Monday 07/06/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Yanks]

Jimmy the Moose

Bonus Play

The Royals have dropped nine of Gil Meche's last 11 starts and are 6-17 in their last 23 games away from Kansas City. The Detroit Tigers get the nod as home favorites in Comerica on Monday night.
The Kansas City Royals are 5-12 in their last 17 opening games of a series. The Royals have lost five of their last seven vs. a team with a winning record.

Kansas City is 6-17 in their last 23 road games. In their last 16 games as a road dog they are 4-12. The Royals are 2-9 in Gil Meche's last 11 starts.

The Detroit Tigers have won their last eight home games. Detroit is 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a right-handed starter.

The Tigers have won four of Armando Galarraga's last five starts. In his last 21 starts as a favorite the Tigers are 16-5. The Royals have dropped four of the last five meetings. Play on Detroit.

Free Pick: Tigers -130

 

[mrmil0]

I just got back into betting baseball here and I have been away most of the baseball season. I have been trying to go back through and see how some of these guys did, but can anyone recommend a couple of solid cappers to take a closer look at?

 

[ecrazul1977]

michael cannon rare 30 dime release as well.
(im not asking for these plays...just trying to make note of big plays)

will be much better if you post the plays!!!!

 

[Yanks]

Vegas Experts

Bonus Play

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

Eight of the nine matchups this year between San Diego and Arizona have gone OVER the total with all three games in Arizona going OVER. San Diego starter Walter Silva has allowed 18 runs in his last three starts and has a 16.71 ERA in two road starts this season. The Padres have gone OVER in 14 of 17 road games on Monday as well as 16 of 23 road matchups against right-handed starters. The Diamondbacks have gone OVER in 16 of 23 games as a favorite of $1.25 to $1.75. Go with the OVER

Play on: OVER

 

[Yanks]

Michael Cannon

Bonus Play

Kansas City at DETROIT -130

Take the Tigers for the home win over the Royals tonight.

Detroit will start Armando Galarraga and although the right-hander has struggled this year, he has posted consecutive victories in his last two starts.

Galaragga has pitched well against Kansas City in his career, going 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in three starts.

The Royals will start Gil Meche, who has lost three straight starts. The right-hander has posted a 9.42 ERA in that span and is just 4-8 on the year.

The Tigers have won four of six against the Royals this season.

Make it five of seven after tonight.
Take the Tigers as they grab the home win.

3? DETROIT

 

[Yanks]

Ben Burns

Bonus Play

Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros

Prediction: Houston Astros

After getting blown out by a combined score of 22-0 in their games on Friday and Saturday, the Astros bounced back big on Sunday with a 7-1 win at San Francisco. Salvaging a game in their series with the Giants gives them some momentum as they head back home to Houston. At Minute Maid Park on Monday, look for the Astros to take advantage of a Pirates team that struggles on the road and also sends a "raw" pitcher to the mound.

Virgil Vazquez gets the start for Pittsburgh Monday. Vazquez has only made five starts so far in the majors. Three were in 2007 with Detroit and he's made two so far this season with the Pirates. Already Vazquez was much shakier in his second start than his first. After a solid effort against the Royals, Vazquez had more walks than strikeouts against the Cubs and he walked three and gave up seven hits in his six innings. Both starts for Vazquez this season came at home and note that in four career road games - three starts - Vazquez has an ugly 9.49 ERA. Note that the Pirates are 15-28 on the road this season. Pittsburgh is also 11-23 in divisional games this season.

The Astros are 20-12 this season when playing against a team with a losing record and they should be able to take advantage of another losing team here. The Astros turn to Mike Hampton for this start. The southpaw has dominated Pittsburgh throughout his career. Hampton is 13-3 against the Pirates in his career with a 2.44 ERA and a .233 BAA. The long-term domination for Hampton against the Pirates certainly hasn't changed this season. He's 3-0 vs. Pittsburgh with a 0.90 ERA and a .171 BAA so far in 2009.

Hampton may indeed be the last pitcher the Pirates want to see right now. Pittsburgh got shutout yesterday and that was the 21st time this season that it's scored one run or less in a game. With Hampton's long-term dominance of the Pirates, don't be surprised if this is yet another game where the Pittsburgh bats are kept quiet. Also, the Pirates Freddy Sanchez hasn't played since Thursday and he's their leading hitter. That's certainly not helping the Pittsburgh offense and he could be out again on Monday.

Consider laying the wood.

