indiancowboy
4 Unit Play. #503. Take Louisiana Tech +9 over New Mexico State (Monday @ 9pm est). Congrats on another winning week in college hoops (albeit small) and a winning week overall in hoops. That makes 5 of 6 winning weeks in college and 8 straight winning weeks in the NBA. But, we have more to accomplish and if there is one thing that I've learned in this business as it is not nearing a decade of capping, you never rest on your laurels - and you treat each day as if you neither lost or won - treat it neutral. It all comes down to research, patience and hard work. If you can do that 365 days a year being level headed - you will be just fine. This is why I love the site that I am with as it gives me a chance in a non-overly toutish way to publish, research, and the liberty to cap via flat betting with consistency. This is much better than being forced to sell for the day and being overly toutish - I hate that. As per the game today, I like La Tech catching the points. You know, I gave a strong look at the Pitt vs. Uconn game today and actually leaned on the under and nearly wrote the analysis last night. But, I held back simply b/c I think Pitt can very well win that game SU. I still think it can go under, the but the total has dropped two points, and if I think the dog is going to do well, then it would go with my active dog/over theory which I have published relentlessly about the last four years. So, it would go against my view to take the total if Pitt is competitive in that game. Let's ride La Tech today on the road. La Tech has quietly pulled themselves into a top 200 power ranked team. They have not faced New Mexico State this year, but have plenty of revenge from being swept last year. Note, that La Tech does have talent enough to beat Fresno State by 13 at home (same team that took State to OT just recently at State), lost to conference stud Utah State by just 8 on the road, and even beat a top 120 Nevada team on the road outright by 3 by dropping 78 points on the highway on them. New Mexico State is a talented team and they are 7-5 in conference play and I'm not taking that away from them. But, they are not the type of team that blows other teams out in conference play. When the played Fresno State recently, they won in OT (who is a similarly ranked team to La Tech), this team too beat Nevada on the road by 2 points (same as La Tech) and beat San Jose State by 8 and Hawaii by 10 at home. I can see La Tech hanging tough most of this game on the road today as if they can hang within 8 to Utah State who is a top 50 team, why can they not hang tough against New Mexico State who doesn't necessarily blow teams out at home. I have La Tech losing by 6 here and will take the 9 points. The Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS as an Underdog of this margin, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and New Mexico State is 0-4 ATS as a favorite of this margin at home. Let's ride the Bulldogs who are also 16-5 ATS as a road underdog in their last 21 contests.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.