Well said Brady, but at the same time whats wrong with requesting?
Why would anyone pay for a pick that can be provided for free from somebody who has the service or another forum? It happend to me this weekend if I had just waited 5 minutes the play I want was posted instead I spent money on it.
Not being cheap, but if I showed you to slices of pizza from the same place and said one is free and the other is $4 which one are you taking?
@)OLÉ Monday (4-1)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Today we´re going to England FA Cup for a good play:
Arsenal will rest some players in this match to face the Champions league later this week.
Cardiff has the momentum going. Don´t be surprise on the outright win.
Arsenal vs. Cardiff
Play Cardiff +1 Even
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Today we´re going to England FA Cup for a good play:
Arsenal will rest some players in this match to face the Champions league later this week.
Cardiff has the momentum going. Don´t be surprise on the outright win.
Arsenal vs. Cardiff
Play Cardiff +1 Even
COMPS:
SCOTT RICKENBACH FREE PICKS
GAME: DALLAS STARS @ COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS FEB 16, 2009 7:00PM
SPORT: National Hockey League Picks
PICK: under
Offered at: 5.5 Belmont
REASON FOR PICK: Scott Rickenbach's FREE PICK (Opinion Only) - UNDER the total in Columbus vs Dallas @ 7:05 PM ET - Please note that the write-ups with my star-rated and/or guaranteed picks are more in-depth than the analysis provided with my Free Picks. Thanks for joining me today and good luck! This one has all the makings of a fierce, tight, low-scoring battle. The last time these teams met, the Stars pummeled the Blue Jackets and Columbus goalie Steve Mason ended up getting pulled from the game. However, he was suffering with mononucleosis and he's now back and as strong as ever. He and his Blue Jackets teammates will be looking for redemption as a result of that ugly loss. Also, the Stars are looking for redemption themselves after they just lost an ugly 6-2 game at Chicago.
As a result, both of these clubs are coming into this game looking for better defense and better goaltending. Additionally, this is a key game in the battle for the playoffs in the Western Conference. These two teams are tied in the #9 spot in the conference. The Stars Marty Turco has bounced back after a sluggish start to the season and, prior to the ugly loss to the Blackhawks, the Stars had been doing a great job in terms of holding opponents down with solid defense as well as excellent netminding. After a poor effort at Chicago, the Stars bounce back here, including Turco. That means one should consider a small play on the UNDER in Columbus on Monday night. Thank you and best of luck always from Scott Rickenbach
============================================
BEN BURNS FREE PICKS
GAME: ATLANTA THRASHERS @ LOS ANGELES KINGS FEB 16, 2009 10:30PM
SPORT: National Hockey League Picks
PICK: Los Angeles Kings
Offered at: -200 5Dimes
REASON FOR PICK: The price on the Kings is too steep to qualify as one of my "guaranteed" selections, as I practically never go above the -150 mark with my premium plays. That said, we've had plenty of success backing large favorites over the years and this should be a solid spot to "lay the wood" with the home team.
The Thrashers exploded for eight goals at Anaheim last night, knocking off the Ducks by a score of 8-4. That was certainly an impressive victory. However, they're still 3-7 against teams from the West. They're also 3-8 after a win by two goals, 6-14 after scoring four or more goals AND a money-burning 6-18 (-11.4) after allowing four or more goals. Looking back further and we find them at an ugly 30-60 (-34.8) their last 90 in that situation. Additionally, during the same stretch, the Thrashers are a poor 14-32 (-15.2) when playing the second of back to back games.
The Kings lost last time out. However, that was an unfortunate loss as it came in a shootout and they had a 41-21 edge in shots on goal. They're a much better team than they've been in recent years and should be able to bounce back with a victory here. Consider LA
==================================================
GAMEDAY SPORTS NETWORK
FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS
La Tech @ New Mexico St
Picks: UNDER 136
Time: 9:00 PM EST
========================================
SportsAction365
FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL WINNER
2/16/09
Siena @ Iona
Prediction: Siena -4
Time: 7:30 PM EST
========================================
NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS
FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS
La Tech @ New Mexico St
Time: 9:00 PM EST
Pick: UNDER 136
FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS
Siena @ Iona
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Pick: OVER 137.5
===========================================
Bob Harvey
Pittsburgh @ Connecticut u136.0
Mon Feb 16 '09 7:00p
If you’re looking for lots of points and run and gun offense, replay last night’s NBA all-star game because your not going to find it here.
