Top fantasy prospects for 2012
Opportunity is a key factor when determining the top fantasy prospects for this season
By Kevin Goldstein
Baseball Prospectus
The assignment: Determine the top 100 rookies for 2012 fantasy purposes.
The challenge: This is a complete change in the way I usually look at things.
As somebody who focuses on prospects, scouting and player development for a living, my entire existence revolves around the future. This list, however, is about now, and for good reason. But for rookies, now is often not the prettiest of pictures.
<offer>There's a reason for that. Major League Baseball is hard. Insanely difficult, actually. There are always a handful of immensely talented superstars who can hit the ground running, but those are the extreme exceptions. Most players struggle in their first exposure to big league hitting and pitching. Most players have holes in their game exposed for the first time, and need to make adjustments.</offer>
For instance, let's look at players who made their major league debuts in 2011. Only two, Eric Hosmer and Eric Thames, reached double digits in home runs. Hosmer and Jemile Weeks were the only players to collect 100 or more hits. Other than Hosmer's 78 RBIs, no other player who debuted in 2011 had even 40. On the mound, only Zach Britton and Josh Collmenter won 10 or more games, and Collmenter and Michael Pineda were the only ones to reach triple digits in strikeouts. As for saves, you had Javy Guerra come out of nowhere to rack up 21 of them, but Eduardo Sanchez was the only other player with more than one.
The point is, it's difficult to expect much from rookies from the get-go. As such, much like previous top fantasy prospect lists, these rankings can be more about projected big league playing time than actual talent. Also, you'll notice that many of the names you see toward the top of these rankings are international players, including much-hyped Cuban outfielder Yoenis Cespedes, who landed in Oakland, and the influx of pitchers we saw come over from Asia this offseason.
<offer>As with previous lists, to be eligible for inclusion, a player must meet rookie of the year eligibility requirements (thus no Brett Lawrie or Bryan LaHair). Plenty of players in the Top 100 have already made their big league debuts, but they're still technically major league rookies. Also, the rankings are for 5x5 leagues with traditional roto rules.</offer>
Realizing that many of you play in keeper leagues, I've also addressed the long-term value of these players in their writeup. That affords me the opportunity to discuss a player's future. For instance, I note that Cardinals right-hander Shelby Miller, who is ranked toward the bottom for 2012 (he appears to be in line for little more than a September call-up), should still be near the top of everyone's list of young pitchers.
With that, here are the Top 50 prospects, with Nos. 51-100 still to come …
Top 50 fantasy prospects for 2012
For instance, let's look at players who made their major league debuts in 2011. Only two, Eric Hosmer and Eric Thames, reached double digits in home runs. Hosmer and Jemile Weeks were the only players to collect 100 or more hits. Other than Hosmer's 78 RBIs, no other player who debuted in 2011 had even 40. On the mound, only Zach Britton and Josh Collmenter won 10 or more games, and Collmenter and Michael Pineda were the only ones to reach triple digits in strikeouts. As for saves, you had Javy Guerra come out of nowhere to rack up 21 of them, but Eduardo Sanchez was the only other player with more than one.
The point is, it's difficult to expect much from rookies from the get-go. As such, much like previous top fantasy prospect lists, these rankings can be more about projected big league playing time than actual talent. Also, you'll notice that many of the names you see toward the top of these rankings are international players, including much-hyped Cuban outfielder Yoenis Cespedes, who landed in Oakland, and the influx of pitchers we saw come over from Asia this offseason.
<offer>As with previous lists, to be eligible for inclusion, a player must meet rookie of the year eligibility requirements (thus no Brett Lawrie or Bryan LaHair). Plenty of players in the Top 100 have already made their big league debuts, but they're still technically major league rookies. Also, the rankings are for 5x5 leagues with traditional roto rules.</offer>
Realizing that many of you play in keeper leagues, I've also addressed the long-term value of these players in their writeup. That affords me the opportunity to discuss a player's future. For instance, I note that Cardinals right-hander Shelby Miller, who is ranked toward the bottom for 2012 (he appears to be in line for little more than a September call-up), should still be near the top of everyone's list of young pitchers.
With that, here are the Top 50 prospects, with Nos. 51-100 still to come …
Top 50 fantasy prospects for 2012
1. Jesus Montero, C/DH, Mariners
Background: Montero has been a household name for many Yankees fans since he signed out of Venezuela as a 16-year-old in 2006. Since then, he has become one of the top hitters in the minors, posting a .308/.366/.501 triple-slash line in his minor league career despite constantly being young for the level he was playing at. He seemed to regress a bit last year, but that was a product of being frustrated by repeating a level and feeling stuck at Triple-A, and he proceeded to shine once he got the big league call.
What he can do: Flat-out hit. Montero is a good bet to be the Mariners' best hitter immediately, which is both an indictment of the Seattle offense and a realistic belief that the rookie can hit around .280 with 20-25 home runs this season. There is no speed aspect to his game.
Playing-time situation: Montero's trade to Seattle made his fantasy value soar. Not only do the Mariners plan on playing him every day and having him hit in the middle of their lineup, but he'll also get the chance to catch games, which was not going to happen with the Yankees. Montero would be a good fantasy pick as merely a designated hitter, but catcher qualification would make him a monster.
Long-term value: Just 22, Montero is good now, with plenty of room for improvement. Seattle's home park will never help his numbers, but he should put up star-level offensive numbers for the next decade.
2. Yu Darvish, SP, Rangers
Background: One of the best pitchers in the history of the Japan League, Darvish not only had his best season in 2011, but he did it while preparing to pitch in the major leagues, pitching on shorter rest and adding 20-plus pounds to his 6-foot-5 frame. His 2011 statistics look like video-game numbers: 1.44 ERA, 276 strikeouts in 232 innings and a 0.83 WHIP.
What he can do: To compare Darvish to other pitchers who have come to the U.S. with mixed results is inaccurate, if not outright lazy. Darvish is unlike any pitcher to sign out of Japan; no pitcher has come from there more equipped to pitch in the majors. He should be an above-average pitcher across the board immediately.
Playing-time situation: None. Darvish needs no time in the minors, and the Rangers didn't spend more than $100 million dollars to bring him along slowly.
Long-term value: While Darvish will be plenty good in 2012, he should only get better from there, and some scouts believe he could end up as a true ace.
