Live In-Play Thread Strategy's

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

There is zero system in live...it is all random variance, but somehow your book knows how to trick you into taking a side, usually at a terrible line. Today I had Reds+4 at -113 and also took Nicole Gibbs in live she lost the 2nd set 6-0. Now every once in awhile you can hit a huge dog on in live, but as far as a system it doesn't exist.[/QUOTE
I agree very tricky I only use to protect my br and increase my ROI I do not gamble

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

They know how to entice, we might hit that 20-1 Tcu Miracle in live but then lose the next 20 chases on 10-1 dogs....trust me the books know how to suck you in, and sometimes you have no choice to take the dog in live and they get smoked. No one can make money taking a -1667 fav in live.

+1

 

[boss415]

There is zero system in live...it is all random variance, but somehow your book knows how to trick you into taking a side, usually at a terrible line. Today I had Reds+4 at -113 and also took Nicole Gibbs in live she lost the 2nd set 6-0. Now every once in awhile you can hit a huge dog on in live, but as far as a system it doesn't exist.[/QUOTE
I agree very tricky I only use to protect my br and increase my ROI I do not gamble

How does hedging everything increase your roi? Like i said if you are looking to hedge every play you should quit.

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

post #10 increased roi by 26% 150 - 111 = 39 / 150 = 26% increase on roi

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

it's a good thing 5dimes takes 50 cent bets i guess

lol

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

pregame have tbay +145 2un added tbay + 2.5 +100 .4u value play

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

pregame have hous. + 140 2u Ins. bet Pitt + 675 .1u now have hous. + 231 instead of +140

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

Correction for post # 28 calculations wrong.
Assuming Houston wins the game
pregame hous + 140 2u 200 to win 280
ins. Pitt. + 675 .2u $20 to win $135
roi 65 to win 260 = 4 -1 instead of 1.4 - 1.00

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

have pics Atlanta + 135 line down to +113
over 9.5 line up to 10

Instead of chasing bad #'s I will wait for better #'s on live action.

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

see how the pitt. game ended this why you buy ins.

 

[chevelle702fast4u]

have pics Atlanta + 135 line down to +113
over 9.5 line up to 10

Instead of chasing bad #'s I will wait for better #'s on live action.

Atlanta closed at +105 . The big value is gone with the line drop, but anytime you can get plus money its value, that's the key!

 

[boss415]

see how the pitt. game ended this why you buy ins.

Explain to me how not just riding houston out was smart? You just pissed back profit

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

Atlanta closed at +105 . The big value is gone with the line drop, but anytime you can get plus money its value, that's the key!

I have to learn everything the hard way top of first 3-0 Atl.

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

Explain to me how not just riding houston out was smart? You just pissed back profit

post # 29 boss

roi 65 to win 260 = 4 -1 instead of 1.4 - 1.00

 

[chevelle702fast4u]

I have to learn everything the hard way top of first 3-0 Atl.

well maybe not...Atlanta is falling apart. That 5-0 lead is now 5-4 hno:

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

Boss and everyone interested there are a lot of different situations in any live in-play action.
Ex:I had tbay + 145 2u 200-290
I see tbay +2.5 +100 so I add to my position with .2u - .2u
tbay is losing by 2 and 5D is giving me 2.5 so I am thinking a nice value bet.
Looking back I realise this was a mistake of losing an extra $20
The reason it was a mistake is because I already have tbay +145.
I can not hedge because my team is losing the game if I bet the fav.
in live play I will have to lay large odds.
So I can not improve my odds on the tbay game
on the hous. game I am winning the game so now I can increase my odds to 4-1 just
by making a $20 bet to win +675 or $135 when I make this bet I hope I lose the $20
The 10% of pregame bet or $20 giving me +675 odds is a no brainer increasing my ROI
from 140 - 100 to 400-100.

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

What are these bullshit numbers? Hou would be 1 - 1.40[/QUOT

Ok hous. lay 100 to win 140 pregame
after making ins. bet of $20 to win $135 my odds are now risking $65 to win $260 or now houston is 1 to win 4

 

[TheZMan]

Yes but, you're picking the most optimal games right now and then saying oh yea well I shoulda woulda coulda. Then keep betting the losing team every game if you feel they will all come back and win at some higher percentage than pre game betting.

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

This type of opportunity on the Houston game does not happen that often but when it does happen mathematically
this is a complete no brainer.
The main thing to remember if your team is winning the game and you can get the losing team at +500 or more on the m/l
then you have to take it unless you do not like money.

 

[dd_1_pl_4_u_]

Yes but, you're picking the most optimal games right now and then saying oh yea well I shoulda woulda coulda. Then keep betting the losing team every game if you feel they will all come back and win at some higher percentage than pre game betting.

Never said anything close to that