Louisville Is going To Win Tomorrow the kentucky freshman haven't played a road game yet

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The Gr8 1
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I am not sure how you can say that you don't see a way that Kentucky wins this tonight. You say there is no way UK wins but you want someone to "comfort" you on your bet to make you feel better about it. If you are so certain, then why comfort needed?

This is a true 50/50 game even with the refs and being their first true road game. As a gambler, I am not certain that there is "no way" UK wins tonight. If that was the case, the line would be Louisville -12. I think the line is about spot on and that is why I am staying away. A true 50/50 game in my opinion.

There are better games tonight to bet on than this one.
 

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JB/10...........always good to see your thought's ..........hope all is well..........indy
 

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no the line isn't -12 bc louisville isnt going to blow kentucky out, what louisville has in its favor is

1.Calipari teams are like 1-6 in road openers recently
2.refs dont like calipari, multiple techs and UK losing record in their games
3.line opened at louisville -2
4.louisville at home
5. 90%+ is on UK and nobody is betting louisville
6. a buncha true freshman making their first trip into a hostile arena

all those things are why louisville is favored and yet 90% are betting on UK, that just reeks of a public bloodbath in a TV game on ESPN
 

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I am not sure how you can say that you don't see a way that Kentucky wins this tonight. You say there is no way UK wins but you want someone to "comfort" you on your bet to make you feel better about it. If you are so certain, then why comfort needed?

This is a true 50/50 game even with the refs and being their first true road game. As a gambler, I am not certain that there is "no way" UK wins tonight. If that was the case, the line would be Louisville -12. I think the line is about spot on and that is why I am staying away. A true 50/50 game in my opinion.

There are better games tonight to bet on than this one.

There he is! Nice to see you around, and this is a great post. Enjoy the game tonight and the Holiday Season...
 

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no the line isn't -12 bc louisville isnt going to blow kentucky out, what louisville has in its favor is

1.Calipari teams are like 1-6 in road openers recently
2.refs dont like calipari, multiple techs and UK losing record in their games
3.line opened at louisville -2
4.louisville at home
5. 90%+ is on UK and nobody is betting louisville
6. a buncha true freshman making their first trip into a hostile arena

all those things are why louisville is favored and yet 90% are betting on UK, that just reeks of a public bloodbath in a TV game on ESPN

My point is, you say Louisville isn't going to blow them out, but there is no way UK wins. You may be right, UK might lose (50/50 in my opinion), but to say they won't get blown out but they don't have a chance to win doesn't make sense to me. If it comes down to the wire, wouldn't that mean that UK has somewhat of a shot to win tonight?

Best of luck.
 

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all i said from the beginning is this is the blatant trap bet that most novice investors get suckered into. Even if Louisville loses, its still the right bet, you dont bet a team like kentucky when they open as a dog and have all the factors I listed going against them. Its just one of those things where if you've been betting a while you know not to put money on kentucky bc thats when something weird happens.

10 minutes ago bookmaker had kentucky -1 and -120 moneyline and now its back to a pick, some weird action going on in this line without a doubt
 

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all i said from the beginning is this is the blatant trap bet that most novice investors get suckered into. Even if Louisville loses, its still the right bet, you dont bet a team like kentucky when they open as a dog and have all the factors I listed going against them. Its just one of those things where if you've been betting a while you know not to put money on kentucky bc thats when something weird happens.

10 minutes ago bookmaker had kentucky -1 and -120 moneyline and now its back to a pick, some weird action going on in this line without a doubt


Dotcomceo. I hope you keep your post on site under 100. This was a decent thread an door got jbragg to respond which is always good to hear his opinion. Dude. UK is super strong this year. High energy and fire power. They will be in this game down to the wire. It's a coin toss. Wouldn't surprise me if they won by 10. Louisville is untested and I don't think it's one of Pitinos most talented teams. Cards could Def pull this off but if you're looking to feel good about this bet, you're only fing yourself. Good luck and great to see you jbragg.

Cats by 5-8
 

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no the line isn't -12 bc louisville isnt going to blow kentucky out, what louisville has in its favor is

1.Calipari teams are like 1-6 in road openers recently
2.refs dont like calipari, multiple techs and UK losing record in their games
3.line opened at louisville -2
4.louisville at home
5. 90%+ is on UK and nobody is betting louisville
6. a buncha true freshman making their first trip into a hostile arena

all those things are why louisville is favored and yet 90% are betting on UK, that just reeks of a public bloodbath in a TV game on ESPN

Don't you think oddsmakers considered those when they opened UL as the favs? But the bettors said FK IT I want the better team plus the pts. And it's ironic when you call us novices when you think its "weird" that it's back to PK when it happens all the time. When books get one sided action they move the lines to induce betting on other side to balance out their sheets. Only a novice would think that as weird when its SOP.

And all this talk about conspiracy theory that refs are conspiring against UK because they hate Calipari is silly. They may hate him but they love their jobs more and won't risk it making bogus calls. Don't get me wrong I hate that sleazeball too for exploiting 1 and dones but that's a discussion for another time.

The game will come down to UL defense. If they can keep UK to 60s they have an excellent chance to win. If they get in the 80s they don't have much of a chance.
 

