Monday 10/13/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Art Aronson

Anaheim Ducks vs. Buffalo Sabres

Bonus Play Buffalo Sabres +1½ Goals

Last year I finished +$26,000 units in the NHL (including the Playoffs). This season I’ve gone 6-4 (60%) to start. Knowing when to use a “strategic” PUCK-LINE wager is what seperates the casual bettor from the pro and for a number of different reasons, I think Buffalo is worth the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.

The Ducks come to Buffalo to face the winless Sabres and then will have to immediately board a plane and travel to Philadelphia to take on the winless Flyers. Buffalo also hits the road to take on the winless Hurricanes on Tuesday. A tougher spot scheduling wise for Anaheim though which is playing the third game of an opening four game road trip. To say this is a “revenge” spot for the Sabres would be an understatement as the Ducks have won six of the last nine in the series, which included taking both meetings last year. From a situational stand-point, this is a sound play, while I do think Buffalo can score an outright win, because of its thrid period issues already this season, I think the safer play is in laying the price for the extra goals; how about you, do you think the home side can keep this one close?

AAA Sports
 
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Jesse Schule

Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals

Free MLB Play Kansas City Royals

Can anything stop Kansas City? This team seems destined to play in the World Series, and with all the clutch hitting, stellar defensive plays and a solid bullpen, how could you possibly bet against them?

The Royals will turn to veteran Jeremy Guthrie in Game 3, and he was sharp at the end of the regular season. The right-hander was 3-1 with a 2.40 through five starts in the month of September, and he sees his first action of the post-season tonight. He's had success against Oriole hitters in the past, with Adam Jones 1-for-12 lifetime versus Guthrie.

Baltimore will hand the ball to Wei-Yin Chen, who fell apart in his previous post-season appearance versus Detroit. He was chased from Game 2 of the ALDS after surrendering five runs on seven hits, including a pair of home runs all in just 3 2/3 innings. Behind Chen is an Orioles bullpen that has been great all year, but has struggled in this series, with Darren O'Day getting credit for the loss in both the first two games in Baltimore.

Billy Butler and Eric Hosmer have owned Chen, with both hitting better than .400 with a combined four home runs and nine RBIs.

Take KC.

GL,

Jesse Schule
 
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'Monday Night'r'

San Francisco off a pair of close home victories defeating Eagles 26-21 and most recently slipping past Chiefs 22-17 head into St Louis to take on the Rams. Division games are always tough. Spotting road points within the division can be dangerous. However, in this case the Niners' as small favorites (-3) are the wise investment. Niners' are comfortable playing under Monday Night Light's (8-1 ATS), thrive as small favorite (23-8-1 ATS) and have been good bets during pumpkin month (11-4 ATS). Finally, another area in which Niners' excel at the betting window is when they win the ground game by 50 or more yards (13-2 ATS) a situation that looks promising considering Rams can't stop the run and must contend with the presence of Niners' strong ground game behind Frank Gore (365 RY), Carlos Hyde (132 RY), Colin Kaepernick (205 RY).
 
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JEFF BENTON

Your Monday freebie is the Over in the Orioles-Royals contest.

Kansas City now home and up 2-0 in this best-of-seven series, and thus far the pitching has been taking a back seat to the hitting, as both games contested over the weekend in Baltimore sailed Over the total.

The Orioles have played 4 of their 5 postseason games Over the total, while the Royals have now played Over the price in 4 of their 6 playoff games this month.

Chen and Guthrie aren't exactly Cy Young candidates, and Chen did get hit pretty hard by Detroit in the opening round of the playoffs in his lone start. This is Guthrie's first assignment of the playoffs, and he has not worked on the mound in live action since September 26th. The layoff will hurt him.

Take Baltimore and Kansas City Over the total tonight.

