Tampa Bay Rays travel to meet Blue Jays
By: Chance Harper - 06/29/2009
Just 3-3 on the current homestand, the Blue Jays need to keep pace in the tough AL East when their three-game set vs. the Rays begins Monday. Aaron Hill leads Toronto on offense, already setting a franchise HR mark for second basemen less than halfway through the season. The Jays will get their ace Roy Halladay back from the DL as well, and they will need all of the hitting and pitching they can muster against Tampa Bay.
Bettors anticipated the American League East was going to be baseball’s most competitive division back in spring training, but no one was prepared for this:
•Boston Red Sox 46-29, .613 (+70 run differential)
•New York Yankees 42-32, .568 (+53)
•Tampa Bay Rays 42-35, .545 (+87)
•Toronto Blue Jays 41-36, .532 (+41)
You can make a strong argument these four clubs are the best overall in the AL. The Detroit Tigers, Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers currently have better records than Tampa Bay and Toronto, but the latter pair is first and fourth, respectively, in run differential. With Boston and New York holding on to the two top spots in the division, bettors get a chance to handicap the other powerhouses in the AL East when the Blue Jays (41-36, +2.72 units) host the Rays (42-35, +1.98 units) for a three-game series beginning on Monday night.
Toronto ace Roy Halladay (10-1, 2.53 ERA) comes off the 15-day disabled list after missing just over two weeks with a strained groin to make his return on Monday night. Halladay suffered the injury in the Jays’ 7-3 loss as -210 home chalk to the Florida Marlins back on June 12, going three innings before leaving the game.
Prior to hitting the DL, Halladay was on fire for backers, with only one start where he allowed more than three runs over his last nine outings. Not that the bump in the road was hurtful for Jays’ bettors’ bankrolls: The Doctor gave up four runs in a complete-game win over the Angels on June 2, striking out a career-high 14 batters as Toronto cashed as -170 favorites on the betting odds board.
Bettors should think twice about taking Halladay and the Jays as -185 moneyline faves for Game 1 (7:07 PM ET), and not just because of the hefty price on Toronto. Rays starter Jeff Niemann (6-4, 4.23 ERA) is up +6.60 units this season, good for fourth for major league starters this year. Tampa Bay is 10-4 against the moneyline in Niemann’s 14 outings this season, including 3-0 in his last three trips to the hill. Oddsmakers have the Rays as +170 underdogs for the opener, with the total set at 8.5.
The Rays are among the hottest wagers in the game right now, with seven ML victories over their last eight matchups. Tampa Bay is coming off a three-game sweep of the Florida Marlins at Tropicana Field, with David Price getting the win in Sunday’s 5-2 victory as -166 faves. B.J Upton was 2-for-4 with a homer for Tampa Bay, which hasn’t had as much success cashing away from home lately. The Rays are only 4-10 in their last 14 contests on the road.
The Jays are one of the most profitable home bets in baseball at +4.99 units (24-16 ML), although they didn’t take too much coin over the weekend. Toronto dropped two of three to the visiting Philadelphia Phillies, blowing a four-run lead to lose Sunday’s series finale 5-4 as -143 chalk. Brian Tallet allowed four earned runs over six innings to take the loss for Toronto, which has played over the listed total in 10 of Halladay’s last 12 starts north of the border.
Tuesday night’s Game 2 (7:07 PM ET) is a battle between the Rays’ Matt Garza (5-5, 3.61 ERA) and the Jays’ Scott Richmond (6-4, 3.68 ERA). Tampa Bay has struggled at the window when Garza takes the ball on the road this season, with only one payday in the righthander’s seven starts away from Tropicana Field. Richmond comes into the game 19th on the starters’ moneylist (+4.48 units), as Toronto is 8-4 ML in his 12 starts this season.
Wednesday’s getaway game (1:07 PM ET) sees James Shields (6-5, 3.41 ERA) toe the rubber for the Rays against surprising Jays lefthander Ricky Romero (5-3, 3.20 ERA). Toronto is 3-0 in Romero’s last three outings, during which he’s put up a 2.14 ERA. Tampa Bay is also a perfect 3-0 against the moneyline in Shields’ last three starts, as the Rays have gone 5-10 O/U in his last 15 trips to the bump.
The series is the first meeting this season between the division rivals. Tampa Bay took last year’s season series 11-7, with Toronto cashing in five of the eight games played at Rogers Centre.