Monday 10/13/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Northlands Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 72

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2014. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 DRIVEN BY SEATTLE 8/5


# 2 SILVER WABBIT 7/2


# 5 BOURREE 9/2


I've got to go with DRIVEN BY SEATTLE. Highly ranked earnings per start at the distance/surface in this group. Has earned reliable Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. Could provide positive gains based on very strong recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 66. SILVER WABBIT - The speed rating of 58 from her most recent race looks strong in here. Looks very strong for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figures in dirt route races as of late. BOURREE - Has been running admirably lately and will most likely be on or close to the front end early on.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:10pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 BUMPY RIDE (ML=6/1)
#3 JUST HEATIN UP (ML=15/1)


BUMPY RIDE - The July 23rd event at Delaware was at a class level of (80). Dropping down in the class scale drastically, so she should be in a good position to win. JUST HEATIN UP - Gutierrez rode this entrant for the first time last time out and comes right back in today's race. Potts brings her right back. I advocate you stick with this live filly. Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 BURN PERMIT (ML=8/5), #4 MIDDLE JEWEL (ML=9/2), #6 DREAM OF PEGASUS (ML=5/1),

BURN PERMIT - Not probable for this entrant to make a winning move with no success lately in a sprint event. MIDDLE JEWEL - The Brain cautions me to keep my distance from horses in short distance races that haven't hit the board in short distance contests recently. DREAM OF PEGASUS - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some success lately in sprint races in order to bet on her.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #8 BUMPY RIDE to win. Have to have odds of at least 6/5 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #9 - Post: 4:01pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 HIBERNIA ANGEL (ML=8/1)
#3 QUIET LIVEING (ML=10/1)
#11 POWER'S CUPCAKE (ML=7/2)


HIBERNIA ANGEL - Ran last out against tougher competition at Presque Isle Downs. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit her well. My expertise says this is the lone presser in the race. QUIET LIVEING - Don't often see a profitable ROI like +200. This rider/trainer tandem has done well together over the last 12 months. A big drop in class rating points from her September 15th race at Parx Racing. Based on that data point, I will give this one the advantage. POWER'S CUPCAKE - Rode this horse on September 23rd and Davis is yet again in the irons in today's contest. Taking a trip down in the class scale; has the capability to make her presence felt.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 READ THE HEADLINES (ML=2/1), #4 LUCY'S FINALE (ML=5/1),

READ THE HEADLINES - This entrant hasn't been on the track since September 12th. Not even any drills. LUCY'S FINALE - This questionable contender ran a run-of-the-mill speed figure last time around the track. She shouldn't improve and will probably suffer defeat in today's race running that fig. If you keep choosing these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be let down regularly.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #5 HIBERNIA ANGEL on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,11] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,5,11] with [3,5,11] with [2,3,5,6,11] with [2,3,5,6,11] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northfield: Monday 10/13 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,4 / 7 / 1,6,7 / 1,3,6,9 = $24


Best Bet: KIRTY DREAM (9TH)

Spot Play: TOP OF THE MARK (10TH)


Race 1

(2) COLETECH has a good post in a soft field and also keeps the top driver. (9) ABBEYCREST comes off a break but could hit the ticket with a smooth trip. (3) TEXAS RIDGE was overmatched at this level last out but has shown the ability to trot a good mile.

Race 2

In a very tough race to handicap, (9) RIGHT ON TIME should offer a good price even taking a significant drop in class. (1) BET ON ART also drops in class and will be much closer turning for home. (4) MODERN WARFARE has just been racing evenly but fits well in this level; command a price.

Race 3

(3) PARTYATYOURPLACE needs to bounce back off two tough trips, but gets a much better starting post. (5) SEMPTEMBER HALL is probably the horse to beat against much weaker, but has just been racing evenly in his last two. (4) I‘M LOADED has been off almost a month and shows a bunch of breaks, but her recent qualifier was improved; use underneath.

Race 4

(3) WESTERN FELLA has burned cash quite often this year, but owns a big burst of speed when timed right. (6) LIVELIKEURDYING hails from connections that are always capable; threat. (9) FIERCE DESIRE finally draws a better starting post and has made the most money in the field on the year.