 

[Yanks]

Nelly

Bonus Play

UNDER San Diego at Arizona

This series has featured a great deal of higher scoring games this season but the circumstances are different for Monday's game between Arizona and San Diego. The Padres are currently batting just .217 in the last ten games including .186 against right-handed pitching and San Diego traded away one of its better offensive players last night. At the halfway point of the season the Padres have averaged just 3.8 runs per game. In 13 of the last 20 games Arizona has scored four or fewer runs and the Diamondbacks are batting just .231. Jon Garland has allowed just eight earned runs in his last four starts and although his record is poor he has pitched well in recent games. Walter Silva has had a few rough outings this season but he has also pitched well in several games.
With a total set high this game should stay 'under'.

 

[Yanks]

MTi Sports

Bonus Play

Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati just got pummeled by the Cardinals and Chris Carpenter by a 10-1 margin. The Reds have been amazing after a bad loss. Cincinnati is a perfect 12-0 THIS season after losing by at least five runs (p:margin<=-5 and team=Reds and season=2009). Hamels is off a bad start and he has shown no ability to turn things around. Indeed, Philadelphia is 0-6 with Hamels when he had a WHIP of at least 2 his last start ? costing his backers 9.2 units. The Reds are 5-0 THIS season when Johnny Cueto starts with personal revenge and 4-0 with Cueto as a road dog.

Consider the Reds

 

[Yanks]

Tom Freese

Bonus Play

Texas at La Angels

Texas is 23-8-1 UNDER their last 32 games vs. righty starters and they are 22-6-1 UNDER vs. an opponent that allowed 5 or more runs in their last game. The Rangers are 20-6-2 UNDER in the last 28 starts made by Kevin Millwood and they are 15-6 UNDER their last 21 road games. The Angels are 27-10-2 UNDER with Jered Weaver on the mound if they are off a loss in their last game and they are 8-1-1 UNDER his last 10 starts as a home favorite. Weaver is 6-1-1 UNDER his last 8 starts vs. the the Rangers.

PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Weaver vs. Millwood)

 

[Yanks]

Jr Tips

Bonus Play

TEXAS RANGERS vs. LA ANGELS

Vladimir Guerrero will be out of the lineup tonight getting rest. Guerrero hit a tying two-run homer in Sunday's 9-6 win over Baltimore and has homered in consecutive games with seven RBIs over his last seven games. Guerrero is batting .397 with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs. Los Angeles (45-35) lost two of three against Texas last week and Los Angeles and Texas split 10 meetings in Anaheim last season. Jered Weaver (8-3, 3.10 ERA) takes the mound as the Angels go for their sixth win in seven home games. Weaver has gone 5-1 with a 1.83 ERA and .190 opponents' batting average although Weaver is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts versus the Rangers this year. The right-hander did not get a decision Wednesday after yielding a season-high seven runs and eight hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 9-7 loss to Texas. Texas (45-35) will go for it's sixth consecutive victory and All-Star outfielder Josh Hamilton will be back tonight. Rangers ace Kevin Millwood (8-5, 2.80) makes his third start against the Angels this season as he yielded four runs over 6 1/3 innings Wednesday after going 4-1 with a 1.30 ERA in his previous five outings. Millwood, who defeated Los Angeles 10-8 with six innings of two-run ball May 15th is 1-3 with a 3.31 ERA in his last five starts in Anaheim. These two teams have faced the opposing pitchers a few times this season which gives the advantage to the hitters. Look for the bats to have continued success against these pitchers they just faced last week.

TAKE OVER 8 1/2

 

[Yanks]

Bobby Maxwell

Bonus Play

Texas +130 at L.A. ANGELS

Second straight FREE winner on Sunday when the Astros and Roy Oswalt took care of business in San Francisco. Tonight I'm handing you the Rangers as a comp winner in Anaheim against the Angels.

Texas is turning the tables on the Angels this season, taking five of the first six meetings between these two after losing nine of 14 last year. The Rangers just won two of three last week against Los Angeles and tonight's pitching matchup is the same that resulted in a 9-7 Texas victory. I love the Rangers behind Kevin Millwood (8-5, 2.80) tonight.

Neither Millwood or Jered Weaver (8-3, 3.02) looked particularly sharp last Wednesday when Millwood gave up four runs on eight hits and Weaver allowed seven runs on eight hits. But Millwood has been consistent all season and he'll bounce back better than Weaver who has been looking like crap lately.

Wednesday was the first time in eight starts Millwood allowed more than three runs in a game. Texas has won both his starts against the Angels this season and they have won the last seven times he's started a series.

Weaver has been getting beaten up lately, giving up 16 runs in his last 16.2 innings. He hasn't looked very good against Texas in two starts this season and the Angels are just 2-5 in his last seven against the Rangers.

Texas has rattled off five straight wins to climb to the top of the A.L. West standings and look for this team to continue to fight. They are getting consistent pitching and we all know they have the sticks to win it. I love Millwood and the Rangers catching plus-money in this one. Play Texas.

