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MLB SuperBook posts HR Futures

Opening Day of the 2015 pro baseball season takes place on Monday April 6, 2015 as 30 teams will look to win the World Series. Future Odds have been up since last November after the Giants defeated the Royals in the Fall Classic. Not surprisingly, neither San Francisco or Kansas City is expected to repeat this season.

Bettors looking for an alternative option on the diamond can do so with a popular baseball player prop being offered at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Who will hit the most home runs in the 2015 season?

According to the SuperBook, Miami's Giancarlo Stanton and Toronto's Jose Abreu are listed as the co-favorites at 8/1 (Bet $100 to win $800). Last year, Stanton finished with 37 dingers while Abreu had 36.

The player to hit the most home runs last year was Baltimore's Nelson Cruz, who hit 40. His odds to repeat as the home run leader are 60/1 (Bet $100 to win $6,000) and the reason for the high return is clearly related to his new environment. Cruz won't be playing in hitter-friendly Camden Yards this season, rather he's competing at pitchers park in Safeco Field since he inked a four-year deal with Seattle in the offseason.

Listed below are all of the odds posted at the SuperBook.

ODDS TO HIT MOST 2015 REGULAR SEASON HOME RUNS

GIANCARLO STANTON 8/1
JOSE ABREU 8/1
EDWIN ENCARNACION 12/1
CHRIS DAVIS 12/1
JOSE BAUTISTA 18/1
MIGUEL CABRERA 18/1
ANTHONY RIZZO 18/1
MIKE TROUT 20/1
PAUL GOLDSCHMIDT 20/1
CHRIS CARTER 25/1
MARK TRUMBO 25/1
GEORGE SPRINGER 25/1
JOSH DONALDSON 25/1
TROY TULOWITZKI 25/1
BRYCE HARPER 25/1
CARLOS GONZALEZ 30/1
JAY BRUCE 40/1
ADAM JONES 40/1
ALBERT PUJOLS 40/1
PRINCE FIELDER 40/1
AVISAIL GARCIA 50/1
EVAN GATTIS 50/1
EVAN LONGORIA 60/1
GREGORY POLANCO 60/1
JOSH HAMILTON 60/1
KRIS BRYANT 60/1
MATT ADAMS 60/1
PABLO SANDOVAL 60/1
RYAN BRAUN 60/1
YASMANY TOMAS 60/1
NELSON CRUZ 60/1
JOEY VOTTO 100/1
STEVE PEARCE 100/1
VICTOR MARTINEZ 100/1
ADAM LAROCHE 100/1
ADRIAN GONZALEZ 100/1
ANDREW McCUTCHEN 100/1
DAVID ORTIZ 100/1
FREDDIE FREEMAN 100/1
HANLEY RAMIREZ 100/1
JASON HEYWARD 100/1
JORGE SOLER 100/1
JUSTIN UPTON 100/1
LUCAS DUDA 100/1
MATT KEMP 100/1
TODD FRAZIER 100/1
WILL MYERS 100/1
YASIEL PUIG 100/1
YOENIS CESPEDES 100/1
FIELD (Any Other Player not listed above) 10/1

***SEASON MUST CONSIST OF AT LEAST 150 REGULAR SEASON GAMES FOR EACH TEAM

***PLAYER MUST PLAY IN AT LEAST 1 REGULAR SEASON GAME FOR ACTION

***IN CASE OF A TIE -- WINNERS ODDS ARE DIVIDED BY NUMBER OF WINNERS
 
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2015 MLB Win Totals

Win totals for the 2015 Major League Baseball season have been released by the Atlantis sportsbook in Reno, Nevada.

The highest win total sits with the defending National League East champion Washington Nationals at 93, while the team with the lowest total is from the same division, Philadelphia Phillies (67).

The San Francisco Giants won the World Series last year and finished the regular season with an 88-74 record. Their win total for the 2015 season opened at 85 victories.

Bettors can compare 2014 Win Totals posted from the Atlantis to this season, which gives you a better idea of the 2015 expectations placed by the oddsmakers.

A couple National League teams expected to improve are the Cubs and Marlins. Chicago and Miami both had win totals listed in the sixties last season. For 2015, the pair are expected to attain close to a .500 (81-81) record.

In the American League the Angels and Red Sox have been given the most respect. Teams that are expected to drop off include the Tigers, Rays and Rangers.

One club the Atlantis is expecting to improve is Houston, who has a win total of 73 ½. To put things in perspective, the Astros had the lowest win total posted the last two seasons, which includes a number of 57 ½ in 2014.

Below lists every team's final wins from each of the last three seasons, while the right column displays the 2015 win total courtesy of Atlantis.


National League Win Totals

Team Wins - 2012 Wins - 2013 Wins - 2014 Win Total - 2015
Arizona 81 81 64 72 ½
Atlanta 94 96 79 73 ½
Chicago Cubs 61 66 73 81 ½
Cincinnati 97 90 76 79
Colorado 64 74 66 70 ½
L.A. Dodgers 86 92 94 91
Miami 69 62 77 81 ½
Milwaukee 83 74 82 80
N.Y. Mets 74 74 79 81
Philadelphia 81 73 73 67
Pittsburgh 79 94 88 85 ½
San Diego 76 76 77 84
San Francisco 94 76 88 85
St. Louis 88 97 90 87 ½
Washington 98 86 96 93



Compare Win Totals at the Westgate SuperBook


American League Win Totals

Team Wins - 2012 Wins - 2013 Wins - 2014 Win Total - 2015
Baltimore 93 85 96 84 ½
Boston 69 97 71 86
Chicago White Sox 85 63 73 82
Cleveland 68 92 85 81
Detroit 88 93 90 81
Houston 55 51 70 73 ½
Kansas City 72 86 89 83
L.A. Angels 89 78 98 87 ½
Minnesota 66 66 70 68 ½
N.Y. Yankees 95 85 84 80
Oakland 94 96 88 82 ½
Seattle 75 71 87 85
Tampa Bay 90 92 77 77 ½
Texas 93 91 67 76 ½
Toronto 73 74 83 83 ½
 
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MLB SuperBook posts Win Totals

Opening Day of the 2015 pro baseball season takes place on Monday April 6, 2015 as 30 teams will look to win the World Series. Future Odds have been up since last November after the Giants defeated the Royals in the Fall Classic.

This past Friday, the Atlantis sportsbook in Reno, Nevada opened their MLB Win Total numbers for the 2015 upcoming season.

On Sunday afternoon, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened their MLB numbers as well and there were a couple adjustments made by the casino located in the southern part of Nevada.

There were eight teams that had differences of at least two wins per the two Nevada betting shops.

-- Cleveland opened 81 at Atlantis and 84.5 at the SuperBook
-- Detroit opened 81 at Atlantis and 84.5 at the SuperBook
-- Houston opened 73.5 at Atlantis and 75.5 at the SuperBook
-- Kansas City opened 83 at Atlantis and 79.5 at the SuperBook
-- L.A. Angels opened 87.5 at Atlantis and 89.5 at the SuperBook
-- Seattle opened 85 at Atlantis and 87.5 at the SuperBook
-- Tampa Bay opened 77 at Atlantis and 79.5 at the SuperBook
-- Texas opened 76.5 at Atlantis and 78.5 at the SuperBook

Listed below are all of the opening Win Totals posted on Feb. 15, 2015 at the SuperBook.

Arizona 72
Atlanta 73.5
Baltimore 81.5
Boston 86
Chicago Cubs 82.5
Chicao White Sox 81.5
Cincinnati 78
Cleveland 84.5
Colorado 71.5
Detroit 84.5
Houston 75.5
Kansas City 79.5
Los Angeles Angels 89.5
Los Angeles Dodgers 92.5
Miami 81.5
Milwaukee 78.5
Minnesota 71.5
New York Mets 81.5
New York Yankees 81.5
Oakland 80.5
Philadelphia 68.5
Pittsburgh 83.5
San Diego 85.5
San Francisco 84.5
Seattle 87.5
St. Louis 88.5
Tampa Bay 79.5
Texas 78.5
Toronto 82.5
Washington 93

Odds Subject to Change
 
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NCAAB Monday's Tip Sheet
By David Schwab

Wins and losses this time of the year in men’s college basketball can have a huge effect on a team’s potential seed in this year’s NCAA Tournament. Two national powers that have high aspirations for one of the four top seeds in the Big Dance will be back in action on ESPN’s Big Monday. First in the ACC, the No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers will play host to the Pittsburgh Panthers, followed by the No. 8 Kansas Jayhawks on the road against No. 21 West Virginia in the Big 12.

Pittsburgh Panthers at No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Virginia -13

The Panthers made some noise over the weekend with Saturday’s stunning 89-76 victory against North Carolina as 3 ½-point home underdogs. They have now gone 3-1 both straight-up and against the spread in their last four conference games. The total has gone OVER in nine of their last 10 outings in the ACC. All five Pitt starters scored in double figures in the win over the Tar Heels and it shot a blistering 64.9 percent from the field and 53.3 percent from three-point range. Sophomore forward Sheldon Jeter led the way with 22 points, but another sophomore forward Michael Young continues to lead the team in scoring with 13.3 points per game.