3. Matt Moore, SP, Rays
Background: One of the best scouting finds in recent years, Moore, an eighth-round pick, led the minor leagues in strikeouts in 2009 and 2010, and has a minor league career rate of 12.7 whiffs per nine innings. It took all of 9 1/3 major league innings and one eye-popping playoff start against Texas for the Rays to be sold on him; they locked him up potentially through the 2019 season.
What he can do: He's the best left-handed pitching prospect in recent memory, with easy upper-90s gas, a vicious breaking ball and a good changeup. His control has improved each year, and he's ready to be a dominant pitcher right now. The only thing that could get in the way is an innings limit, not to mention the tough schedule that comes with playing in the American League East.
Playing-time situation: The Rays have a crowded rotation situation, but Moore is too good to be the odd man out.
Long-term value: No pitcher in these rankings is more likely to win multiple Cy Young Awards.
4. Yoenis Cespedes, OF, Athletics
Background: Scouts have been drooling over Cespedes' tools for years, and a viral video of his training exploits made the Cuban defector a household name. The A's surprised many teams by winning the bidding war for him; they did so by offering the 26-year-old a contract that allows him to become a free agent at age 30.
What he can do: Cespedes has the well-above-average power and the speed to produce regular 20/20 seasons, and some scouts think that's the low end of his power potential. The question is how much he'll contribute in the batting average department. A big strikeout rate will always be a part of his game, and he might peak as a .260 hitter.
Playing-time situation: In terms of getting at-bats, no team is better for Cespedes than the A's. With the team in rebuilding mode, Cespedes has an excellent shot at being in the majors on Opening Day, whereas he would have spent a month or two at Triple-A with other clubs.
Long-term value: This will be a year of adjustments, both on and off the field, for Cespedes. That cultural acclimation, as well as the "swing-and-miss" in his game, provide some fantasy risk regarding Cespedes, but his upside is undeniable.
5. Addison Reed, RP, White Sox
Background: A third-round pick in 2010, Reed first caught the eyes of scouts when he closed for Stephen Strasburg at San Diego State. He proceeded to advance from low Class A to the majors in his full-season debut while striking out 111 and walking just 14 in 78 1/3 innings, with a 1.26 ERA.
What he can do: Reed has pure closer stuff, including a plus-plus fastball/slider combination. But what makes him special is his ability to throw strikes with both pitches. Combine those skills with the fact that the White Sox traded away their closer in the offseason and you have the rare opportunity for rookie saves.
Playing-time situation: Reed will almost certainly break camp with the White Sox, but there's no telling when he'll actually slide into the closer role.
Long-term value: Reed has the potential to be not only a major league closer, but an elite one.
6. Zack Cozart, SS, Reds
Background: When the Reds selected Cozart in the second round of the 2007 draft, it was more for his glove than his bat. Once his offensive game finally developed, he was ready to take over as the Reds' starting shortstop. He was called up in July 2011 to replace the offensively nonexistent Paul Janish, but an elbow injury ended his first big league campaign after only 11 games. Thus he maintains rookie status, and sits comfortably on this list.
What he can do: While Cozart is still not an especially adept hitter, he has developed the secondary skills to give him unique value considering the position he plays. While he might hit just .250, how many shortstops can give you 15 stolen bases and 15 homers (with a little help from his home ballpark)?
Playing-time situation: Cozart is healthy and expected to be the every-day shortstop in Cincinnati.
Long-term value: Cozart will be in the big leagues for a long time, but he's not a player with a ton of growth potential. His inability to hit for average likely will keep him away from stardom.
7. Tyler Pastornicky, SS, Braves
Background: A fifth-round pick by the Blue Jays in 2008, Pastornicky arrived in Atlanta as part of the Yunel Escobar trade, and now he's ready to take over the position Escobar once held. The 22-year-old hit .314/.359/.414 across two levels last year to prove to the Braves he's ready.
What he can do: Pastornicky is not a future star, but his speed gives him fantasy value. His .260 average and five home runs is nothing special, but Pastornicky has stolen 119 bases over the past three minor league seasons. You can reasonably expect 25-30 steals from him in 2012.
Playing-time situation: There is no competition for Pastornicky, especially now that insurance policy Jack Wilson is injured.
Long-term value: Pastornicky should have a career as a second-division starter, but he's also the kind of fill-in shortstop teams will employ until they find something better.
8. Yonder Alonso, 1B, Padres
Background: When the Reds selected Alonso with the seventh overall pick in the 2008 draft, many wondered why the team would take Alonso when it already had a superstar first baseman in Joey Votto. But prospects can also provide trade value for a big league team, and Alonso ended up being quite valuable in that regard, helping the Reds acquire Mat Latos.
What he can do: Alonso is ranked here mostly because he's going to be the every-day first baseman for the Padres. He's a good hitter -- he could hit immediately at a .280 pace -- but scouts have always wondered about his power, and he has done little to alleviate those concerns by hitting just 16 homers per 500 at-bats in the minor leagues. He has on-base skills and should accumulate some counting statistics, but between his home ballpark and his lineup, don't expect too much in the runs and RBI categories.
Playing-time situation: Jesus Guzman had a nice campaign in 2011, but the Padres just traded away their best pitcher to get Alonso, and no doubt are eager to show off their shiny new toy.
Long-term value: Alonso's pure hitting ability could develop to the point where he is a consistent .300 hitter, but even if the power comes around, will we ever realize it with him playing in San Diego?
9. Bryce Harper, OF, Nationals
Background: Um, you might have heard of this guy. Arguably the most hyped prospect in the history of baseball, Harper was as good as, if not better than, advertised in his pro debut in 2011, showing hitting ability, insane raw power and quickly taking to the outfield.
What he can do: Power is Harper's calling card, and while he could be a consistent 40-homer player in his prime, he's anything but one-dimensional. He's also a superior athlete who could provide as many as 20 stolen bases per season early in his career. There are wide-ranging debates regarding his ability to hit for average, but the floor is good, and the ceiling is great.
Playing-time situation: This ranking of Harper is a hedge. Nats manager Davey Johnson has indicated he'd like to see Harper in the majors from Day One in 2012, yet the kid is still just 19 and has just 37 games above A-ball under his belt. He's going to be a superstar, but when that begins is still a bit up in the air.
Long-term value: Harper has the skills and upside to be a perennial MVP candidate.
10. Hisashi Iwakuma, SP, Mariners
Background: A star in Japan, Iwakuma and the A's could not come to an agreement following the 2010 season. As it turned out, he ended up with less money from the Mariners after having some injury issues in 2011. His career ERA is 2.67 in 113 starts for Rakuten.
