Mobs Champions League pt 2

[Mobdeeper7239]

Imo, this juve line looks extremely easy. I like both draws a bit but I don't know what I'm doing yet. Sevilla is way better than Leicester. Lean Sevilla pk but like I said, i kind of like both draws



I like so much today that I don't know what I like. I'm looking at a possible big play for tomorrow so going to lay off here prolly

 

[Klutch]

I bet you the big play is Atletico Madrid. I like it too

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

I bet you the big play is Atletico Madrid. I like it too

I mean, I like them. They are way better. But, they have a lot of carry over absences to this 2nd leg. No gabi, no Luis, no Gamiero, Torres available but hasn't played since his scary injury. A lot to fill in. So they aren't at full force, and with a comfortable lead I expect them to still look good, but not sure if they will be at their best. Gamiero is amazing. What he did in that first leg was dominance. These two played in this round two years ago and both games finished 0-0 draws and went into a penalty shootout which Atletico won. But, this Atletico team has come so far in two years. They are no longer that scrappy dog that has to scrap and claw for everything. They are more of a heavyweight now with the ranks of the top based on their talent and coming of age.

Do I expect Atletico to win even if they don't have to? Yeah I do. But, I'm not a big fan of laying goal lines with Atletico in the CL. They could very well still cover, not putting it past them.

Atletico go into this 2nd leg with plans for the quarter finals. Bayer leverkusen has to score 3 goals without Atletico scoring any. That clearly wont happen, but there is room for error. Plus with a couple of usual players out of Atletico's lineup I think a lot of things are possible here.


If Simeone had a 3 goal lead two years ago there is no question he is sitting back and playing for a 1-0 home win. But transitioning into a heavyweight side now, I don't see that. The situation IMO makes sense here for Atletico to let up a bit. With a big La Liga game coming this weekend vs Sevilla, Atletico I think know this shit is a wrap if they score once today and then they can relax a bit.

Leverkusen couldn't hang with Gamiero, there's no Gamiero today. Correra is fast but a lot less physical than Gamiero. That's a confidence booster for Leverkusen to not have to deal with and maybe to focus more on attacking.

I think the clear obvious thing here is to say Atletico leads comfortably and will defend their home turf. But, they have been atrocious at home defending this year. It would be asinine for Simeone to attempt to park the bus and only worry about defending here. I think this is an open game with not as many goals as the first leg but still enough chances for each team to net one. Leverkusen is starting Volland and Hernandez. Both likely goal scorers. and Kampl who is the creative one along with Karim Bellarbi. All possible goal scorers and Atletico has many, even short sided. They have a ton of capable players who can net a goal. I think Carrassco scores today personally.

I leaned 2-1 exacto atletico, might play it small.




Both teams to score -125

big play


GL

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

I still see 1-1 in 2h. I originally felt under but talked myself out of it. Thought atletico and under felt a little too easy. We'll see

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Volland you are fucking garbage. Fuck this horseshit team leverkusen

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Yall dont know how disappointed I was with myself for this. I switched my play and still bet it big. Fucking idiotic. I guess I had it in my head I was betting big no matter what on that game which was dumb. But I had the under eyed since leg 1. I mentioned how Simeone will have a chance to perform on defense at home. But I got talked out of it. Anyway, friday morning are the CL draws.

I wish I had access to international props.

8 teams left. Gut feeling is Atletico vs Juventus. And I would most certainly be extremely confident with Atletico having an Italian squads number. Even though they are not a typical Italian side. Ateltico may be dogs in this matchup. And obviously the odds for this matchup to occur has to be 3 to 1 odds or so, considering there are 7 possible opponents. I don't know I don't have the lines.

Everyone is praying to see monaco or Leicester. I think bayern gets lucky like usual. They most likely will get monaco or Leicester IMO.

Don't really have any strong feels for any others. The final 4 I usually always get the draws correct. Shit is rigged and pre determined imo. We'll see in the morning

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Btw that was the first big play I've lost in both champions League threads I've done here over the last two years. And really I shoulda stuck with my original plan/idea.

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

I am going to fucking dominate this next round.


Also best possible draw for Atletico. Can't wait.

 

[AlistairCookie]

Im HUGE on Juve and BM to advance.

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Im HUGE on Juve and BM to advance.

Love them both. Forreal.

Have you seen odds yet for the to advance?

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Atletico, bayern, juve, dortmund is my final 4 teams. Early prediction is atletico/Dortmund final. With atletico over juve and dortmund over bayern. That's an extremely early prediction. But I'm interested in a 4 team to advance parlay for this round

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Juve is a bit more of a gamble. But juve is the only team remaining who can beat Barca IMHO. If barca gets past them, you might as well give them the trophy.

Juve is so much better than two years ago when they saw each other in the finals.

