So different sources in different locations have a different team of the two (Bama & Michigan) that has the most wagers and most money overall. Isn't a lot of the money wagered in the last 2 hours? We are >2 hours from kickoff. So what do we actually know?
Touts? I think in the long run going against the consensus might yield a small win percentage, and yes some touts are more profitable to fade, but when you talk about one isolated game I do not think it should affect handicapping.
WHAT I am going by today is:
- more and deeper, elite athletes at Bama
- in far and away the most successful playoff conference (won the last 4, and 5 of the last 6) with some blowouts
- beat two time national champ undefeated Georiga in the SEC Championship
- coached by an all time elite championship winning coach
- with an emerging star run / pass QB, top notch OL, overall defense, no real weaknesses
- versus a Big Ten team that beat a weak Iowa team in the conference championship, and stunk it up badly the last two years in the playoffs
- location close to Bama, IMO Bama plays better on artificial turf with their incredible speed and power
- ... and more
Bama by >20