This matchup of Big-East “Super Powers” figures to be low-scoring and decided by defense.
The Huskies are 15-5 to the UNDER this season, 10-3 to the low side in conference play, and 14-3 to the UNDER when facing a team with a winning record.
The Huskies are also on UNDER runs of 6-1 (last seven) and 7-3 (last ten).
The low numbers continue in head-to-head meetings. The UNDER is 7-3 in the last ten series meetings.
U-Conn is first in the nation in rebounding margin (11.5 per game), third in the nation in field goal percentage allowed at 37.3 and 23rd in three-point defense.
Both of last seasons meetings failed to crack the 120 point mark. I don’t see that much has changed this season. Pitt can score (78 PPG) but U-Conn can defend like no one’s business (60 PPG). The line looks about right for this game.
Look for another low scoring game. My advice: PLUNDER the UNDER.
================================================== =======
LT Profits
Louisiana Tech +9.0 (-110)
Mon Feb 16 '09 9:00p
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have surprisingly been very profitable investments this season while the New Mexico State Aggies have been generally overvalued, and we look for this to continue tonight.
The Bulldogs may be just 10-15 straight up, but they are on a nice 10-4 run against the spread to improve to 13-7 ATS for the while season., one of the best rates against the number in the country. Furthermore, they are 8-3 ATS on the road, where they are losing their games by an average of -6.4 points, a margin that is well within this inflated spread.
On the flip side, the Aggies are a modest 13-12 SU overall and a poor 9-15 ATS, including just 5-7 ATS here at home. They have been burning a lot of money lately, going just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 games, and they have covered just one of their last six home games.
As if that is not enough, this has been an Underdog Series, with the dog going 6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings. Look for Louisiana to continue that trend at a nice number here.
CBB Free Pick: Louisiana Tech +9 (-110)
================================================== =======
Rocketman Sports
Marist +3.0 (-110)
Mon Feb 16 '09 8:00p
Marist @ St Peters 8:00 PM EST
Play On: 1* Marist +3
St Peters is scoring only 58.5 points per game this year. Marist is 5-0 SU overall vs St Peters last 3 years including 2-0 SU and ATS at St Peters last 3 years. Peacocks are 12-25-2 ATS in their last 39 home games. Peacocks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Peacocks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. Peacocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Peacocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Peacocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games following three or more consecutive road games. Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Marist tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
================================================== ==
Jimmy Boyd
NCAA-B | Feb 16
SIENA vs. Iona
SIENA -4-110 at BOOKM > 6h.
1 Unit Bonus Play on Siena -4
It's a bit of a down year for the Gaels and Siena won't make the mistake of taking them lightly again after nearly going down to them at home. Siena has dominated this matchup recently, winning all 5 meetings over the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at Iona during this time frame. Siena is 7-4 SU at Iona since 1997 and a perfect 8-0 ATS in those lined games. Iona is just 3-11 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons and 3-11 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.
================================================== ======
Rob Vinciletti
NCAA-B | Feb 16
Canisius vs. Loyola Maryland
Loyola Maryland -6½-110 at BOOKM > 6h.
On Monday the comp play is on Loyola Md. Game 507 at 7:30 eastern.Loyola comes in here at 8-3 vs losing teams, while Canisius is 0-5 su 1-4 ats as a road dog of 6.6 to 9.After allowing 60 or less they are 0-5 su-ats.With revenge 4-13.If they scored 60 or less they are 3-9.Ill back Loyola as the Bonus Play.Those looking for something to pound check out my page with the 14-1 nhl game of the month or the big conference goy.We are still plus well over 115 units in hoops combined this year at myhandicapper. bol GC-
================================================
Dave Price
NCAA-B | Feb 16
Pittsburgh vs. Connecticut
Total 135½ un-110 at BETUS > 6h.
