Mo's June 2016 MLB

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

June 6th

Rockies +124 3 to win 3.72
Tigers -117 3 to win 2.56
Rangers -108 3 to win 2.78
Phillies over 8 -120 3 to win 2.50
Rangers under 9.5 -115 1 to win .87
Tigers under 9 EV 1 to win 1
Tigers under 9.5 -115 1 to win .87
DBacks over 8.5 -110 3.3 to win 3
Mariners over 8.5 -115 1.15 to win 1

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

Should be the last one for the day. Gotta get the little ones off the bus soon.

June 6th

Rockies +124 3 to win 3.72
Tigers -117 3 to win 2.56
Rangers -108 3 to win 2.78
Phillies over 8 -120 3 to win 2.50
Rangers under 9.5 -115 1 to win .87
Tigers under 9 EV 1 to win 1
Tigers under 9.5 -115 1 to win .87
DBacks over 8.5 -110 3.3 to win 3
Mariners over 8.5 -115 1.15 to win 1
Cubs -1.5 -140 .7 to win .5

 

[tmader7]

MO, think ya missed a game, lol. GL, like a few of those a lot.

~T~

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

Yes, I did miss a game. It's all popping up in front of me today. Still pondering the Mariners over.

June 6th

Rockies +124 3 to win 3.72
Tigers -117 3 to win 2.56
Rangers -108 3 to win 2.78
Phillies over 8 -120 3 to win 2.50
Rangers under 9.5 -115 1 to win .87
Tigers under 9 EV 1 to win 1
Tigers under 9.5 -115 1 to win .87
DBacks over 8.5 -110 3.3 to win 3
Mariners over 8.5 -115 1.15 to win 1
Cubs -1.5 -140 .7 to win .5
Yanks -148 1 to win .68
Yanks under 8.5 -105 1 to win .95

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

Thought I was done, but nah. It's gonna be a big night, just don't know if I'll be winning or losing big. I have at least one wager on every game except for the Mets/Pirates. Leaning under.

June 6th

Rockies +124 3 to win 3.72
Tigers -117 3 to win 2.56
Rangers -108 3 to win 2.78
Phillies over 8 -120 3 to win 2.50
Rangers under 9.5 -115 1 to win .87
Tigers under 9 EV 1 to win 1
Tigers under 9.5 -115 1 to win .87
DBacks over 8.5 -110 3.3 to win 3
Mariners over 8.5 -115 1.15 to win 1
Cubs -1.5 -140 .7 to win .5
Yanks -148 1 to win .68
Yanks under 8.5 -105 1 to win .95
Royals +109 1 to win 1.09
Padres -131 1 to win .76

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

Consolidated the Tigers into one 2 unit play which was a loss. Fulmer and the pen did their job throwing a shut out, but Happ and company were throwing batting practice. Still, a nice winning day. Gained a whopping 12.30 units tonight, getting our bankroll back in black for the mlb season. Sure was nice to have the day off from work today and have extra time to cap.

9-4 on the night winning all five 3 unit plays. Tyler Chatwood throws a gem as expected. Chase field gives up the runs. Braves still blow. Cubs can still score some runs. Tigers blow out. Tanaka shows us how it's done. Rangers pull it out in the 9th.

Rockies +124 3 to win 3.72
Tigers -117 3 to win 2.56
Rangers -108 3 to win 2.78
Phillies over 8 -120 3 to win 2.50
Rangers under 9.5 -115 1 to win .87
Tigers under 9.5 -107.5 2 to win 1.87
DBacks over 8.5 -110 3.3 to win 3
Mariners over 8.5 -115 1.15 to win 1
Cubs -1.5 -140 .7 to win .5
Yanks -148 1 to win .68
Yanks under 8.5 -105 1 to win .95
Royals +109 1 to win 1.09
Padres -131 1 to win .76

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

June 2016
Sides 15-5 +14.25 units
Totals 12-8 +5.85 units
Team Totals 0 units
Overall June 27-13 +20.10 units

May 2016
Sides 29-30 -9.12 units
Totals 24-27 -6.65 units
Team Totals 0-1 -1.05 units
Overall May 53-58 -16.82 units

April 2016
Sides 16-19 -2.44 units
Totals 29-19 +5.22 units
Team Totals 1-2 -1.20 units
Overall April 46-39 +1.58 units

 

[indiana]

M/money........nicely done.........great #'s for June...........indy

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

thanks indy. I put a lot of time in today, and it paid off. Day off tomorrow as well, but won't be wagering as much (probably).

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

OK ladies. Gonna try to add to our 2016 earnings. Locked in 2 plays so far.

Reds under 9.5 -120 1 to win .83
Orioles over 9 -125 1 to win .8

At first glance, I was leaning on the over in the Reds game. Thinking that Lamb is a gas can, and the Reds have been hitting the ball around pretty good lately. Well, Lamb's home era is 2.81. He also face the Cards last year, throwing 5 shut out innings in Cincy. The other man on the hill today, Leake, played for the Reds 2010-2015, he's almost at home himself, pitching against some batters he knows well.

Should have jumped on the over in the Orioles game last night with less juice, but glad I got it at 9. The only thing that can hurt this play is that both starters are pulled early, and the pens of both teams shutting each other down. But gonna go with the 2 high era's in a hitters ballpark.

More to come I'm sure.

