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Game of the day: Jets at Ravens
By STEVE MERRIL - I'm successful because I stay one step ahead of the books

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 32.5)

Weather and line movement

Weather will not be a factor tonight. The forecast is calling for 71 degrees and clear skies with just a 20 percent chance of showers and a wind of only 4 mph.

The Ravens opened as a 3-point favorite earlier this week and the oddsmakers have been reluctant to move off the key number. The early action has come in on the underdog Jets and the line has now shifted to Baltimore -3 +100 and New York +3 -120. Surprisingly, the moneyline for the straight-up winner has actually risen with Baltimore going from Pick -145 to -155.

The over/under line (32.5) has held steady all week and remains unchanged as of Monday morning.

Sanchez to start

Rookie Mark Sanchez will make his first start tonight for the Jets after a solid showing in his debut last week. Sanchez completed three of four passes for 88 yards versus the Rams last week, including a 48-yard gain on his first play in relief of Kellen Clemens.

New York head coach Rex Ryan commented, "I think he (Sanchez) earned the reps with the [starters]. It might have been done on paper that way in pencil, but he had to earn it. The guy had to earn his reps, and I think he’s done that. Without question, he’s done that."

While the starting quarterback position is still undecided, Sanchez has reportedly looked strong in camp this week and might be named the full-time starter if he performs well tonight, especially against a Baltimore defense that ranked second in the NFL last season in total defense and shutout the Redskins 23-0 last week.

Ryan, who was the Raves defensive coordinator, knows this Baltimore defense well.

"If you do anything against that bunch, you could move it against anybody," Ryan said. "It would count more than moving it against St. Louis. No disrespect to St. Louis, but they ain’t the Ravens and they’re not Pittsburgh."

Injuries

Sanchez and Clemens will not have their full starting offensive line protecting them. Left guard Alan Faneca had surgery on a broken middle finger on his left hand last week and will be out tonight. Offensive tackle Damien Woody is doubtful with a concussion and center Nick Mangold is questionable with a knee injury. None of them played against the Rams last week.

Because of the offensive line injuries, the Jets might limit the playing time of Sanchez and Clemens tonight, which means extra minutes for Erik Ainge. But Ryan has indicated that he would like to determine the starting quarterback position before next Saturday’s dress rehearsal game against the Giants.

Ravens’ gameplan

Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh said the starters will play into the second quarter and perhaps the complete first half tonight versus the Jets. Harbaugh indicated that some starters such as Ray Lewis, Trevor Pryce, and Ed Reed would be on snap count.

“We’ll do it individually like we always do,” Harbaugh said.

Backup quarterback John Beck is out for the season with a shoulder injury, which leaves Troy Smith and Cleo Lemon to follow starter Joe Flacco tonight.

Extra motivation

Don't kid yourself into thinking this preseason game is like any other for the Jets head coach. Ryan told the New York Post last week that he'd love to beat his old team.

"Of course I feel extra about this game," Ryan said. "I'm not going to deny that. And I guarantee you they do, too. I was there for 10 years."

He was just as honest when the Post reporter asked if he wants to prove something to the Ravens.

"The fact that I got passed over for the head coaching job down there, does that mean anything? I think it does."

Ryan was under consideration for Baltimore's head coach after Brian Billick was fired.

"I always thought it was BS; I always thought I was the right man for the job," Ryan said.
 
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Jim Feist

(957) TAMPA BAY RAYS
(958) TORONTO BLUE JAYS
TAKE "UNDER"

It isn't too often when you get two excellent pitchers matching up in the same contest. That's just what we get here on Monday as the Rays travel north of the border to take on the Blue Jays. The Rays will send Jeff Niemann to the mound who is having a fantastic season. Niemann is 11-5 on the year with a 3.71 ERA. Niemann has already faced the Jays twice this season and is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA. The Jays will counter with their Ace, Roy Halladay. Halladay is having another solid season with a 13-6 record and 2.78 ERA. Halladay has faced the Rays 29 times in his season with a 3.51 ERA. Good pitching usually dominates good hitting and that's just what we look for here on Monday with two of the AL's best on the mound. Take the UNDER.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Angels