Race 5

(3) MAGICAL VICTORY is capable of trotting a big mile down in class. (9) IMJUSPINETANKU benefits from the top driver who will need to work out a smooth trip. (4) VIEWLANDER doesn’t win often and is best used underneath in an inconsistent field.

Race 6

(5) LEGAL BRIEF was bet down as a heavy favorite last out and came up empty, however the pacer takes an even bigger drop in class. (1) ABBYS LUCK dropped and popped last out but does face tougher; threat. (4) DANCE WITH DAN gets an upgrade in the bike and should offer a fair price in a wide open race if the top choice falters.

Race 7

(4) CHARLIE B went a lifetime best two starts ago before coming up completely empty against a tough bunch last out. (1) KIASMA faces slightly softer and gets the best post. (5) NEWSPEAK comes into the race off a victory down in class, but would need more to hit the top spot.

Race 8

(1) GRANDE SEELSTER gets the best post in an evenly matched race for a hot trainer. (4) CASH CAB drops in class and has made the most money in the field on the year; tough to keep off the ticket with a good drive. (6) ALFREDSSON could have an outside shot in the right scenario for streaky connections.

Race 9

(7) KIRTY DREAM was a top driver’s choice, which is significant. The trotter’s best chance is moving forward at the start. (8) MYTHICAL HALL is the fastest trotter off the gate in the field by far, but the driver did opt to the top choice. (2) WIND SURFER has been no match for the top two choices; use underneath.

Race 10

(6) TOP OF THE MARK needs to avoid an early speed duel but has been sharp despite tiring late off a very tough trip last out. (1) TRUE TO MACH has some excuses and has beaten this field earlier in the year. (7) HALL OF MEMORIES could hit the ticket at a price, picking up the pieces late in the right scenario.

Race 11

(3) ROSS RIDGE HANDSOME will be used very aggressively against a much softer bunch. (9) T RED picks back up the top driver and is versatile. (1) HE‘S A BEACHBOY is capable with a good trip, but has yet to beat this caliber on the year.

Race 12

(3) VICTORY CANDY MAN has a good chance with an early breather. (9) CABO has been very competitive against this group; threat. (4) MUSTODIAN is having a great year and should be closer turning for home.

Race 13

(5) ALIGNED HANOVER just missed last out making up a ton of ground late. The pacer could use some fast fractions to close into for his best chance. (2) ON EAGLES WINGS owns only one win on the year; command a price. (1) ART’S BOY gets the best post in an evenly matched race.

Race 14

(8) POUNNE DE LUXE is a winning machine for red hot connections. (2) ALLAMERICAN MAJOR could be in line for a better trip than his last few; threat. (4) WESTERN RANGE gets sent out for an inconsistent trainer but is capable of pacing a big mile any week.

Race 15

(1) HERSMAN gets the best post and was the top driver‘s choice. (2) DUTCHTREAT also was the driver‘s choice and looks to be in line for a great trip up close. (3) HERE’S HOOTER has been a new pacer for a red hot trainer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Monday 10/13 Analysis
By Greg Gangle

DRF HARNESS


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: COUGAR HALL (8th)

Spot Play: NEW PATROL (12th)


Race 1

(7) INDIAN LAKE has been the picture of consistency of late and was a winner last week in this class. (6) GIRL DRAMA closed well last week to finish third and likely will offer a short price. (9) LAKEFIELD comes from the Gallucci barn and drops into this bottom end claimer. He’s a threat with his back class.

Race 2

(5) MILLIONDOLLARCELL has hit the board in each of the last three starts and now drops into a claimer. He finishes off his miles well and gets MacDonald back in the bike. (3) BLUE CHIP SUNSHINE draws inside, comes from the Moreau barn and was a winner two back. (2) RAVE ON has back class, comes from the Johnson barn and won this class last week.