1 Unit Bonus Play on Pitt/UConn UNDER 135.5
Pitt is a perfect 7-0 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) this season. The average point total in these games is 124.9. UConn is 15-5 UNDER in all lined games this season and 10-3 UNDER against conference opponents this season. Each of the last 2 meetings between these teams have gone under easily, with combined scores of 117 and 113. Bet the Under.
===============================================
Mikey Sports
NCAA-B | Feb 16
Coll Charleston vs. Appalachian St
Coll Charleston 0-110 at SIA > 6h.
FREE CBB play
==========================================
Texas Longhorns -2½ get better of Texas A&M Aggies
Game Time: 02/16/2009 09:00 PM -
By: Cajun Sports | cajun-sports.com
This Big 12 rivalry isn't quite the marquee game we thought it would be at the start of the season. Lay the points on the Texas Longhorns at the Texas A&M Aggies tonight.
Reed Arena in College Station will be the site for ESPN’s second game of their college basketball doubleheader on Monday night featuring the hometown Texas A&M Aggies and the visiting Longhorns from the University of Texas.
The Horns enter tonight’s game off back-to-back wins over Oklahoma State (99-74) and at Colorado (85-76). A&M has not been so fortunate losing their last three in a row which included losses at Oklahoma (77-71), at home versus Kansas State (65-60) and finally on the road at Baylor (72-68).
College basketball teams that are coming off a loss straight up but a win ATS and going Under in their last game, and now installed as a home underdog of 2½ to 6 points are 34-61-3 ATS. If that loss came on the road the record for our play against team, the record is 29-54-2 ATS. If this is a conference game our home underdog has a record of 66-92-6 ATS with any line range. If the line range is 2½ to 6 points, the record for our play against team is 23-44-1 ATS. If our play against team is involved in a division game as a home underdog, their record is 9-24-1 ATS, and if we use the same line range their record is 2-9-1 ATS.
College basketball teams winning straight up but losing ATS on the road in their last game and are now a conference road favorite, their record is 87-61 ATS. Teams that won straight up on the road and are now on the division road with a line range of 2½ to 6 points have a record of 87-59-1 ATS. If our play on team went Over in their last game and are now a division road favorite, their record is 45-25 ATS, and if we have the same line range as above their record is 25-9 ATS.
We also note that Texas, after winning straight up but losing ATS on the road and now facing a conference opponent, has gone 7-1 ATS. If Texas went Over in that game and now has the same line range their record is a perfect 5-0 ATS.
Texas has a team offensive efficiency rating of 110.1 which ranks 52nd in the nation while the Aggies have a rating of 107.5 which is good for 82nd. The Longhorns have a defensive efficiency rating of 89.1 which ranks 16th in the country while the Aggies have a rating of 95.4 for 68th. Texas has a significant advantage on the defensive end and should be able to control the pace and tempo at both ends of the floor in tonight’s contest which will translate into a Horns victory and cover for us in College Station.
Texas is 17-7 SU and 9-12 ATS on the season with a record of 7-5 SU and 6-6 ATS on the road averaging 69.6 points per game versus teams that allow 68.8 points per game, defensively the Longhorns are holding their opponents to 65.2 points per game versus teams that average 72.8 points per game. The Aggies are 17-8 SU and 9-8 ATS overall on the season including 13-2 SU at home but only 2-5 ATS. Texas A&M has really struggled in conference play posting a record of only 3-7 SU but they are 5-4 ATS averaging 67.3 points per game versus teams that allow 69.2 points per game, defensively the Aggies allow 70.2 points per game versus teams that average 72.3 points per game.