LAA is back home where Jered Weaver has been almost untouchable. The Angel righty had a tough run for a few starts, but he jumped right back on track last time out and now toes the home rubber where he's 8-1 in 13 starts with a 2.76 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and .211 BAA. The Halos are 11-2 in Weaver's home starts this season, and they're averaging 5.8 rpg against righthanders, overall. The lineup will face Justin Verlander on Monday. The Tiger righty was clobbered in his only career start at this venue earlier this season. He's made three starts (two bad) against the Angels over the last two seasons, allowing 13 earned runs and 30 base runners in 18 2/3 IP, for a 6.26 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. Finally, while the Angels have crushed righties at home, Detroit has been rather pathetic in road night games against righthanders. The Tigers are 8-22 in this situation, scoring an average of just 3.84 rpg. Good luck - Scott Spreitzer.

Play on: LA Angels
 
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Dave Cokin

431) NEW YORK JETS
(432) BALTIMORE RAVENS
Take "Under"

New Jets coach Rex Ryan cannot be pleased with how poorly his defense performed last week. He should have his troops ready to stop a Baltimore offense that he's very familiar with. I can't see NY having much success moving the ball here, either, so playing tonight's Jets-Ravens clash to stay Under the number looks like a decent move.
 
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Tom Freese

Game: San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies

Prediction: under

Reason: San Francisco is 9-2-1 UNDER their last 12 games vs. righty starters and they are 12-5-1 UNDER off a loss. The Giants are 6-1 UNDER in the last 7 starts made by Barry Zito. The Giants are 11-5-1 UNDER as underdogs of +110 to +150 and they are 5-1-1 UNDER in the last 7 starts made by Zito vs. the Rockies. Colorado is 4-0-1 UNDER off a win and they are 4-1-1 UNDER their last 6 games overall. The Rockies are 4-0 UNDER in 4 starts made by Jason Marquis on Monday and they are 11-5-1 in the last 17 starts made by Marquis. PLAY ON 'UNDER' Marquis vs. Zito
 
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Vegas Experts

Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox look very vulnerable at this price considering they have the disadvantage of coming off the Sunday Night game and also considering their poor record when Clay Buchholz is on the mound. They've lost 11 of 14 times when Buchholz has started as a favorite since the start of the '08 season, including a rocky outing a little over a year ago vs. Chicago, who is 14-7 this season when coming off a one run loss. Buchholz also has a 1-9 TSR vs. teams with a winning record.

Play on: Chicago White Sox
 
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Jimmy the Moose

With a deeper QB group in what should be a defensive battle tonight at M&T Bank Stadium, the Baltimore Ravens will handle the New York Jets and the 3-point line.

Rex Ryan leads his New York Jets into Baltimore to face a Ravens D that he built. Both of these clubs will play very hard tonight, especially on the defensive side of the ball. The Ravens do have more depth and talent on their team and being at home will give them another advantage as they get the win.

The Jets made big moves in the off-season, on and off the field. New York got rid of Mangini and replaced him with Rex Ryan, the defensive coach in Baltimore. Ryan is a defensive specialist so you can expect a hard fought game every game from the Jets D. Ryan brought Bart Scott and several other Ravens to New York and that will help this D a lot. The Jets also drafted Mark Sanchez and cut ties with Brett Favre showing that this team is looking at today and towards the future.

In their preseason opener the Jets lost to the St. Louis Rams 23-20. The Jets starting defensive unit held the Rams to three points in the opening quarter and that must have made Ryan very happy. The Rams won this game in the second half outscoring the Jets 14-10. The Jets offense looked very good when Mark Sanchez got his turn under center. Sanchez only attempted four passes but completed three of them for a total of 88 yards. Sanchez connected with Clowney on a 50-yard bomb showing all the fans that he has the potential to be the real thing. Sanchez will start this game and it will be a big test for him.

The Ravens lost Scott to the Jets this summer but they re-signed Ray Lewis, the heart and soul of the Ravens D. It will be interesting to see how the Baltimore defense works with a new coordinator. Baltimore will once again rely on a RB-by-committee to help alleviate the pressure on second year QB, Joe Flacco. The Ravens are a run-first team that is waiting for Flacco to get more comfortable in the NFL before they make him the focal point of the offense.