What he can do: At 6-foot-3, Iwakuma brings a big league body to the States, and while he's an extreme strike-thrower, he has good stuff, too. He can get into the low 90s with his fastball, but his best pitch is an impressive upper-80s splitter with plenty of life. Home games in Seattle will help his numbers, and his control will keep the WHIP down. However, he wasn't a big strikeout pitcher in Japan, averaging seven Ks per nine, and if he slips below six per nine with the Mariners, he likely will give up too many hits.
Playing-time situation: Iwakuma is guaranteed a spot in the middle of the Mariners' rotation.
Long-term value: Iwakuma turns 31 in April, and just signed a one-year deal, so he is a short-term play for now.
11. Devin Mesoraco, C, Reds
Background: The Reds' first-round pick in 2007, Mesoraco was starting to hear whispers of a bust label following two uninspiring minor league seasons. But he improved his conditioning, had a breakout 2010 and proved it was for real in 2011 en route to reaching the big leagues.
What he can do: Mesoraco is a rare fantasy commodity as a catcher who can hit, and hit for power. In 190 games at the upper levels of the Reds' system, he has hit .286 with 31 home runs, and the scouting reports match those numbers.
Playing-time situation: For a catcher who has the potential to hit .270 with 20 home runs, Mesoraco could rank higher, but all indications are that he will be eased into the starting role by sharing playing time with Ryan Hanigan.
Long-term value: Mesoraco is the Reds' catcher of the future, and a potential All-Star down the road.
12. Leonys Martin, OF, Rangers
Background: While he came to the States with nowhere near the hype of Yoenis Cespedes, Martin was the big Cuban free agent a year ago at this time, ultimately signing in May for a total package worth more than $15 million. After a blistering start to his career at Double-A, Martin scuffled a bit following a promotion to the Pacific Coast League but still managed to get the big league call late in 2011.
What he can do: Martin doesn't have Cespedes' power, but he can hit for average, and while he's not a pure burner, he has enough speed to steal 25-plus bases per season. He hit just four home runs in 73 minor league games last year, but many scouts are convinced he has more power than that.
Playing-time situation: The Rangers' plan is for Martin to begin the 2012 season back at Triple-A, but neither Craig Gentry nor Julio Borbon present much of a roadblock; at minimum, Martin should be up by July. However, things could get dicey from that point. He could have a breakout season, or he could collapse at the big league level and expedite his timetable.
Long-term value: Once he gets established, Martin should be a solid major league center fielder, providing fantasy owners with stolen bases and possibly a bit of power.
13. Trevor Bauer, SP, Diamondbacks
Background: While he earned notice at UCLA for his unique workouts and warmup routine, no college pitcher in the country came anywhere close to matching Bauer on a statistical level. He finished his junior year with a 1.25 ERA in 136 2/3 innings, with 203 strikeouts and just 36 walks.
What he can do: Bauer was the most big league-ready player in the 2011 draft, and he struck out 43 batters over 25 2/3 innings in his pro debut split between High-A and Double-A. Not only does he throw strikes, he throws four above-average pitches, including a low-to-mid-90s fastball that touches 97 mph, two quality breaking balls and an advanced changeup. He often threw 140-plus pitches per outing in college, and is the definition of a rubber arm.
Playing-time situation: As I write this, there are no openings in the Diamondbacks rotation. Still, Bauer is better than Joe Saunders, and he's also better than Josh Collmenter, who is an outstanding candidate for regression.
Long-term value: While Bauer will have to force his way into the rotation, it shouldn't take long for him to establish himself atop a rotation that includes Daniel Hudson and Ian Kennedy, who combined for 37 wins in 2011.
14. Anthony Rizzo, 1B, Cubs
Background: Where Jed Hoyer and Jason McLeod go, Rizzo goes. Drafted by the Red Sox and then traded to the Padres, Hoyer made him the Cubs' first baseman of the future by trading Andrew Cashner for him. Rizzo's 2011 campaign was among the strangest in baseball; he had arguably the best numbers in the minor leagues, then hit a disturbing .141/.281/.242 in 128 at bats for the Padres.
What he can do: Rizzo can hit for average and power, and until his disastrous stint in San Diego, he was doing both for the first time at Triple-A. At the same time, the offensive environment at Triple-A Reno produced some bad swing habits that will need to be corrected; he needs to focus more on contact and allow his strength to help him, as opposed to looking to hit home runs.
Playing-time situation: The Cubs have made it clear that Bryan LaHair is their Opening Day first baseman. As such, Rizzo will begin 2012 working out the kinks in a more neutral environment at Triple-A Iowa. But he could be ready by midseason, and his arrival likely would kick LaHair to the outfield.
Long-term value: Rizzo projects as an above-average first baseman, which gives him plenty of value, though not everyone is convinced he'll be a star.
15. Wei-Yin Chen, SP, Orioles
Background: Chen, a native of Taiwan, has been a solid pitcher in Japan. His 1.54 ERA in 2009 was the lowest in nearly 40 years before Yu Darvish's most recent campaign. However, he's coming off his worst season on a peripheral level; his strikeout rate dipped while he tried to pitch through a leg injury.
What he can do: While Chen is a slightly built left-hander, he can get into the low 90s with his fastball and has shown a plus slider in the past, although the pitch was less sharp in 2011. A healthy version of Chen should be a solid but unspectacular starter in the big leagues with a good WHIP thanks to a very low walk rate.
Playing-time situation: The Orioles signed Chen to be a part of their rotation. Period.
Long-term value: The three-year contract with Baltimore should cover Chen's prime. He'll be the O's No. 4 starter.
16. Mike Trout, OF, Angels
Background: Almost from the point he became a pro, Trout has been leaving scouts wondering how he lasted 25 picks into the 2009 draft. He has a career line of .338/.422/.508 in 266 minor league games, and while he has struggled there at times, he still managed to reach the major leagues at the age of 19.
What he can do: Everything. He can hit for average, he can hit for power, he can draw walks, and he can steal plenty of bases with his top-of-the-line speed.
Playing-time situation: Trout's 2012 season is in many ways completely out of his hands. The Angels reportedly don't want him to begin the year in the big leagues without the ability to play every day, so he'll start the year at Triple-A Salt Lake. The two best scenarios for Trout to return to Anaheim: 1) The team is competitive; and/or 2) continued struggles from Vernon Wells. Both scenarios are distinct possibilities.