Virginia needed some late-game heroics this past Saturday to get past Wake Forest 61-60 as a heavy 18-point home favorite. The Cavaliers have now failed to cover in five of their last six games and they are 6-7 ATS in 13 home games this season. The loss of junior guard Justin Anderson’s 13.4 PPG to a finger injury as definitely taken some of the punch out of its offense, but defensively Virginia has still been able to keep the clamps on teams by allowing an average of 51.7 points in its last seven games. Junior forward Anthony Gill helped fill the void on offense against the Demon Deacons with a game-high 19 points.

Betting Trends

-- The Panthers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and they have failed to cover in their last six games on the road against a team with a SU winning record at home. The total has gone OVER in their last five Monday games.

-- The Cavaliers have failed to cover in five of their last seven home games, but they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Monday. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games following a SU win.

-- Virginia won both meetings last season SU while holding the Panthers to fewer than 49 points in each game to help keep the total UNDER the closing line.

No. 8 Kansas Jayhawks at No. 21 West Virginia Mountaineers (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: West Virginia -1

Kansas is coming off a big win this past Saturday by beating nationally ranked Baylor 74-64 as a 7 ½-point home favorite. It was the Jayhawks’ seventh SU victory in their last eight conference games and they are now 3-1 ATS in their last four outings. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six games. Kansas is averaging 72.2 PPG while shooting 44.3 percent from the field. Defensively, it is holding opponents to 67.2 points on the other end of the court. Junior forward Perry Ellis scored 18 points in the win over the Bears to exceed his team-high 13.1 point scoring average on the year.

The Mountaineers should fall out of the new national rankings following Saturday’s 79-59 blowout loss to Iowa State as seven-point road underdogs. It was their third SU loss in their last four games and they have failed to cover in all four contests. They return home where the total has gone OVER in four of their last five home games. On the year, West Virginia is averaging 75 PPG, but it is shooting just 41.2 percent from the field. In Saturday’s loss to the Cyclones, it shot 37.9 percent from the floor and a dismal 50 percent from the free throw line. Senior guard Juwan Staten carried the load in the loss with 16 points and seven assists.

Betting Trends

-- The Jayhawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win and they are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven road games.

-- The Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has gone OVER in their last five games on a Monday.

-- The home team in this series has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in the only four meetings and the total has gone OVER in the last three games between the two. Kansas has won three of the four games SU.
 
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NCAAB Game of the Day: Kansas at West Virginia

Kansas Jayhawks at West Virginia Mountaineers

Six games stand in between No. 9 Kansas and its 11th straight Big 12 title, although No. 20 West Virginia can do its part to help stop that run. The Mountaineers hope to avoid their fourth defeat in their last five games on Monday when they host the Jayhawks in the first of two meetings over the next 16 days. West Virginia coach Bob Huggins was critical of everything from his team’s performance to the officiating as the Mountaineers fell apart late in Saturday’s 79-59 loss at Iowa State.

“We’ve relied on turning people over and offensive rebounds and we got neither (Saturday). … The way this whole thing is structured from officiating to the whole deal, I think we just stand five guys in the lane and hope they don’t make shots,” said Huggins after the Cyclones shot 18 more free throws than West Virginia. Kansas won for the seventh time in its last eight contests on Saturday, preserving its two-game edge over Iowa State by rallying from a 13-point first-half deficit at home to upend Baylor. The Jayhawks will try to avenge their last trip to Morgantown, where they nearly overcame a 25-point second-half deficit last March before falling 92-86.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT KANSAS (21-4, 10-2 Big 12): Perry Ellis (team highs of 13.1 points, seven rebounds) became the 56th player in school history to surpass 1,000 career points with 18 on Saturday. Highly-touted freshman Kelly Oubre Jr. (8.5 points) enjoyed his best performance in nearly a month with 18 points, halting a six-game stretch in which totaled 39 – 16 of which came in a Feb. 2 win against Iowa State. Kansas also got solid play from 6-10, 240-pound sophomore Landen Lucas, who tied a career high with nine points and has seemingly worked his way into the rotation over the last four games after not seeing any court time in three of the previous four.

ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (19-6, 7-5): Although the Mountaineers have forced at least 16 turnovers in all but one game and lead the country with 21.3, Huggins indicated on his postgame radio show that he could back off his full-court pressure defense. “My frustration is I thought we were going to be a pretty decent half-court defensive team and we’re awful. I think the full-court stuff has (eaten) away at our half-court defense,” said Huggins, whose team ranks 10th in the conference in field-goal percentage defense (45.8). West Virginia is allowing opponents to shoot 57.3 percent from the field while going 1-3 over its last four contests.

TRENDS:

*Jayhawks are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
*Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
*Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
*Under is 5-2 in Jayhawks last 7 road games.
 
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Hurricanes-Eagles matchup postponed to Monday
Stephen Campbell

Miami-Florida and Boston College's college hoops meeting that was initially scheduled for Sunday evening has been postponed due to inclement weather.

The matchup will now be played on Monday at 3 p.m. EST. Before the announcement, books had BC as 3.5-point underdogs with the total sitting at 125.5.
 
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College Basketball: Streaks, Tips, Notes -

Pittsburgh at Virginia February 16, 07:00 EST

Cavaliers not the most efficient offensively netting 66.6 points/game but their strength comes at the defensive end with its top-ranked scoring defense (50.9 PPG) and third-ranked field-goal defense (35.8%). With those defensive numbers the betting trends line up well for the Cavaliers as they're 17-7 ATS as double digit home chalk allowing less than 70 points while Pittsburgh 1-7-1 ATS in lined road games enter a brutal 0-11-1 ATS netting under 70 points/game.
 
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NCAAB

Boston College (+8.5) lost 60-56 at Miami Jan 10, getting outscored 10-6 in last 5:01 after rallying from 13-point deficit to tie game. BC lost five in a row, all by 9+ points; they're 2-3 as home dogs, losing all five games by 1-15-9-11-14 points. Miami lost four of its last five games since win at Syracuse, losing last two road games by total of three points at Florida state, Wake Forest. Underdogs covered all five of Miami road games in ACC; Hurricanes are 0-2 as road favorites.

Villanova is 23-2, but one of losses was 66-61 in OT at Seton Hall when Pirates were more cohesive unit (Jan 3). Hall was 12-2 then, they're 3-10 since, losing starting G Sina to transfer. Wildcats shot 31% in loss to Hall and missed 15 FTs (20-35). Villanova is off big win at Butler Saturday in first place showdown; they've won/covered last six games, covering five of six as home faves, with all six home wins by 12+ points. Seton Hall is 3-2 as road dogs. Big East double digit home favorites are 6-6 vs spread.

Virginia has struggled without Anderson in lineup, winning four games in row, but last three by margins of 1-4-5 points, beating Wake Forest in last game 61-60 as 17-point favorites. Cavaliers are 2-4 as home faves in ACC play. Pitt hammered North Carolina at home Saturday, their third win in last four games; Panthers are 1-4 on ACC road, with three losses by 13+ points and lone win in OT at Boston College. ACC double digit home favorites are 6-9 vs spread.

Clemson won five of its last seven games, is 3-1 as home favorite, with three of last four home wins by 13+ points. Tigers covered five of their last six games overall. Georgia Tech lost four of last five games, but none of losses were by more than six points; Yellow Jackets are 3-2 as dogs on road, with only the Virginia loss (57-28) by more than 7 points. Tech is 3-5 vs spread in its last eight games. ACC home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-4 vs spread.

West Virginia lost three of last four games after an 18-3 start; if they do not create easy baskets via turnovers, they have trouble scoring. Kansas is 4-2 on Big X road, losing in Ames/Stillwater, winning at Baylor by a point, at TCU by 3. Jayhawks are #2 in league at protecting ball, which will get tested here. Mountaineers are 7-5 in Big X, but four of seven wins were TCU/Tech games, two worst teams in league. Big X home teams are 11-5 in games where spread was 3 or less points.

Butler (-11) beat Creighton 64-61 Jan 21, forcing 19 turnovers (+10) in a game they made just 4-16 from arc; Bulldogs are off tough home loss last game to Villanova 48 hours ago- they're 3-2 on Big East road, with last four road games all decided by 4 or less points- their last two road wins were both in OT. Creighton is 3-2 in last five games after starting 0-8 in conference; they scored 77+ points in all three wins. Big East home underdogs of 4 or less points are 5-5 vs spread.

Monmouth is 2-3-1 as home favorite this year; they won at Siena by 19 Saturday in last game; they won 57-50 at Marist Dec 4, forcing Foxes to turn ball over 21 times, while Hawks had 20 of their own. Marist lost its last game at home to Siena; they're 4-2 vs spread in last six games as road dog, losing last two overall by 22-2 points after they had won four in row to help negate 0-9 start, MAAC home favorites of 8+ points are 8-14 vs spread.