Race 3

(1) NORMSTRIKESFAME draws the rail and drops into this claiming event. He looks like the horse to beat. (7) CHARLIES A FLYIN was a game fourth last week and may offer a price. (8) WEST COAST ROCKER comes from the Johnson barn, is versatile and gets Waples.

Race 4

(4) UTAH BEACH just missed last week for Hudon and is well overdue for his first career win. (6) FIGHTTOTHEFINISH comes from the Moreau barn and went a tough trip last week. With a cleaner trip, he’s a threat. (8) THREE RIVERS DELL qualified well and looks capable of dropping time. He may offer a price and looks like a good option for the triactor.

Race 5

(8) SLIP INTO GLIDE was an open length winner in his latest, comes from the Baillargeon barn and has all kinds of back class. (5) PAPER BACKED LINDY has hit the board in four of his last five starts and gets MacDonald back aboard. (9) ZEUS LIGHTNING has earnings approaching $500K and has been a consistent performer in this class.

Race 6

(3) MINESTRE HANOVER was a winner last week, gets Jamieson in the bike and comes from the Johnson barn. (6) VITAL SIGN hasn’t been worse than second in this class in each of his last five starts. (10) ELECTRIFY was a winner last week in this class and moves into the Auciello barn.

Race 7

(6) EVEIL DUN CHAMPION has a solid record coming into tonight’s event and is fresh off a win in this class. (8) RANSON DEMAND comes from top connections, gets Waples in the bike and has hit the board in seven of 11 starts this season. (1) MITTCENT VAN GOGH draws the rail, shows the speed and should receive an inside trip. He’s a good option at a price.

Race 8

(1) COUGAR HALL will make his third start off the shelf and drops into this bottom class. He’s the horse to beat. (9) WHY DONT YOU STAY rallied off cover last week for O’Sullivan to finish second. He appears to be on top of his game coming into this dash. (7) KINDLY POET gets major class relief for this millionaire. At this level, he’s hard to overlook for the triactor.

Race 9

(1) ARQUE HANOVER looks like a very talented colt for trainer Gillis. He’s been blessed with the rail and has posted back-to-back scores. (10) MIKES POWERHOUSE comes from the Coleman barn, shows the speed and closed well last week to finish second. (2) MIGRATE BLUE CHIP draws inside, is fresh off a win and shouldn’t get overlooked.

Race 10

(1) BAX OF LIFE has all kinds of back class to offer and drops into a much softer field. (4) MAGIC LINDY should offer a double-digit price, but has the speed and is capable in this bottom class. MacDonald is back aboard.. (5) SMARTY PANTS adds Lasix to her program this week but has been a beaten favorite in each of her last three starts in this class.

Race 11

(10) AMIGO DE GRANDE will need to overcome the outside post 10, but has a good record this season and has over $100K banked. (1) ROLLS BLUE CHIP draws inside and has hit the board in each of his last two starts. (6) MAJOR HERBIE moves up in class, but comes from a high percentage trainer and has been racing very consistently as of late.

Race 12

(5) NEW PATROL hopefully will offer a price. He returns after a layoff, comes from a top barn and appears capable of dropping multiple seconds. (2) DECISIVE DESTINY draws inside, gets Condren aboard and closed well to finish third last week. (3) WATERSIDE LIGHT comes from the Barrieau barn and shows 1:51 speed in recent efforts. He’ll likely offer a price and is a good option for the Jackpot Hi 5.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Monday 10/13 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS


MEET STATS: 25 - 72 / $129.40 BEST BETS: 4 - 6 / $15.30

Best Bet: SHE’S HEAVENLY (3rd)

Spot Play: MOREMUNYBUSINESS (1st)


Race 1

(7) MOREMUNYBUSINESS looks clearly best on paper against a blank field. The outside post doesn’t thrill me, but she should be able to get the job done. (2) SILOUETTE has shown some decent miles and does possess early speed. (4) DREAM BALL has a definite shot if Bartlett can work out a clean trip.

Race 2

(1) LAZURUS should be able to take charge in this spot without having to deal with much stress. This field lacks a ton of early speed. (4) CATALYST is a capable trotter when given the right trip. (6) TOURIFIC only needs a fast pace or a more aggressive drive to have a shot at a big price.