Finally we have two college basketball systems that are active for tonight’s game. The first tells us to play against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 off three straight losses against conference rivals against an opponent off a road win, going 82-44 ATS since 1997. The second and final system tells us to play on road teams as a favorite or pick with a team shooting 32-36.5 percent from the three-point line against a team that is allowing 32-36.5% percent from behind the arc after a game where a team made 55 percent of their shots or better, 46-14 ATS the last five seasons.
Combine all the fundamental, situational and technical factors and we have a solid play on the Longhorns tonight, so lay the short price and hook 'em!
Projected Final Score: Longhorns-74 Aggies-67
Free Pick: Texas -2½ (-110)
================================================
Texas A&M Aggies +2 corral the Texas Longhorns
Game Time: 02/16/2009 09:00 PM -
By: We Cover Spreads | wecoverspreads.com
The Aggies are desperate for a win as they come in riding a 3-game losing skid. Take the bucket and Texas A&M at home in the Reed Arena vs. the Texas Longhorns.
A Big 12 battle in the Lone Star State as Texas (17-7) faces off with Texas A&M tonight. Texas comes in winners of their last two games and A&M comes in on a three game skid.
The Aggies started off hot on 14-1 run this year notching a couple of good non-conference wins under their belt. They beat LSU, Alabama, and Arizona. They've gotten off to a bad start in conference play going just 3-7 S.U. They are 6-4 ATS in conference play. Texas has been up and down and hard to read this year. They have some nice quality wins against UCLA, Wisconsin, and Villanova. They are 6-4 in conference play but have posted a struggling 3-7 ATS mark.
Texas hasn't won in College Station since 2004. These games aren't usually close either,seven of the last 10 have been decided by double figures. The Longhorns are 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings here.
We think the Aggies can win the battle in the paint tonight. Bryan Davis (10.6 PPG 6.2 RPG 31 blocks) and Chinemelu Elonu (9.8 PPG 7.4 RPG 44 blocks) have the edge both offensively and defensively against centers Connon Atchley (5.5 PPG 3.7 RPG 37 blocks) and Dexter Pittman (8.7 PPG 4.3 RPG 19 blocks). Gary Johnson (11.3 PPG and 5.9 RPG) is a solid forward for the Longhorns that the Aggies have to concentrate on tonight as well up front. The key matchup though will be when Josh Carter (13.3 PPG) for the Aggies and Damion James (15.5 PPG and 8.5 RPG). Both are tough players who can get the ball to basket and play defense. Carter has been streaky beyond the arc hitting just 36% of his three pointers. He can drive to the hole and draw the foul and is hitting an amazing 87% of his free throws. James won the first battle this year outscoring Carter 28-9.
The first meeting between these two teams A&M shot better from the floor and beyond the arc. It was the foul trouble that Bryan Davis got himself into and they lost his presence in the paint. The Longhorns won the battle on the glass and reeled in 13 offensive boards to A&M's 6 offensive boards. They must be more aggresive tonight in order to win this game. Elonu had 5 blocks for the Aggies in the first meeting and they will need the same defensive play from him again tonight. He also added 12 points and must put up similar numbers tonight.
The Longhorns are shooting just 40% from the floor in Big 12 play on the road this year. If guys like Josh Carter and David Sloan shots are on tonight than that could spell trouble for the Longhorns if they can't get a rhythm going on the road. They are just hitting 26% of there shots from beyond the arc in all road games this year. A.J. Abrams seems to struggle as of late against the Aggies averaging just 8.6 PPG in his past three meetings against them. He is shooting an awful 26% from the field against Texas A&M in those games.
The Longhorns last four visits to College Station they are just shooting 35% from the field, they struggle shooting in this building for some reason. tonight we are going to back the Aggies with the home crowd and the two points.