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LMAO, ok Tango, how much ya want to wager the Cards keep KY in the 60's, I'll give ya 2:1 odds, how's that, I'm a generous man. On a slow possession, they launch it in 13.5 seconds, do your homework to find out on a routine possession. And as for 1-N-Done, that's Calp's fault??? I say that's to his credit. Now where is JBragg when I need him, LOL.

~T~
 

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LMAO, ok Tango, how much ya want to wager the Cards keep KY in the 60's, I'll give ya 2:1 odds, how's that, I'm a generous man. On a slow possession, they launch it in 13.5 seconds, do your homework to find out on a routine possession. And as for 1-N-Done, that's Calp's fault??? I say that's to his credit. Now where is JBragg when I need him, LOL.

~T~

How much? You do realize UL has kept UK under 70 3 out of last 7 meetings?

JC promises 1-and-done freshmen starter roles and runs an offense that helps them pad their stats to look good for NBA. But what about guys who aren't good enough to go 1-and-done? They take a seat at the end of the bench as the new incoming 1-and-dones get all their playing time. Complete sleazeball.
 

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browns games are never on national tv, rarely you get a thurs night game. This game is on ESPN primetime, serious $$$$ action on this game and the record calipari has vs these refs i think people are ignoring. Who is to say these refs dont bet against cal on the regular?
 

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I think Louisville could win this game, but so could UK. I think the arguments could go both ways on why either team could win.

If UK wins, I won't be in here saying I told you so, because I really believe it could go either way.

With that said, I don't think Louisville will hold them to 60-65 points. Game will probably be in the 70's. Louisville needs to score the ball to slow UK down. If Louisville can make shots (which they have had some real duds this year in shooting), then they can set up their press to slow UK down. If they are missing, UK will run them out of the gym on their fastbreak.

My biggest keys to the game:
1. Rebounding (UK has struggled giving up second chance points)
2. Louisville has to make shots (to stop fast break). This will also limit UK's easy baskets in transition.
3. Officiating. Bam has to stay out of foul trouble or the #1 key (rebounding) will be a big factor for Louisville. They have the bigs to rotate, UK does not.
4. Malik Monk. Pitino does a great job of limiting the best player on the other team. Even though Monk has been very good this year, he does take some bad shots. If he is ball hogging it, it may hurt UK in this game.
 

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What about Calipari's 8-1 record vs. UL as UK coach? I guess that means nothing to you.
 

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How much? You do realize UL has kept UK under 70 3 out of last 7 meetings?

JC promises 1-and-done freshmen starter roles and runs an offense that helps them pad their stats to look good for NBA. But what about guys who aren't good enough to go 1-and-done? They take a seat at the end of the bench as the new incoming 1-and-dones get all their playing time. Complete sleazeball.

And your weak point is??? Did you read my post for God's sake. They routinely put it up in 13+ seconds, I think the number is around 5+ when they force the pace. Who the hell does that??? I can assure you, not any KY team of those games you're referring to. Again, do a little work, you might learn something.

~T~
 

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How much? You do realize UL has kept UK under 70 3 out of last 7 meetings?

JC promises 1-and-done freshmen starter roles and runs an offense that helps them pad their stats to look good for NBA. But what about guys who aren't good enough to go 1-and-done? They take a seat at the end of the bench as the new incoming 1-and-dones get all their playing time. Complete sleazeball.

1. This UK team is a lot different than previous teams, so comparing previous games to this one should be thrown out the door. Calipari has not had a team that runs like this since John Wall's team. Previous years have been a slower pace.

2. I somewhat agree. I find it hard to watch when an all-american comes here (Killeya-Jones) and sits on the bench but thinks he is the next one and done baller. Calipari is VERY UPFRONT with all these kids though. He does tell them that playing time is not guaranteed and you must earn it. Problem is that the kid sees all these past players going pro that they think he is just saying that. Then when they bring in another player of high caliber, that other player gets upset and wants to transfer because he thought he was the next Towns or Anthony Davis.

I hate the one and done as well, but you have to think, it's not an NCAA rule or a Calipari rule. Most of these coaches are going after the same high profile players. Duke gets a lot of one and done players as well.
 

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I agree. That is big, whether people believe it or not.

Anyway with this thread, good to see you. I can't remember you posting a single post last season, could only imagine bad thoughts. I assume all is well in CatLand, lol. I like this Cat team, it is absolutely "NO FEAR," and that's a good thing. GL this season!

~T~
 

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And your weak point is??? Did you read my post for God's sake. They routinely put it up in 13+ seconds, I think the number is around 5+ when they force the pace. Who the hell does that??? I can assure you, not any KY team of those games you're referring to. Again, do a little work, you might learn something.

~T~

I asked you how much. Chickening out?
 

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I asked you how much. Chickening out?

I'm on phucking post review you moron, takes up to an hour to get post out. I'll go whatever ya want, I know a number of folks here that would hold the money, you don't have a chance Tango. Anyone out there got a good idea on how to hold some wagering money? I don't do Bitcoin, but anything else goes. So you tell me, how much you willing to lose?

~T~
 

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