Long-term value: Trout's all-around ability (ie. his steals) makes him the best long-term fantasy prospect on this list, even though there is a risk that he'll end up losing a touch of speed as the power grows. Think more 25/25 than 20/40.
17. Drew Pomeranz, SP, Rockies
Background: Pomeranz, the fifth overall pick in the 2010 draft, was one of the top statistical performers in the minors in the first half of the 2011 season, as he had a 1.87 ERA with 95 strikeouts in 77 innings for High-A Kinston. Shortly after earning a promotion to the upper levels, he was the key player traded to Colorado in the Ubaldo Jimenez deal, and he shut out the Reds for five innings Sept. 11 in his major league debut.
What he can do: Pomeranz brings a power package from the left side; his low-90s fastball can touch 96, and his dominating power curve was generally considered the best breaking ball in the 2010 draft. All of this comes from an intimidating 6-foot-5 frame. The key will be the progress of his changeup, which he has rarely thrown in the minors because of his lack of confidence in the pitch.
Playing-time situation: While it sounds like the kind of cliché you hear every spring, Pomeranz improved his conditioning in the offseason, and the Rockies expect him to break camp in the big leagues. Beyond preparing him physically, they've placed his locker next to Jamie Moyer's for a bit of mentorship. Colorado pitchers are always a cause for concern to fantasy owners, but Pomeranz is going to get innings, and therefore strikeouts, with an ERA that should be at least manageable.
Long-term value: Pomeranz is expected to develop into a front-of-the-rotation starter, but the Coors Field factor will always be in play.
18. Jacob Turner, SP, Tigers
Background: Despite being the ninth overall pick in the 2009 draft, Turner's numbers have never been overly impressive. He has been rushed through the system, including a cup of coffee in the big leagues last July just two months after his 20th birthday.
What he can do: Turner is exceptionally polished for his age. His best pitch is an excellent curveball, but he also has a power arm. His fastball sits in the low 90s and can touch 95 mph, and his changeup is advanced for his age. The fact that he held his own in the majors last year speaks volumes about his talent.
Playing-time situation: The Tigers went after a variety of starters in the offseason, most notably Matt Garza, but came up empty, so Turner will battle this spring for the final slot in Detroit's rotation. Many feel he needs at least another half a season at Triple-A, and this ranking reflects that. If he wins the job, he'd shoot up these rankings while pitching for a team with an offense that could give him some cheap wins.
Long-term value: Turner's career is just beginning; he could develop into a star-level starting pitcher in the next 3-5 years.
19. Brad Peacock, SP, Athletics
Background: A 41st-round pick by the Nationals in 2006, Peacock toiled away in relative obscurity before the 2010 season, when he added significant velocity to his strike-throwing ways. After going 15-3 with a 2.39 ERA and nearly 11 strikeouts per nine innings in the minors last year, he was traded to Oakland as part of the package that netted Gio Gonzalez in return.
What he can do: Peacock's best pitch is a fastball that sits in the low 90s and can touch 95 mph, and if the velocity isn't enough, the pitch is that much better thanks to his ability to locate it. He's not going to be a huge strikeout guy in the majors, more of a 6-7 per nine innings pitcher rather than 11 per nine. But his ability to keep the walks count down gives him value, and pitching in Oakland makes every pitcher better.
Playing-time situation: The A's are in rebuilding mode (again), and with Gonzalez and Trevor Cahill out of the picture, there are plenty of openings in the Oakland rotation. Peacock is expected to assume one of those openings without the need of any more minor league seasoning.
Long-term value: Peacock should settle in as a middle-of-the-rotation starter and post a respectable WHIP.
20. Chris Carter, 1B/DH, Athletics
Background: Carter has been one of the best power hitters in the minors for years, smacking 144 homers over the past five seasons with an average of one per 16.6 at-bats. While he has a career OPS of .919 in the minors, he has looked awful in a pair of big league cups of coffee, hitting just .167 with 41 strikeouts in 114 at-bats.
What he can do: Carter can hit balls a long way, but he also has to, as it's the grand sum of his skills. He can't run, and he doesn't have a position home other than first base (or designated hitter), so if he doesn't produce offensively, he has no value. The good news is that despite the ugly showings in Oakland, scouts still believe in him, and it's important to note that right-handed power hitters often take extra time to figure things out.
Playing-time situation: This year represents Carter's best opportunity for playing time. After trying to figure out if he can play third base or left field, with disastrous results, Oakland might reverse course and just ask him to hit in the DH role, where his only competition is what's left of Jonny Gomes.
Long-term value: This could be a make-or-break season for Carter; if it doesn't happen for him this year, it might never. If it does, he could become a valuable source of power to any fantasy owner.
21. Brett Jackson, OF, Cubs
Background: Jackson, the 31st overall pick in the 2009 draft, entered professional baseball with the reputation of an outstanding tools player who strikes out too much. Now on the verge of the big leagues, he is generally seen by scouts as an outstanding tools player … who still strikes out too much.
What he can do: Jackson provides plenty of excitement both on the field and on a fantasy level. He had 20 home runs and 21 stolen bases last year in just 115 games split between Double-A and Triple-A. The question is just how much he's going to hit. His .297/.388/.551 line in 48 Triple-A games last year created quite a stir, but with 64 whiffs in 185 at-bats, there are indications that there was a lot of luck involved and that high a batting average is unsustainable.
Playing-time situation: While the Cubs were tempted to bring up Jackson last year, they want him to work on his contact issues at Triple-A Iowa, and there is currently no room for him on the big league roster. A Marlon Byrd trade could change that, but if Jackson makes strides during the first half of the season, the Cubs will bring him up regardless of their outfield situation.
Long-term value: While he'll never compete for a batting title, power/speed combinations are fantasy gold, and Jackson's 20/20 season in 2011 shouldn't be his last.
22. Tsuyoshi Wada, SP/RP, Orioles
Background: Wada didn't become a big performer in Japan until 2010, when he went 17-8 with a 3.14 ERA for Softbank. In 2011, he sliced his ERA in half (to 1.51), although it's worth noting that the game changed dramatically over there with the new balls the league used. He signed a two-year deal (with an option) with the Orioles over the offseason.
What he can do: Wada is not a "stuff" guy; he is an undersized left-hander who depends on deception and location. His fastball sits in the upper 80s, but he can split it or cut it and rarely throws it straight. His slider and changeup are both quality offerings, but there are legit questions about how his smoke-and-mirrors act will do on baseball's biggest stage.
