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lets get it today.. i went the fish route yesterday once i missed pk at +115 it went to -130 i always attempt to avoid laying juice took ml and well we both know how that went
 
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Even though Atletico took care of Barca relatively easy at home. I believe this matchup will be tougher. Because of the size of the Germans. That was one of the main reasons I knew Luis Suarez would score vs Ateltico and he did twice, because I knew Atletico would shut down Messi and Neymar because they can give them pressure and body contact that they aren't used to and do not like. Bayern has a handful of guys that are big and can score. As I run through the outcomes in my head and break them all down I don't see how Bayern wont score. Plus this is the first time these teams have met in 40 years. So this isn't a familiar foe where you know what to expect and how to defend each player like it was VS Barca. My issue is Diego Godin being out. But, I have to include the form of play Bayern play on the road vs Atletico does at home. Atletico at home is now one of the biggest advantages in all of sports. Because that guy Diego Simeone is like a God to these people and this team.

Therefore they will die for him on this pitch. One of my biggest plays of the year pending this game will be Atletico on the road in Bayern Munich.

Perception is this game from my perspective is Bayern can win on the road in a high scoring game because Atletico is due one goal. That's how most will see this match, or they will expect Atletico to win in a low scoring game. I see it the exact opposite.

Bayern Munich's centre backs are not that quality. I expect Pep, one of the best coaches in the world to play tight back there knowing that and defend for sure but both teams have too much ability to combo passes and score a goal.

Atletico is missing the top centre back in the world and their team captain in Diego Godin. He pulled a hammy last week in the first 10 minutes vs Atletic Bilbao. So he is in a race against time to be fit for the second leg in Germany. All he has to do is play in that game at 80% and they will win and he will have 3 weeks off before the final.

But the replacements for Atletico are high quality. Gimenez and Savic both solid players.

Bayern's lineup is playing with pace. Pep is starting Coman and Costa both are runners. But surprisingly you have Gotze, Muller, and Ribbery on the bench. Very interesting. Muller will come in later for sure. So it is easy to expect them to treat giving up goals as a sin. Both teams will. BUT, I just for some reason expect their to be some goals. Everyone is on the under and under in the first half. Like I said above, Bayern wins in a low scoring game or Atletico wins in a high scoring game. and I believe the value is with Atletico in the 2nd leg and not the first. I don't see a 1-0 atletico result here at home in the first leg. But onto plays


exact scores:

Bayern munich 1-0 exact score +590 $30

1-1 exact score +500 $25

2-1 Atletico exact score +1150 $40



Both teams score a goal +115 this is my favorite play of leg 1

Over 2 goals scored +108


GL, if I add a side it will be in live. I clearly like the over so I'm looking for a way to play Atletico ML. I think a goal late would be great
 
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Bayern also likes Centre backs who are passive, that can control the ball back there. Boateng is just that. He went down with a knee injury. He is a public perception player that the public thinks is bad but is really good. So when he is missing it is a bigger problem for Bayern then the public thinks IMO.
 

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stuck with my gut took bayern on ml.. i like over 2 as well but i pretty much never take totals not gonna start now gluck..
 
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stuck with my gut took bayern on ml.. i like over 2 as well but i pretty much never take totals not gonna start now gluck..

you might be right. But If I bet bayern ML then most likely they advance...and I don't think that happens so we'll see. I took no sides in the first leg. Maybe somethin at half
 
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Ahhhh letss gooooooooooooo oooooooo
 
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QUALITYYYYY FROM SAULLLL letss GOOOOOOO
 
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Bayern also likes Centre backs who are passive, that can control the ball back there. Boateng is just that. He went down with a knee injury. He is a public perception player that the public thinks is bad but is really good. So when he is missing it is a bigger problem for Bayern then the public thinks IMO.

Center backs getting worked back there. No boateng
 
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if there was fucking value to take a goal in the first half I would have. it was -160 for their to be a goal scored. Yet everyone was taking first half under or scoreless half. Made no sense
 
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If bayern get 1. I am adding atletico ML immediately
 
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Expect subs at half. Bayern will give up 2 going for 1. That's in their dna. But hopefully they get one when their true stars come in.

Pep is not on Diegos level
 
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Pep is one stubborn fuck. Where is Muller? Man I should of just pounded atletico ml anyway. Fuck
 

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Bayern are pressing hard, putting on the pressure. Looking good early in the 2H
 
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Bayern are pressing hard, putting on the pressure. Looking good early in the 2H

Fuck them. Barca is 100 times better. I donno what I was thinking. This was easier than barca. Way easier. Should be 2-0
 
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As soon as I heard that red head lexi saying exactly what I said about bayern being more physical than barca. I knew i was wrong about that. That shit doesn't matter. Atletico are the kings this year. Public can win on them all they want they still winning. Kings of Spain this year
 
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What's idiotic is I told myself I would just take Man city and Atletico spread every game in semi finls. Both legs. I tried to get too exact today. It's all good. I'll make it back
 

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ughh so tight donked away two days on champs league when been doing well in nhl playoffs.. feel like a fish oh well city should have had pk and bayern was a terrible pick on road vs that defense..
 
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Uefa semi final

Liverpool pk em + 106

Gl
 

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