Tennessee Tech is 0-11 in true road games this year, but covered games at Tennessee/Alabama; they're 1-2-1 as OVC road dogs, with last three road losses all by 8+ points. Tech won its last three games vs East Tennessee State, with Eagles winning 98-83 foulfest LY-- both teams combined to shoot 79 foul shots in game Tech never trailed. East Tennessee is 1-10-1 vs spread as a SoCon favorite this year, its first year back in that league. Buccaneers won last three home games by 2-13-19 points.
 
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NCAAB

MIAMI (15 - 9) at BOSTON COLLEGE (9 - 14) - 2/15/2015,

Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
MIAMI is 108-73 ATS (+27.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
MIAMI is 108-73 ATS (+27.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MIAMI is 100-64 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MIAMI is 99-63 ATS (+29.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NCAAB

Trends

3:00 PM
MIAMI vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Miami is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Boston College is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Boston College is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
 
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Mr. Vegas

Mr Vegas NCAAB Bonus Play for Monday, Feb 16, 2015: 7:00 PM ET

(705) CLEMSON VS (706) GEORGIA TECH

Take: (705) CLEMSON

Reason: Not really sure Georgia Tech should be a favorite here, even though they are at home. Both clubs have trouble scoring, so taking points in this one looks to be the right move. Tech only has two conference wins in 13 attempts and now you are asking them to WIN and COVER. If we look at the last times GT has been favored, they are 1-4 ATS their last five times installed as the favorite and 2-7 ATS their last nine. Meanwhile, Clemson has covered two straight and five of their last six games. Clemson also does well against teams with losing records, posting a 7-2 ATS their last nine times. Take the points here with the Tigers.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Monday

(711) MARIST at (712) MONMOUTH 7:00PM

Take: (711) MARIST +8.5

This hasn’t been a banner season for Marist. The Red Foxes weren’t a powerhouse to begin with, and things got very bad very early when the team was hit hard by the injury bug. That pretty much reduced their campaign to rubble.

The good news for the Red Foxes is that they’ve finally gained a semblance of decent health and in the process, they’ve played better basketball. Marist is now a grotesque 5-20 on the season. But they’re 4-2 over the last six games, although they’ve dropped their last couple of outings.

It’s not always easy to get a good read on teams such as Marist. Whatever real incentive they have might not show till the MAAC Tournament when the Red Foxes will obviously hope to catch lightning in a bottle. But they’re at least competing now with the four recent wins and the just missed on Thursday in a two-point loss to Siena.

Monmouth has been a pleasant surprise of sorts this season. The Hawks sit 14-12 with a fine 10-5 conference ledger and King Rice is at least being rumored as a stock up coach who could start generating interest from some larger programs.

Monmouth is clearly the better team here on the season long stat matchups. But if one focuses on just the last few weeks, the margin of superiority to Marist is at least diminished to some extent. That has everything to do with the Red Foxes getting the walking wounded back on the court, particularly Khalid Hart, who’s also in tonight off his best game of the season.

Monmouth falls into a fade category I like late in the season. Without going into elaborate detail, it simply involves taking substantial points when available against any team that is in the lower half of my overall D-1 rankings. The logic here is pretty much inescapable and playing dogs in these games works more often than it doesn’t. I believe there’s a degree of value right now on the road team, as they’re showing better recent form than that nasty record might indicate. I’ll side with Marist plus the points tonight.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim's NCAAB Bonus Play for Monday, February 16, 2015: 7:00 PM ET

(705) CLEMSON VS (706) GEORGIA TECH


Take: UNDER


Reason: Your Bonus Play for Monday, February 16, 2015 is in the College scheduled basketball contest between Clemson and Georgia Tech. ACC contest here on Monday between the 7th place Clemson (15-10, 7-6 ACC) Tigers and next to last place Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (11-14, 2-11 ACC). Clemson not very good offensively, 289th in country in scoring (62.6 ppg) and 277th in field goal percentage (41.2%). It's not surprising that the Tigers are 4-13 O/U on the season. Clemson also is 0-4 O/U in its last four road games, 3-13 O/U last 16 overall and 2-12 O/U last 14 vs ACC. Tech isn't much better, 250th in scoring and 276th in field goal percentage. The Jackets are 2-6 O/ in their last six home games and in the last five meetings between these clubs at GA Tech, four have gone Under. Don't expect many points in this one either, take the UNDER.
 

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