Race 3

(4) SHE’S HEAVENLY has only been in this cheap once in her career and she won by open lengths. She faced a world record holder in her last start. (1) VILLAGE JESSICA will enjoy starting from post one this time around. (2) ANEGADA is off a win at this level; clear player.

Race 4

(4) VENGANCE should make the top in a jiffy. The last time he raced for this claiming tag, the result was a win. (1) BOOTS N BOURBON drops down to his best condition. He finished a neck short in his last start against his peers. (2) ROCKIN RAMBARAN stays in the same company after a win.

Race 5

(2) IVANA HANOVER suspiciously drops below the level of the claim three starts back. He should be able to tackle this bunch. (3) PHOTO RULES gets post and class relief. (1) WINWOOD SCOUT gets the best post and should push away for position.

Race 6

(2) CASHENDASH HANOVER was a solid performer last year and might just come back to life for new trainer Richard Banca. (3) SOURCE OF PRIDE gets the post break he needs to have a big say in the outcome; must use. (4) ROCKS N BONDS could be a player with the right journey.

Race 7

(2) REAL FLIGHT takes a step down the condition ladder and that should be exactly what he needs to return to the winner’s circle. (5) HYPNOTIST is another dropping down in class; Bartlett’s choice. (1) AUTOMATIC PILOT won on the fair circuit last time and seems like a reasonable fit.

Race 8

(5) A LA NOTTE HANOVER has been aimed for the moon but can’t seem to get past the clouds. She finds herself a much easier spot this week and should be handled accordingly. (2) RUSTY’S BLISS has a history of performing well from good posts at this level. (1) SCANDALICIOUS looks like a player, at least underneath.

Race 9

(2) ILIKEITREALHOT moves into one of the top percentage barns around and figures to come on the track ready to roll. (1) TOBAGO CAYS finally draws well. Veteran should be close to the action. (5) URGENT ACTION is plenty fast; dangerous at any time.

Race 10

(5) GD AIRLINER ships in from Pocono and seems to have found a good spot. (2) CLASSIC GENT beat lesser last time but still put in a nice mile. (1) HE’S A LOCK deserves respect with Brennan from the cones.

Race 11

(6) DIGITAL Z TAM drops in for a claiming tag and figures to bring a good effort for top barn Garcia-Herrera. (1) PAMS LEGACY goes from post eight to the pylons; improvement expected. (3) JOHNNY Z switches barns and could show more.

Race 12

(1) TYE SEELSTER & (2) BETTORSLUCKSTREAK both appear somewhat formless on paper, but they drop in class and draw well. One of the two should awaken. (6) JOHNNY GRIPPA has some form and can get a good share.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Monday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Belmont Park (6th) Jennys Creek, 4-1
(8th) Evening Show, 10-1


Finger Lakes (3rd) White Crane, 9-2
(9th) Marsh Dawg, 4-1


Gulfstream Park West (6th) Starship Journey, 6-1
(9th) Undeniable Temper, 12-1


Hastings Park (5th) Locket, 9-2
(8th) Blue Dancer, 9-2


Laurel Park (2nd) Favorite Patriot, 5-1
(8th) Get'm Up Pronto, 5-1


Mountaineer (1st) Miss Dolan's Rose, 8-1
(2nd) Odom, 4-1


Northlands (7th) Magic D' Oro, 3-1
(9th) Lucky Shot, 9-2


Parx Racing (1st) Forest Meadow, 9-2
(7th) Dukin' with Dale, 6-1


Santa Anita (3rd) Beach Fever, 6-1
(6th) Upbeat Mood, 4-1


Woodbine (6th) Bonita Luna, 4-1
(9th) Bear Fabulous Son, 3-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Avalanche failing to find the back of the net
Andrew Avery

The Colorado Avalanche have started the season slower than slow, being blanked in their first two games 5-0 and 3-0 by the Minnesota Wild.

The Avs weren't blanked in back-to-back games at all last season and captain Gabriel Landeskog thinks there is a reason for that.