Free Pick: Texas A&M +2 (-110)
SCOTT RICKENBACH FREE PICKS
GAME: DALLAS STARS @ COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS FEB 16, 2009 7:00PM
SPORT: National Hockey League Picks
PICK: under
Offered at: 5.5 Belmont
REASON FOR PICK: Scott Rickenbach's FREE PICK (Opinion Only) - UNDER the total in Columbus vs Dallas @ 7:05 PM ET - Please note that the write-ups with my star-rated and/or guaranteed picks are more in-depth than the analysis provided with my Free Picks. Thanks for joining me today and good luck! This one has all the makings of a fierce, tight, low-scoring battle. The last time these teams met, the Stars pummeled the Blue Jackets and Columbus goalie Steve Mason ended up getting pulled from the game. However, he was suffering with mononucleosis and he's now back and as strong as ever. He and his Blue Jackets teammates will be looking for redemption as a result of that ugly loss. Also, the Stars are looking for redemption themselves after they just lost an ugly 6-2 game at Chicago.
As a result, both of these clubs are coming into this game looking for better defense and better goaltending. Additionally, this is a key game in the battle for the playoffs in the Western Conference. These two teams are tied in the #9 spot in the conference. The Stars Marty Turco has bounced back after a sluggish start to the season and, prior to the ugly loss to the Blackhawks, the Stars had been doing a great job in terms of holding opponents down with solid defense as well as excellent netminding. After a poor effort at Chicago, the Stars bounce back here, including Turco. That means one should consider a small play on the UNDER in Columbus on Monday night. Thank you and best of luck always from Scott Rickenbach
============================================
BEN BURNS FREE PICKS
GAME: ATLANTA THRASHERS @ LOS ANGELES KINGS FEB 16, 2009 10:30PM
SPORT: National Hockey League Picks
PICK: Los Angeles Kings
Offered at: -200 5Dimes
REASON FOR PICK: The price on the Kings is too steep to qualify as one of my "guaranteed" selections, as I practically never go above the -150 mark with my premium plays. That said, we've had plenty of success backing large favorites over the years and this should be a solid spot to "lay the wood" with the home team.
The Thrashers exploded for eight goals at Anaheim last night, knocking off the Ducks by a score of 8-4. That was certainly an impressive victory. However, they're still 3-7 against teams from the West. They're also 3-8 after a win by two goals, 6-14 after scoring four or more goals AND a money-burning 6-18 (-11.4) after allowing four or more goals. Looking back further and we find them at an ugly 30-60 (-34.8) their last 90 in that situation. Additionally, during the same stretch, the Thrashers are a poor 14-32 (-15.2) when playing the second of back to back games.
The Kings lost last time out. However, that was an unfortunate loss as it came in a shootout and they had a 41-21 edge in shots on goal. They're a much better team than they've been in recent years and should be able to bounce back with a victory here. Consider LA
==================================================
GAMEDAY SPORTS NETWORK
FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS
La Tech @ New Mexico St
Picks: UNDER 136
Time: 9:00 PM EST
========================================
SportsAction365
FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL WINNER
2/16/09
Siena @ Iona
Prediction: Siena -4
Time: 7:30 PM EST
========================================
NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS
FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS
La Tech @ New Mexico St
Time: 9:00 PM EST
Pick: UNDER 136
FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS
Siena @ Iona
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Pick: OVER 137.5
===========================================
Bob Harvey
Pittsburgh @ Connecticut u136.0
Mon Feb 16 '09 7:00p
If you’re looking for lots of points and run and gun offense, replay last night’s NBA all-star game because your not going to find it here.
This matchup of Big-East “Super Powers” figures to be low-scoring and decided by defense.
The Huskies are 15-5 to the UNDER this season, 10-3 to the low side in conference play, and 14-3 to the UNDER when facing a team with a winning record.
The Huskies are also on UNDER runs of 6-1 (last seven) and 7-3 (last ten).
The low numbers continue in head-to-head meetings. The UNDER is 7-3 in the last ten series meetings.
U-Conn is first in the nation in rebounding margin (11.5 per game), third in the nation in field goal percentage allowed at 37.3 and 23rd in three-point defense.
Both of last seasons meetings failed to crack the 120 point mark. I don’t see that much has changed this season. Pitt can score (78 PPG) but U-Conn can defend like no one’s business (60 PPG). The line looks about right for this game.