Playing-time situation: While Chen seems assured of a spot in the rotation, Wada is simply guaranteed a roster spot. Much could come down to how Brian Matusz looks this spring, and Wada could end up as anything from a No. 5 starter to a swingman to a middle reliever.
Long-term value: At 31, there is no growth coming in Wada's game; the only improvements will be based on his ability to adjust.
23. Julio Teheran, SP, Braves
Background: Teheran was the best pitcher on the international market when he signed out of Colombia in 2007, and he rapidly has become one of the best pitching prospects in the game. He put up a 15-3 record and 2.55 ERA at Triple-A in 2011 as a 20-year-old but struggled in a trio of fill-in starts for the Braves.
What he can do: Teheran is one of the few prospects in the game with true ace potential. He has 92-96 mph heat with explosive life and advanced command and control. His changeup is good, bordering on great, but he scuffled with his curveball with the Braves; that pitch still needs plenty of refinement.
Playing-time situation: Teheran won't break camp with the Braves; he'll need an injury for an opportunity. But those nearly always come at some point, and he also has the ability to pitch well enough to simply force the Braves' hand.
Long-term value: Don't let Teheran's 2011 big league showing scare you away. This is a player who might still be six years away from peaking, and he's a must-grab in any keeper league.
24. Tyler Skaggs, SP, Diamondbacks
Background: A supplemental first-round pick in 2009, Skaggs was a highly projectable left-hander when he was traded by the Angels to Arizona as part of the Dan Haren exchange. In 2011, much of that projection became reality, as he not only reached Double-A as a teenager, but he put up a 2.50 ERA with 73 strikeouts in 57 2/3 innings.
What he can do: Scouts always believed Skaggs would eventually throw harder, and now he does, sitting in the low 90s and touching 94 mph. That gives him a plus pitch, but it's hardly his best. His curveball is the best in the system, and among the best in all of the minors. Despite his age and long levers, he has a consistent delivery and well-above-average control.
Playing-time situation: This is where things get complicated. Skaggs has the ability to reach the big leagues this year, but there are no clear paths for him now, and teammate Trevor Bauer is ahead of him in the pecking order. Even in short bursts, he still could be a key late-season pickup.
Long-term value: His floor is as a good No. 3 starter, but many scouts see stardom in Skaggs, and a select few even see a possible ace.
25. Randall Delgado, SP, Braves
Background: The Braves regularly sign a number of players out of non-traditional Latin American countries, and Delgado is one of their prizes from Panama. While his minor league numbers were not as impressive as the aforementioned Teheran's, he performed far better in the big leagues down the stretch.
What he can do: One scout compares Delgado to a more physical version of Jair Jurrjens. He doesn't have Jurrjens' command, but he does throw a bit harder (91-95 mph) and has a very good changeup. He's not a future superstar, but he has the stuff and strike-throwing ability to be a rotation mainstay.
Playing-time situation: Barring an unforeseen disaster, Mike Minor will be the Braves' No. 5 starter in 2012, leaving Delgado to battle Teheran at Triple-A for the next guy to get the call should a need arise. Unlike Teheran, Delgado is also a possible candidate for a short-term role in the bullpen.
Long-term value: Delgado lacks Teheran's upside, but he should settle in nicely as a No. 3 starter.
26. Welington Castillo, C, Cubs
Background: Castillo has been in the Cubs' system for six years, and his development has been slowed by injuries. But he has made slow and steady progress over the years, and finally broke out in 2011 with a .287/.359/.516 line at Triple-A Iowa.
What he can do: Castillo offers more offense at catcher than your average bear. His aggressive approach and tendency to strike out will keep his average down, and he runs, well, like a catcher, but he has above-average power for the position and could hit 15-20 home runs per season in a full-time role.
Playing-time situation: Castillo will open the year as a backup to Geovany Soto, but with the Cubs in rebuilding mode and Soto heading to free agency in two years, a trade that provides Castillo with more at-bats is a distinct possibility, and it would up his value significantly.
Long-term value: Castillo holds the title of Cubs catcher of the future for now, but that's almost by default.
27. Tommy Milone, SP, Athletics
Background: A 10th-round pick in 2008, Milone has spent his entire minor league career putting up impressive numbers while leaving scouts unimpressed. He has proved his doubters wrong by continuing to produce at every level, and he even held his own in five big league starts in 2011.
What he can do: Milone is all about throwing strikes; over his past two minor league seasons, he has 310 strikeouts and just 39 walks in 306 1/3 innings. The scouts' concerns revolve around his lack of stuff, as his fastball averages 88 mph and rarely tops 90. His slider and changeup are both solid, but he's not going to miss a lot of bats in the big leagues, so his fantasy value will come more from WHIP than whiffs.
Playing-time situation: Milone, who was traded by the Nationals to Oakland as part of the Gio Gonzalez deal, will get every opportunity to earn an Opening Day slot in the A's rotation, but he also could be the most expandable when Dallas Braden and/or Brett Anderson return from their respective surgeries.
Long-term value: Milone's ability to survive as a back-of-the-rotation starter despite his soft-tossing ways is inspiring, but it also sets a cap on his fantasy value.
28. Josh Donaldson, 3B/C, Athletics
Background: A supplemental first-round pick by the Cubs in 2007, Donaldson was the strange combination of catcher and third baseman in college, and while he has focused on his backstop skills in the minors, he hasn't completely ignored the hot corner while hitting 35 home runs over the past two seasons at Triple-A Sacramento.
What he can do: Donaldson is not a future star, but he could be a cheap fantasy find who has some power and can steal a handful of bases. The biggest concern on a fantasy level is his ability to hit for average; he's only a career .268 hitter in the minors.
Playing-time situation: Scott Sizemore's season-ending injury early in camp created a huge hole at third base, and barring a trade, Donaldson is the best bet to assume the job. No player's ranking has moved up higher in the days leading up to this list being published.
Long-term value: While Donaldson had a great opportunity fall in his lap under unfortunate circumstances, his peak is as a second-division starter.
29. Nolan Arenado, 3B, Rockies
Background: A second-round pick in 2009, Arenado has not surprised anyone by hitting well in the minors. What impresses scouts is the improvement he has made defensively. Once seen as the team's first baseman of the future, Arenado might just stick at third base, which does wonders for his value.
What he can do: Arenado is a career .302/.346/.483 hitter in the minors, and what makes him a unique talent is his steady power production combined with a very low strikeout rate. Star-level seasons with a .300 batting average and 20 home runs per season are not out of the question with this guy.
