Live handicapping thread Sunday 5/16/21

[Michelangelo]

SA
5th
$2.00 ex box
#8 with #s 3, 7, 8
#4.00 exacta boxes
#8 with #s 5, 9
($28.00 total bet)
7 minutes

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
5th
$2.00 ex box
#8 with #s 3, 7, 8
#4.00 exacta boxes
#8 with #s 5, 9
($28.00 total bet)
7 minutes

Comes in 9-8. Winner.

$50.00 x 2 = 100.00

-352.00 -28.00 = -380.00
+387.10 +100.00 = +487.10

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
6th
$12.00 Win
#3 American Admiral
2 minutes

I love first time starter MSW favs at 2-1 or under. I figure the stables know how the horse is training and step in accordingly.

This horse fits but I'm a little concerned that her reputation may be bigger than his ability. They paid 1.3 mill for him. People know that and use it to influence their bets. I never do.

So I'm just gonna golight.

 

[Gravy]

SA race 6

$2 Ext

2 5 / 2 3 4 5 6

$16 Total Bet

 

[Michelangelo]

SA race 6

$2 Ext

2 5 / 2 3 4 5 6

$16 Total Bet

Gravy comes back to pluck a winner off Santa Anita.

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
6th
$12.00 Win
#3 American Admiral
2 minutes

I love first time starter MSW favs at 2-1 or under. I figure the stables know how the horse is training and step in accordingly.

This horse fits but I'm a little concerned that her reputation may be bigger than his ability. They paid 1.3 mill for him. People know that and use it to influence their bets. I never do.

So I'm just gonna golight.

Probably should have laid off. Another big priced horse disappoints in his eebut.

-380.00 -12.00 = -392.00
+487.10

 

[Gravy]

SA race 6

$2 Ext

2 5 / 2 3 4 5 6

$16 Total Bet

Comes 2 -5 -3

$1 ext pays 11.10 x 2 = $22.20

The big Baffert favorite just didnt have it


I will give you an angle that I like Horse runs a dirt goes to the turf a Beaten favorite on Turf than going Back to dirt which the 2 horse was

was told by a trainer at Thistledown years ago that the turf toughens them up when going back to dirt and will be tuff to beat builds up endurance

Also right now im off Baffert horses or pass the race just my thought on him right now

 

[Longsilver]

RP-R2) #5 Travelin Miracle 5$WP

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
7th
$12.00 Win
#8 Lucky Peridot
7 min to post

I think that the two favorites and the 40-1 longshot will all be gunning out of the gate. That should benefit the closers and I think the #8 is the best of them.

 

[Gravy]

SA Race 7 (+55.82)

.50 Tri wheel

5 6 8 / 2 4 5 6 7 8 / 2 4 5 6 7 8

$30 Total Bet

 

[Gravy]

SA
7th
$12.00 Win
#8 Lucky Peridot
7 min to post

I think that the two favorites and the 40-1 longshot will all be gunning out of the gate. That should benefit the closers and I think the #8 is the best of them.

great minds think alike

 

[Michelangelo]

Comes 2 -5 -3

$1 ext pays 11.10 x 2 = $22.20

The big Baffert favorite just didnt have it


I will give you an angle that I like Horse runs a dirt goes to the turf a Beaten favorite on Turf than going Back to dirt which the 2 horse was

was told by a trainer at Thistledown years ago that the turf toughens them up when going back to dirt and will be tuff to beat builds up endurance

Also right now im off Baffert horses or pass the race just my thought on him right now

Always look hard at both turf to dirt and dirt to turf horses. There is a reason the trainer is switching surfaces.

 

[Gravy]

SA Race 7 (+55.82)

.50 Tri wheel

5 6 8 / 2 4 5 6 7 8 / 2 4 5 6 7 8

$30 Total Bet

speed duel never developed dammit and 8 was coming but too late

comes 7-4-8-1-5

55.82-30 = 25.82

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
7th
$12.00 Win
#8 Lucky Peridot
7 min to post

I think that the two favorites and the 40-1 longshot will all be gunning out of the gate. That should benefit the closers and I think the #8 is the best of them.

Nope. The #7 (favorite) had a lot of company early but separated from them quicker than I was hoping. The #8 came hard down the stretch as I expected but I thought Cedillo got him going too late and he got a ran out of ground, third.

-392.00 -12.00 = -404.00
+487.10

 

[Gravy]

Ok Michelangelo Im done for the day BOL the rest of the way and thanks for the encouragement

 

[Michelangelo]

Ok Michelangelo Im done for the day BOL the rest of the way and thanks for the encouragement

See ya next week, Gravy. You had another winning day, bro. Any winning day at the track is a good day.

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
8th
$3.00 exacta boxes
#4 with #s 1, 5
($12.00 total bet)
3 minutes

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
8th
$3.00 exacta boxes
#4 with #s 1, 5
($12.00 total bet)
3 minutes

Comes in 5-4.

36.00 x 1 1/2 = 54.00

-404.00 -12.00 = -416.00
+487.10 +54.00 = +541.10

 

[Michelangelo]

SA
9th
$12.00 Win
#10 Dorita's Happy
11 min to post

I see a lot of contenders in this race so I'm gonna go with a "value" horse with a good trainer and a good jockey, dropping out of MSW, second time blinkers and adding Lasix for the first time. Laid off since December should make this 3 yo bigger and stronger.

Last bet tonight.

 

[Longsilver]

-10$. SA-R9) #2 Consider Me Gone 5$WP