Monday 11/16/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike O'Connor

CINCINNATI (-10.5) 33 Houston 15

This isn’t a great spot for the Bengals as they come off of a divisional win against the Browns last Thursday night in prime-time and next week square off in another high profile prime-time game in Arizona against the Cardinals on Sunday night. On the other side, the Texans are coming off of their bye and still right in the hunt in the bad AFC South, just a half game behind the Colts.

The Bengals one weakness this season so far has been their inability to stop the run as they are allowing 4.9 ypr against teams that gain 4.5 ypr on average. Houston has been terrible on the ground (averaging 88 rushing yards at 3.4 ypr against teams that allow 109 rushing yards at 4.1 ypr) but they may have an opportunity to get something going in this match-up. Otherwise, they’ll have a hard time moving the ball with a below average pass offense that is generating an average of 5.8 yps against teams that allow 6.5 yps facing a Cincinnati defense that is very good defending the pass (allowing 5.9 yps against teams that gain 6.5 yps on average). On the other side, a very good Bengals offense (averaging 393 total yards at 6.3 yppl against teams that allow 368 yards at 5.8 yppl) should move the ball well against an average Houston defense.

I don't have any situations that apply to this game and my model favors the Bengals by 17.9 points. I lean with Cincinnati minus the points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SLEEPYJ

Pacers / Bulls Over 196.5

In the past years this total might have been around 186.5..This is a new year and two new teams..Well the teams have changes just a bit, but both teams look to run pace now...The Bulls have won two in a row and the Pacers have now won 3 in a row..Both will be looking to measure up here tonight..One might think they go back to the old ways of hard nosed defense..I think the opposite here...This is a good game to see if the up tempo works against each other..Both of these teams may in fact face off come playoff time..So why not try to work the game plan in that both have tried to do this year..Neither team will be used to other running and gunning up the court...I think that hurts any defensive game plan either team has here..I think they let it up here tonight with Butler, Rose, George and Hill....Chicago avg just under 102ppg...Pacers come in at about 98ppg....The Pacers will have to stop the Bulls from hitting 3's tonight..Look for a healthy amount of 3's from Mirotoc and McDermott..That will pull away the inside guys and Rose and Butler can attack the rack as usual without much resistance...Pacers have got a good thing going right now with Paul George..He looks to be one of the best player in the NBA right now...Butler might get the matchup on George tonight, but Chicago lacks defense here aside from Butler..That leaves Monta Ellis pushing the pace with George Hill..Look for Indy to hoist up a decent amount of 3's here as well..Monta Ellis is starting to find his niche in the offense and that's a bad thing for defenses..I look for plenty of 3's tonight and plenty of scoring..Both teams will try to run the tempo they want and both teams will be ok doing so..I got this one around 203-205

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jesse Schule

Indiana/Chicago Under 197

The Pacers will take on the Bulls at the United Center tonight, coming off three straight wins. I like what I have seen from Indiana during a three game winning streak, and I'll ride them while they are hot. The Bulls are asked to cover a handful of points at home tonight, and they've been far from impressive so far this season. Chicago is 3-2 in it's last five, but one of those wins was against the Sixers. Derrick Rose continues to struggle, still suffering from the effects of a broken orbital bone. The injury has affected his vision: "I'm playing with both of them open now," Rose said. "But [my vision] is still blurry when I look certain ways. But that's part of [the recovery], I guess." He scored just 10 points on 4-of-14 shooting in the win over Charlotte on Friday. The Pacers superstar forward Paul George seems to have put his injury woes behind him, averaging 30 points over his last five games. He's averaged 22.2 points in his last five visits to Chicago. The Pacers have also impressed with their defense, ranking 5th in the NBA allowing opponents to average just over 96 points per game. These teams have a history of playing tight, low scoring games, and I'll take the dog getting the points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JR ODonnell

Virginia -6

Analysis: Virgina Cavs by 8 to 11 tonight ...Power Rated here to the Cavs - 8.33 points ... Cavs lock down D to be the difference here gang!!!
Cavs by 8.... play it!!!!!!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Monday, November 16

Trend Report

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games at home

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Memphis's last 17 games
Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 19 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
Chicago is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Indiana
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. PHOENIX
LA Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Phoenix's last 25 games
Phoenix is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Monday, November 16

Trend Report

7:00 PM
ANAHEIM vs. CAROLINA
Anaheim is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 10 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim

7:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. NY ISLANDERS
Arizona is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Islanders last 7 games when playing Arizona
NY Islanders are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. OTTAWA
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Ottawa is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:30 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Tampa Bay's last 25 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
VANCOUVER vs. MONTREAL
Vancouver is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 8-14-1 SU in its last 23 games ,when playing Vancouver
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver

8:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg