Monday 09/21/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Bob Valentino 30 DIME Monday Night Football winner ... 30 DIME: Colts-Dolphins UNDER the total

NOTE: Keep an eye on this number, which is at 42 across the board as I publish this. However, 90 percent of the time, the public hammers the "over" on Monday Night Football, so it might be wise to wait and make your wager late to get the best of the number. But if you see it start to drop below 42, immediately find a place that still has 42 and grab it!

sweet deal
thanks
:money8::money8: in the bank
let's get it done :drink::cripwalk:
 
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MLB LONG SHEET


Monday, September 21

SAN DIEGO (68 - 82) at PITTSBURGH (56 - 91) - 7:05 PM
WADE LEBLANC (L) vs. DANIEL MCCUTCHEN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 33-65 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 131-180 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 131-180 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 29-22 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 31-22 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 55-89 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 32-58 (-19.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 26-46 (-18.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 56-91 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-3 (+0.6 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

WADE LEBLANC vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

DANIEL MCCUTCHEN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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ATLANTA (79 - 70) at NY METS (65 - 85) - 7:10 PM
DEREK LOWE (R) vs. PAT MISCH (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 10-5 (+5.0 Units) against NY METS this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

DEREK LOWE vs. NY METS since 1997
LOWE is 2-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 7.99 and a WHIP of 1.928.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-1. (+5.1 units)

PAT MISCH vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MISCH is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (76 - 72) at MILWAUKEE (74 - 75) - 8:05 PM
TOM GORZELANNY (L) vs. BRADEN LOOPER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 34-42 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 61-58 (-12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-18 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 521-485 (-103.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 76-72 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 312-350 (-92.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 3-13 (-9.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 32-42 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 155-217 (-66.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 76-72 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LOOPER is 13-5 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
LOOPER is 8-0 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 37-37 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 9-21 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 74-75 (-5.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-37 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-20 (-10.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-8 (-0.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

TOM GORZELANNY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GORZELANNY is 3-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.92 and a WHIP of 1.547.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-4.8 units)

BRADEN LOOPER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LOOPER is 4-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.309.
His team's record is 5-6 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.6 units)

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ST LOUIS (87 - 63) at HOUSTON (70 - 79) - 8:05 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LOHSE is 6-13 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LOHSE is 0-8 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
LOHSE is 6-13 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
LOHSE is 2-8 (-7.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 152-152 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 69-49 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 115-116 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 76-79 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 37-34 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 156-154 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 89-64 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
RODRIGUEZ is 12-2 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
RODRIGUEZ is 7-0 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
RODRIGUEZ is 12-2 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
RODRIGUEZ is 10-2 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
RODRIGUEZ is 9-0 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
RODRIGUEZ is 8-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 21-10 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 46-22 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 49-22 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 173-139 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 81-72 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 17-6 (+10.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ST LOUIS is 173-139 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 59-36 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 29-43 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-7 (+0.8 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
10 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.8 Units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LOHSE is 5-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.053.
His team's record is 5-5 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.5 units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 3-8 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.065.
His team's record is 4-9 (-5.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.4 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (80 - 69) vs. ARIZONA (65 - 85) - 9:40 PM
BARRY ZITO (L) vs. DOUG DAVIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 41-28 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 81-69 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 80-69 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 134-82 (+52.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 80-69 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 52-46 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ZITO is 77-46 (+28.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 24-42 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 65-85 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 65-85 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 107-110 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-27 (-15.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-4 (+4.2 Units) against ARIZONA this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.2 Units)

BARRY ZITO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
ZITO is 3-6 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.59 and a WHIP of 1.608.
His team's record is 5-6 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.3 units)

DOUG DAVIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
DAVIS is 4-6 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.572.
His team's record is 7-10 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-8. (+0.6 units)

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BALTIMORE (60 - 89) at TORONTO (66 - 83) - 7:07 PM
CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. DAVID PURCEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 260-354 (-102.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 135-244 (-100.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 21-36 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BALTIMORE is 42-92 (-34.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 66-83 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 25-40 (-17.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 20-43 (-26.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 37-54 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 6-6 (+1.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.4 Units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. TORONTO since 1997
TILLMAN is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

DAVID PURCEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PURCEY is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 2.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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MINNESOTA (76 - 73) at CHI WHITE SOX (73 - 77) - 8:11 PM
NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. DANIEL HUDSON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-6 (+3.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.3 Units)

NICK BLACKBURN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BLACKBURN is 5-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.376.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.4 units)

DANIEL HUDSON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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BOSTON (89 - 59) at KANSAS CITY (61 - 88) - 8:10 PM
TIM WAKEFIELD (R) vs. LENNY DINARDO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 29-15 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 17-10 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 79-47 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 65-39 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 90-45 (+32.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-15 (+20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 89-59 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WAKEFIELD is 18-7 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 55-78 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 40-58 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 39-56 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 61-88 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 76-128 (-34.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 30-44 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-44 (-18.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 (+1.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

TIM WAKEFIELD vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
WAKEFIELD is 8-6 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 10-6 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-4.4 units)

LENNY DINARDO vs. BOSTON since 1997
DINARDO is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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NY YANKEES (95 - 55) at LA ANGELS (89 - 60) - 10:05 PM
ANDY PETTITTE (L) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 52-36 (+9.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 88-64 (+20.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 89-60 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 84-51 (+22.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 49-24 (+15.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 82-52 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 32-15 (+15.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SAUNDERS is 41-19 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 20-6 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 39-17 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 30-16 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 24-11 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 21-11 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 98-55 (+22.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 63-32 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-3 (+2.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.9 Units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
PETTITTE is 8-8 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.29 and a WHIP of 1.579.
His team's record is 12-11 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-9. (+2.4 units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SAUNDERS is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.97 and a WHIP of 1.869.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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TEXAS (81 - 67) at OAKLAND (71 - 78) - 10:05 PM
KEVIN MILLWOOD (R) vs. EDGAR GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILLWOOD is 74-75 (-24.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 64-72 (+0.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 52-50 (+11.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 128-59 (+50.1 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
OAKLAND is 71-78 (+6.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 30-30 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 13-5 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
OAKLAND is 12-6 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
TEXAS is 78-61 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 59-50 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 52-43 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 20-15 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 81-67 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 35-35 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 56-47 (+12.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 9-6 (+5.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.3 Units)

KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MILLWOOD is 5-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.362.
His team's record is 8-7 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-6. (+1.3 units)

EDGAR GONZALEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.889.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)
 
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MTi Sports

St Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros
Prediction: St Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals are 11-0 after a loss and it is the first game of the series and the Astros are 1-10 after a 5+ run loss. Also, Houston is 0-4 THIS season as a 140+ favorite when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start and St Louis is 5-0 when their starter went less than four innings in his last start.
 
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Hentai Sports

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction : OVER 8.5

The pitching match up is what makes this play pop tonight. Barry Zito takes the mound tonight for the Giants and he has allowed 12 earned run in 16 innings over his last three starts vs Arizona. Doug Davis makes the start tonight for the Diamondbacks. In his home starts vs the Giants he has been rather easy to hit. He has allowed 9 runs and 16 hits vs the Giants in just 10 innings. The Giants are averaging over 5 runs per game over the past week.
 
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VEGAS EXPERTS

Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals

This series is just what the Red Sox need as they try and sew up the Wild Card berth for the playoffs. They come in having won 10 of 11 overall and they've beaten Kansas City 12 of the last 17 head to head matchups. No AL team has lost more money this season than have the Royals. Boston is 17-5 this season after scoring nine runs or more in their previous game. Starter Tim Wakefield has a 37-15 TSR when favored. KC has lost 23 of 33 games at home.

Play on: Boston
 
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EZ WINNERS

St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros
Play: Houston Astros -142

Wandy Rodriguez deserves a much better fate than his 13-10 record this season. Magic Wandy has been the ace of the Astros staff this season posting an ERA of only 2.77 and he continues to pitch well posting a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts. The Cardinals starting pitcher Kyle Lohse has struggled to recover from a forearm injury this season. Lohse was a 15 game winner last season, but is just 5-8 with a 4.83 ERA this year and has an ERA of 8.53 in his last three games. Lohse has not won on the road all season and the Cardinals are 1-6 in Lohse's last seven starts as a road underdog. The Astros are 14-3 in Rodriguez's last 17 home starts and St. Louis has lost six straight games in the Space City. Play on Houston.
 

Shalom- the cousin of Freddie Hoiberg
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anyone have The Prez' pick for tonight?? He seems to be doing very well in football, both college and NFL, especially this past weekend...going 5-2 nfl and 7-2 in CFB

Thanks for the help.
 
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OddsInsight
Bob Wingerter
Spread Pick
Miami Dolphins PLUS 3
Pick Write-Up

Last week's suspect showing in the Georgia Dome has given some ammunition to those who believe the Dolphins were a one-year wonder and a product of a soft last-place schedule. While that may turn out to be the case, there's growing evidence that the Colts aren't the dynasty they once were either, and a two- point home victory over a Jacksonville team with virtually no threat of a passing game lends a bit of support to that argument. Indianapolis could have trouble matching the Dolphins' physicality on offense, while Miami's defense is good enough to prevent Manning, who has fewer playmakers to work with than in years past and is standing behind a shaky offensive line, from going wild. If the Dolphins do a better job of protecting the football than in the opener, they should have a reasonable chance of quieting their skeptics with a notable win over a name opponent.
TAKE MIAMI PLUS HERE.
 
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Don Stark Sports
MLB MoneyLine Pick
Los Angeles Angels -115
Pick Write-Up

With the final home series of the season against their arch-rival Boston Red Sox on tap, the Yankees would much rather be playing anywhere but at the LA Angels. The Yankees have lost 8 of their last 9 at Anaheim, including a 3-game series loss there earlier this year. To make matters worse, lefty Andy Pettitte takes the mound for the Yankees and Pettitte hasn't notched a win against the Angels for over 2 years. Go with the home team Angels over the Yankees on Monday.
 
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Vegas WiseGuy Sports
NFL Total Pick
Under 42
Pick Write-Up

Under is 6-1 in Colts last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Colts last 7 vs. AFC.
Under is 6-2 in Colts last 8 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Colts last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 10-4 in Colts last 14 games in September.
Under is 5-2 in Colts last 7 games in Week 2.
Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 home games.
Under is 10-2 in Dolphins last 12 games in Week 2.
Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-2 in Dolphins last 9 games on grass.
Under is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 24-8 in Dolphins last 32 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 vs. AFC.
Under is 27-13 in Dolphins last 40 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
 
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SAM CLAYTON
**8-1 with 30 dime selections this year, No. 9 goes tonight!**

30 dime - STL/HOU Under 8.5 (LIST Lohse and Rodriguez)

As some of you know, I've been talking about a big Monday play all weekend long. I sat back Saturday and Sunday and avoided all the football games because I knew that this was my spot. After I saw the opening total that Vegas set for this game, I immediately called up my local, logged into my online account and proceeded to hit it hard with both. And to be perfectly honest, this would probably still be a premium play even at 7.5. Don't get me wrong, I implore you to shop around for 8.5 and buy the hook if you must, but know full well that this line is a gift.

Monday night's NL Central showdown pits two struggling teams (and offenses) against each other in what should be a real slugfest (chuckle). All jokes aside, both the Cardinals and Astros haven't been hitting much of anything lately. In their last seven games, St. Louis is averaging 2.2 runs per game while Houston comes in scoring an even lower 2.14 runs over that span. The Cards haven't scored more than three runs their last five games and the 'Stros have plated four runs or more only twice in seven contests. Translation: These offenses have been pathetic. And with St. Louis having the NL Central all but locked up and Houston having nothing but offseason tee times on the mind, I believe this game is going to be a full scale pitching battle.

Wandy Rodriguez (13-10, 2.77) gets the call for the Astros and he has been absolutely sensational all season long. Wandy has some of the sharpest stuff in baseball and his ability to avoid the big inning places him among the elite. He's holding opposing hitters to a .238 clip, he doesn't walk many hitters and his WHIP hovers around 1.20. Most runners that reach base on the southpaw usually don't make it very far and the majority find themselves stranded. Rodriguez also boasts a 8-2 record with an insane 1.58 ERA at Minute Maid Park this season. On the bump for the Redbirds is Kyle Lohse and while he's been hit-or-miss in 2009, his numbers against Houston are very good. The former Twinkie is 1-1 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.62 WHIP in two starts this year against the Astros and it's not like the Houston bats are heating up. If anything, they are ice cold and I see a great opportunity for Lohse to capitalize. Never known for being a great road starter, the right-hander has been surprisingly fair lately as he's allowed more than three runs only once his last four starts on the highway.

Those that have been following my picks know that I'm a strong advocate of important intangibles when I see them. And today I actually have a couple. In games that Wandy Rodriguez has started this season, the under has cashed 20 of 30 times. Delving deeper, 9 of Rodriguez's last 10 starts have gone south of 8.5 runs and he's only posted four overs since June 5 (18 starts). Lohse's O/U numbers are just about even, he's posted 8 unders in 18 starts, although he's the type of pitcher that adapts with the flow of the game. It sounds silly, but if he doesn't get too worked up and doesn't try and throw the ball through the catchers' mitt, he'll be just fine. Rodriguez is going to be the one that sets the pace of the ball game and Lohse will follow right along. I expect a low scoring affair as both starters have downright nasty stuff and they shouldn't have many problems keeping their struggling offensive opponents off the scoreboard.

Play the UNDER.
 

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Bookies Battle the Pointspread

Does anyone have access to this contest and if so please post them.

I know someone was posting it last year but I dont remeber who.

I know Bagiant used to post it at one time but there was someone else here that had the contest picks.

Thanks in advance,
shambler
 

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Get Monday's Top Football Play backed with information and analysis.

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FROM BOOKIEMAker .. did someone buy one of those games before and they lost??
 

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Get Monday's Top Football Play backed with information and analysis.

OREDR BEFORE 8:00 MONDAY

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FROM BOOKIEMAker.com .. did someone buy one of those games before and they lost?? Cost 35$
 

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