Look for another low scoring game. My advice: PLUNDER the UNDER.
================================================== =======
LT Profits
Louisiana Tech +9.0 (-110)
Mon Feb 16 '09 9:00p
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have surprisingly been very profitable investments this season while the New Mexico State Aggies have been generally overvalued, and we look for this to continue tonight.
The Bulldogs may be just 10-15 straight up, but they are on a nice 10-4 run against the spread to improve to 13-7 ATS for the while season., one of the best rates against the number in the country. Furthermore, they are 8-3 ATS on the road, where they are losing their games by an average of -6.4 points, a margin that is well within this inflated spread.
On the flip side, the Aggies are a modest 13-12 SU overall and a poor 9-15 ATS, including just 5-7 ATS here at home. They have been burning a lot of money lately, going just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 games, and they have covered just one of their last six home games.
As if that is not enough, this has been an Underdog Series, with the dog going 6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings. Look for Louisiana to continue that trend at a nice number here.
CBB Free Pick: Louisiana Tech +9 (-110)
================================================== =======
Rocketman Sports
Marist +3.0 (-110)
Mon Feb 16 '09 8:00p
Marist @ St Peters 8:00 PM EST
Play On: 1* Marist +3
St Peters is scoring only 58.5 points per game this year. Marist is 5-0 SU overall vs St Peters last 3 years including 2-0 SU and ATS at St Peters last 3 years. Peacocks are 12-25-2 ATS in their last 39 home games. Peacocks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Peacocks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. Peacocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Peacocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Peacocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games following three or more consecutive road games. Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Marist tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
================================================== ==
Jimmy Boyd
NCAA-B | Feb 16
SIENA vs. Iona
SIENA -4-110 at BOOKM > 6h.
1 Unit Bonus Play on Siena -4
It's a bit of a down year for the Gaels and Siena won't make the mistake of taking them lightly again after nearly going down to them at home. Siena has dominated this matchup recently, winning all 5 meetings over the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at Iona during this time frame. Siena is 7-4 SU at Iona since 1997 and a perfect 8-0 ATS in those lined games. Iona is just 3-11 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons and 3-11 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.
================================================== ======
Rob Vinciletti
NCAA-B | Feb 16
Canisius vs. Loyola Maryland
Loyola Maryland -6½-110 at BOOKM > 6h.
On Monday the comp play is on Loyola Md. Game 507 at 7:30 eastern.Loyola comes in here at 8-3 vs losing teams, while Canisius is 0-5 su 1-4 ats as a road dog of 6.6 to 9.After allowing 60 or less they are 0-5 su-ats.With revenge 4-13.If they scored 60 or less they are 3-9.Ill back Loyola as the Bonus Play.Those looking for something to pound check out my page with the 14-1 nhl game of the month or the big conference goy.We are still plus well over 115 units in hoops combined this year at myhandicapper. bol GC-
================================================
Dave Price
NCAA-B | Feb 16
Pittsburgh vs. Connecticut
Total 135½ un-110 at BETUS > 6h.
1 Unit Bonus Play on Pitt/UConn UNDER 135.5
Pitt is a perfect 7-0 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) this season. The average point total in these games is 124.9. UConn is 15-5 UNDER in all lined games this season and 10-3 UNDER against conference opponents this season. Each of the last 2 meetings between these teams have gone under easily, with combined scores of 117 and 113. Bet the Under.
===============================================
Mikey Sports
NCAA-B | Feb 16
Coll Charleston vs. Appalachian St
Coll Charleston 0-110 at SIA > 6h.
FREE CBB play
==========================================
Texas Longhorns -2½ get better of Texas A&M Aggies
Game Time: 02/16/2009 09:00 PM -
By: Cajun Sports | cajun-sports.com
This Big 12 rivalry isn't quite the marquee game we thought it would be at the start of the season. Lay the points on the Texas Longhorns at the Texas A&M Aggies tonight.
Reed Arena in College Station will be the site for ESPN’s second game of their college basketball doubleheader on Monday night featuring the hometown Texas A&M Aggies and the visiting Longhorns from the University of Texas.
The Horns enter tonight’s game off back-to-back wins over Oklahoma State (99-74) and at Colorado (85-76). A&M has not been so fortunate losing their last three in a row which included losses at Oklahoma (77-71), at home versus Kansas State (65-60) and finally on the road at Baylor (72-68).
College basketball teams that are coming off a loss straight up but a win ATS and going Under in their last game, and now installed as a home underdog of 2½ to 6 points are 34-61-3 ATS. If that loss came on the road the record for our play against team, the record is 29-54-2 ATS. If this is a conference game our home underdog has a record of 66-92-6 ATS with any line range. If the line range is 2½ to 6 points, the record for our play against team is 23-44-1 ATS. If our play against team is involved in a division game as a home underdog, their record is 9-24-1 ATS, and if we use the same line range their record is 2-9-1 ATS.
College basketball teams winning straight up but losing ATS on the road in their last game and are now a conference road favorite, their record is 87-61 ATS. Teams that won straight up on the road and are now on the division road with a line range of 2½ to 6 points have a record of 87-59-1 ATS. If our play on team went Over in their last game and are now a division road favorite, their record is 45-25 ATS, and if we have the same line range as above their record is 25-9 ATS.
We also note that Texas, after winning straight up but losing ATS on the road and now facing a conference opponent, has gone 7-1 ATS. If Texas went Over in that game and now has the same line range their record is a perfect 5-0 ATS.
Texas has a team offensive efficiency rating of 110.1 which ranks 52nd in the nation while the Aggies have a rating of 107.5 which is good for 82nd. The Longhorns have a defensive efficiency rating of 89.1 which ranks 16th in the country while the Aggies have a rating of 95.4 for 68th. Texas has a significant advantage on the defensive end and should be able to control the pace and tempo at both ends of the floor in tonight’s contest which will translate into a Horns victory and cover for us in College Station.
Texas is 17-7 SU and 9-12 ATS on the season with a record of 7-5 SU and 6-6 ATS on the road averaging 69.6 points per game versus teams that allow 68.8 points per game, defensively the Longhorns are holding their opponents to 65.2 points per game versus teams that average 72.8 points per game. The Aggies are 17-8 SU and 9-8 ATS overall on the season including 13-2 SU at home but only 2-5 ATS. Texas A&M has really struggled in conference play posting a record of only 3-7 SU but they are 5-4 ATS averaging 67.3 points per game versus teams that allow 69.2 points per game, defensively the Aggies allow 70.2 points per game versus teams that average 72.3 points per game.
Finally we have two college basketball systems that are active for tonight’s game. The first tells us to play against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 off three straight losses against conference rivals against an opponent off a road win, going 82-44 ATS since 1997. The second and final system tells us to play on road teams as a favorite or pick with a team shooting 32-36.5 percent from the three-point line against a team that is allowing 32-36.5% percent from behind the arc after a game where a team made 55 percent of their shots or better, 46-14 ATS the last five seasons.
Combine all the fundamental, situational and technical factors and we have a solid play on the Longhorns tonight, so lay the short price and hook 'em!
Projected Final Score: Longhorns-74 Aggies-67
Free Pick: Texas -2½ (-110)
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Texas A&M Aggies +2 corral the Texas Longhorns
Game Time: 02/16/2009 09:00 PM -
By: We Cover Spreads | wecoverspreads.com
The Aggies are desperate for a win as they come in riding a 3-game losing skid. Take the bucket and Texas A&M at home in the Reed Arena vs. the Texas Longhorns.
A Big 12 battle in the Lone Star State as Texas (17-7) faces off with Texas A&M tonight. Texas comes in winners of their last two games and A&M comes in on a three game skid.