3* BALTIMORE-KANSAS CITY OVER
 
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STEVE ROSEN
NHL | Oct 13, 2014
Anaheim Ducks vs. Buffalo Sabres

Let me start of by saying, EASY WORK! I can't stop , won't stop as NHL and NBA seasons arrive! The Ducks are going to destroy the Sabres today.The Anaheim Ducks had a third period to remember Saturday night in Detroit, while the Buffalo Sabres would much rather forget their performance over the final 20 minutes of their loss in Chicago. Buffalo is off to another dismal start, dropping each of its first two games while being outscored 9-3 in the process. Just about everything that could go wrong has done just that for the Sabres, who have struggled at all facets of the game in their opening 120 minutes of the season. Among the major concerns is a power-play unit that has not only gone scoreless in five opportunities, but allowed a pivotal short-handed goal in the loss to the Blackhawks. Penalty killing has also struggled, allowing a man-advantage goal in both games while yielding eight opportunities through two games. Buffalo finished 29th in power-play success rate (14.1 percent) and 20th in penalty killing (81.4) a season ago. On the other hand Anaheim was one of the most dangerous offensive teams in the league last season, and appears to have bolstered its attack with the addition of Ryan Kesler. The former Vancouver Canucks forward has been one of the team's top players through the first two games, racking up a goal and three assists while proving to be a valuable power-play asset and averaging nearly 20 minutes of ice time per game. Anaheim cruised to victory in both meetings last season, outscoring Buffalo 12-5 in games played less than a week apart. Getzlaf has five goals and six assists in 11 career games versus the Sabres. History repeats itself today as the Ducks win.

Free Pick: Ducks. **** PLEASE LAY THE REGULATION LINE ONLY (should be between -110- 130). No need to lay -175, would be horrible money management and also plain stupid.
 
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MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, October 13

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BALTIMORE (99 - 68) at KANSAS CITY (95 - 73) - 8:05 PM
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 95-73 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 20-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 15-5 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
KANSAS CITY is 91-70 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 69-48 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in playoff games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 55-40 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 21-11 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
KANSAS CITY is 49-35 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 22-15 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
GUTHRIE is 38-27 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 19-12 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 39-29 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 29-18 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 17-11 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 100-68 (+37.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 48-35 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-5 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-21 (+21.0 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 89-61 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 73-38 (+40.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 77-49 (+32.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 43-25 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 48-29 (+25.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 34-17 (+21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CHEN is 20-12 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 20-8 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 18-9 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 6-3 (+2.8 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CHEN is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.418.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GUTHRIE is 2-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)
 
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MLB

Monday, October 13

Trend Report

8:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games
 
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NHL

Monday, October 13

Trend Report

1:00 PM
COLORADO vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Colorado
Boston is 5-11-1 SU in its last 17 games ,when playing Colorado

3:00 PM
ANAHEIM vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Anaheim

7:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. TAMPA BAY
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games
Ottawa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Florida is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games when playing Ottawa
 
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NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 13

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COLORADO (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) at BOSTON (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/13/2014, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 55-36 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 17-10 ATS (+27.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 95-65 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
COLORADO is 28-9 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 170-143 ATS (-47.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 1-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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ANAHEIM (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at BUFFALO (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/13/2014, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 62-35 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 30-14 ATS (+12.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 173-143 ATS (+27.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 32-12 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 15-3 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 21-63 ATS (-75.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 2-0-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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MONTREAL (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (1-0-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/13/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 59-43 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 27-15 ATS (+9.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 7-3 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-3-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.9 Units, Under=-0.0 Units)

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OTTAWA (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at FLORIDA (0-1-0-1, 1 pts.) - 10/13/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 10-20 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 144-170 ATS (+337.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 131-162 ATS (-65.2 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-3 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 4-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)
 
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GC:NHL Power Angle Play

Monday Night Football Perfect system play along with a Game 3 MLB League Championship series system lead the Monday card. MLB on a 9-2 run. NFL Ranked #1 on several boards. Columbus Day NHL Matinee play below.

On Monday the Columbus day NHL Power angle Play is on Anaheim. Game 53 at 3:00 eastern. The Ducks travel into Buffalo to take on a Sabres team they beat twice last season scoring 6 goals in both win. Anaheim is 7-1 on the road off a road game and has much more depth. Buffalo is 0-9 off a road game and has lost 16 of 18 if they were a dog in their last game. Look for Anaheim to get the win. On Monday there are 2 plays up. In NFL we are ranked #1 on several prestigious boards and tonight there is a 100% System in the Monday night football game and a Game 3 League Championship Series system play. Get on both now as we start the week big. For the Bonus Play take Anaheim. GC​
 

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