But Bayern will be confident. They are pretty much a lock to advance imo. Because real madrid has the curae on them first of all. And secondly, real hates playing in Germany. Sergio Ramos can't keep saving them. And now he goes up vs a German side that is exceptional at headers and have one of the best heading defenders in the world in Matt Hummels. Real madrid will need to score twice in Germany. Only chance they have imo. Bayern will score three at home and one away at the least

 

[SunDodger]

Atletico, bayern, juve, dortmund is my final 4 teams. Early prediction is atletico/Dortmund final. With atletico over juve and dortmund over bayern. That's an extremely early prediction. But I'm interested in a 4 team to advance parlay for this round

That 4-team parlay currently pays +770 at 5D.

I like all the 1st leg home teams to cover the handicap, except Atletico Madrid. Could be a 1-0 sleeper in that one.



This could be the end of Spanish domination of this tournament. We shall see.

Good luck with your picks.

 

[starbet]

Very interesting predictions, they deserve to life!

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

That 4-team parlay currently pays +770 at 5D.

I like all the 1st leg home teams to cover the handicap, except Atletico Madrid. Could be a 1-0 sleeper in that one.



This could be the end of Spanish domination of this tournament. We shall see.

Good luck with your picks.

Call me crazy, but I like Juve more on the road in Barcelona. Barca know they can't let it get out of hand like it did with PSG first leg. I think the value for Juve is over two legs. I think they can do it IN Barca. Regardless of if they haven't been beaten at home. Still looking at everything though right now and leading up to the games



But, I played a "to advance parlay" and left Monaco/Dortmund out of it. Crazy it was that much of a difference. Monaco/Dortmund I need to look more into.... I think that matchup will be very close. Dortmund has a lot of injuries and I don't know about them all coming back all of a sudden vs a team who is in great form. When I saw that "advance" line I was pretty surprised. Monaco may be a live dog here.

It pays about +450 for Bayern, Atletico, and Juve parlay to advance.

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

That 4-team parlay currently pays +770 at 5D.

I like all the 1st leg home teams to cover the handicap, except Atletico Madrid. Could be a 1-0 sleeper in that one.



This could be the end of Spanish domination of this tournament. We shall see.

Good luck with your picks.

,
Man, hell no though. Atletico Madrid might roll these niggas on Wednesday

I haven't zoned in on a play yet for that game but 100% certain they win imo. No way in hell Leicester wins that or even draws, nah no chance bro. English clubs are weak. Yes, Leicester is built for the champions League. But, the problem is they now are running into the team that is really reallly realllly built for the champions league and two legged tournaments. 2-0 or 3-0 first leg Atletico could be the result though


That 1-1 draw over the weekend against Real Madrid was nothing to them. This is what they care about now and live for.

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Most people will see Leicester beat Sevilla, one of the top spanish teams and think Leicester will be able to compete with Atletico. Leicester's defenders are going to get destroyed, they are so much slower. Besides Mahrez and Vardy and drinkwater, they don't have enough. They are good enough for maybe one goal over two legs, I would be shocked if Atletico gives up two goals over two games to them. Seriously.


Leicester city is a poor mans Atletico Madrid.... that's the most honest way to put it. They have similar qualities, same type of style.

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

The lines pretty much tell you what type of game that juve/barca game will be. Each team is going to be trying to break each other down in the opponents half. The thing is, that is Barca's game. But, from what I have seen from Juve, they can play Barca's game better than anybody left remaining. I think clearly the odds point to a slow paced game but I still think somehow someway it squeaks over. 2-1 somebody. But I think Juve for the return leg in Barca is where the money is going to be at. I could be wrong and Juve kills them today, but I still have them to advance in a parlay I wouldn't lose any sleep over it.

I want to see the lineups before I pull the trigger but thinking there will be goals today all around

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Barca had a realistic shot at making a real push for the La Liga title Saturday afternoon, but lost at Malaga. possibly a look ahead to here. Because the last time they went on the road in the champions league vs a quality side they lost 4-0. They clearly have some road woes, but to fail to score here then Barca might as well forget about it. The thing is about these games is both away teams today their M.O. is to attack. So I honestly expect both home teams to fight fire with fire. I see jitters to start, but I don't see how every team doesn't score today.

2 team parlay odds +155
Barca/Juve both teams to score -142
&
Monaco/Dortmund both teams to score -200


more to follow


GL

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Man what the fuck. They setting off bombs and this game might be canceled. This shit is crazy. My strongest play today was going to be the first half in that game. This might have fucked it up.


I turn to CNN and they are talking about how Trumps wife is the reason for the air strikes in Syria. Fucking disgrace CNN. They fucking up my Champions League soccer now man. Now I got a personal problem with these terrorists