Monday 2/16/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Art Aronson

Edmonton Oilers vs. Winnipeg Jets

1* Bonus Play Winnipeg Jets

Some times a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case I definitely feel that the Jets should be a much larger one and I have no issues whatsoever in laying the price on a game which I foresee as being an absolutely lop-sided destruction from the opening face-off. Yesterday I gave out my second Bonus Play winner in a row on the Pittsburgh Penguins on the PUCK LINE in Chicago. I stated in that analysis that I have never had issues in laying -500 odds if I thought the line should in fact be -800. The Pens cost -220 for the extra goal and a half and in a contest which I knew would be decided late or in extras, the Hawks would end up prevailing 2-1 in the shootout. Pittsburgh delivered the goods as expected on the PUCK LINE. Winnipeg is in the midst of a playoff race and comes in with plenty of momentum in having won three of its last four. Conversely, the lowly Oilers limp to town to play the finale of a long six-game road trip. Suffice it to say, this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors in my opinion. The Jets will also surely be eager to atone for a somewhat listless 3-1 loss to surging Nashville last time out. Edmonton has dropped four of its last six after getting crushed 7-2 in Ottawa on Saturday and note that Oilers goaltender Viktor Fasth is just 1-3-0 with a 4.19 GAA since February 7th. I think the writing is on the wall and a blowout is in the cards, consider a second look at the JETS in this one.

AAA Sports

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Seton Hall vs. Villanova

Play - Villanova (Game 702)

Edges - Wildcats: 11-3-1 ATS versus .570 or greater opponents this season. Pirates: 0-3 ATS with LTKO conference revenge; and 4-8 ATS after Providence. With the Wildcats looking to avenge a 66-61 loss as 7-point chalk at the Prudential Center in South Orange last month, we recommend a 1-unit play on Villanova. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCCAB Monday’s Tip Sheet
By David Schwab

Wins and losses this time of the year in men’s college basketball can have a huge effect on a team’s potential seed in this year’s NCAA Tournament. Two national powers that have high aspirations for one of the four top seeds in the Big Dance will be back in action on ESPN’s Big Monday. First in the ACC, the No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers will play host to the Pittsburgh Panthers, followed by the No. 8 Kansas Jayhawks on the road against No. 21 West Virginia in the Big 12.

Pittsburgh Panthers at No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Virginia -13

The Panthers made some noise over the weekend with Saturday’s stunning 89-76 victory against North Carolina as 3 ½-point home underdogs. They have now gone 3-1 both straight-up and against the spread in their last four conference games. The total has gone OVER in nine of their last 10 outings in the ACC. All five Pitt starters scored in double figures in the win over the Tar Heels and it shot a blistering 64.9 percent from the field and 53.3 percent from three-point range. Sophomore forward Sheldon Jeter led the way with 22 points, but another sophomore forward Michael Young continues to lead the team in scoring with 13.3 points per game.

Virginia needed some late-game heroics this past Saturday to get past Wake Forest 61-60 as a heavy 18-point home favorite. The Cavaliers have now failed to cover in five of their last six games and they are 6-7 ATS in 13 home games this season. The loss of junior guard Justin Anderson’s 13.4 PPG to a finger injury as definitely taken some of the punch out of its offense, but defensively Virginia has still been able to keep the clamps on teams by allowing an average of 51.7 points in its last seven games. Junior forward Anthony Gill helped fill the void on offense against the Demon Deacons with a game-high 19 points.

Betting Trends

— The Panthers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and they have failed to cover in their last six games on the road against a team with a SU winning record at home. The total has gone OVER in their last five Monday games.

— The Cavaliers have failed to cover in five of their last seven home games, but they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Monday. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games following a SU win.

— Virginia won both meetings last season SU while holding the Panthers to fewer than 49 points in each game to help keep the total UNDER the closing line.

No. 8 Kansas Jayhawks at No. 21 West Virginia Mountaineers (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: West Virginia -1

Kansas is coming off a big win this past Saturday by beating nationally ranked Baylor 74-64 as a 7 ½-point home favorite. It was the Jayhawks’ seventh SU victory in their last eight conference games and they are now 3-1 ATS in their last four outings. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six games. Kansas is averaging 72.2 PPG while shooting 44.3 percent from the field. Defensively, it is holding opponents to 67.2 points on the other end of the court. Junior forward Perry Ellis scored 18 points in the win over the Bears to exceed his team-high 13.1 point scoring average on the year.

The Mountaineers should fall out of the new national rankings following Saturday’s 79-59 blowout loss to Iowa State as seven-point road underdogs. It was their third SU loss in their last four games and they have failed to cover in all four contests. They return home where the total has gone OVER in four of their last five home games. On the year, West Virginia is averaging 75 PPG, but it is shooting just 41.2 percent from the field. In Saturday’s loss to the Cyclones, it shot 37.9 percent from the floor and a dismal 50 percent from the free throw line. Senior guard Juwan Staten carried the load in the loss with 16 points and seven assists.

Betting Trends

— The Jayhawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win and they are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven road games.

— The Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has gone OVER in their last five games on a Monday.

— The home team in this series has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in the only four meetings and the total has gone OVER in the last three games between the two. Kansas has won three of the four games SU.