MisterMJ MLB System Plays

Search

New member
Joined
Jan 11, 2014
Messages
232
Tokens
MisterMJ, I honestly think you have the best thread in the baseball forum. No haters, you explain your bets, keep an up to date record and straight to the point. Keep up the good work bro!
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
MisterMJ, I honestly think you have the best thread in the baseball forum. No haters, you explain your bets, keep an up to date record and straight to the point. Keep up the good work bro!

Thanks, much appreciated. :103631605
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
One Saber Under Select tonight. The system wants the Met's /Phillies under again.

Still tracking the overs as well. So far 1-2 on the Overs much too early to get a feel yet.


More information on the pick and record included below.


Good luck.


MJ
Saber Unders Select ( Same system but (in theory) uses a more select criteria)

NY Mets - 7:05 PM ET Under 7 100
Philadelphia
39 -20 -4 66.1% +$1690+16.9 Units

 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
Another Saber Under Select qualifies at 3:35 PM ET Boston / Angels Under 8.5


The pick and more information included below.


Good luck!
MJ
---Saber Unders Select ( Same system but (in theory) uses a more select criteria)

Boston - 3:35 PM ET Under 8.5 100
LA Angels

40-20-4 66.67% +$1790 +17.9 Units
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
No picks qualify today. A couple of the teams that probably would have qualified are off today.

I took a look at the recent Over / Under trends for all MLB games. I'm surprised to see that there has been a strong tilt toward Unders for both the last week and last 30 days.

So there really is no sign of Unders decaying...yet...and maybe they won't at all.


I have included the two Over / Under charts below.

See you Tuesday.



MJ

Saber Unders (Uses Sabermetric stats to try to predict scoring under performance)

No Pick qualifies today
45-31-2 59.21% +$1090 +10.9 Units

Saber Unders Select ( Same system but (in theory) uses a more select criteria)

No Pick qualifies today
41-20-4 67.21% +$1890 +18.9 Units
-------

Over vs. Under Trends Last 7 Days
Category Overs Percent Unders Percent


All Games 40 44.44% 50 55.56%

------------
Over vs. Under Trends Last 30 Days
Category Overs Percent Unders Percent

All Games 158 45.27% 191 54.73%



 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
One Saber Under Select qualifies tonight.


10:15 PM ET Chi White Sox / San Fran Under 6

More information, and the record is included below.


Good luck.


MJ
----
Saber Unders Select ( Same system but (in theory) uses a more select criteria)



Chi. White Sox - 10:15 PM ET Under 6 100
San Francisco


41-*20-*4 67.21% +$1890 +18.9 Units

 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
Another exciting Under win last night.

Baseball Unders are sure gut wrenching.

But we are playing with a ton of house money...not complaining. :103631605

No picks qualify today.

Saber Unders Select
42-20-4 67.74% +$1990 +19.9 Units (1 unit =$100)
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
No picks qualify today, with the small card.

Saber Unders Select
42-20-4 67.74% +$1990 +19.9 Units (1 unit =$100)
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
One Saber Under Select qualifies tonight.

8:10 PM ET Toronto / Chi. White Sox Under 8.5

More information included below.


Good luck to us.
MJ

Saber Unders Select (System uses Sabermetric stats to try to predict scoring performance)

Toronto - 8:10 PM ET Under 8.5 100
Chi. White Sox

42-20-4 67.74% +$1990 +19.9 Units (1 unit =$100 for record keeping purposes)
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
We have another Saber Under Select system pick tonight at 7:10 PM ETChi. Cubs / NY Mets Under 7.5

More information included below.

Good luck to us.
MJ
----
[FONT=arial, sans-serif]Saber Unders Select System

[FONT=arial, sans-serif](Uses Sabermetric stats to try to predict scoring under performance. Recommend to flat bet the same amount for each pick. $100 is used for record keeping purposes only. Your amount should be determined by your tolerance for risk)[/FONT]



Chi. Cubs - 7:10 PM ET Under 7.5 100
NY Mets



42-21-4 66.67% +$1880 +18.8 Units ($100 = 1 unit)
[/FONT]
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
Nothing qualifies today.

MJ
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
Small card, and nothing qualifies again today.

MJ
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
Nothing qualifies again tonight.


It's a little unusual, but it's random, and just the way the match ups have come up lately.



See you tomorrow.



MJ
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
We have a Saber Under Select, in an afternoon game at Oakland.
3:35 PM ET Mets@Oakland Under 7



I 've also been tracking Saber Overs Select, the exact opposite of the Under system.
It's 7-5 so far. If it makes it to 20 picks and they seem to act ok, I'll start sharing those as well.


By the time this season is over we have a shot at making a complete O/U system for next season with the ability to adjust to current baseball trends. It's just like having slider controls, in that I can make it more select or open it up as performance changes.

More information on today's pick included below.


Good luck to us.
MJ

Saber Unders Select (System uses Sabermetric stats to try to predict scoring under performance)


NY Mets - 3:35 PM ET Under 7 100
Oakland

42-22-4 65.52% +$1770 +17.7 Units
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
Nothing qualifies today with the Saber Unders Select.

It also appears that we might now have a problem playing Unders.

For the first time since I started this in June, the internals to the system have deteriorated considerably.

It might be that that we can't run the Unders the rest of this season and in fact it might be wise to stop in the future around Aug. 1. But I don't know that yet.


Thats the bad news, the good news is that we can run an exact mirror image of the Unders System with Saber Select Overs. In an ideal world that is what I would hope to do every season to catch the best of either trend.


Currently the Overs are 7-6-1 starting from Aug. 8 so we don't know much on that yet, but it might become more clear as we go forward. According to my internals the advantage has suddenly swung to overs. Is this a short swing or will it remain that way the rest of the season is the question.


I feel a responsibility when I post picks, I try to maximize your profits and cut your losses to small ones. In that way our monster years more than make up for any small losing year.

I suggest we take a pause here, let me look into this more, and I'll have more information tomorrow.


Thanks
MJ
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 7, 2005
Messages
8,892
Tokens
We have another Saber Under Select that qualifies tonight at 7:05 PM ET


Chi.White Sox@NY Yankees Under 8.5


I 'm getting mixed signals and I can't say if Unders or Overs seem to have the current clear advantage for us.
Not the rest of baseball but for us, using this system.


August has always been a funny month for systems. I'm waiting for a definite break one way or the other. Until then , I'll assume we are still good with what we have been doing.


More info included below.


Good luck
MJ

----

Saber Unders Select (System uses Sabermetric stats to try to predict scoring under performance)

Chi. White Sox - 7:05 PM ET Under 8.5 100
NY Yankees

42-23-4 64.61% +$1660 +16.6 Units
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,945
Messages
13,575,468
Members
100,884
Latest member
68gamebaitools
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com