Jack Jones
15* on Toronto Blue Jays +135
Take the Blue Jays over the Yankees this afternoon with Ricky Romero on the mound for Toronto. Romero has been great since coming off of the disabled list, going 3-0 in his last 3 starts with a 0.82 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, pushing his season record to 6-3 while earning a 2.85 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 11 starts. The Yankees will counter with Andy Pettitte, who is 4-2 at the New Yankee Stadium this year with a 5.37 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. The Jays have hit a major slump, losing 6 of their last 7 and 3 games in a row, but I like them to avoid the sweep and pick up the win this afternoon behind a strong outing from Romero.
Sorry, It's late but lets track it.
15* on Toronto Blue Jays +135
Take the Blue Jays over the Yankees this afternoon with Ricky Romero on the mound for Toronto. Romero has been great since coming off of the disabled list, going 3-0 in his last 3 starts with a 0.82 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, pushing his season record to 6-3 while earning a 2.85 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 11 starts. The Yankees will counter with Andy Pettitte, who is 4-2 at the New Yankee Stadium this year with a 5.37 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. The Jays have hit a major slump, losing 6 of their last 7 and 3 games in a row, but I like them to avoid the sweep and pick up the win this afternoon behind a strong outing from Romero.
Sorry, It's late but lets track it.
GREG SHAKER
Time Frame Win - Loss - Push Percentage Units Earned
Yesterday 1 - 0 - 1 100% 2.00
Last 7 Days 11 - 3 - 1 78.57% 15.99
Last 30 Days 46 - 22 - 1 67.65% 51.90
G, the last 30 days is above...Based on 90% being 2 Unit Plays. I think I have had maybe 6 three Unit Plays last 30 days or about that.
At pregame is you have a coupon thingy.
Time Frame Win - Loss - Push Percentage Units Earned
Yesterday 1 - 0 - 1 100% 2.00
Last 7 Days 11 - 3 - 1 78.57% 15.99
Last 30 Days 46 - 22 - 1 67.65% 51.90
G, the last 30 days is above...Based on 90% being 2 Unit Plays. I think I have had maybe 6 three Unit Plays last 30 days or about that.
At pregame is you have a coupon thingy.
Scott Rickenbach
Today’s Free Pick
GAME: Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners Jul 6, 2009 10:10PM
PICK: under
REASON FOR PICK: Scott Rickenbach's Free Pick Opinion Play for MLB Monday: UNDER the total in Seattle vs Baltimore @ 10:10 PM ET - Washburn vs Bergesen - Cool weather has returned to the Pacific Northwest and we expect a pitchers duel in Seattle's return home to Safeco Field for tonight's match-up. The Mariners 3.21 ERA is tops in the American League and leads the #2 team by nearly half a run! The Mariners bullpen has a 1.08 ERA against the Orioles this season with just 8 hits allowed in 16.2 innings. Also, Seattle sends Jarrod Washburn to the mound as tonight's starter and he held the Orioles to just one earned run on six hits in seven innings of work in his only start against the O's this season. At home, Washburn has produced four straight quality starts and he's held opponents to a .228 BAA at Safeco Field.
Brad Bergesen of the Orioles is a rookie and, as the season has gone on, he's certainly not pitching like one any more. Bergesen is 4-0 in his last seven starts and six of those outings have qualified as quality starts. Bergesen's ERA has dropped by nearly two full runs - down to a 3.53 ERA - during this fantastic stretch of work. Also, he's 1-0 in two starts against the Mariners with a 1.20 ERA and Bergesen has held Seattle hitters to a .192 batting average. The Orioles bullpen is normally a concern but Bergesen has been pitching so well plus so deep into games that the bullpen is not as much of a factor here in what should be an absolute pitchers' duel between Bergesen and Washburn.
Consider a small play on UNDER the total in Seattle on Monday night. Thank you and best of luck always from Scott Rickenbach!
Today’s Free Pick
GAME: Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners Jul 6, 2009 10:10PM
PICK: under
REASON FOR PICK: Scott Rickenbach's Free Pick Opinion Play for MLB Monday: UNDER the total in Seattle vs Baltimore @ 10:10 PM ET - Washburn vs Bergesen - Cool weather has returned to the Pacific Northwest and we expect a pitchers duel in Seattle's return home to Safeco Field for tonight's match-up. The Mariners 3.21 ERA is tops in the American League and leads the #2 team by nearly half a run! The Mariners bullpen has a 1.08 ERA against the Orioles this season with just 8 hits allowed in 16.2 innings. Also, Seattle sends Jarrod Washburn to the mound as tonight's starter and he held the Orioles to just one earned run on six hits in seven innings of work in his only start against the O's this season. At home, Washburn has produced four straight quality starts and he's held opponents to a .228 BAA at Safeco Field.