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

June 7th

Reds under 9.5 -120 1 to win .83
Orioles over 9 -125 1 to win .8
Nats -128 1 to win .78
Giants over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1

Joe Ross is on fire right now, giving up 2 runs in his last 14 innings, going up against a team in the White Sox who are regressing back to where they belong. Ross is actually better on the road so far this year, sporting a 1.54 era away from home. Meanwhile Latos has a 4.08 era at home, and his performance has been declining. Nats feel like they are the real deal. Sox have lost last 8 of 10 and are moping around.

Giants over 8 numbers-wise fits into my overs system. On top of that, we've got a rookie in Suarez going up against a team who can smack the ball around. Porcello is no stranger to giving up runs himself, especially in his last 4 outings. Giving up 16 runs in 23 innings.

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

June 7th

Reds under 9.5 -120 1 to win .83
Orioles over 9 -125 1 to win .8
Nats -128 1 to win .78
Giants over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Padres -150 1 to win .67

Padres own Braves, especially at home. Braves got a rookie on the hill who is 0-4 with a team behind him who can't give him run support. Now Rea is no Cy Young candidate, but should be serviceable for this game.

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

June 7th

Reds under 9.5 -120 1 to win .83
Orioles over 9 -125 1 to win .8
Nats -128 1 to win .78
Giants over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Padres -150 1 to win .67
Mariners over 8.5 EV 1 to win 1
Dodgers over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Rockies +170 1 to win 1.7

I've got this Seattle game at 10.5 runs. We're looking at 2 huge era's. Mariners hitting righties at 5.56 rpg. Indians hitting lefties at 4.36 rpg. Don't want to try to pick a winner in this game at I'm expecting both teams to hit the ball hard.

I see the Rockies smacking up the rookie Urias pretty well tonight, with the Dodgers adding 3 or so to the total.

I'm scratching my head about a rookie with 2 games and 7 innings, sporting a 9.39 era can be a -195 favorite. If I'm wrong, so be it. But I'm not going to pass up +170 on this game.

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

June 7th

Reds under 9.5 -120 1 to win .83
Orioles over 9 -125 1 to win .8
Nats -128 1 to win .78
Giants over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Padres -150 1 to win .67
Mariners over 8.5 EV 1 to win 1
Dodgers over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Rockies +170 1 to win 1.7
Red Sox -122 1 to win .82

Red Sox have a great history playing in SF. They are frothing at the mouth with an opportunity to go against the rookie in Suarez. at -122, I like my chances here.

 

[tmader7]

^^^^^^^^^^
Tonight is, imo, make or break for whether or not the kid gets sent back down. He hasn't handled the pressure yet, as you pointed out, and had that been one game, I'd give him the benefit of the doubt. Two games, nah. GL, love the plays, side and total.

~T~

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

thanks tmader. Let's make some cash tonight.

Adding another:

June 7th

Reds under 9.5 -120 1 to win .83
Orioles over 9 -125 1 to win .8
Nats -128 1 to win .78
Giants over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Padres -150 1 to win .67
Mariners over 8.5 EV 1 to win 1
Dodgers over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Rockies +170 1 to win 1.7
Red Sox -122 1 to win .82
Game #2 Pirates over 7.5 -105 1.05 to win 1

Again, numbers wise, this matchup fits into my overs system. Also, Pirates averaging 5.05 rpg vs righties, Mets 4.09 vs lefties. I'm a bit worried that Nicasio's home era is pretty solid, and DeGrom can pitch a gem at any time. But I rarely go against my overs system.

 

[tmader7]

Mo, I can find the same RPG R v. L that you're showing above in Game 2, Buccos/Mets. Know of a place that breaks it further down to home v. road? Thx.

~T~

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

sorry tmader. I haven't looked into breaking that stat down further, but I will look into it. Great suggestion.

adding another:

June 7th

Reds under 9.5 -120 1 to win .83
Orioles over 9 -125 1 to win .8
Nats -128 1 to win .78
Giants over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Padres -150 1 to win .67
Mariners over 8.5 EV 1 to win 1
Dodgers over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Rockies +170 1 to win 1.7
Red Sox -122 1 to win .82
Game #2 Pirates over 7.5 -105 1.05 to win 1
Yankees -160 1 to win .63

Yes, Pineda gives up some runs, but is improving and gets good run support. Huff is a journey man getting bounce from team to team, up and down from the majors to triple A. He was brought up to try to eat up some innings while the Angels try to get healthy. I like the Yanks to win, and will be looking into the total.

 

[tmader7]

I've searched but no luck, but it only makes sense, we look at pitchers home/away, night/day. Makes sense batters are more comfortable at home, but who the hell knows, maybe their fans hate them and they perform better on the road, lol.

~T~

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

June 7th

Reds under 9.5 -120 1 to win .83
Orioles over 9 -125 1 to win .8
Nats -128 1 to win .78
Giants over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Padres -150 1 to win .67
Mariners over 8.5 EV 1 to win 1
Dodgers over 8 -110 1.1 to win 1
Rockies +170 1 to win 1.7
Red Sox -122 1 to win .82
Game #2 Pirates over 7.5 -105 1.05 to win 1
Yankees -160 1 to win .63
Rangers -102 1.02 to win 1

I'm confused by this line. Let's look at recent meeting with these to pitchers throwing the rock. Just last month Hamels beats Keuchel 9-2 in Houston. April 20th, Hamels wins 2-1 with 6.2 innings pitched. April 21st, Keuchel loses to the Rangers 7-4. Rangers offense provides 5.22 rpg vs lefties, Astros 4.48 vs lefties. The biggest concern is the Rangers bullpen, at 4.98 era vs Astros pen at 3.34. I'll take the home team with the better pitcher, better run support, and momentum on their side.