Playing-time situation: While Arenado has yet to play above A-ball, a stunning showing in last year's Arizona Fall League has the Rockies believing he could arrive in short order. The team jettisoned Ian Stewart to the Cubs and signed Casey Blake as a stop-gap measure, but a hot start for Arenado at Double-A Tulsa could lead to a valuable second half of the season.
Long-term value: Arenado would be among the top long-term offensive prospects in any system, and Coors Field will make him even better.
30. Danny Hultzen, SP, Mariners
Background: The second overall pick in the 2011 draft, Hultzen had a remarkable junior year at Virginia, finishing the year with a 1.37 ERA and 165 strikeouts in 118 innings, without a single clunker in 18 starts. He signed too late to make his official debut, but he limited the advanced hitters of the Arizona Fall League to a .225 batting average.
What he can do: Hultzen has no weaknesses in his game. His fastball, breaking ball and changeup are all above-average, as are his command and control. If there are any issues with the lefty, it's what he isn't. While most scouts agree he'll be a fine starter, few see him turning into an ace.
Playing-time situation: Barring some kind of Mike Leake-esque breakthrough, Hultzen will begin the year in the minors, but he could be ready for the Mariners by the All-Star break or earlier.
Long-term value: Hultzen should quickly become the second-best pitcher for the Mariners behind King Felix, and his home park will help his fantasy numbers.
31. Ryan Lavarnway, C, Red Sox
Background: Just on the basis of his two home runs against the Orioles on Sept. 27 of last year, Lavarnway is already the best position player ever drafted out of Yale, but the 2008 sixth-round pick has always hit. He has a .284/.376/.521 triple-slash line in his minor league career, and he's coming off a monster 2011 campaign that included a .612 slugging percentage and 18 home runs in 227 at-bats at Triple-A Pawtucket.
What he can do: The only thing keeping Lavarnway from becoming a fantasy beast is something that has nothing to do with fantasy: his defense. He has outstanding offensive ability -- he could hit 20-25 home runs per year -- but some scouts wonder whether wa major league team can afford to put him behind the plate every day.
Playing-time situation: With the Red Sox platooning Jarrod Saltalamacchia and Kelly Shoppach, Lavarnway has no immediate opening in Boston. However, everything from injuries to ineffectiveness to him simply hitting enough to force a decision should lead to more big league at-bats.
Long-term value: If he can improve defensively, he could have plenty of long-term value. As a fantasy first baseman or DH/utility option, he's merely average.
32. Jordan Pacheco, C/3B, Rockies
Background: Drafted in 2007 as a middle infielder, Pacheco lacked the athleticism to play up the middle, but his arm was always strong, and the Rockies moved him to catcher in 2008. He has improved behind the plate to the point of being acceptable, and is a career .303 hitter in the minors.
What he can do: Pacheco's ability to catch and play any infield position but shortstop gives him -- and the team -- plenty of options. He hit .286 in 84 at-bats in his big league debut last year, and there's no reason to think he can't continue at that level. The downside is that he doesn't offer much power, and he's not going to steal any bases.
Playing-time situation: Pacheco is all but a lock to break camp as a "super-sub" for the Rockies, which also means he could get every-day at-bats at multiple positions should the need arise.
Long-term value: While Pacheco will be a valuable utility player in 2011, that's likely his ceiling.
33. Todd Frazier, OF/IF, Reds
Background: Frazier has been in the spotlight for a long time; he led his team to a Little League World Series title in 1998. A supplemental first-round pick in 2007, Frazier has made a slow but steady climb through the system while dealing with numerous position switches.
What he can do: Frazier can do a little bit of everything. Batting average could be an issue, as his career average at Triple-A is just .262, but in 90 games there last year, he compiled 15 home runs and 17 stolen bases. He won't be that kind of speed threat in the big leagues but should at least contribute in the category. He played five positions for Cincinnati last year, and for leagues in which just one game can provide position eligibility, he can be an emergency shortstop.
Playing-time situation: Frazier will battle for a bench job this spring, and his versatility helps his cause.
Long-term value: There are still some scouts who see Frazier as a potential second-division starter at third base or left field, but the most likely scenario is a role as a super-sub who gets 300-plus at-bats.
34. Arodys Vizcaino, RP, Braves
Background: When the Braves traded Javier Vazquez to the Yankees, much of the return was focused on Melky Cabrera. Vizcaino was the lesser-known name at that time, but rumors are he was the player the Braves wanted most, and he reached the big leagues as a 20-year-old and pitched significant bullpen innings for the Braves down the stretch.
What he can do: Vizcaino is a bit on the small side, but he has dominating stuff. As in, the six-footer's fastball sits at 95-96 mph while touching 98. He has a decent breaking ball and even better changeup, and though he has been developed as a starter, he was moved to the bullpen to help the big league club.
Playing-time situation: Vizcaino should be part of the back end of the Braves' bullpen once again, and could put up impressive numbers, but with Craig Kimbrel and Jonny Venters around, saves are unlikely for him, thus limiting his fantasy value.
Long-term value: Vizcaino could remain a solid middle-relief guy, he could go back to starting and succeed, or he could be traded to another team and be turned into a closer. His future is bright regardless; it's just his role that is uncertain.
35. Brandon Guyer, OF, Rays
Background: Guyer was seen as more of an organizational player before a breakout campaign in 2010 in which he hit .344/.398/.588 at Double-A. Going to the Rays before the 2011 season as part of the Matt Garza deal, Guyer continued to hit in the Rays' system, though he scuffled in 41 big league at-bats in 2011.
What he can do: Guyer's value is wrapped up in his bat, but he really can hit, and his ability to crush left-handed pitching gives him value to any major league team. The bad news is that he can't play center field and he's not left-handed, two qualities teams look for in bench outfielders.
Playing-time situation: For now, Sam Fuld looks to be the Rays' extra outfielder, and while he's adorable and all and the subject of New Yorker pieces, Guyer is the better baseball player.
Long-term value: Guyer's peak is as a second-division starter, but there are few paths right now to him getting consistent playing time in Tampa.
36. Yamaico Navarro, IF/OF, Pirates
Background: Navarro's prospect status wavered with the Red Sox, and now he has become a man on the move, moving to both Kansas City and now Pittsburgh in the past seven months. His career minor league averages of .279/.348/.430 are solid for a player who can man multiple essential positions.
