, it comes down to who matches up better. Heck, let's make some money tonight.
June 7th
Reds under 9.5 -120 1 to win .83
Orioles over 9 -125 1 to win .8
Nats -128 1 to win .78
Giants over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Padres -150 1 to win .67
Mariners over 8.5 EV 1 to win 1
Dodgers over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Rockies +170 1 to win 1.7
Red Sox -122 1 to win .82
Game #2 Pirates over 7.5 -105 1.05 to win 1
Yankees -160 1 to win .63
Rangers -102 1.02 to win 1
Blue Jays -134 1 to win .75
This is Sanchez' 3rd year in the majors, and he has shown great promise. 14-9 career. This year he has 8 quality starts out of 10. He did struggle against the Tigers in 2014 and 2015, one game each year, but it's a new year and not the same Tiger club. Matt Boyd, on the other hand, is 1-7 in his career and has only appeared in 72 innings. He does have one loss vs Toronto (last year). Gotta go with the hot hand and the Blue Jays here.
Reds under 9.5 -120 1 to win .83
Orioles over 9 -125 1 to win .8
Nats -128 1 to win .78
Giants over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Padres -150 1 to win .67
Mariners over 8.5 EV 1 to win 1
Dodgers over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Rockies +170 1 to win 1.7
Red Sox -122 1 to win .82
Game #2 Pirates over 7.5 -105 1.05 to win 1
Yankees -160 1 to win .63
Rangers -102 1.02 to win 1
Blue Jays -134 1 to win .75
This is Sanchez' 3rd year in the majors, and he has shown great promise. 14-9 career. This year he has 8 quality starts out of 10. He did struggle against the Tigers in 2014 and 2015, one game each year, but it's a new year and not the same Tiger club. Matt Boyd, on the other hand, is 1-7 in his career and has only appeared in 72 innings. He does have one loss vs Toronto (last year). Gotta go with the hot hand and the Blue Jays here.
Working on June 8th plays. Won't have much time tomorrow, so getting a jump on it now.
June 8th
Cubs -184 1 to win .54
Mets -140 1 to win .71
Lackey and Velasquez met earlier this year with a 7-2 win by the Cubbies. I can't find any evidence to support the Phillies winning this game.
Syndergaard vs a call up from AAA. Taillon is a very highly prized prospect. But at this point, he is a prospect. I'll take Syndergaard in this match up all day long.
June 8th
Cubs -184 1 to win .54
Mets -140 1 to win .71
Lackey and Velasquez met earlier this year with a 7-2 win by the Cubbies. I can't find any evidence to support the Phillies winning this game.
Syndergaard vs a call up from AAA. Taillon is a very highly prized prospect. But at this point, he is a prospect. I'll take Syndergaard in this match up all day long.
June 8th
Cubs -184 1 to win .54
Mets -140 1 to win .71
Reds over 9.5 -104 1.04 to win 1
Mariners over 7.5 -120 1 to win .83
I've got this Reds game at 11 runs minimum. Simon is still throwing BP, Garcia can certainly give up runs, and both of these teams are swinging the bat pretty darn well lately.
Mariners game fits into my overs system. On top of that, Walker has been giving up some runs lately. Indians score 5.06 rpg vs righties, Mariners 5.56 vs righties.
Cubs -184 1 to win .54
Mets -140 1 to win .71
Reds over 9.5 -104 1.04 to win 1
Mariners over 7.5 -120 1 to win .83
I've got this Reds game at 11 runs minimum. Simon is still throwing BP, Garcia can certainly give up runs, and both of these teams are swinging the bat pretty darn well lately.
Mariners game fits into my overs system. On top of that, Walker has been giving up some runs lately. Indians score 5.06 rpg vs righties, Mariners 5.56 vs righties.
Gave a little bit back last night in the form of juice. 6-6 with a couple of bad breaks. Reds bullpen let up a lot of late game runs to push the game over. And the Blue Jays blew a 2 run lead in the 9th. Rockies had a good chance to win, and Cleveland only scored 1 run. No excuses though.
