Haven't played much NFL so far, and might not really this week either. After this week, every team will have at least 1 home and 1 road game, and with three games under their belts, a little bit easier to see how each team will be this year (I said EASIER, not EASY, big difference).
Steelers stuck out to me. Lost to Pats week one and looked OK, came back last week and smoked a below avg. Niners team. Bell is back, huge plus, Williams been running strong too. Rams have one really solid win (at home) and one stinker (on road). Just hard to know what you are going to get on offense with Foles and a shaky/banged up running game. Yeah, they beat two time NFC Champs Seattle, but let's face it, Seattle last year (and this) were not world beaters at all. Great team, but not a sure thing week in/week out. Could be a sucker play to take Pitt on the road based on just two weeks, but that would be my play if anything.
Also like Carolina -3.5 (or -3 if played it early or don't mind buying the hook). Saints have historically been a bad team ATS outdoors, and I just think they are in major decline. Not sure what Brees status is, last I read is he might play. Cam can make plays and Panthers D should keep Saints in check. Really wish Saints didn't STB vs. Bucs last week, or this one might be closer to pk (i.e. under a FG).
Bears +14.5?? Might be stupid. I hate the Bears too. That's a lot of points though and maybe, just maybe Clausen and Forte can do enough to keep them in the game. I will almost certainly NOT play this game, just seems like getting over two TD's with a semi-competent coach/team could be a good bet, even with the injury issues.
Browns -3.5. Shoot me NOW if I have Bears and Browns on same card, but Raiders coming off of BIG win and now travelling and playing EARLY game. Cleveland secondary should do OK and if their offense has any success moving the ball they should win and hopefully cover. This is really a fucking garbage game though, and probably best to pass and see what these teams are all about.
OK, so Eagles chuck up two stinkers and Jets look good and have a huge road win vs. Indy, but Jets are less than FG favorite at HOME? Yeah, stinky for sure. Classic case of when two teams appear to be headed in different directions, that they really aren't, and things always revert back to the mean. Eagles aren't going 0-16 and Jets aren't going 16-0. I'm not saying for sure this is the week that changes, but obviously linemakers haven't sold off on Philly just yet.
OK, sorry for invading the thread, but just throwing my opinion out there. Just new here and feeling things out.
BOL all...................................peace.
:smoking:
Steelers stuck out to me. Lost to Pats week one and looked OK, came back last week and smoked a below avg. Niners team. Bell is back, huge plus, Williams been running strong too. Rams have one really solid win (at home) and one stinker (on road). Just hard to know what you are going to get on offense with Foles and a shaky/banged up running game. Yeah, they beat two time NFC Champs Seattle, but let's face it, Seattle last year (and this) were not world beaters at all. Great team, but not a sure thing week in/week out. Could be a sucker play to take Pitt on the road based on just two weeks, but that would be my play if anything.
Also like Carolina -3.5 (or -3 if played it early or don't mind buying the hook). Saints have historically been a bad team ATS outdoors, and I just think they are in major decline. Not sure what Brees status is, last I read is he might play. Cam can make plays and Panthers D should keep Saints in check. Really wish Saints didn't STB vs. Bucs last week, or this one might be closer to pk (i.e. under a FG).
Bears +14.5?? Might be stupid. I hate the Bears too. That's a lot of points though and maybe, just maybe Clausen and Forte can do enough to keep them in the game. I will almost certainly NOT play this game, just seems like getting over two TD's with a semi-competent coach/team could be a good bet, even with the injury issues.
Browns -3.5. Shoot me NOW if I have Bears and Browns on same card, but Raiders coming off of BIG win and now travelling and playing EARLY game. Cleveland secondary should do OK and if their offense has any success moving the ball they should win and hopefully cover. This is really a fucking garbage game though, and probably best to pass and see what these teams are all about.
OK, so Eagles chuck up two stinkers and Jets look good and have a huge road win vs. Indy, but Jets are less than FG favorite at HOME? Yeah, stinky for sure. Classic case of when two teams appear to be headed in different directions, that they really aren't, and things always revert back to the mean. Eagles aren't going 0-16 and Jets aren't going 16-0. I'm not saying for sure this is the week that changes, but obviously linemakers haven't sold off on Philly just yet.
OK, sorry for invading the thread, but just throwing my opinion out there. Just new here and feeling things out.