The Aggies started off hot on 14-1 run this year notching a couple of good non-conference wins under their belt. They beat LSU, Alabama, and Arizona. They've gotten off to a bad start in conference play going just 3-7 S.U. They are 6-4 ATS in conference play. Texas has been up and down and hard to read this year. They have some nice quality wins against UCLA, Wisconsin, and Villanova. They are 6-4 in conference play but have posted a struggling 3-7 ATS mark.
Texas hasn't won in College Station since 2004. These games aren't usually close either,seven of the last 10 have been decided by double figures. The Longhorns are 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings here.
We think the Aggies can win the battle in the paint tonight. Bryan Davis (10.6 PPG 6.2 RPG 31 blocks) and Chinemelu Elonu (9.8 PPG 7.4 RPG 44 blocks) have the edge both offensively and defensively against centers Connon Atchley (5.5 PPG 3.7 RPG 37 blocks) and Dexter Pittman (8.7 PPG 4.3 RPG 19 blocks). Gary Johnson (11.3 PPG and 5.9 RPG) is a solid forward for the Longhorns that the Aggies have to concentrate on tonight as well up front. The key matchup though will be when Josh Carter (13.3 PPG) for the Aggies and Damion James (15.5 PPG and 8.5 RPG). Both are tough players who can get the ball to basket and play defense. Carter has been streaky beyond the arc hitting just 36% of his three pointers. He can drive to the hole and draw the foul and is hitting an amazing 87% of his free throws. James won the first battle this year outscoring Carter 28-9.
The first meeting between these two teams A&M shot better from the floor and beyond the arc. It was the foul trouble that Bryan Davis got himself into and they lost his presence in the paint. The Longhorns won the battle on the glass and reeled in 13 offensive boards to A&M's 6 offensive boards. They must be more aggresive tonight in order to win this game. Elonu had 5 blocks for the Aggies in the first meeting and they will need the same defensive play from him again tonight. He also added 12 points and must put up similar numbers tonight.
The Longhorns are shooting just 40% from the floor in Big 12 play on the road this year. If guys like Josh Carter and David Sloan shots are on tonight than that could spell trouble for the Longhorns if they can't get a rhythm going on the road. They are just hitting 26% of there shots from beyond the arc in all road games this year. A.J. Abrams seems to struggle as of late against the Aggies averaging just 8.6 PPG in his past three meetings against them. He is shooting an awful 26% from the field against Texas A&M in those games.
The Longhorns last four visits to College Station they are just shooting 35% from the field, they struggle shooting in this building for some reason. tonight we are going to back the Aggies with the home crowd and the two points.
Free Pick: Texas A&M +2 (-110)
B.S.S. found this on another site thought you may want to see it.
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Results for Sat 2-14
Taw Jackson
Taw Jackson (Early Card)
(75-35-2) All Plays
(21-6-1) Game of the Day
(20-13-1) Outright Dog Winner
(11- 4) Late Steam
Plays For : 2/14/09
Iowa +5.5 (O.D.W.) [W]
Alabama +2.5 (O.D.W.) [W]
California -6 [W]
Boise State ML +170 (G.O.D.) [W]
The Sports Contrarian
75-35 ATS (NBA / NCAA Combined)
Top Plays 39-21 (5 Unit Play)
31-15 Last 24 Days
5 Unit Play Kansas PK (W)
5 Unit Play Creighton -2.5 (W)
(6-0)
Thanks for the heads up!!
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They have been for me, because of five years with these guys the wife and I have purchased 2 properties in Jamaica (the economy is better there than here) and just finished paying for the one in Negril right after the Super Bowl). These guys are crazy sick in baseball 6 out of every 10 winners seem to be doggies. I don't buy crap and I don't buy into marketing services. <!-- / message -->
There is another forum where he has been posted for over two months, and I've noticed that they are not always posted up here every day although they are up on the other place every day you can see that he has been for real as for those 2 months are concerned and he or the other guys have been posted as well there and here. They have yet to have a losing week,on their "bad" days they just basically split. I have been following them since the beginning of Dec. and they have their records in front as well as in the back members area of their site and I havn't seen them fudge once.