June 2016
Sides 20-7 +16.15 units
Totals 13-12 +2.50 units
Team Totals 0 units
Overall June 33-19 +18.65 units
May 2016
Sides 29-30 -9.12 units
Totals 24-27 -6.65 units
Team Totals 0-1 -1.05 units
Overall May 53-58 -16.82 units
April 2016
Sides 16-19 -2.44 units
Totals 29-19 +5.22 units
Team Totals 1-2 -1.20 units
Overall April 46-39 +1.58 units
June 2016
Sides 20-7 +16.15 units
Totals 13-12 +2.50 units
Team Totals 0 units
Overall June 33-19 +18.65 units
May 2016
Sides 29-30 -9.12 units
Totals 24-27 -6.65 units
Team Totals 0-1 -1.05 units
Overall May 53-58 -16.82 units
April 2016
Sides 16-19 -2.44 units
Totals 29-19 +5.22 units
Team Totals 1-2 -1.20 units
Overall April 46-39 +1.58 units
Slightly positive night at 4-3. Not happy with my totals picks lately.
June 2016
Sides 23-7 +18.49 units
Totals 14-15 +.35 units
Team Totals 0 units
Overall June 33-19 +18.84 units
May 2016
Sides 29-30 -9.12 units
Totals 24-27 -6.65 units
Team Totals 0-1 -1.05 units
Overall May 53-58 -16.82 units
April 2016
Sides 16-19 -2.44 units
Totals 29-19 +5.22 units
Team Totals 1-2 -1.20 units
Overall April 46-39 +1.58 units
June 2016
Sides 23-7 +18.49 units
Totals 14-15 +.35 units
Team Totals 0 units
Overall June 33-19 +18.84 units
May 2016
Sides 29-30 -9.12 units
Totals 24-27 -6.65 units
Team Totals 0-1 -1.05 units
Overall May 53-58 -16.82 units
April 2016
Sides 16-19 -2.44 units
Totals 29-19 +5.22 units
Team Totals 1-2 -1.20 units
Overall April 46-39 +1.58 units
Mo, any play on that Buccos/Rocks game (I'm trying to convince myself ova rova) has got to be some kind of crap shoot. Both teams had to catch relatively late flights (or maybe very early a.m. flights) to travel half way across the country to Denver and play an afternoon (3:10 MTN) game. They gotta be dogged by the time the first pitch is thrown. Just my two cents, not trying to clog your thread. GL today/tonight.
~T~
tmader, I have that game going under, but in my mental notes I've scribbled to never go under in Denver. The travel did play a small play a small part in picking the Pirates, as their game last night finished well before the Rockies. Look at the last 2 matchups between these to pitchers. Both in Denver, 7 and 9 combined runs in these games. It's a no play for me.
Feel free to chime in here at any time. I don't get many visitors. Maybe I should post pictures of hot women. @)
June 9th:
Brewers under 8.5 -110 1.1 to win 1
Pirates -115 1.15 to win 1
Indians +105 1 to win 1.05
Rangers +115 1 to win 1.15
White Sox TT over 4 -125 1.25 to win 1
Feel free to chime in here at any time. I don't get many visitors. Maybe I should post pictures of hot women. @)
June 9th:
Brewers under 8.5 -110 1.1 to win 1
Pirates -115 1.15 to win 1
Indians +105 1 to win 1.05
Rangers +115 1 to win 1.15
White Sox TT over 4 -125 1.25 to win 1
"Hot Women," LMFAO! I try my damnedest to be constructive and contribute so shouldn't do anything but I hope help. Don't like the time aspect in the game but if I play it, I'm getting in the car with ya and taking the Buccos. I had the Mets in a nice par last night and frankly thought there was no chance the way the kid pitched and how easy it seemed for the Pirates to hit Syndergaard. But Lady Luck knocked on my front door. GL tonight, I'll check back later on.
~T~
~T~