BOL all...................................peace.
:smoking:
...and just to add, I am VERY aware in one breath I'm saying go against the grain with the 0-2 vs. 2-0 (Eagles) and on the other hand I back the Panthers over Saints, who are in same boat. That Jets line just caught my eye, and I like the fade Saints angle on grass, even though it historically applied to a faster, more potent offense of the Saints of yore.
I try to give some reasons for a few of this picks.... and if I can I will post a little tomorrow as well.
Starting off with the Chargers ... in the first game of the season at Home they fell behind 21-10 in the first half, they came back with 23 unanswered points until Detroit came up with a garbage TD
They showed guts and played great ball on both sides of the ball to get the win and the Cover.
Last week they played the Bengals as 3.5 dogs and missed the cover over a Failed 2pt. try
Rivers was sacked 4 times, there was a fumble on the Cinn 40 and plenty other mistakes....but still almost covered as the dog...
The LVH line was +3, and currently the line has dropped all the way down to +1
The Value is probably gone but I do believe that the Chargers will win this one Outright.
Starting off with the Chargers ... in the first game of the season at Home they fell behind 21-10 in the first half, they came back with 23 unanswered points until Detroit came up with a garbage TD
They showed guts and played great ball on both sides of the ball to get the win and the Cover.
Last week they played the Bengals as 3.5 dogs and missed the cover over a Failed 2pt. try
Rivers was sacked 4 times, there was a fumble on the Cinn 40 and plenty other mistakes....but still almost covered as the dog...
The LVH line was +3, and currently the line has dropped all the way down to +1
The Value is probably gone but I do believe that the Chargers will win this one Outright.
Speaking of Indy ... might as well talk about the Colts.
Well they have been HORRIBLE in their first two games of the 2015 season ... But let's face it, the two teams that have beaten them.. are probably 2 of the Top 5 Defenses in the league
Yeah i know that Buffalo got their asses handed to them last week, but it's The New England Pats & Tom Brady that did it.
Anyway, now the Colts are looking at a Possible 0-3 start ?? No No... this is what the Doctor ordered for them... The Colts Doormat ... Tennessee
The Colts have won the last 7 vs. the Titans SU & ATS, Andrew Luck is 6-0 . Even Dan Orlovsky under center for the Colts beat the Titans ... Who ?
The bigger question is which Marcus Mariota shows up on Sunday ?? the one that set a Record in the first half of his 1st game ? or the one that got Sacked 7 Times last week ??
I also like the Over 46 a little ...
BOL !
Well they have been HORRIBLE in their first two games of the 2015 season ... But let's face it, the two teams that have beaten them.. are probably 2 of the Top 5 Defenses in the league
Yeah i know that Buffalo got their asses handed to them last week, but it's The New England Pats & Tom Brady that did it.
Anyway, now the Colts are looking at a Possible 0-3 start ?? No No... this is what the Doctor ordered for them... The Colts Doormat ... Tennessee
The Colts have won the last 7 vs. the Titans SU & ATS, Andrew Luck is 6-0 . Even Dan Orlovsky under center for the Colts beat the Titans ... Who ?
The bigger question is which Marcus Mariota shows up on Sunday ?? the one that set a Record in the first half of his 1st game ? or the one that got Sacked 7 Times last week ??
I also like the Over 46 a little ...
BOL !
BAS,
I am a little concerned about the GB line. Andy Reid has an awesome record off the bye and although KC is not coming off a bye this week, he does have the extra prep time going from a Thursday game to the following Monday nite game.
Also, Pitt I loved week 2 cause I liked the way they played against NE, just a few early mistakes that cost them the game. So, is it Pitt is so-so on the road or is Vegas telling us something with 2 good Pitt performances and now a pk on the road. You do have to like the way the Rams D-line plays and should provide for an interesting matchup for Steeler running game.
Cincy has won 3 straight SU & ATS against Balt and now Balt is favored by a fg as miserably as they have performed? Trap game??
NE line would normally entice me to take Jax but Jax is banged up on O-line, I think 2 maybe 3 starters out. Jax D is solid and getting better but this is NE so I am looking to lay the lumber here.