The Ravens shut out the Redskins in their preseason opener, 23-0. Flacco looked pretty good completing 9-of-13 passes for 103 yards. The Ravens D finished the game with one interception and three sacks, another good game for them. All three of the Ravens QBs – Flacco, Troy Smith and John Beck – threw for over 100 yards in this game.

This will be a tough defensive battle but the Ravens QBs as a group is playing better and they'll take this one to move to 2-0 in preseason action. Play on Baltimore.

Free Pick: Ravens -3 (-110)
 

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Axiumsports.com

August 24th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$2,564.72

Pick #1- Denmark- Ligaen Soccer
1)Bet 33.08 to win 32.76 on Odense BK/Randers FC UNDER 3 -101

Pick #2-MLB-
2a)Bet 33.51 to win 31.61 on Milwaukee/Washington OVER 9 -106

2b)Bet 69.47 to win 65.54 on Milwaukee/Washington OVER 9 -106

Pick #3- MLB-
3aa)Bet 33.92 to win 33.25 on Detroit/LAA Angels OVER 8.5 -102
3ab)Bet 70.37 to win 68.99 on Detroit/LAA Angels OVER 8.5 -102

3ba)Bet 33.49 to win 32.83 on Detroit/LAA Angels OVER 8.5 -102
3bb)Bet 145.89 to win 143.03 on Detroit/LAA Angels OVER 8.5 -102
 

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I thought this was the chatter thread.

Why did my post get deleted from here? Isn't this where it belongs?
 
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Jimmy Boyd

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies -166

1 Unit on Colorado Rockies -166
The Rockies have won 6 of their last 7, including back-to-back games over the Giants, and they have the advantage again tonight with Marquis on the hill against Zito. While Zito has performed better of late, it can't be overlooked that those starts were against the Reds and Mets. The reality is that Zito is 4-7 on the road with a 4.52 ERA. Marquis is having a career year for Colorado, going 14-8 (16-8 against the money line) with a 3.58 ERA. He has been brilliant in his career against the Giants, going 6-2 against the money line with an ERA of 2.30 and a WHIP of 0.938. The Rockies are 16-4 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season, winning by an average score of 5.8 to 3.7. We'll ride the Rockies tonight.
 
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I thought this was the chatter thread.

Why did my post get deleted from here? Isn't this where it belongs?


No it's not. And that's the second one that was moved. The issue is over, I don't want any opinions on a matter that has it's own thread in my service section or chatter section. It's where it belongs and if you opened your eyes you would see it didn't get deleted but rather moved.

This issue is dead as far as the service section and chatter section is concerned, take it up with Wil. The facts are someone asked for money and got caught. Doesn't matter how nice he or she is, I don't make the rules. Complaints were sent to Wil and he did what he thought was right.
 

Anybody seen BB?
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I thought this was the chatter thread.

Why did my post get deleted from here? Isn't this where it belongs?


Did you stop to think that we don't care, I'm here to read about games and get my plays not to read your bs.
 
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Matt Fargo

Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners

Total 8½ ov-108

We catch a real good number here as this total does not line up with what we have on the mound for tonight. After a huge run on the ‘Over’, Oakland cooled off over the past week as five of its last seven games stayed ‘Under’ and that is part of the reason we get some good value on Monday. The pitching was the main reason for the low scoring output for the A’s as they held opponents to three runs or fewer in five of those games but that will not be the case tonight. One of those games that did not see three runs or less came with Vin Mazzaro on the mound as they allowed seven runs in that game to the Yankees. Since tossing a quality game back on June 18th, his fourth in a row, he has gone 11 straight starts without throwing another one while posting a 6.95 ERA and a whopping 2.10 WHIP. His season numbers are now 5.31 and 1.73 respectively while his numbers on the road have gone to 5.22 and 1.68 respectively. The ‘Over’ is 5-1-1 over his last seven starts. Seattle has gone ‘Under’ in two straight games and it is 7-4-1 in its last 12 games as the offense has found a rut. The Mariners have scored three runs or fewer in nine of those 12 games but the bats should see some life tonight against Mazzaro. Ian Snell will be making his fifth start for the Mariners and he has been up and down since coming over from the Pirates. After posting a 5.36 ERA and 1.62 WHIP for Pittsburgh, he has put up a 6.63 ERA and 1.74 WHIP for Seattle and at home, those jump to 13.50 and 2.73 respectively in two starts at Safeco Field. Oakland is hitting .291 over its last 10 games against right-handed pitching and the ‘Over’ is 10-2 in the A’s last 12 road games against a right-handed starter. Meanwhile the ‘Over’ is 4-1 in the Mariners last five home games against a right-handed starter and the ‘Over’ is 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. 3* Over Oakland A’s/Seattle Mariners
 
