Lance's Lock's 2010 PGA Tour Thread

Lance'sLocks · Mar 4, 2010

Villegas looked strong today, as did Allenby, until the 10th hole.
Nice to see the course played to a +2 today. Luckily, barring any crazy play from the leaders, most of these guys I picked still have a legit shot. We'll see what tomorrow brings.

BigPIG19 · Mar 5, 2010

Lance's Locks said:
Bham area

cool deal. i grew up in gadsden.

Uscsilb24 · Mar 5, 2010

anyone like mcdowell at 17 or casey at 20-1

think that is real good value on mcdowell and really would be only one back after that bizarre incident where he hit out of the water

thanks for the help

Lance'sLocks · Mar 7, 2010

Great wire to wire finish for Villegas. That's probably the highest odds we'll see on him for a while, so I hope yall took advantage. I will be taking my winnings hoping to double up during March Madness.

Forgot to post yesterday, but I had a HUGE play on Matt Every -115 over Jerry Kelly. Basically put half of what I planned on winning when Villegas won today on Every. Kid looked great all week and something inside me just knew that Jerry wouldn't string 3 rounds together on this tough course.
Very profitable weekend in golf, hope to continue it with Doral this week

jblonghorn · Mar 8, 2010

Great call Lance. Very nice. You have a good pulse on the PGA Tour. I'm thinking Tiger returns at Tavistock. A buddy is good friends with one of the Asst Pros at Isleworth and he says he'll be playing in it. Seamless way to get a feel for tourney golf yet have it not count.

Lance'sLocks · Mar 8, 2010

I've heard Bay Hill on Tig's, but any time is great as long as gets to Augusta!
I've been OK so far this season, I really seem to have a handle on the florida swing, hope it continues.

GGASU · Mar 9, 2010

Lance....what is your opinion on Brian Gay this week? Been playing pretty well all year, and is 150 to 1 at 5 dimes.

He currently leads the PGA in putting. I personally think that 150 is a good value, any opinion?

Lance'sLocks · Mar 9, 2010

GGASU said:
Lance....what is your opinion on Brian Gay this week? Been playing pretty well all year, and is 150 to 1 at 5 dimes.

He currently leads the PGA in putting. I personally think that 150 is a good value, any opinion?

definitely good value @ 150 to 1. I would bet it if my local had him this week.

Lance'sLocks · Mar 9, 2010

Two tournaments this week in the WGC-CA Championship @ The Blue Monster in Doral, and the Puerto Rico Open.

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bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5004</TD><TD noWrap>Camilo Villegas</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;4;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;4;ML@@>+1500 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5005</TD><TD noWrap>Lee Westwood</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;5;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;5;ML@@>+1800 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5006</TD><TD noWrap>Jim Furyk</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;6;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;6;ML@@>+1600 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5007</TD><TD noWrap>Geoff Ogilvy</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;7;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;7;ML@@>+1800 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5008</TD><TD noWrap>Ian Poulter</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;8;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;8;ML@@>+2200 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5009</TD><TD noWrap>Rory McIroy</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;9;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;9;ML@@>+1800 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5010</TD><TD noWrap>Anthony Kim</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;10;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;10;ML@@>+3000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5011</TD><TD noWrap>Retief Goosen</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;11;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;11;ML@@>+2700 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5012</TD><TD noWrap>Dustin Johnson</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;12;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;12;ML@@>+2700 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5013</TD><TD noWrap>Vijay Singh</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;13;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;13;ML@@>+3000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5014</TD><TD noWrap>Padraig Harrington</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;14;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;14;ML@@>+2700 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5015</TD><TD noWrap>Martin Kaymer</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;15;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;15;ML@@>+2700 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5016</TD><TD noWrap>Robert Allenby</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;16;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;16;ML@@>+3000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5017</TD><TD noWrap>Ernie Els</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;17;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;17;ML@@>+2700 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5018</TD><TD noWrap>Alvaro Quiros</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;18;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;18;ML@@>+3500 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5019</TD><TD noWrap>Hunter Mahan</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;19;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;19;ML@@>+3500 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5020</TD><TD noWrap>Henrik Stenson</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;20;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;20;ML@@>+3500 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5021</TD><TD noWrap>Zach Johnson</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;21;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;21;ML@@>+3500 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5022</TD><TD noWrap>Sergio Garcia</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;22;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;22;ML@@>+3500 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5023</TD><TD noWrap>Nick Watney</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;23;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;23;ML@@>+3500 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5024</TD><TD noWrap>Luke Donald</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;24;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;24;ML@@>+3500 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5025</TD><TD noWrap>Sean OHair</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;25;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;25;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5026</TD><TD noWrap>Ross Fisher</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;26;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;26;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5027</TD><TD noWrap>Tim Clark</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;27;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;27;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5028</TD><TD noWrap>JB Holmes</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;28;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;28;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5029</TD><TD noWrap>Robert Karlsson</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;29;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;29;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5030</TD><TD noWrap>Stewart Cink</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;30;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;30;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5031</TD><TD noWrap>Oliver Wilson</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;31;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;31;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5032</TD><TD noWrap>Kenny Perry</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;32;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;32;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5033</TD><TD noWrap>Mike Weir</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;33;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;33;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap>5034</TD><TD noWrap>Field (Any Other Player)</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=177946;34;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED177946;34;ML@@>+150 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Staying away from Phil again this week until he can prove he belongs in the final group on Sunday. I am happy that Stricker is back this week and am glad to be getting +1200 for him. AK came on strong and I think is returning to form. Villegas had no intentions of letting anything slip last week, yet AK played well. Had to go with Poulter getting +2200 here. Hasn't set the world on fire in stroke play, but at Doral, anything is possible. Paul Casey is my gut feeling for this week and am also happy to be getting anything over +1000 with him.