Tenn is intriguing to me. Mariota was the beneficiary of some sloppy play by TB and the victim of 3 HUGE plays against Clev. Indy is horrible on D and Luck has no pass protection or a run game. I would not be surprised to see Indy 0-3 after Sunday.
Just a few of my observations but I am in no means an expert. LOL
Best of luck to all
I am a little concerned about the GB line. Andy Reid has an awesome record off the bye and although KC is not coming off a bye this week, he does have the extra prep time going from a Thursday game to the following Monday nite game.
Also, Pitt I loved week 2 cause I liked the way they played against NE, just a few early mistakes that cost them the game. So, is it Pitt is so-so on the road or is Vegas telling us something with 2 good Pitt performances and now a pk on the road. You do have to like the way the Rams D-line plays and should provide for an interesting matchup for Steeler running game.
Cincy has won 3 straight SU & ATS against Balt and now Balt is favored by a fg as miserably as they have performed? Trap game??
NE line would normally entice me to take Jax but Jax is banged up on O-line, I think 2 maybe 3 starters out. Jax D is solid and getting better but this is NE so I am looking to lay the lumber here.
Tenn is intriguing to me. Mariota was the beneficiary of some sloppy play by TB and the victim of 3 HUGE plays against Clev. Indy is horrible on D and Luck has no pass protection or a run game. I would not be surprised to see Indy 0-3 after Sunday.
Just a few of my observations but I am in no means an expert. LOL
Best of luck to all
The line in the GB game worries me a little as well. Never like when I see a 7 with plus money... but it's early and a lot of times this will happen.
I just couldn't stay away from the fact that the packers at Home is a Beast... Including this seasons Home game, the Green Bay Packers have outscored their opps 345-180 at Home.
So I had no problem laying the 6.5
Here's my thoughts on the Pit/ St. louis game..
The square & some sharps after seeing what the Steelers did last week have bet Pitt. Early, but some heavy hitters have been taking the Rams... making it a Tug of war on the line.
I wanted so bad to take the Rams in the Contest, but thought the 1.5 they were using had no value. I thought the Early opener of Steelers -2.5 would push it up to at least 3
I mean they get Bell back, and Brown has been on fire... so you would think after the Rams getting beat up by WASHINGTON ... the line should be 3 / 3.5
Rams are a different team at home... and after beating the Seahawks, I knew they would be flat last week ( that's why I took the Redskins last week in the Contest )
If I had to play the game, it would be the Rams or nothing. Right now, it's nothing
This is my Solo Entry, so not sure when you say "Guys"
Either way, no there's no one play stronger than the other when they list someone's plays.
It's in order of the LVH Super Contest ROT# as shown below
[h=1]SuperContest Weekly Card[/h] The SuperContest cards are posted before 5:00 PM PST EVERY WEDNESDAY. These are the SuperContest numbers only. They are not current or live odds and not intended for wagering purposes.
| THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 24, 2015 | |||
| 1 GIANTS* | 5:30 PM | 2 REDSKINS | +3.5 |
| SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 27, 2015 | |||
| 3 STEELERS | 10:00 AM | 4 RAMS* | +1.5 |
| 5 VIKINGS* | 10:00 AM | 6 CHARGERS | +2.5 |
| 7 TEXANS* | 10:00 AM | 8 BUCCANEERS | +6.5 |
| 9 JETS* | 10:00 AM | 10 EAGLES | +2.5 |
| 11 PANTHERS* | 10:00 AM | 12 SAINTS | +4.5 |
| 13 PATRIOTS* | 10:00 AM | 14 JAGUARS | +13.5 |
| 15 RAVENS* | 10:00 AM | 16 BENGALS | +2.5 |
| 17 BROWNS* | 10:00 AM | 18 RAIDERS | +3.5 |
| 19 COLTS | 10:00 AM | 20 TITANS* | +3 |
| 21 FALCONS | 10:00 AM | 22 COWBOYS* | +2 |
| 23 CARDINALS* | 1:05 PM | 24 49ERS | +6.5 |
| 25 SEAHAWKS* | 1:25 PM | 26 BEARS | +14.5 |
| 27 DOLPHINS* | 1:25 PM | 28 BILLS | +3 |
| 29 BRONCOS | 5:30 PM | 30 LIONS* | +3 |
| MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2015 | |||
| 31 PACKERS* | 5:30 PM | 32 CHIEFS | +6.5 |