"I don't think we're paying the price enough," Landeskog said. "We're being too fancy. It's little details."

The Avs visit the Boston Bruins in Monday afternoon action and will try to break their goal-scoring drought.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Habs love facing Tampa Bay
Stephen Campbell

The Montreal Canadiens have had the Tampa Bay Lightning's number in recent matchups, as the Habs have won each of their last four games against Tampa Bay.

They'll renew acquaintances in the Sunshine State Monday. The Lightning are currently -132 faves on the moneyline with a total of 5.5.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports

Monday's free selection: Ottawa Senators - 115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Razor Sharp

FREE PICK FOR MONDAY:Take OTTAWA -115 over Florida

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals4U

Monday's Free Selection: Montreal Canadiens/Tampa Bay Lightning under 5 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Atlantic Sports

Monday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Ottawa/Florida over 5 1/2 goals

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Golden Dragon Sports

Bonus Play: Tampa Bay -130 NHL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Huddle Up Sports

Free Winner: Baltimore/Kansas City over 7'

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Monday: Take MONTREAL +125 over Tampa Bay

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Monday: Tampa Bay Lightning - 135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Anthony Sports

Monday's Free Selection: Tampa Bay Lightning - 135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Monday 7:35 PM NHL

(57) OTTAWA SENATORS at (58) FLORIDA PANTHERS

Take: (57) OTTAWA SENATORS -115

What happens in October often times doesn’t have much to do with how teams eventually end up come the end of the season. I think this game is a good example along those lines.

I like the moves Florida made in the off-season and expect this team to be improved as the season progresses. On the flip side, I’m of the belief the Sens could decline some this year. Losing Jason Spezza was a huge blow and Ottawa appears to be a team that is going to have some trouble generating offense.

But for right now, the Senators are in better shape than the Panthers. Ottawa is still fresh enough to be able to force the tempo they want while relying on good defense and what should be solid goaltending.

The Panthers are going to likely need some time to sort things out as there was a load of turnover on this roster. The cohesiveness isn’t there yet. That makes Florida a team that’s probably a decent fade right now. But they’re also a team that bears close watching as once they fit the pieces together, they could be a live entry, especially as a dog.

As for tonight, I’m basically taking Craig Anderson over Roberto Luongo. I’m assuming Anderson starts in goal for Ottawa. He’s healthy, which is something that wasn’t the case for much of last season. Anderson has also owned the Panthers throughout his career, and while that’s not a huge stat for me, it sure doesn’t hurt. Luongo is off to a sluggish start, and while he can definitely get it together and start rolling, Luongo is not a great option right now.

Later in the season, I can at least speculate that getting Florida as a home dog against Ottawa might well be worth a wager. But for the present, I’ve got to side with the Senators and as long as this price doesn’t climb, I believe they’re worth a shot tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Comp MLB Pick for Monday, October 13, 2014: 8:05 PM ET

(959) BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS (960) KANSAS CITY ROYALS

Take: Over

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Monday, October 13, 2014 is in the ALCS contest between the Baltimore Orioles and Kansas City Chiefs. The Orioles are in a must win situation here as they are down 2-0 in their best of seven series to the Royals. The Royals have arguably the best pitching staff in the A.L and even though they have given up more runs in the playoffs then we are used to, their offense has come through big. They trailed against Oakland in the Wild Card and came from behind to win. Then they swept the Angels in three games in the ALDS and now lead 2-0 over the O's. Bruce Chen starts for the O's and has been one of their best, posting a 16-6 record and 3.54 ERA. Chen got hit hard against Detroit in the ALDS, giving up five runs over just 3 2/3 innings. He won't face the same type of hitters in this Royals club so look for a bounce back here. Jeremy Guthrie might be the weakest of the starting staff in KC. Guthrie was just 13-11 this season with a 4.13 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. This will be Guthrie's first start this post season. The O's have the bigger hitters and the Royals the better pitchers. But you can pretty much throw that out in the postseason as both clubs hitting the ball very well. I'm sticking with the OVER here again on Monday as your Bonus Play.