I will start another post for my thoughts on the Puerto Rico open as I feel there is money to be made there too!

Lance'sLocks · Mar 9, 2010

Golf - Odds to Win The Puerto Rico Open @ Trump International Golf Club - Rio Grande, Puerto Rico

5201 Alex Prugh +1300
5202 Bryce Molder +1300
5203 Kevin Stadler +1800
5204 Rory Sabbatini +1300
5205 Chad Collins +2600
5206 Alex Cejka +3000
5207 Jarrod Lyle +3000
5208 Joe Ogilvie +3000
5209 Jeev Milkha Singh +2500
5210 Charley Hoffman +3000
5211 Joe Durant +3000
5212 Tom Pernice +3000
5213 John Merrick +2600
5214 Brett Quigley +3500
5215 Jeff Overton +3500
5216 Richard S Johnson +3500
5217 Steve Elkington +4000
5218 Boo Weekley +3500
5219 Matt Weibring +4000
5220 Michael Connell +4000
5221 Chris Riley +4000
5222 Carl Pettersson +4000
5223 Kevin Streelman +4000
5224 Mark Calcavecchia +4000
5225 Jeff Klauk +4500
5226 Brendon de Jonge +4500
5227 Marco Dawson +4000
5228 Shigeki Maruyama +4500
5229 Skip Kendall +4500
5230 Spencer Levin +4500
5231 Field (Any Other Player) -110

Stadler is one of my favorites this week as he is off to a great start coming off the West Coast swing. Love Rory @ +1300 as well, as I would still love to let his wife have some camera time!
Jeev Milka Singh makes his PGA Tour debut in Puerto Rico and has incredible value @ +2500, as does John Merrick @ +2600.

My uber longshot pick of th week is good ole Calc. He played well in Scottsdale and may surprise some folks in the low pressure surrounding this event.

BigPIG19 · Mar 9, 2010

I took Mickelson, Furyk, Stricker, Poulter, and Kjeldsen

Lance'sLocks · Mar 9, 2010

grabbed Alex Cejka @ +3000 tonight, like the way he's been playing lately.

GGASU · Mar 10, 2010

Lance's Locks said:
grabbed Alex Cejka @ +3000 tonight, like the way he's been playing lately.

Lance.....you have to get a better book. Alex is at 45 to 1 at 5 dimes.

pretty easy to fund in the US thru moneygram...

Lance'sLocks · Mar 10, 2010

GGASU said:
Lance.....you have to get a better book. Alex is at 45 to 1 at 5 dimes.

pretty easy to fund in the US thru moneygram...

i'll look into it, however, I would rather deal with my local.

ExqusiteHoopster · Mar 10, 2010

good luck lance

Lance'sLocks · Mar 11, 2010

All four guys in the CA Champ still alive. Was scared Allenby was running away with it, then 4 bogies later....
Should be an interesting day with weather becoming a factor tomorrow.
Cejka off to a great start, after one hole :lol:

Lance'sLocks · Mar 17, 2010

quick hit this week as I am on vacation.
Took a big hit last week, the rain in Puerto Rico killed Cejka's momentum for sure....

Anyway, this week, going with four guys I like:

Stricker +1100
Harrington +1500
Goosen +1400
Watney +3500

Lance'sLocks · Mar 25, 2010

Another quick hit this week.

Laying the chalk with Mickelson, Els and longshot with Watney.

Lance'sLocks · Mar 29, 2010

nothing like a Monday finish to rattle the nerves. Luckily Els held on with an amazing plugged bunker shot on 17, great putting all around and only needing bogey on 18 to win.
Na scared the hell out of me, and the pressure would have really been on if he makes that putt on 18.

Els +1400 worked for me though!

Also had a few matchups I won, biggest play was my round 4 play with Streelman against Weekly.

Lance'sLocks · Mar 31, 2010

Another quick writeup, I will try to go into more detail once the tournamnet has started as I have had some success with matchups after the first 2 rounds.

My plays this week, staying away from Els as I think he'll play well, but will treat this more of a tune-up for Augusta and doesn't have the killer instinct this week.

Going with Casey +1000, Ogilvy + 1800, Mahan +2200 and longshot with Bubba Watson + 3500.
Would like to see Phil play well, but don't want to jinx him by laying the small odds associated with him. Also would like to see DLIII play well so I could possibly see him in Augusta.