My thoughts on today are Atletico/Barca line is tight. I was on Real over the weekend @ Barca and I knew one of those games Barca would lose. It is suicide to think they will lose 2 in a row at home. I do expect this game to be more open then we think because Simeone wants to score on the road. If you don't score on the road in THIS leg vs Barca. You have NO chance. Because to expect to 2-0 win for Atletico at home in the 2nd leg is not realistic.
Plays:
Luiz Suarez scores a goal +145
2nd game I am going against the grain and fading the obvious play. My thinking is this... Bayern was on the ROAD in leg 1 in the last round vs Juve. So they were forced to try to score crucial away goals. They aren't the type of team that sits back and defends. I think because this game is in Germany, we get value on the under. I know it is insane to play a bayern munich under. But they haven't been as dominate as in the past and Benefica is no slouch. They are a good counter attacking team which tells me Bayern knows they need to transition back all game because you can't give up away goals in the first leg and have to play on the road in the second leg. So this is a different circumstance than Bayern's last matchup vs Juve. and the perception is sooo on the over in all Bayern games. I will try my luck
Benefica/ Bayern Munich Under 3 -124
GL