4? TEXAS

 

[Yanks]

Karl Garrett

Bonus Play

Texas at LA ANGELS -145

The G-Man gave you a Sunday comp play winner on Philadelphia to make it a 5-2 comp play run the last 7 days.

AL West battle tonight in Anaheim, and I will lay the wood with Jered Weaver and his Angels, as LA and Texas make the quick turnaround.

These teams just met in Arlington, Texas once again holding serve, as they are now 5-1 in the season series - ALL 6 meetings have come in Texas.

Weaver, and Kevin Millwood both struggled on July 1st, Millwood allowing 4 runs in 6 innings of work, while Weaver allowed 7 to score in 5 frames of work. Niether figured in the decision, but is should be noted that Millwood is just 2-4 on the road, with a 3.22 ERA, while Weaver is 5-1 at home with an ERA of 1.83.

G-Man gonna look for the Halos to "hold serve" in this division showdown at home against the Rangers.

1? LA ANGELS

 

[Yanks]

Sports Gambling Hotline

Bonus Play

Florida at SAN FRANCISCO

Tonight we expect a pitcher's duel to develop when Florida visits San Francisco.

Florida starter Sean West worked 8 scoreless innings against the Giants back on June 8th in notching the win, and we feel he will need to be just as sharp tonight if his team is to have a chance at the win.

San Francisco starter Matt Cain continues to shine, as he is off a 7 inning, 1 run no decision against St. Louis that lowered his season ERA to just 2.48.

Cain has also gone 1-0 in his last 4 starts against Florida, allowing just 10 runs in 28 innings of work.

These teams have met 4 times already this season, 3 of the 4 have landed UNDER, with the other game being a push. Also, 2 of the last 3 games played in San Francisco last season stayed LOW.

Have to look for another LOW scoring contest in this one.

3? UNDER

 

[Yanks]

Computer Baseball System 7/6

COMP,

Our systems say to go for:

Marlins (+158), Padres (+154), Mariners (-115), Royals (+121), Rangers (+131), Astros (-155).

 

[elmtree]

i havn't been around for awhile, can someone tell me how budin is doin? thank you

 

[mrmil0]

i havn't been around for awhile, can someone tell me how budin is doin? thank you

I think he has lost a bunch in a row.

 

[Yanks]

Rocky Atkinson

Free Pick TEX (+140) vs ANA

Texas @ LA Angels 10:05 PM EST

Play On: Texas (Millwood/Weaver) Listed

Both teams come in with identical 45-35 records on the season. Texas is 15-4 this year against division opponents. Texas has now won 5 games in a row. Kevin Millwood is 8-5 with a 2.80 ERA overall this year, has a 3.22 ERA on the road and 1-1 with a 3.72 ERA his last 3 starts. Jered Weaver has a whopping 8.64 ERA his last 3 starts. Texas is 5-1 overall vs LA Angels this year. Millwood has a 3.90 ERA overall vs LA Angels since 1997.
We'll recommend a small play on Texas tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

 

[Frankiee]

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Kevin Francis</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Monday, July 06, 2009
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Houston w/Hampton -155 8:05 EST

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turn on your pm sent you two messages

 

[JDizzle311]

I want to lock up valentino, chris jordan and michael cannon for today. I can cover one, but it would be nice for someone to step up on the others.

C Jordan 300 dime chalk play....hes been red hott all season

Michael Canno 30 dimer, very rare and he lost last few days

Valentino, 25 dimer, NL run line game of year.

Any takers?

 

[goldencontender]

Monday GC comp plus radio show info

On Monday the Bonus Play is on the Phillies.Game 952 at 7:05 eastern.This is the second straight day were on the Phils for the comp as we shoot for 4 straight.The Phillies apply to a solid system here tonight that plays on home favorites off a home favorite win that scored 2 or less runs and their now taking on an opponent that also scored 2 runs or less at home.These low scoring homers have won 8 of the last 10 times.Cole Hamels is on the mound tonight for the Phillies and he looks to bounce back tonight vs the Reds.In his team starts vs Cincy he is 5-0 with a 1.25 era.In his last home start vs the Reds he went 9 innings for a complete game shut out win.The Phils have won 5 of 7 from the Reds at home the last 3 years.On Monday night I have 2 Solid System plays.I have a totals system thats has cashed 14 of 16 times with an average score of 11.4 runs per game and a 12-1 system side bomb that wins by 4 runs a game, and has a big pitching edge.On Sunday we cashed again,another big 5 unit system play on the Astros,which ended a spectacular week overall.For those interested I will be in studio again Monday night between 8-9 pm eastern on the Anthony Pierno sports show which airs from 7-10 pm on www.wsia.fm discussing a wide range of sports topics. For the comp play lets take the Phillies to continue their hot streak. bol GC-