Live handicapping thread Sunday 5/16/21

[Gravy]

Belmont Race 5

.50 Tri wheel

1 4 9 / 1 3 4 5 6 9 / 1 2 3 4 5 6 9

$37.50 total bet


Im Ice cold so tread lightly

Finally got a good one here with the Chad brown first time starter

comes 1-9-5

.50 tri pays 124.62 - 37.50 = +87.12

 

[Gravy]

wish I could be so ice cold! Should be a good one.

Im pissed off had a bad KY derby day with the Baffert horse who used something and yesterday at the Preakness I cant see the signs of a shot coming in just mad at myself

 

[Michelangelo]

Bmnt
5th
$2.00 ex box
#9 over #s 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
($20.00 total bet)
approaching gate

Did my math wrong. That was a $24.00 total bet. Winner.

#1 over #9 pays 52.50

-110.00 -24.00 = -134.00
+228.00 +52.50 = +280.50

 

[Gravy]

There ya go, bud. One for one today. And should pay pretty damned good.

Thxs Michelangelo payed ok with Chad Brown 1-2

 

[Gravy]

That's better. Winner and caught a 24-1 horse second for a nice exacta. Only thing I didn't like is they bet the #5 down to 2-1.

6.40 x 12 = +76.80 + 151.20 (exacta) = 228.00

-74.00 -36.00 = -110.00
+228.00

late on this one but nice hit

 

[Michelangelo]

CD
6th
$24.00 Win
#6 Tenth of Gold
1 minute

Should go to the front and say goodbye.

 

[Michelangelo]

CD
6th
$24.00 Win
#6 Tenth of Gold
1 minute

Should go to the front and say goodbye.

Yea, I liked that one Gravy. Woulda bet more if I was winning at the time. I'll be happy with what I got.

 

[Melniko]

10/0

CD Race 6
$5 WP #8 Majestic Summer - longest shot on the board, but is a fit with these so the value is there. Blinkers off and first-time claiming.

brief thrill

 

[Michelangelo]

CD
6th
$24.00 Win
#6 Tenth of Gold
1 minute

Should go to the front and say goodbye.

Nope. Second. They bet Gafflione like he was gonna come and get my horse. He did just before the finish.

-134.00 -24.00 = -168.00
+280.50

 

[Melniko]

20/0

GP Race 6
$5 WP #4 Uncle Kevin - sticking with the double-digit odds theme today

 

[Gravy]

Belmont Race 6 ( +87.12)

.50 Tri wheel

2 3 9 / 2 3 5 9 10 12 / 1 2 3 5 9 10 12

$37.50 Total Bet

 

[Melniko]

20/0

GP Race 6
$5 WP #4 Uncle Kevin - sticking with the double-digit odds theme today

4th. Outran his odds, though, will make a note for next time.

 

[Michelangelo]

Bmnt
6th
$8.00 exacta box
#s 1, 9
1 minute

 

[Michelangelo]

20/0

GP Race 6
$5 WP #4 Uncle Kevin - sticking with the double-digit odds theme today

Love your dedication to overlays.

 

[Melniko]

30/0

Belmont Race 6
$5 WP #4 Itsakeyper - Saez on a 30-1 shot?

 

[Melniko]

Love your dedication to overlays.

If you hit at a 10% win rate you make money, right? Plus I just love the idea of finding a needle in a haystack.

 

[Melniko]

30/0

Belmont Race 6
$5 WP #4 Itsakeyper - Saez on a 30-1 shot?

4th at 40-1 pays...nothing.

 

[Michelangelo]

If you hit at a 10% win rate you make money, right? Plus I just love the idea of finding a needle in a haystack.

For sure. Overlays are tough to define. Favorites can be overlays. But I love your dedication to seek out the big priced overlays. I will use 50-1 horses if I give them a chance in my handicapping.

Get one or two of those big ones today. Always rooting for you guys to knock down big ones.

 

[Gravy]

Belmont Race 6 ( +87.12)

.50 Tri wheel

2 3 9 / 2 3 5 9 10 12 / 1 2 3 5 9 10 12

$37.50 Total Bet

Damn I should have had this ******

Comes 12-3-5-4

1/2 favorite off the ticket this should pay very well

.50 Tri pays 538.00

87.12-37.50 + 49.62

 

[Michelangelo]

Bmnt
6th
$8.00 exacta box
#s 1, 9
1 minute

Awful.

-168.00 -16.00 = -184.00
+280.50