Hi everyone,
I would like to post this before someone else take their decision in this play.
I think that I will past on this Pitts vs. Cubs series because of many things.
This is like a flip of a coin decision but as my father wisely said: "If you are in doubt is a "NO"!!!"
Let me show you this team advantages and disadvantages then you take your decision:
Pitts advantages:
1.- One day rest
2.- Few injuries, not key players
3.- Low odds in the Run Line +1.5 for the complete series I think
4.- Cubs haven't rest from the last 4 games that they won and swept Milwaukee by more than 2-5 runs.
Cubs advantages:
1.- No injuries at all
2.- 5 Winning streak
3.- Sambrano with a 2.80 ERA will pitch in this series
4.- Playing against Karstens that his last year ERA was 11.05 and I think he haven't pitch this year.
5.- Better batting team (much much better)
Both team advantages and disadvantages:
1.- Pitts Winning % .463 more of what I need to bet a team but they have play against 4 teams with less than .500 winning % in the last 2 weeks and they get swept in a 4 games vs Colorado (.445) and 3 against San diego (.385)
I think the better bet here in this series will be the Cubs team Over or Run Line -1.5
I don't doubt that Pitts get a winning game here but I will not risk my money in this situation, I prefer not to win $9 dlls in this series that loosing $63 or more.
Good luck what ever you decide. I will post the other plays at 12:00 PST
Comments are more than welcome
2 MIGHT WANT TO ADD THAT PITTSBURGH LOST 2 STARTERS AND A TOP RELIEVER AND GOT BACK CRAP IN RETURN..THAT WOULD CERTAINLY BE CONSIDERED A NEGATIVE AND I'M SURE MORALE IS LOW...
LIKE THE CUBS OVER AND CUBS RL AS THE SOLID PLAYS..THANKS FOR THE GREAT INSIGHT..WISH I'D GET THE BALLS AND BRAINS TO PLAY THOSE +1.5 -175 LINES..CONTINUED SUCCESS :toast:
LIKE THE CUBS OVER AND CUBS RL AS THE SOLID PLAYS..THANKS FOR THE GREAT INSIGHT..WISH I'D GET THE BALLS AND BRAINS TO PLAY THOSE +1.5 -175 LINES..CONTINUED SUCCESS :toast:
I use this " teams with >=.580 and <=.380" to take a double check in that particular series. Then I take in consideration all the facts that involve the series like pitching match ups, winning streak, loosing streak, trades, injuries and many other things, then I take my decision. The best opportunity for Pittsburgh to win with a +1.5 game is in the first and second games but too risky.
Hope I answer your question, if not let me know
Winning Days +2
YTD $+282
32-0
A = 24-8
B = 7-1
C = 1-0
We PASS on Pitts series
Here are today's "A" games
San Francisco Giants 1-August-2008 7:05 PM PST
Run Line -1.5 for Game +138
Risking 3.00 to Win 4.14 USD
San Francisco Giants 1-August-2008 7:05 PM PST
Money Line for Game -122
Risking 7.32 to Win 6.00 USD
Chicago White Sox 1-August-2008 5:10 PM PST
Run Line -1.5 for Game +118
Risking 3.00 to Win 3.54 USD
Chicago White Sox 1-August-2008 5:10 PM PST
Money Line for Game -132
Risking 7.92 to Win 6.00 USD
Cleveland Indians 1-August-2008 5:10 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -140
Risking 12.60 to Win 9.00 USD
I will let my friend to post tomorrow's games in case we lost any "A" games. I will be traveling in bus for 20 hours :s (that's what happen when you don't have money to pay for a flight):neenee:
Good Luck everyone
uke1:
Thanks Novato,hope the other plays will turn as good as PIT could have been today..wishing you safe ride,hope to see you back here asap.20 hrs on a bus can really make one sick.damn i feel for you,hope the roads at least not too bad and not some old bus..LOL
Take care and enjoy your social event up/down there
Take care and enjoy your social event up/down there
Looking at the Minn/Cle game. We may have made a poor choice. I broke the rules of engagement and established a winning percentage for home teams playing at home and same for road teams playing on the road. Minn at home is .649 and Cle on the road is .346. These 2 teams met on July 4,5 and 6. Minny took the first 2 as a -140 favorite the first by 9 and second by 6. Cle came back and won the last by 1 run as a -135 favorite so that also would have been a lose by the -1.5 run line.
They also faced each other on 7-25,26 and 27 at Cle. At that time the tables were different as Cle at home is about .550 where Minn on the road is .430. In that case Cle won the first game 5-4 as -210 favorite so the system would have won on the +1.5 run line. Cle then lost the next 2 out right.
Just offering some fuel to help everyone make the right decision.
They also faced each other on 7-25,26 and 27 at Cle. At that time the tables were different as Cle at home is about .550 where Minn on the road is .430. In that case Cle won the first game 5-4 as -210 favorite so the system would have won on the +1.5 run line. Cle then lost the next 2 out right.
Just offering some fuel to help everyone make the right decision.
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Amazing Greenchris that was what I was thinking. The other thing I was thinking was with such a good week and a minor set back with Cle to skip the whole thing. There will be bigger fish to fry. Might take the run line on that SF game though. I just don't make multiple wagers on the same game. One way or the other and yesterday it was the other.
I like the way novato does his business. I can see a good team forming here.
I like the way novato does his business. I can see a good team forming here.