Brad Bergesen of the Orioles is a rookie and, as the season has gone on, he's certainly not pitching like one any more. Bergesen is 4-0 in his last seven starts and six of those outings have qualified as quality starts. Bergesen's ERA has dropped by nearly two full runs - down to a 3.53 ERA - during this fantastic stretch of work. Also, he's 1-0 in two starts against the Mariners with a 1.20 ERA and Bergesen has held Seattle hitters to a .192 batting average. The Orioles bullpen is normally a concern but Bergesen has been pitching so well plus so deep into games that the bullpen is not as much of a factor here in what should be an absolute pitchers' duel between Bergesen and Washburn.
Consider a small play on UNDER the total in Seattle on Monday night. Thank you and best of luck always from Scott Rickenbach!
Rob Homyak
Free Pick SFG (-160) vs FLA
Analysis: Rob Homyak MLB Freebie
Monday, July 6th (All times eastern)
Florida Marlins (43-40) at San Francisco Giants (44-37), 10:15 p.m.
Probable Starting Pitchers: Florida - Sean West (3-2, 4.06) San Francisco - Matt Cain (9-2, 2.48)
5 Units on San Francisco Giants
Play On Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts
150-75 over the last 5 seasons.
66.7% (55.2 units)
The Marlins defeated Pittsburgh 5-0 as a -155 favorite on Sunday. The five runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (8.5).
Ricky Nolasco pitched eight shutout innings, allowing only three hits with 12 strikeouts for Florida, while Jeremy Hermida was 2-4 with an RBI and a run scored in the win.
The Giants lost to Houston 7-1 as a +105 underdog on Sunday. The eight runs scored caused this game to be a PUSH on the posted over/under total (8).
Rich Aurilia hit a solo home run for San Francisco and Randy Johnson allowed three earned runs on 3 2-3 innings before leaving with a shoulder injury.
Florida 1-5 on the road and 6-14 on the road against right-handed starters. West has a 6.30 RA in his last four starts. The Marlins are 1-4 when West is an Underdog and the Giants are 5-0 vs. a lefty of late and 6-0 when Cain starts as a favorite.
The Giants are on streaks of 39-20 at home, 8-3 against teams from the N.L. East, 5-0 against southpaws and 9-4 at home against winning teams, and 24-10 advantage over the Marlins in the last 34 played at home.
Cain this season and has held the opposition to 1 run or less in 7 of his last 9 with the Giants. 6-1, 2.25 in his last nine starts.
San Francisco is 3-1 when Cain against the Marlins and 12-2 in his last 14 against teams from the N.L. East.
The Giants are 6-3 at home against the Marlins since the start of the 2006 season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-13 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 158-93 (+43.2 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters since 1997.
Marlins are 1-4 in Wests last 5 starts as an underdog.
Marlins are 3-13 in their last 16 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Giants are 6-0 in Cains last 6 starts as a favorite.
Head to Head
Marlins are 10-24 in the last 34 meetings in San Francisco.
Free Pick SFG (-160) vs FLA
Analysis: Rob Homyak MLB Freebie
Monday, July 6th (All times eastern)
Florida Marlins (43-40) at San Francisco Giants (44-37), 10:15 p.m.
Probable Starting Pitchers: Florida - Sean West (3-2, 4.06) San Francisco - Matt Cain (9-2, 2.48)
5 Units on San Francisco Giants
Play On Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts
150-75 over the last 5 seasons.
66.7% (55.2 units)
The Marlins defeated Pittsburgh 5-0 as a -155 favorite on Sunday. The five runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (8.5).
Ricky Nolasco pitched eight shutout innings, allowing only three hits with 12 strikeouts for Florida, while Jeremy Hermida was 2-4 with an RBI and a run scored in the win.
The Giants lost to Houston 7-1 as a +105 underdog on Sunday. The eight runs scored caused this game to be a PUSH on the posted over/under total (8).
Rich Aurilia hit a solo home run for San Francisco and Randy Johnson allowed three earned runs on 3 2-3 innings before leaving with a shoulder injury.
Florida 1-5 on the road and 6-14 on the road against right-handed starters. West has a 6.30 RA in his last four starts. The Marlins are 1-4 when West is an Underdog and the Giants are 5-0 vs. a lefty of late and 6-0 when Cain starts as a favorite.
The Giants are on streaks of 39-20 at home, 8-3 against teams from the N.L. East, 5-0 against southpaws and 9-4 at home against winning teams, and 24-10 advantage over the Marlins in the last 34 played at home.
Cain this season and has held the opposition to 1 run or less in 7 of his last 9 with the Giants. 6-1, 2.25 in his last nine starts.
San Francisco is 3-1 when Cain against the Marlins and 12-2 in his last 14 against teams from the N.L. East.
The Giants are 6-3 at home against the Marlins since the start of the 2006 season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-13 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 158-93 (+43.2 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters since 1997.
Marlins are 1-4 in Wests last 5 starts as an underdog.
Marlins are 3-13 in their last 16 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Giants are 6-0 in Cains last 6 starts as a favorite.
Head to Head
Marlins are 10-24 in the last 34 meetings in San Francisco.