What he can do: Nothing about Navarro screams "star," but he's a good hitter with on-base skills, and while he's not a stolen-base threat, he does have a bit of pop; in 602 minor league at-bats over the past two years, he has 34 doubles and 18 home runs. Numbers like that won't happen in the big leagues, but he can play any infield position, as well as the corner outfield slots.
Playing-time situation: The Pirates are a perfect opportunity for Navarro. His ability to play shortstop makes him a near-lock for a roster spot, and with Clint Barmes beginning the year as a starter, there's a chance for more playing time once Pittsburgh realizes that it is playing Clint Barmes every day.
Long-term value: Navarro peaks as a second-division starter, but his ability to hit 10-plus home runs as a middle infielder makes him a good late pick in NL-only leagues.
37. Jose Ceda, RP, Marlins
Background: Traded by the Cubs to the Marlins for Kevin Gregg before the 2009 season, Ceda missed his entire first season with the Marlins because of shoulder issues, but has bounced back in style with a 1.69 minor league ERA over the past two years, while striking out 103 batters over 80 innings.
What he can do: At 6-foot-4 and somewhere in the neighborhood of 260 pounds, Ceda draws physical comparisons to Lee Smith. His fastball sits in the mid-90s and can touch 98 mph, and his slider is a quality second pitch. Still holding him back, though, are control issues; he has walked 23 in his 29 major league innings.
Playing-time situation: Ceda will have to battle for a spot in the major league bullpen, and his 2012 season, and possibly his career, will depend upon his ability to throw strikes.
Long-term value: Ceda's chance of getting regular saves in Florida vanished with the Heath Bell signing, but he could be a strikeout-generating setup man.
38. Chance Ruffin, RP, Mariners
Background: When the Tigers drafted Ruffin in the supplemental first round of the 2010 draft, the expectations were that he could get to the big leagues quickly. He did just that, and while he was technically a player to be named later, he was one of the keys to the deal that netted Doug Fister for Detroit.
What he can do: Ruffin has two plus pitches out of the bullpen. His fastball sits at 92-94 mph while touching 96, but his best offering is a nasty mid-80s slider that has already proved it can miss big league bats. He's a bit undersized, and while his stuff is good, it falls just short of closer-worthy.
Playing-time situation: Ruffin will almost certainly open the year in the majors, and with Brandon League being the subject of numerous trade rumors, there is still a chance for save opportunities to come his way.
Long-term value: He's going to be a steady reliever for a long time, but the saves might not be there.
39. Norichika Aoki, OF, Brewers
Background: One of the best pure hitters in Japan, Aoki is a career .329 hitter in five seasons for the Yakult Swallows, and he took a pay cut to come to the States, signing a two-year, incentive-laden deal worth at least $2.25 million.
What he can do: Aoki is going to hit; the question is what he will do to go with it. He has a quick bat and outstanding contact ability, but there is little power in his 5-foot-9 frame, and as he's now in his 30s, we can't count on him for steals.
Playing-time situation: Aoki was the player most affected by Ryan Braun winning his appeal, as he went from the potential every-day left fielder in Milwaukee, at least for the first 50 games of the season, to a fourth outfielder.
Long-term value: He is what he is. He's worthy of a roster spot, but there's no growth potential here.
40. Garrett Richards, SP, Angels
Background: A supplemental first-rounder in 2009, Richards has consistently pitched well in the minor leagues -- he has a career ERA of 3.14 -- but has yet to have the breakthrough year his stuff suggests is possible.
What he can do: Richards certainly looks the part; he's a big power pitcher with a 93-95 mph fastball and a strong mid-80s slider. He's one of those pitchers scouts think should be better, but his fastball can be straight, and while he consistently throws strikes, he still needs to refine his command within the zone.
Playing-time situation: Trying to crack the Angels' rotation is a tough task. No. 5 starter Jerome Williams is the weak link, and if Williams turns back into a pumpkin, Richards' value will increase.
Long-term value: Richards should settle in as an innings-eater in the big leagues, but there are plenty who see even more upside there.
41. Wilin Rosario, C, Rockies
Background: Rosario, a 23-year-old Dominican, was in the midst of a breakout season in 2010 when he injured a knee in a home-plate collision, an injury that required surgery. But he bounced back with 21 home runs in 102 games at Double-A Tulsa in 2011, then slugged three more homers in 54 at-bats in his big league debut.
What he can do: Rosario has well-above-average power for a catcher, and could hit 20-25 home runs in his prime, giving him elite fantasy value for the position. The risk centers around his approach at the plate. He rarely works the count, and big league pitchers were easily able to get him to chase pitches outside the strike zone. Here's a bonus for sim leagues: His arm is outstanding.
Playing-time situation: If the Rockies are uncomfortable with Jordan Pacheco as their backup catcher, Rosario could serve an apprenticeship behind Ramon Hernandez as he eases into the starting role. It's also important to note that Hernandez has not played more than 100 games since 2008, so there should be plenty of opportunities for Rosario to contribute.
Long-term value: Catchers with power are a valuable commodity, and Rosario provides just that.
42. Joe Benson, OF, Twins
Background: A second-round pick in 2006, Benson was more well-known for his exploits on the gridiron in high school, and it has taken some time for his athletic ability to translate to the baseball diamond. With a career line of .269/.363/.510 at Double-A, he finally made his major league debut in 2011.
What he can do: Benson has all the tools scouts look for. He has above-average power and speed, as he has accumulated 43 home runs and 33 stolen bases in 237 games over the past two years. Pure hitting has never been his strong point, and he'll always have a high strikeout rate, but he mitigates it a bit with a good walk rate.
Playing-time situation: After reaching the big leagues and seeing the team lose Jason Kubel via free agency, Benson's future was looking bright. Then the Twins went and messed things up by signing Josh Willingham. Benson likely will begin the year at Triple-A, but a good start, and the realization that Ben Revere should not be playing every day could lead to an early return to Minnesota.
Long-term value: Benson's 20-homer, 20-steal potential makes him an excellent long-term investment.
43. Robbie Erlin, SP, Padres
Background: A third-round pick by the Rangers in 2009, Erlin has been among the top performers in the minor leagues, and he was dealt to San Diego at the trade deadline for Mike Adams. Following the deal, he had a 1.38 ERA in six starts for Double-A San Antonio.