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Drew Gordon

Now on a 44-35 roll with the plays I'm giving away! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Cleveland/Kansas City match up...

Good spot for the Tribe, as southpaw Jeremy Sowers has really come on since returning from his stint in the minors. He's notched quality starts in 4 of his 5 efforts since then, going 2-2 and allowing a combined 11 runs over his last 32 innings pitched! True, he's lost 2 straight, but the last one was hardly his fault, limiting an excellent Angels offense to 3 runs on 4 hits over 6 2/3 innings last Wednesday... Things will get a lot easier against a sputtering Royals offense tonight!

On the flip side, Gil Meche has hardly been impressive since coming back off the DL, allowing 4 runs in 5 innings in both starts since then. Granted, he does have rock-solid numbers against the Tribe, but two things should have Royals-backers worried in this contest: A. Meche's 1-5 record and 5.73 ERA at home this season. And B. Cleveland has really caught fire lately, playing loose and making it happen at the plate, scoring at least 6 runs in 14 of their L28 games (going 17-11 over that span)!

Finally, along with their edge on the mound and at the plate, the Tribe's pen also gets the edge by default, as KC's bullpen has been a disaster, posting a 6.59 ERA their L3 games! Sorry Royals-backers, but the bleeding continues, as Sowers will outpitch Meche with ease, while the Indians offense continues its hot-hitting ways in this one! Indians roll Monday night!

Take Cleveland behind Sowers over Kansas City and Meche in this MLB match up.

2♦ CLEVELAND
 
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Alex Smart


GAME: Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Aug 24, 2009 10:05PM

PICK: Los Angeles Angels -123

REASON FOR PICK: Jered Weaver(13-4,3.89 ERA) enters into this tilt against the visiting Detroit Tigers off a a seven-hit shut outs of the Indians at Progressive Field on Wednesday night. That was his fourth work horse complete game effort of the season. Weaver has been his very best at home this season, as is evident by his 8-1 record along with a 2.76 ERA in 13 home contests . He is buoyed by an explosive Halos offense that has averaged 8.2 RPG when his is on the mound. With that said, I'm all in on the Angels tonight no matter who the Tigers send to the mound (Justin Verlander). It must noted that Verlander is 0-2 along with a 4.55 ERA in 5 career starts vs LAA, and in his first ever start in Angel Stadium was smashed for 7 runs in a 5 inning effort and a 12-10 loss. The Angels has won eight of 10 and 27 of the last 35 home games against the Tigers, and I'm betting on more of the same positive action in this spot. Final notes & Key Trends: Tigers are 3-8 in Verlanders last 11 starts as a road underdog. Angels are 26-9 in Weavers last 35 home starts. .....Play on the LA Angels
 

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No it's not. And that's the second one that was moved. The issue is over, I don't want any opinions on a matter that has it's own thread in my service section or chatter section. It's where it belongs and if you opened your eyes you would see it didn't get deleted but rather moved.

This issue is dead as far as the service section and chatter section is concerned, take it up with Wil. The facts are someone asked for money and got caught. Doesn't matter how nice he or she is, I don't make the rules. Complaints were sent to Wil and he did what he thought was right.

Isn't that the idea of a buy group?
 
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Isn't that the idea of a buy group?


Not to PM members that are asking for plays! Read all the posts before you come to peoples defense. Have you heard Steve Mcqueen being accussed of PM'ing people for money? He runs legit groups from what I've heard.

How do I make it simple... ok I bought teddy covers today for $30 and Pm'd 20 people to send me $20 bucks for it. they do I just made $400 dollars on a $30 investment. I guess the point is if you want to make money don't use the Rx as a vehicle to make it.
 

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