race 2 4 PREACHER MAN 6/1---------------- ----5-2------- the melander trotter(5) skewed the odds, big whale move here but 2-5?? not even i saw that coming . so that is why This (4) didn't really drop in odds although he was 4-1 as they were about to jump, so It wasn't
a complete misread on my part
race 3 2 MAYFIELD DUKE 8/1---------------- -----3-1--- pretty much where he should have been , smart players liked as money came in at gate an made him chalk
race 4 4 KENZIESKY HANOVER 3/1 ------------- -------1-1------- they just got trigger happy because 1-9 is absurd at post
race 5 6 LET'S FOAL AROUND 6/1----------------- -----3-1---- about where he should have been and did show up fav
race 6 7 TOCCOA FALLS 6/1----------------- ----3-1-------------- again didn't account for ( shinkansen) not attracting any money , alot of times i am ahead of myself but to have this guy(7) go off as even money shows me that alot of the big players , get trigger happy on live plays and unbalance the odds big time , no way he should have gone that low .
race 9 9 TEAM KIWI N 8/1---------------- -----5.5-1--------- here i misjudged it for sure . The reasoning being I didn't give the burke/yingras horse as much credit as he should have had. I knew i might have made a mistake but still didn' t think he (9)would remain post time odds as he closed 9-1 . And yes i know yingras jumped off and all the rest but still not enough to make him(10) live chalkk from the 10 hole . So I will take one for the team
race 12 2 REGGIANO 10/1----------------- --9/5-------------------scratched-- he may have been lower than 9/5 if in
race 13 3 WHATSTROUBLNUROCY 15/1---------------8-1------ again he had the most powerful simm going , so i knew there was a danger of him falling into the 5-1 range , but had to make a call on it and that's that .
anyway as always these were not selections just simualtions trying to project post time analysis and odds .
Not one of my best nights in projections as the got trigger happy last night
congrats JB on the nice winners over the weekend and continued success as always
and your 39.00 winner was an absolute beauty , which by the way was carring simm #39 which is a great indicator of horses
who 99 percent of the time will go off at 50 percent higher odds than their morning line suggests.
one more thing if anyone can tell mark macdonald that is ok to let horses glide by you up the backstretch and then re pull as
relaxtion is the key to winning . One of the worst rides i've seen in a while , maybe he got specific instructions to put pedal down as the money poured in and you can tell horse was on tilt . Still would have given you another winner if he used his head. #3 in the 13 race is what i am referring to .
great handicapping !!!!!