What he can do: Erlin's command and control are arguably the best in the minor leagues; in 266 minor league innings, he has a 2.61 ERA with 288 strikeouts and just 34 walks in 266 innings. He's on the small side, and doesn't have a true strikeout pitch, but his fastball, curve and changeup are all at least average, and they play up thanks to his laser-like precision.
Playing-time situation: While Erlin likely will begin the year in the minors, his path to the majors is clear, as we are talking about a team that not only lacks an ace, but could open the year with Dustin Moseley in the rotation.
Long-term value: Erlin is exactly the kind of pitcher who can exceed expectations, and pitching in San Diego only helps his value.
44. David Carpenter, RP, Astros
Background: A 12th-round pick in 2006, Carpenter was never a highly regarded prospect. In fact, it was back-page news when the Cardinals traded him to Houston in a minor 2010 trade for Pedro Feliz. But after 19 scoreless appearances at Triple-A last year, Carpenter reached the big leagues, and proceeded to strike out more than a batter per inning in 27-plus innings for the Astros.
What he can do: Carpenter has plenty of velocity; his fastball sits comfortably at 93-94 and can touch 96 mph. His slider is at least average and often plus, but Carpenter does have trouble avoiding walks at times.
Playing-time situation: Carpenter would have been higher on this list a week ago, due to an outside shot of him picking up some saves in a messy Houston bullpen. Brett Myers takes those away for now. Then again, Myers is also a potential trade chip come July.
Long-term value: Carpenter could be a good reliever for years to come, and could provide a handful of saves in the process.
45. Gary Brown, OF, Giants
Background: Brown's full-season debut at High-A San Jose was a rousing success, as he hit .336/.407/.519 with 14 home runs and 53 stolen bases while scoring 115 runs in 131 games.
What he can do: Brown's best tool is his speed. He's among the fastest players in the minor leagues, and he's capable of competing for stolen-base titles. He hit better than .430 as a college junior and has an electric bat with surprising power coming simply from the speed of his swing and strong wrists.
Playing-time situation: With just one full season under his belt, Brown is not major league-ready, and it's unlikely he's in line for more than a September call-up. Still, 10 stolen bases in September could win a fantasy team a title.
Long-term value: Brown could be a fantasy monster in his prime, hitting .300 with 15 home runs and 50 stolen bases annually at the top of the Giants lineup.
46. Jeremy Moore, OF, Angels
Background: Moore was drafted in the sixth round of the 2005 draft based on sheer athleticism, and he has made steady progress at the plate, peaking in 2011 with a .298/.331/.545 year at hitter-friendly Salt Lake (Triple-A) and then making his major league debut.
What he can do: Moore has enough power to hit 5-10 home runs and reach double digits in stolen bases in a bench role, as he has average power and above-average speed. He has improved as a hitter, but he still has a poor approach, and his swing-at-everything style could be exploited by big league pitchers.
Playing-time situation: Moore must beat out Ryan Langerhans this spring for the fourth outfield job, but his speed and versatility help his cause.
Long-term value: Moore should be a good fourth outfielder immediately, but he likely won't get full-time at-bats any time soon as long as Peter Bourjos and Mike Trout are around.
47. Heath Hembree, RP, Giants
Background: A fifth-round pick in 2010, the Giants moved Hembree to the bullpen with the hope that he could move up the ladder quickly. It has worked; he's well on his way to the majors after reaching Double-A and compiling a 1.86 ERA with 78 strikeouts in 53 1/3 innings during his full-season debut.
What he can do: Hembree is a classic reliever, with two plus power pitches. Both his mid-90s fastball and plus slider generate plenty of swings and misses, but he doesn't exactly make it look easy, and he does have occasional problems with his control.
Playing-time situation: Hembree will get a long look this spring, but a crowded and talented Giants bullpen likely will leave him at Triple-A to begin the year, aiming for a midseason promotion.
Long-term value: With Brian Wilson becoming a free agent in two years, Hembree is at least in the discussion as a future Giants closer.
48. Nate Eovaldi, SP/RP, Dodgers
Background: An 11th-round pick in 2008, Eovaldi was in the second group of Dodgers pitching prospects, but he quickly leapfrogged his competition with a 2.62 ERA at Double-A. That earned him a big league look in 2011.
What he can do: Eovaldi intrigues scouts with his potential as both a starter and a reliever. His fastball generally sits in the 92-95 mph range, but he touched 99 mph out of the bullpen. His changeup, meanwhile, offers plenty of separation. However, many scouts wonder whether he can be effective as a starting pitcher, considering his lack of a consistent breaking ball and sometimes-wavering control.
Playing-time situation: The additions of Aaron Harang and Chris Capuano block Eovaldi from a starting job for now, and there is no obvious opening in the bullpen, either. Eovaldi likely will begin the year in Triple-A Albuquerque's rotation, but he could be the first pitcher to get the call for a job in either role.
Long-term value: Eovaldi seems destined for a big league career, but his ultimate role is yet to be determined.
49. Dave Sappelt, OF, Cubs
Background: Ever since he was picked in the ninth round of the 2008 draft, all Sappelt has done is hit. He's a career .309/.362/.459 hitter in the minors. He wasn't able to duplicate that success in his big league debut in 2011, however; he often looked overmatched in his 107 at-bats.
What he can do: While he's hardly a physical specimen at 5-foot-9, Sappelt is an advanced hitter with outstanding hand-eye coordination and bat speed. He doesn't offer much in the way of power, but he's an above-average runner and should steal a few bases, while his ability to play all three outfield positions helps his value.
Playing-time situation: Sappelt is battling for a bench outfield job this spring, and his primary competition besides Reed Johnson is Tony Campana, who brings nothing to the table other than speed.
Long-term value: Sappelt might never be a long-term starter in the big leagues, but he belongs in the majors.
50. Michael Fiers, SP, Brewers
Background: A 22nd-round pick in 2009, Fiers entered last season completely off the radar. Then he put up a 1.11 ERA in 12 Triple-A appearances to find himself in the big leagues.
What he can do: Fiers has defied all odds by succeeding without much in the way of stuff. His fastball rarely reaches 90 mph, and he depends mostly on staying ahead in the count and keeping batters off-balance with a plus changeup.
Playing-time situation: Barring an injury, Fiers will begin the year in Triple-A as Milwaukee's "sixth starter." He'll get the call if and when a Brewers starting pitcher goes down.
Long-term value: With his lack of stuff, it's difficult to see Fiers ever developing further than a back-end starter role.
Josh Hamilton
Mike Napoli
Elvis Andrus
